Learning Graphical Models
Towards Socially Responsive Autonomous Vehicles: A Reinforcement Learning Framework with Driving Priors and Coordination Awareness
Liu, Jiaqi, Zhou, Donghao, Hang, Peng, Ni, Ying, Sun, Jian
The advent of autonomous vehicles (AVs) alongside human-driven vehicles (HVs) has ushered in an era of mixed traffic flow, presenting a significant challenge: the intricate interaction between these entities within complex driving environments. AVs are expected to have human-like driving behavior to seamlessly integrate into human-dominated traffic systems. To address this issue, we propose a reinforcement learning framework that considers driving priors and Social Coordination Awareness (SCA) to optimize the behavior of AVs. The framework integrates a driving prior learning (DPL) model based on a variational autoencoder to infer the driver's driving priors from human drivers' trajectories. A policy network based on a multi-head attention mechanism is designed to effectively capture the interactive dependencies between AVs and other traffic participants to improve decision-making quality. The introduction of SCA into the autonomous driving decision-making system, and the use of Coordination Tendency (CT) to quantify the willingness of AVs to coordinate the traffic system is explored. Simulation results show that the proposed framework can not only improve the decision-making quality of AVs but also motivate them to produce social behaviors, with potential benefits for the safety and traffic efficiency of the entire transportation system.
Outlier-Insensitive Kalman Filtering: Theory and Applications
Truzman, Shunit, Revach, Guy, Shlezinger, Nir, Klein, Itzik
State estimation of dynamical systems from noisy observations is a fundamental task in many applications. It is commonly addressed using the linear Kalman filter (KF), whose performance can significantly degrade in the presence of outliers in the observations, due to the sensitivity of its convex quadratic objective function. To mitigate such behavior, outlier detection algorithms can be applied. In this work, we propose a parameter-free algorithm which mitigates the harmful effect of outliers while requiring only a short iterative process of the standard update step of the KF. To that end, we model each potential outlier as a normal process with unknown variance and apply online estimation through either expectation maximization or alternating maximization algorithms. Simulations and field experiment evaluations demonstrate competitive performance of our method, showcasing its robustness to outliers in filtering scenarios compared to alternative algorithms.
Representation Learning in Low-rank Slate-based Recommender Systems
Reinforcement learning (RL) in recommendation systems offers the potential to optimize recommendations for long-term user engagement. However, the environment often involves large state and action spaces, which makes it hard to efficiently learn and explore. In this work, we propose a sample-efficient representation learning algorithm, using the standard slate recommendation setup, to treat this as an online RL problem with low-rank Markov decision processes (MDPs). We also construct the recommender simulation environment with the proposed setup and sampling method.
Learning to Navigate from Scratch using World Models and Curiosity: the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
de Tinguy, Daria, Remmery, Sven, Mazzaglia, Pietro, Verbelen, Tim, Dhoedt, Bart
Learning to navigate unknown environments from scratch is a challenging problem. This work presents a system that integrates world models with curiosity-driven exploration for autonomous navigation in new environments. We evaluate performance through simulations and real-world experiments of varying scales and complexities. In simulated environments, the approach rapidly and comprehensively explores the surroundings. Real-world scenarios introduce additional challenges. Despite demonstrating promise in a small controlled environment, we acknowledge that larger and dynamic environments can pose challenges for the current system. Our analysis emphasizes the significance of developing adaptable and robust world models that can handle environmental changes to prevent repetitive exploration of the same areas.
Fair Causal Feature Selection
Ling, Zhaolong, Xu, Enqi, Zhou, Peng, Du, Liang, Yu, Kui, Wu, Xindong
Fair feature selection for classification decision tasks has recently garnered significant attention from researchers. However, existing fair feature selection algorithms fall short of providing a full explanation of the causal relationship between features and sensitive attributes, potentially impacting the accuracy of fair feature identification. To address this issue, we propose a Fair Causal Feature Selection algorithm, called FairCFS. Specifically, FairCFS constructs a localized causal graph that identifies the Markov blankets of class and sensitive variables, to block the transmission of sensitive information for selecting fair causal features. Extensive experiments on seven public real-world datasets validate that FairCFS has comparable accuracy compared to eight state-of-the-art feature selection algorithms, while presenting more superior fairness.
Online Reinforcement Learning in Markov Decision Process Using Linear Programming
Leon, Vincent, Etesami, S. Rasoul
We consider online reinforcement learning in episodic Markov decision process (MDP) with unknown transition function and stochastic rewards drawn from some fixed but unknown distribution. The learner aims to learn the optimal policy and minimize their regret over a finite time horizon through interacting with the environment. We devise a simple and efficient model-based algorithm that achieves $\widetilde{O}(LX\sqrt{TA})$ regret with high probability, where $L$ is the episode length, $T$ is the number of episodes, and $X$ and $A$ are the cardinalities of the state space and the action space, respectively. The proposed algorithm, which is based on the concept of ``optimism in the face of uncertainty", maintains confidence sets of transition and reward functions and uses occupancy measures to connect the online MDP with linear programming. It achieves a tighter regret bound compared to the existing works that use a similar confidence set framework and improves computational effort compared to those that use a different framework but with a slightly tighter regret bound.
A Unifying Perspective on Non-Stationary Kernels for Deeper Gaussian Processes
Noack, Marcus M., Luo, Hengrui, Risser, Mark D.
The Gaussian process (GP) is a popular statistical technique for stochastic function approximation and uncertainty quantification from data. GPs have been adopted into the realm of machine learning in the last two decades because of their superior prediction abilities, especially in data-sparse scenarios, and their inherent ability to provide robust uncertainty estimates. Even so, their performance highly depends on intricate customizations of the core methodology, which often leads to dissatisfaction among practitioners when standard setups and off-the-shelf software tools are being deployed. Arguably the most important building block of a GP is the kernel function which assumes the role of a covariance operator. Stationary kernels of the Mat\'ern class are used in the vast majority of applied studies; poor prediction performance and unrealistic uncertainty quantification are often the consequences. Non-stationary kernels show improved performance but are rarely used due to their more complicated functional form and the associated effort and expertise needed to define and tune them optimally. In this perspective, we want to help ML practitioners make sense of some of the most common forms of non-stationarity for Gaussian processes. We show a variety of kernels in action using representative datasets, carefully study their properties, and compare their performances. Based on our findings, we propose a new kernel that combines some of the identified advantages of existing kernels.
Walking fingerprinting
Koffman, Lily, Crainiceanu, Ciprian, Leroux, Andrew
We consider the problem of predicting an individual's identity from accelerometry data collected during walking. In a previous paper we introduced an approach that transforms the accelerometry time series into an image by constructing its complete empirical autocorrelation distribution. Predictors derived by partitioning this image into grid cells were used in logistic regression to predict individuals. Here we: (1) implement machine learning methods for prediction using the grid cell-derived predictors; (2) derive inferential methods to screen for the most predictive grid cells; and (3) develop a novel multivariate functional regression model that avoids partitioning of the predictor space into cells. Prediction methods are compared on two open source data sets: (1) accelerometry data collected from $32$ individuals walking on a $1.06$ kilometer path; and (2) accelerometry data collected from six repetitions of walking on a $20$ meter path on two separate occasions at least one week apart for $153$ study participants. In the $32$-individual study, all methods achieve at least $95$% rank-1 accuracy, while in the $153$-individual study, accuracy varies from $41$% to $98$%, depending on the method and prediction task. Methods provide insights into why some individuals are easier to predict than others.
Pivotal Estimation of Linear Discriminant Analysis in High Dimensions
Fang, Ethan X., Mei, Yajun, Shi, Yuyang, Xu, Qunzhi, Zhao, Tuo
We consider the linear discriminant analysis problem in the high-dimensional settings. In this work, we propose PANDA(PivotAl liNear Discriminant Analysis), a tuning-insensitive method in the sense that it requires very little effort to tune the parameters. Moreover, we prove that PANDA achieves the optimal convergence rate in terms of both the estimation error and misclassification rate. Our theoretical results are backed up by thorough numerical studies using both simulated and real datasets. In comparison with the existing methods, we observe that our proposed PANDA yields equal or better performance, and requires substantially less effort in parameter tuning.
Causal Discovery and Prediction: Methods and Algorithms
We are not only observers but also actors of reality. Our capability to intervene and alter the course of some events in the space and time surrounding us is an essential component of how we build our model of the world. In this doctoral thesis we introduce a generic a-priori assessment of each possible intervention, in order to select the most cost-effective interventions only, and avoid unnecessary systematic experimentation on the real world. Based on this a-priori assessment, we propose an active learning algorithm that identifies the causal relations in any given causal model, using a least cost sequence of interventions. There are several novel aspects introduced by our algorithm. It is, in most case scenarios, able to discard many causal model candidates using relatively inexpensive interventions that only test one value of the intervened variables. Also, the number of interventions performed by the algorithm can be bounded by the number of causal model candidates. Hence, fewer initial candidates (or equivalently, more prior knowledge) lead to fewer interventions for causal discovery. Causality is intimately related to time, as causes appear to precede their effects. Cyclical causal processes are a very interesting case of causality in relation to time. In this doctoral thesis we introduce a formal analysis of time cyclical causal settings by defining a causal analog to the purely observational Dynamic Bayesian Networks, and provide a sound and complete algorithm for the identification of causal effects in the cyclic setting. We introduce the existence of two types of hidden confounder variables in this framework, which affect in substantially different ways the identification procedures, a distinction with no analog in either Dynamic Bayesian Networks or standard causal graphs.