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A Robust Test for Elliptical Symmetry

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Most signal processing and statistical applications heavily rely on specific data distribution models. The Gaussian distributions, although being the most common choice, are inadequate in most real world scenarios as they fail to account for data coming from heavy-tailed populations or contaminated by outliers. Such problems call for the use of Robust Statistics. The robust models and estimators are usually based on elliptical populations, making the latter ubiquitous in all methods of robust statistics. To determine whether such tools are applicable in any specific case, goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests are used to verify the ellipticity hypothesis. Ellipticity GoF tests are usually hard to analyze and often their statistical power is not particularly strong. In this work, assuming the true covariance matrix is unknown we design and rigorously analyze a robust GoF test consistent against all alternatives to ellipticity on the unit sphere. The proposed test is based on Tyler's estimator and is formulated in terms of easily computable statistics of the data. For its rigorous analysis, we develop a novel framework based on the exchangeable random variables calculus introduced by de Finetti. Our findings are supported by numerical simulations comparing them to other popular GoF tests and demonstrating the significantly higher statistical power of the suggested technique.


Cooperative guidance of multiple missiles: a hybrid co-evolutionary approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cooperative guidance of multiple missiles is a challenging task with rigorous constraints of time and space consensus, especially when attacking dynamic targets. In this paper, the cooperative guidance task is described as a distributed multi-objective cooperative optimization problem. To address the issues of non-stationarity and continuous control faced by cooperative guidance, the natural evolutionary strategy (NES) is improved along with an elitist adaptive learning technique to develop a novel natural co-evolutionary strategy (NCES). The gradients of original evolutionary strategy are rescaled to reduce the estimation bias caused by the interaction between the multiple missiles. Then, a hybrid co-evolutionary cooperative guidance law (HCCGL) is proposed by integrating the highly scalable co-evolutionary mechanism and the traditional guidance strategy. Finally, three simulations under different conditions demonstrate the effectiveness and superiority of this guidance law in solving cooperative guidance tasks with high accuracy. The proposed co-evolutionary approach has great prospects not only in cooperative guidance, but also in other application scenarios of multi-objective optimization, dynamic optimization and distributed control.


Bayesian inference on Brain-Computer Interface using the GLASS Model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The brain-computer interface (BCI) enables individuals with severe physical impairments to communicate with the world. BCIs offer computational neuroscience opportunities and challenges in converting real-time brain activities to computer commands and are typically framed as a classification problem. This article focuses on the P300 BCI that uses the event-related potential (ERP) BCI design, where the primary challenge is classifying target/non-target stimuli. We develop a novel Gaussian latent group model with sparse time-varying effects (GLASS) for making Bayesian inferences on the P300 BCI. GLASS adopts a multinomial regression framework that directly addresses the dataset imbalance in BCI applications. The prior specifications facilitate i) feature selection and noise reduction using soft-thresholding, ii) smoothing of the time-varying effects using global shrinkage, and iii) clustering of latent groups to alleviate high spatial correlations of EEG data. We develop an efficient gradient-based variational inference (GBVI) algorithm for posterior computation and provide a user-friendly Python module available at https://github.com/BangyaoZhao/GLASS. The application of GLASS identifies important EEG channels (PO8, Oz, PO7, Pz, C3) that align with existing literature. GLASS further reveals a group effect from channels in the parieto-occipital region (PO8, Oz, PO7), which is validated in cross-participant analysis.


Online Recognition of Incomplete Gesture Data to Interface Collaborative Robots

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Online recognition of gestures is critical for intuitive human-robot interaction (HRI) and further push collaborative robotics into the market, making robots accessible to more people. The problem is that it is difficult to achieve accurate gesture recognition in real unstructured environments, often using distorted and incomplete multisensory data. This paper introduces an HRI framework to classify large vocabularies of interwoven static gestures (SGs) and dynamic gestures (DGs) captured with wearable sensors. DG features are obtained by applying data dimensionality reduction to raw data from sensors (resampling with cubic interpolation and principal component analysis). Experimental tests were conducted using the UC2017 hand gesture dataset with samples from eight different subjects. The classification models show an accuracy of 95.6% for a library of 24 SGs with a random forest and 99.3% for 10 DGs using artificial neural networks. These results compare equally or favorably with different commonly used classifiers. Long short-term memory deep networks achieved similar performance in online frame-by-frame classification using raw incomplete data, performing better in terms of accuracy than static models with specially crafted features, but worse in training and inference time. The recognized gestures are used to teleoperate a robot in a collaborative process that consists in preparing a breakfast meal.


Improved Naive Bayes with Mislabeled Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Labeling mistakes are frequently encountered in real-world applications. If not treated well, the labeling mistakes can deteriorate the classification performances of a model seriously. To address this issue, we propose an improved Naive Bayes method for text classification. It is analytically simple and free of subjective judgements on the correct and incorrect labels. By specifying the generating mechanism of incorrect labels, we optimize the corresponding log-likelihood function iteratively by using an EM algorithm. Our simulation and experiment results show that the improved Naive Bayes method greatly improves the performances of the Naive Bayes method with mislabeled data.


Multi-Subset Approach to Early Sepsis Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sepsis is a life-threatening organ malfunction caused by the host's inability to fight infection, which can lead to death without proper and immediate treatment. Therefore, early diagnosis and medical treatment of sepsis in critically ill populations at high risk for sepsis and sepsis-associated mortality are vital to providing the patient with rapid therapy. Studies show that advancing sepsis detection by 6 hours leads to earlier administration of antibiotics, which is associated with improved mortality. However, clinical scores like Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) are not applicable for early prediction, while machine learning algorithms can help capture the progressing pattern for early prediction. Therefore, we aim to develop a machine learning algorithm that predicts sepsis onset 6 hours before it is suspected clinically. Although some machine learning algorithms have been applied to sepsis prediction, many of them did not consider the fact that six hours is not a small gap. To overcome this big gap challenge, we explore a multi-subset approach in which the likelihood of sepsis occurring earlier than 6 hours is output from a previous subset and feed to the target subset as additional features. Moreover, we use the hourly sampled data like vital signs in an observation window to derive a temporal change trend to further assist, which however is often ignored by previous studies. Our empirical study shows that both the multi-subset approach to alleviating the 6-hour gap and the added temporal trend features can help improve the performance of sepsis-related early prediction.


MLOps Spanning Whole Machine Learning Life Cycle: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Google AlphaGos win has significantly motivated and sped up machine learning (ML) research and development, which led to tremendous ML technical advances and wider adoptions in various domains (e.g., Finance, Health, Defense, and Education). These advances have resulted in numerous new concepts and technologies, which are too many for people to catch up to and even make them confused, especially for newcomers to the ML area. This paper is aimed to present a clear picture of the state-of-the-art of the existing ML technologies with a comprehensive survey. We lay out this survey by viewing ML as a MLOps (ML Operations) process, where the key concepts and activities are collected and elaborated with representative works and surveys. We hope that this paper can serve as a quick reference manual (a survey of surveys) for newcomers (e.g., researchers, practitioners) of ML to get an overview of the MLOps process, as well as a good understanding of the key technologies used in each step of the ML process, and know where to find more details.


Efficient Bayes Inference in Neural Networks through Adaptive Importance Sampling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have received an increased interest in the last years. In BNNs, a complete posterior distribution of the unknown weight and bias parameters of the network is produced during the training stage. This probabilistic estimation offers several advantages with respect to point-wise estimates, in particular, the ability to provide uncertainty quantification when predicting new data. This feature inherent to the Bayesian paradigm, is useful in countless machine learning applications. It is particularly appealing in areas where decision-making has a crucial impact, such as medical healthcare or autonomous driving. The main challenge of BNNs is the computational cost of the training procedure since Bayesian techniques often face a severe curse of dimensionality. Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) is one of the most prominent Monte Carlo methodologies benefiting from sounded convergence guarantees and ease for adaptation. This work aims to show that AIS constitutes a successful approach for designing BNNs. More precisely, we propose a novel algorithm PMCnet that includes an efficient adaptation mechanism, exploiting geometric information on the complex (often multimodal) posterior distribution. Numerical results illustrate the excellent performance and the improved exploration capabilities of the proposed method for both shallow and deep neural networks.


Bayes classifier cannot be learned from noisy responses with unknown noise rates

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Training a classifier with noisy labels typically requires the learner to specify the distribution of label noise, which is often unknown in practice. Although there have been some recent attempts to relax that requirement, we show that the Bayes decision rule is unidentified in most classification problems with noisy labels. This suggests it is generally not possible to bypass/relax the requirement. In the special cases in which the Bayes decision rule is identified, we develop a simple algorithm to learn the Bayes decision rule, that does not require knowledge of the noise distribution. In this paper, we consider classification with noisy labels.


Do deep neural networks have an inbuilt Occam's razor?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The remarkable performance of overparameterized deep neural networks (DNNs) must arise from an interplay between network architecture, training algorithms, and structure in the data. To disentangle these three components, we apply a Bayesian picture, based on the functions expressed by a DNN, to supervised learning. The prior over functions is determined by the network, and is varied by exploiting a transition between ordered and chaotic regimes. For Boolean function classification, we approximate the likelihood using the error spectrum of functions on data. When combined with the prior, this accurately predicts the posterior, measured for DNNs trained with stochastic gradient descent. This analysis reveals that structured data, combined with an intrinsic Occam's razor-like inductive bias towards (Kolmogorov) simple functions that is strong enough to counteract the exponential growth of the number of functions with complexity, is a key to the success of DNNs.