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 Learning Graphical Models


Fruit Picker Activity Recognition with Wearable Sensors and Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper we present a novel application of detecting fruit picker activities based on time series data generated from wearable sensors. During harvesting, fruit pickers pick fruit into wearable bags and empty these bags into harvesting bins located in the orchard. Once full, these bins are quickly transported to a cooled pack house to improve the shelf life of picked fruits. For farmers and managers, the knowledge of when a picker bag is emptied is important for managing harvesting bins more effectively to minimise the time the picked fruit is left out in the heat (resulting in reduced shelf life). We propose a means to detect these bag-emptying events using human activity recognition with wearable sensors and machine learning methods. We develop a semi-supervised approach to labelling the data. A feature-based machine learning ensemble model and a deep recurrent convolutional neural network are developed and tested on a real-world dataset. When compared, the neural network achieves 86% detection accuracy.


CASOG: Conservative Actor-critic with SmOoth Gradient for Skill Learning in Robot-Assisted Intervention

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Coronary artery disease is the most common cardiovascular diseases and kills millions every year [1]. Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is a widely used treatment for coronary artery disease. In PCI, physicians use X-ray fluoroscopy for guidance and deliver guidewires, catheters, and other instruments to the target vessel for treatments such as stenting and drugs. Due to X-ray fluoroscopy guidance, physicians are exposed to radiation and wear heavy lead-lined garments for radiation protection, which leads to radiation-associated hazards [2] and orthopedic strain injuries [3]. Vascular robotic systems with the master-slave control mode [4, 5] have been developed to reduce the risks mentioned above. Robot-assisted intervention has shown numerous benefits in clinical trials, including X-ray exposure reduction, control precision improvement, and procedural duration decrease. In robot-assisted intervention, instruments are shaped as flexible wires. Physicians manipulate the proximal tip of instruments outside the patient body to deliver the distal tip to the target in vessels. The relationship between manipulations and distal motion is non-linear, making instrument deliveries challenging.


End-to-End Policy Gradient Method for POMDPs and Explainable Agents

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Real-world decision-making problems are often partially observable, and many can be formulated as a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP). When we apply reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms to the POMDP, reasonable estimation of the hidden states can help solve the problems. Furthermore, explainable decision-making is preferable, considering their application to real-world tasks such as autonomous driving cars. We proposed an RL algorithm that estimates the hidden states by end-to-end training, and visualize the estimation as a state-transition graph. Experimental results demonstrated that the proposed algorithm can solve simple POMDP problems and that the visualization makes the agent's behavior interpretable to humans.


Stopping Criteria for Value Iteration on Stochastic Games with Quantitative Objectives

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A classic solution technique for Markov decision processes (MDP) and stochastic games (SG) is value iteration (VI). Due to its good practical performance, this approximative approach is typically preferred over exact techniques, even though no practical bounds on the imprecision of the result could be given until recently. As a consequence, even the most used model checkers could return arbitrarily wrong results. Over the past decade, different works derived stopping criteria, indicating when the precision reaches the desired level, for various settings, in particular MDP with reachability, total reward, and mean payoff, and SG with reachability. In this paper, we provide the first stopping criteria for VI on SG with total reward and mean payoff, yielding the first anytime algorithms in these settings. To this end, we provide the solution in two flavours: First through a reduction to the MDP case and second directly on SG. The former is simpler and automatically utilizes any advances on MDP. The latter allows for more local computations, heading towards better practical efficiency. Our solution unifies the previously mentioned approaches for MDP and SG and their underlying ideas. To achieve this, we isolate objective-specific subroutines as well as identify objective-independent concepts. These structural concepts, while surprisingly simple, form the very essence of the unified solution.


Toward multi-target self-organizing pursuit in a partially observable Markov game

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The multiple-target self-organizing pursuit (SOP) problem has wide applications and has been considered a challenging self-organization game for distributed systems, in which intelligent agents cooperatively pursue multiple dynamic targets with partial observations. This work proposes a framework for decentralized multi-agent systems to improve the implicit coordination capabilities in search and pursuit. We model a self-organizing system as a partially observable Markov game (POMG) featured by large-scale, decentralization, partial observation, and noncommunication. The proposed distributed algorithm: fuzzy self-organizing cooperative coevolution (FSC2) is then leveraged to resolve the three challenges in multi-target SOP: distributed self-organizing search (SOS), distributed task allocation, and distributed single-target pursuit. FSC2 includes a coordinated multi-agent deep reinforcement learning (MARL) method that enables homogeneous agents to learn natural SOS patterns. Additionally, we propose a fuzzy-based distributed task allocation method, which locally decomposes multi-target SOP into several single-target pursuit problems. The cooperative coevolution principle is employed to coordinate distributed pursuers for each single-target pursuit problem. Therefore, the uncertainties of inherent partial observation and distributed decision-making in the POMG can be alleviated. The experimental results demonstrate that by decomposing the SOP task, FSC2 achieves superior performance compared with other implicit coordination policies fully trained by general MARL algorithms. The scalability of FSC2 is proved that up to 2048 FSC2 agents perform efficient multi-target SOP with almost 100 percent capture rates. Empirical analyses and ablation studies verify the interpretability, rationality, and effectiveness of component algorithms in FSC2.


Sampling with Barriers: Faster Mixing via Lewis Weights

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We analyze Riemannian Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RHMC) for sampling a polytope defined by $m$ inequalities in $\R^n$ endowed with the metric defined by the Hessian of a convex barrier function. The advantage of RHMC over Euclidean methods such as the ball walk, hit-and-run and the Dikin walk is in its ability to take longer steps. However, in all previous work, the mixing rate has a linear dependence on the number of inequalities. We introduce a hybrid of the Lewis weights barrier and the standard logarithmic barrier and prove that the mixing rate for the corresponding RHMC is bounded by $\tilde O(m^{1/3}n^{4/3})$, improving on the previous best bound of $\tilde O(mn^{2/3})$ (based on the log barrier). This continues the general parallels between optimization and sampling, with the latter typically leading to new tools and more refined analysis. To prove our main results, we have to overcomes several challenges relating to the smoothness of Hamiltonian curves and the self-concordance properties of the barrier. In the process, we give a general framework for the analysis of Markov chains on Riemannian manifolds, derive new smoothness bounds on Hamiltonian curves, a central topic of comparison geometry, and extend self-concordance to the infinity norm, which gives sharper bounds; these properties appear to be of independent interest.


Optimizing Carbon Storage Operations for Long-Term Safety

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

To combat global warming and mitigate the risks associated with climate change, carbon capture and storage (CCS) has emerged as a crucial technology. However, safely sequestering CO2 in geological formations for long-term storage presents several challenges. In this study, we address these issues by modeling the decision-making process for carbon storage operations as a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP). We solve the POMDP using belief state planning to optimize injector and monitoring well locations, with the goal of maximizing stored CO2 while maintaining safety. Empirical results in simulation demonstrate that our approach is effective in ensuring safe long-term carbon storage operations. We showcase the flexibility of our approach by introducing three different monitoring strategies and examining their impact on decision quality. Additionally, we introduce a neural network surrogate model for the POMDP decision-making process to handle the complex dynamics of the multi-phase flow. We also investigate the effects of different fidelity levels of the surrogate model on decision qualities.


Machine Learning Research Trends in Africa: A 30 Years Overview with Bibliometric Analysis Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The machine learning (ML) paradigm has gained much popularity today. Its algorithmic models are employed in every field, such as natural language processing, pattern recognition, object detection, image recognition, earth observation and many other research areas. In fact, machine learning technologies and their inevitable impact suffice in many technological transformation agendas currently being propagated by many nations, for which the already yielded benefits are outstanding. From a regional perspective, several studies have shown that machine learning technology can help address some of Africa's most pervasive problems, such as poverty alleviation, improving education, delivering quality healthcare services, and addressing sustainability challenges like food security and climate change. In this state-of-the-art paper, a critical bibliometric analysis study is conducted, coupled with an extensive literature survey on recent developments and associated applications in machine learning research with a perspective on Africa. The presented bibliometric analysis study consists of 2761 machine learning-related documents, of which 89% were articles with at least 482 citations published in 903 journals during the past three decades. Furthermore, the collated documents were retrieved from the Science Citation Index EXPANDED, comprising research publications from 54 African countries between 1993 and 2021. The bibliometric study shows the visualization of the current landscape and future trends in machine learning research and its application to facilitate future collaborative research and knowledge exchange among authors from different research institutions scattered across the African continent.


Checking Trustworthiness of Probabilistic Computations in a Typed Natural Deduction System

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper we present the probabilistic typed natural deduction calculus TPTND, designed to reason about and derive trustworthiness properties of probabilistic computational processes, like those underlying current AI applications. Derivability in TPTND is interpreted as the process of extracting $n$ samples of possibly complex outputs with a certain frequency from a given categorical distribution. We formalize trust for such outputs as a form of hypothesis testing on the distance between such frequency and the intended probability. The main advantage of the calculus is to render such notion of trustworthiness checkable. We present a computational semantics for the terms over which we reason and then the semantics of TPTND, where logical operators as well as a Trust operator are defined through introduction and elimination rules. We illustrate structural and metatheoretical properties, with particular focus on the ability to establish under which term evolutions and logical rules applications the notion of trustworhtiness can be preserved.


A Domain-Region Based Evaluation of ML Performance Robustness to Covariate Shift

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Most machine learning methods assume that the input data distribution is the same in the training and testing phases. However, in practice, this stationarity is usually not met and the distribution of inputs differs, leading to unexpected performance of the learned model in deployment. The issue in which the training and test data inputs follow different probability distributions while the input-output relationship remains unchanged is referred to as covariate shift. In this paper, the performance of conventional machine learning models was experimentally evaluated in the presence of covariate shift. Furthermore, a region-based evaluation was performed by decomposing the domain of probability density function of the input data to assess the classifier's performance per domain region. Distributional changes were simulated in a two-dimensional classification problem. Subsequently, a higher four-dimensional experiments were conducted. Based on the experimental analysis, the Random Forests algorithm is the most robust classifier in the two-dimensional case, showing the lowest degradation rate for accuracy and F1-score metrics, with a range between 0.1% and 2.08%. Moreover, the results reveal that in higher-dimensional experiments, the performance of the models is predominantly influenced by the complexity of the classification function, leading to degradation rates exceeding 25% in most cases. It is also concluded that the models exhibit high bias towards the region with high density in the input space domain of the training samples.