Learning Graphical Models
Image Restoration with Mean-Reverting Stochastic Differential Equations
Luo, Ziwei, Gustafsson, Fredrik K., Zhao, Zheng, Sjölund, Jens, Schön, Thomas B.
This paper presents a stochastic differential equation (SDE) approach for general-purpose image restoration. The key construction consists in a mean-reverting SDE that transforms a high-quality image into a degraded counterpart as a mean state with fixed Gaussian noise. Then, by simulating the corresponding reverse-time SDE, we are able to restore the origin of the low-quality image without relying on any task-specific prior knowledge. Crucially, the proposed mean-reverting SDE has a closed-form solution, allowing us to compute the ground truth time-dependent score and learn it with a neural network. Moreover, we propose a maximum likelihood objective to learn an optimal reverse trajectory that stabilizes the training and improves the restoration results. The experiments show that our proposed method achieves highly competitive performance in quantitative comparisons on image deraining, deblurring, and denoising, setting a new state-of-the-art on two deraining datasets. Finally, the general applicability of our approach is further demonstrated via qualitative results on image super-resolution, inpainting, and dehazing. Code is available at https://github.com/Algolzw/image-restoration-sde.
Non-convex Bayesian Learning via Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo
The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) hinges on the efficient training of modern deep neural networks (DNNs) for non-convex optimization and uncertainty quantification, which boils down to a non-convex Bayesian learning problem. A standard tool to handle the problem is Langevin Monte Carlo, which proposes to approximate the posterior distribution with theoretical guarantees. In this thesis, we start with the replica exchange Langevin Monte Carlo (also known as parallel tempering), which proposes appropriate swaps between exploration and exploitation to achieve accelerations. However, the na\"ive extension of swaps to big data problems leads to a large bias, and bias-corrected swaps are required. Such a mechanism leads to few effective swaps and insignificant accelerations. To alleviate this issue, we first propose a control variates method to reduce the variance of noisy energy estimators and show a potential to accelerate the exponential convergence. We also present the population-chain replica exchange based on non-reversibility and obtain an optimal round-trip rate for deep learning. In the second part of the thesis, we study scalable dynamic importance sampling algorithms based on stochastic approximation. Traditional dynamic importance sampling algorithms have achieved success, however, the lack of scalability has greatly limited their extensions to big data. To handle this scalability issue, we resolve the vanishing gradient problem and propose two dynamic importance sampling algorithms. Theoretically, we establish the stability condition for the underlying ordinary differential equation (ODE) system and guarantee the asymptotic convergence of the latent variable to the desired fixed point. Interestingly, such a result still holds given non-convex energy landscapes.
I Cast Detect Thoughts: Learning to Converse and Guide with Intents and Theory-of-Mind in Dungeons and Dragons
Zhou, Pei, Zhu, Andrew, Hu, Jennifer, Pujara, Jay, Ren, Xiang, Callison-Burch, Chris, Choi, Yejin, Ammanabrolu, Prithviraj
We propose a novel task, G4C, to study teacher-student natural language interactions in a goal-driven and grounded environment. Dungeons and Dragons (D&D), a role-playing game, provides an ideal setting to investigate such interactions. Here, the Dungeon Master (DM), i.e., the teacher, guides the actions of several players -- students, each with their own personas and abilities -- to achieve shared goals grounded in a fantasy world. Our approach is to decompose and model these interactions into (1) the DM's intent to guide players toward a given goal; (2) the DM's guidance utterance to the players expressing this intent; and (3) a theory-of-mind (ToM) model that anticipates the players' reaction to the guidance one turn into the future. We develop a novel reinforcement learning (RL) method for training a DM that generates guidance for players by rewarding utterances where the intent matches the ToM-anticipated player actions. Human and automated evaluations show that a DM trained to explicitly model intents and incorporate ToM of the players using RL generates better-quality guidance that is 3x more likely to fulfill the DM's intent than a vanilla natural language generation (NLG) approach.
Concentration Phenomenon for Random Dynamical Systems: An Operator Theoretic Approach
Naeem, Muhammad Abdullah, Pajic, Miroslav
Via operator theoretic methods, we formalize the concentration phenomenon for a given observable `$r$' of a discrete time Markov chain with `$\mu_{\pi}$' as invariant ergodic measure, possibly having support on an unbounded state space. The main contribution of this paper is circumventing tedious probabilistic methods with a study of a composition of the Markov transition operator $P$ followed by a multiplication operator defined by $e^{r}$. It turns out that even if the observable/ reward function is unbounded, but for some for some $q>2$, $\|e^{r}\|_{q \rightarrow 2} \propto \exp\big(\mu_{\pi}(r) +\frac{2q}{q-2}\big) $ and $P$ is hyperbounded with norm control $\|P\|_{2 \rightarrow q }< e^{\frac{1}{2}[\frac{1}{2}-\frac{1}{q}]}$, sharp non-asymptotic concentration bounds follow. \emph{Transport-entropy} inequality ensures the aforementioned upper bound on multiplication operator for all $q>2$. The role of \emph{reversibility} in concentration phenomenon is demystified. These results are particularly useful for the reinforcement learning and controls communities as they allow for concentration inequalities w.r.t standard unbounded obersvables/reward functions where exact knowledge of the system is not available, let alone the reversibility of stationary measure.
Bayesian Complementary Kernelized Learning for Multidimensional Spatiotemporal Data
Lei, Mengying, Labbe, Aurelie, Sun, Lijun
Probabilistic modeling of multidimensional spatiotemporal data is critical to many real-world applications. As real-world spatiotemporal data often exhibits complex dependencies that are nonstationary and nonseparable, developing effective and computationally efficient statistical models to accommodate nonstationary/nonseparable processes containing both long-range and short-scale variations becomes a challenging task, in particular for large-scale datasets with various corruption/missing structures. In this paper, we propose a new statistical framework -- Bayesian Complementary Kernelized Learning (BCKL) -- to achieve scalable probabilistic modeling for multidimensional spatiotemporal data. To effectively characterize complex dependencies, BCKL integrates two complementary approaches -- kernelized low-rank tensor factorization and short-range spatiotemporal Gaussian Processes. Specifically, we use a multi-linear low-rank factorization component to capture the global/long-range correlations in the data and introduce an additive short-scale GP based on compactly supported kernel functions to characterize the remaining local variabilities. We develop an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for model inference and evaluate the proposed BCKL framework on both synthetic and real-world spatiotemporal datasets. Our experiment results show that BCKL offers superior performance in providing accurate posterior mean and high-quality uncertainty estimates, confirming the importance of both global and local components in modeling spatiotemporal data.
Bayesian Decision Trees Inspired from Evolutionary Algorithms
Drousiotis, Efthyvoulos, Phillips, Alexander M., Spirakis, Paul G., Maskell, Simon
Bayesian Decision Trees (DTs) are generally considered a more advanced and accurate model than a regular Decision Tree (DT) because they can handle complex and uncertain data. Existing work on Bayesian DTs uses Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with an accept-reject mechanism and sample using naive proposals to proceed to the next iteration, which can be slow because of the burn-in time needed. We can reduce the burn-in period by proposing a more sophisticated way of sampling or by designing a different numerical Bayesian approach. In this paper, we propose a replacement of the MCMC with an inherently parallel algorithm, the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), and a more effective sampling strategy inspired by the Evolutionary Algorithms (EA). Experiments show that SMC combined with the EA can produce more accurate results compared to MCMC in 100 times fewer iterations.
Sharp high-probability sample complexities for policy evaluation with linear function approximation
Li, Gen, Wu, Weichen, Chi, Yuejie, Ma, Cong, Rinaldo, Alessandro, Wei, Yuting
This paper is concerned with the problem of policy evaluation with linear function approximation in discounted infinite horizon Markov decision processes. We investigate the sample complexities required to guarantee a predefined estimation error of the best linear coefficients for two widely-used policy evaluation algorithms: the temporal difference (TD) learning algorithm and the two-timescale linear TD with gradient correction (TDC) algorithm. In both the on-policy setting, where observations are generated from the target policy, and the off-policy setting, where samples are drawn from a behavior policy potentially different from the target policy, we establish the first sample complexity bound with high-probability convergence guarantee that attains the optimal dependence on the tolerance level. We also exhihit an explicit dependence on problem-related quantities, and show in the on-policy setting that our upper bound matches the minimax lower bound on crucial problem parameters, including the choice of the feature maps and the problem dimension.
Testing for the Markov Property in Time Series via Deep Conditional Generative Learning
Zhou, Yunzhe, Shi, Chengchun, Li, Lexin, Yao, Qiwei
The Markov property is widely imposed in analysis of time series data. Correspondingly, testing the Markov property, and relatedly, inferring the order of a Markov model, are of paramount importance. In this article, we propose a nonparametric test for the Markov property in high-dimensional time series via deep conditional generative learning. We also apply the test sequentially to determine the order of the Markov model. We show that the test controls the type-I error asymptotically, and has the power approaching one. Our proposal makes novel contributions in several ways. We utilize and extend state-of-the-art deep generative learning to estimate the conditional density functions, and establish a sharp upper bound on the approximation error of the estimators. We derive a doubly robust test statistic, which employs a nonparametric estimation but achieves a parametric convergence rate. We further adopt sample splitting and cross-fitting to minimize the conditions required to ensure the consistency of the test. We demonstrate the efficacy of the test through both simulations and the three data applications.
PAC-Bayesian Soft Actor-Critic Learning
Tasdighi, Bahareh, Akgül, Abdullah, Brink, Kenny Kazimirzak, Kandemir, Melih
Actor-critic algorithms address the dual goals of reinforcement learning (RL), policy evaluation and improvement, via two separate function approximators. The practicality of this approach comes at the expense of training instability, caused mainly by the destructive effect of the approximation errors of the critic on the actor. We tackle this bottleneck by employing an existing Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) Bayesian bound for the first time as the critic training objective of the Soft Actor-Critic (SAC) algorithm. We further demonstrate that online learning performance improves significantly when a stochastic actor explores multiple futures by critic-guided random search. We observe our resulting algorithm to compare favorably to the state of the art on multiple classical control and locomotion tasks in terms of both sample efficiency and regret minimization.
Wasserstein PAC-Bayes Learning: Exploiting Optimisation Guarantees to Explain Generalisation
Haddouche, Maxime, Guedj, Benjamin
PAC-Bayes learning is an established framework to both assess the generalisation ability of learning algorithms, and design new learning algorithm by exploiting generalisation bounds as training objectives. Most of the exisiting bounds involve a \emph{Kullback-Leibler} (KL) divergence, which fails to capture the geometric properties of the loss function which are often useful in optimisation. We address this by extending the emerging \emph{Wasserstein PAC-Bayes} theory. We develop new PAC-Bayes bounds with Wasserstein distances replacing the usual KL, and demonstrate that sound optimisation guarantees translate to good generalisation abilities. In particular we provide generalisation bounds for the \emph{Bures-Wasserstein SGD} by exploiting its optimisation properties.