The transferability of adversarial examples across deep neural networks (DNNs) is the crux of many black-box attacks. Many prior efforts have been devoted to improving the transferability via increasing the diversity in inputs of some substitute models. In this paper, by contrast, we opt for the diversity in substitute models and advocate to attack a Bayesian model for achieving desirable transferability. Deriving from the Bayesian formulation, we develop a principled strategy for possible finetuning, which can be combined with many off-the-shelf Gaussian posterior approximations over DNN parameters. Extensive experiments have been conducted to verify the effectiveness of our method, on common benchmark datasets, and the results demonstrate that our method outperforms recent state-of-the-arts by large margins (roughly 19% absolute increase in average attack success rate on ImageNet), and, by combining with these recent methods, further performance gain can be obtained. The adversarial vulnerability of deep neural networks (DNNs) has attracted great attention (Szegedy et al., 2014; Goodfellow et al., 2015; Papernot et al., 2016; Carlini & Wagner, 2017; Madry et al., 2018; Athalye et al., 2018). It has been demonstrated that the prediction of state-of-the-art DNNs can be arbitrarily altered by adding perturbations, even imperceptible to human eyes, to their inputs. Threat models concerning adversarial examples can be divided into white-box and black-box ones according to the amount of information (of victim models) being exposed to the attacker. In blackbox attacks, where the attacker can hardly get access to the architecture and parameters of the victim model, the transferability of adversarial examples is often relied on, given the fact that adversarial examples crafted on a substitute model can sometimes fool other models as well.

Reinforcement Learning (RL) Sutton and Barto [2018] and Probabilistic planning Puterman [2014] are two research branches that address stochastic problems, often under the Markov assumption for state dynamics. The planning approach requires a given model, while the learning approach improves through repeated interaction with an environment, which can be viewed as a black box. Thus, the tools and the benchmarks for these two branches have grown apart. Learning agents do not require to be able to simulate model-based transitions, and thus frameworks such as OpenAI Gym Brockman et al. [2016] have become a standard, serving also as an interface for third-party benchmarks such as Todorov et al. [2012], Bellemare et al. [2013] and more. As the model is not necessary for solving the learning problem, the environments are hard-coded in a programming language. This has several downsides; if one does wish to see the model describing the environment, it has to be reverse-engineered from the environment framework, complex problems can result in a significant development period, code bugs may make their way into the environment and finally, there is no clean way to verify the model or reuse it directly. Thus, the creation of a verified acceptable benchmark is a challenging task. Planning agents on the other hand can interact with an environment Sanner [2010a], but in many cases simulate the model within the planning agent in order to solve the problem Keller and Eyerich [2012]. The planning community has also come up with formal description languages for various types of problems; these include the Planning Domain Definition Language (PDDL) Aeronautiques et al. [1998] for classical planning problems, PDDL2.1 Fox and Long [2003] for problems involving time and continuous variables, PPDDL Bryce and Buet [2008] for classical planning problems with action probabilistic effects and rewards, and Relational Dynamic Influence Diagram Language (RDDL)

Uncertainty approximation in text classification is an important area with applications in domain adaptation and interpretability. One of the most widely used uncertainty approximation methods is Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout, which is computationally expensive as it requires multiple forward passes through the model. A cheaper alternative is to simply use the softmax based on a single forward pass without dropout to estimate model uncertainty. However, prior work has indicated that these predictions tend to be overconfident. In this paper, we perform a thorough empirical analysis of these methods on five datasets with two base neural architectures in order to identify the trade-offs between the two. We compare both softmax and an efficient version of MC Dropout on their uncertainty approximations and downstream text classification performance, while weighing their runtime (cost) against performance (benefit). We find that, while MC dropout produces the best uncertainty approximations, using a simple softmax leads to competitive and in some cases better uncertainty estimation for text classification at a much lower computational cost, suggesting that softmax can in fact be a sufficient uncertainty estimate when computational resources are a concern.

We propose a novel parameterized skill-learning algorithm that aims to learn transferable parameterized skills and synthesize them into a new action space that supports efficient learning in long-horizon tasks. We propose to leverage off-policy Meta-RL combined with a trajectory-centric smoothness term to learn a set of parameterized skills. Our agent can use these learned skills to construct a three-level hierarchical framework that models a Temporally-extended Parameterized Action Markov Decision Process. We empirically demonstrate that the proposed algorithms enable an agent to solve a set of difficult long-horizon (obstacle-course and robot manipulation) tasks.

We consider the reinforcement learning problem for partially observed Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with large or even countably infinite state spaces, where the controller has access to only noisy observations of the underlying controlled Markov chain. We consider a natural actor-critic method that employs a finite internal memory for policy parameterization, and a multi-step temporal difference learning algorithm for policy evaluation. We establish, to the best of our knowledge, the first non-asymptotic global convergence of actor-critic methods for partially observed systems under function approximation. In particular, in addition to the function approximation and statistical errors that also arise in MDPs, we explicitly characterize the error due to the use of finite-state controllers. This additional error is stated in terms of the total variation distance between the traditional belief state in POMDPs and the posterior distribution of the hidden state when using a finite-state controller. Further, we show that this error can be made small in the case of sliding-block controllers by using larger block sizes.

In the context of digital twins, structural health monitoring (SHM) constitutes the backbone of condition-based maintenance, facilitating the interconnection between virtual and physical assets. Guided wave propagation (GWP) is commonly employed for the inspection of structures in SHM. However, GWP is sensitive to variations in the material properties of the structure, leading to false alarms. In this direction, uncertainty quantification (UQ) is regularly applied to improve the reliability of predictions. Computational mechanics is a useful tool for the simulation of GWP, and is often applied for UQ. Even so, the application of UQ methods requires numerous simulations, while large-scale, transient numerical GWP solutions increase the computational cost. Reduced order models (ROMs) are commonly employed to provide numerical results in a limited amount of time. In this paper, we propose a machine learning (ML)-based ROM, mentioned as BO-ML-ROM, to decrease the computational time related to the simulation of the GWP. The ROM is integrated with a Bayesian optimization (BO) framework, to adaptively sample the parameters for the ROM training. The finite element method is used for the simulation of the high-fidelity models. The formulated ROM is used for forward UQ of the GWP in an aluminum plate with varying material properties. To determine the influence of each parameter perturbation, a global, variance-based sensitivity analysis is implemented based on Sobol' indices. It is shown that Bayesian optimization outperforms one-shot sampling methods, both in terms of accuracy and speed-up. The predicted results reveal the efficiency of BO-ML-ROM for GWP and demonstrate its value for UQ.

We present a data-driven emulator, stochastic weather generator (SWG), suitable for estimating probabilities of prolonged heatwaves in France and Scandinavia. This emulator is based on the method of analogs of circulation to which we add temperature and soil moisture as predictor fields. We train the emulator on an intermediate complexity climate model run and show that it is capable of predicting conditional probabilities (forecasting) of heatwaves out of sample. Special attention is payed that this prediction is evaluated using proper score appropriate for rare events. To accelerate the computation of analogs dimensionality reduction techniques are applied and the performance is evaluated. The probabilistic prediction achieved with SWG is compared with the one achieved with Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). With the availability of hundreds of years of training data CNNs perform better at the task of probabilistic prediction. In addition, we show that the SWG emulator trained on 80 years of data is capable of estimating extreme return times of order of thousands of years for heatwaves longer than several days more precisely than the fit based on generalised extreme value distribution. Finally, the quality of its synthetic extreme teleconnection patterns obtained with stochastic weather generator is studied. We showcase two examples of such synthetic teleconnection patterns for heatwaves in France and Scandinavia that compare favorably to the very long climate model control run.

We introduce the nested stochastic block model (NSBM) to cluster a collection of networks while simultaneously detecting communities within each network. NSBM has several appealing features including the ability to work on unlabeled networks with potentially different node sets, the flexibility to model heterogeneous communities, and the means to automatically select the number of classes for the networks and the number of communities within each network. This is accomplished via a Bayesian model, with a novel application of the nested Dirichlet process (NDP) as a prior to jointly model the between-network and within-network clusters. The dependency introduced by the network data creates nontrivial challenges for the NDP, especially in the development of efficient samplers. For posterior inference, we propose several Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms including a standard Gibbs sampler, a collapsed Gibbs sampler, and two blocked Gibbs samplers that ultimately return two levels of clustering labels from both within and across the networks. Extensive simulation studies are carried out which demonstrate that the model provides very accurate estimates of both levels of the clustering structure. We also apply our model to two social network datasets that cannot be analyzed using any previous method in the literature due to the anonymity of the nodes and the varying number of nodes in each network.

Music can evoke various emotions, and with the advancement of technology, it has become more accessible to people. Bangla music, which portrays different human emotions, lacks sufficient research. The authors of this article aim to analyze Bangla songs and classify their moods based on the lyrics. To achieve this, this research has compiled a dataset of 4000 Bangla song lyrics, genres, and used Natural Language Processing and the Bert Algorithm to analyze the data. Among the 4000 songs, 1513 songs are represented for the sad mood, 1362 for the romantic mood, 886 for happiness, and the rest 239 are classified as relaxation. By embedding the lyrics of the songs, the authors have classified the songs into four moods: Happy, Sad, Romantic, and Relaxed. This research is crucial as it enables a multi-class classification of songs' moods, making the music more relatable to people's emotions. The article presents the automated result of the four moods accurately derived from the song lyrics.

Meeting the strict Quality of Service (QoS) requirements of terminals has imposed a signiffcant challenge on Multiaccess Edge Computing (MEC) systems, due to the limited multidimensional resources. To address this challenge, we propose a collaborative MEC framework that facilitates resource sharing between the edge servers, and with the aim to maximize the long-term QoS and reduce the cache switching cost through joint optimization of service caching, collaborative offfoading, and computation and communication resource allocation. The dual timescale feature and temporal recurrence relationship between service caching and other resource allocation make solving the problem even more challenging. To solve it, we propose a deep reinforcement learning (DRL)-based dual timescale scheme, called DGL-DDPG, which is composed of a short-term genetic algorithm (GA) and a long short-term memory network-based deep deterministic policy gradient (LSTM-DDPG). In doing so, we reformulate the optimization problem as a Markov decision process (MDP) where the small-timescale resource allocation decisions generated by an improved GA are taken as the states and input into a centralized LSTM-DDPG agent to generate the service caching decision for the large-timescale. Simulation results demonstrate that our proposed algorithm outperforms the baseline algorithms in terms of the average QoS and cache switching cost.