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 Learning Graphical Models


Trajectory Forecasting with Loose Clothing Using Left-to-Right Hidden Markov Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Trajectory forecasting has become an interesting research area driven by advancements in wearable sensing technology. Sensors can be seamlessly integrated into clothing using cutting-edge electronic textiles technology, allowing long-term recording of human movements outside the laboratory. Motivated by the recent findings that clothing-attached sensors can achieve higher activity recognition accuracy than body-attached sensors, this work investigates motion prediction and trajectory forecasting using rigid-attached and clothing-attached sensors. The future trajectory is forecasted from the probabilistic trajectory model formulated by left-to-right hidden Markov model (LR-HMM) and motion prediction accuracy is computed by the classification rule. Surprisingly, the results show that clothing-attached sensors can forecast the future trajectory and have better performance than body-attached sensors in terms of motion prediction accuracy. In some cases, the clothing-attached sensor can enhance accuracy by 45% compared to the body-attached sensor and requires approximately 80% less duration of the historical trajectory to achieve the same level of accuracy as the body-attached sensor.


Provable learning of quantum states with graphical models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The complete learning of an $n$-qubit quantum state requires samples exponentially in $n$. Several works consider subclasses of quantum states that can be learned in polynomial sample complexity such as stabilizer states or high-temperature Gibbs states. Other works consider a weaker sense of learning, such as PAC learning and shadow tomography. In this work, we consider learning states that are close to neural network quantum states, which can efficiently be represented by a graphical model called restricted Boltzmann machines (RBMs). To this end, we exhibit robustness results for efficient provable two-hop neighborhood learning algorithms for ferromagnetic and locally consistent RBMs. We consider the $L_p$-norm as a measure of closeness, including both total variation distance and max-norm distance in the limit. Our results allow certain quantum states to be learned with a sample complexity \textit{exponentially} better than naive tomography. We hence provide new classes of efficiently learnable quantum states and apply new strategies to learn them.


Human-Centered Autonomy for UAS Target Search

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Current methods of deploying robots that operate in dynamic, uncertain environments, such as Uncrewed Aerial Systems in search \& rescue missions, require nearly continuous human supervision for vehicle guidance and operation. These methods do not consider high-level mission context resulting in cumbersome manual operation or inefficient exhaustive search patterns. We present a human-centered autonomous framework that infers geospatial mission context through dynamic feature sets, which then guides a probabilistic target search planner. Operators provide a set of diverse inputs, including priority definition, spatial semantic information about ad-hoc geographical areas, and reference waypoints, which are probabilistically fused with geographical database information and condensed into a geospatial distribution representing an operator's preferences over an area. An online, POMDP-based planner, optimized for target searching, is augmented with this reward map to generate an operator-constrained policy. Our results, simulated based on input from five professional rescuers, display effective task mental model alignment, 18\% more victim finds, and 15 times more efficient guidance plans then current operational methods.


On the Use of the Kantorovich-Rubinstein Distance for Dimensionality Reduction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The goal of this thesis is to study the use of the Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance as to build a descriptor of sample complexity in classification problems. The idea is to use the fact that the Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance is a metric in the space of measures that also takes into account the geometry and topology of the underlying metric space. We associate to each class of points a measure and thus study the geometrical information that we can obtain from the Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance between those measures. We show that a large Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance between those measures allows to conclude that there exists a 1-Lipschitz classifier that classifies well the classes of points. We also discuss the limitation of the Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance as a descriptor.


Total Variation Distance Estimation Is as Easy as Probabilistic Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning and data science heavily rely on probability distributions that are widely used to capture dependencies among large number of variables. Such high-dimensional distributions naturally appear in various domains including neuroscience [ROL02, CTY06], bioinformatics [BB01], text and image processing [Mur22], and causal inference [Pea09]. Substantial research has been devoted to developing models that represent high-dimensional probability distributions succinctly. One prevalent approach is through graphical models. In a graphical model, a graph describes the conditional dependencies among variables and the probability distribution is factorized according to the adjacency relationships in the graph [KF09]. When the underlying graph is a directed graph, the model is known as a Bayesian network or Bayes net. Two fundamental computational tasks on distributions are distance computation and probabilistic inference. In this work, we establish a novel connection between these two seemingly different computational tasks.


A Survey of Privacy Attacks in Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As machine learning becomes more widely used, the need to study its implications in security and privacy becomes more urgent. Although the body of work in privacy has been steadily growing over the past few years, research on the privacy aspects of machine learning has received less focus than the security aspects. Our contribution in this research is an analysis of more than 40 papers related to privacy attacks against machine learning that have been published during the past seven years. We propose an attack taxonomy, together with a threat model that allows the categorization of different attacks based on the adversarial knowledge, and the assets under attack. An initial exploration of the causes of privacy leaks is presented, as well as a detailed analysis of the different attacks. Finally, we present an overview of the most commonly proposed defenses and a discussion of the open problems and future directions identified during our analysis.


Combinatorial Causal Bandits without Graph Skeleton

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In combinatorial causal bandits (CCB), the learning agent chooses a subset of variables in each round to intervene and collects feedback from the observed variables to minimize expected regret or sample complexity. Previous works study this problem in both general causal models and binary generalized linear models (BGLMs). However, all of them require prior knowledge of causal graph structure. This paper studies the CCB problem without the graph structure on binary general causal models and BGLMs. We first provide an exponential lower bound of cumulative regrets for the CCB problem on general causal models. To overcome the exponentially large space of parameters, we then consider the CCB problem on BGLMs. We design a regret minimization algorithm for BGLMs even without the graph skeleton and show that it still achieves $O(\sqrt{T}\ln T)$ expected regret. This asymptotic regret is the same as the state-of-art algorithms relying on the graph structure. Moreover, we sacrifice the regret to $O(T^{\frac{2}{3}}\ln T)$ to remove the weight gap covered by the asymptotic notation. At last, we give some discussions and algorithms for pure exploration of the CCB problem without the graph structure.


Training diffusion models with reinforcement learning

AIHub

Diffusion models have recently emerged as the de facto standard for generating complex, high-dimensional outputs. You may know them for their ability to produce stunning AI art and hyper-realistic synthetic images, but they have also found success in other applications such as drug design and continuous control. The key idea behind diffusion models is to iteratively transform random noise into a sample, such as an image or protein structure. This is typically motivated as a maximum likelihood estimation problem, where the model is trained to generate samples that match the training data as closely as possible. However, most use cases of diffusion models are not directly concerned with matching the training data, but instead with a downstream objective.


A Real-time Faint Space Debris Detector With Learning-based LCM

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the development of aerospace technology, the increasing population of space debris has posed a great threat to the safety of spacecraft. However, the low intensity of reflected light and high angular velocity of space debris impede the extraction. Besides, due to the limitations of the ground observation methods, small space debris can hardly be detected, making it necessary to enhance the spacecraft's capacity for space situational awareness (SSA). Considering that traditional methods have some defects in low-SNR target detection, such as low effectiveness and large time consumption, this paper proposes a method for low-SNR streak extraction based on local contrast and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), which can detect space objects with SNR 2.0 efficiently. In the proposed algorithm, local contrast will be applied for crude classifications, which will return connected components as preliminary results, and then MLE will be performed to reconstruct the connected components of targets via orientated growth, further improving the precision. The algorithm has been verified with both simulated streaks and real star tracker images, and the average centroid error of the proposed algorithm is close to the state-of-the-art method like ODCC. At the same time, the algorithm in this paper has significant advantages in efficiency compared with ODCC. In conclusion, the algorithm in this paper is of high speed and precision, which guarantees its promising applications in the extraction of high dynamic targets.


A Bayesian Approach to Robust Inverse Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) is the problem of extracting the reward function and policy of a value-maximizing agent from its behavior [1, 2]. IRL is an important tool in domains where manually specifying reward functions or policies is difficult, such as in autonomous driving [3], or when the extracted reward function can reveal novel insights about a target population and be used to device interventions, such as in biology, economics, and human-robot interaction studies [4, 5, 6]. However, wider applications of IRL face two interrelated algorithmic challenges: 1) having access to the target deployment environment or an accurate simulator thereof and 2) robustness of the learned policy and reward function due to the covariate shift between the training and deployment environments or datasets [7, 8, 9]. In this paper, we focus on model-based offline IRL to address challenge 1). A notable class of model-based offline IRL methods estimate the dynamics and reward in a two-stage fashion (see Figure 1) [10, 11, 12, 13]. In the first stage, a Figure 1: Objectives of the traditional two-stage dynamics model is estimated from the offline IRL and the proposed simultaneous estimation approach of Bayesian model-based IRL.