Learning Graphical Models
Regret-Optimal Model-Free Reinforcement Learning for Discounted MDPs with Short Burn-In Time
A crucial problem in reinforcement learning is learning the optimal policy. We study this in tabular infinite-horizon discounted Markov decision processes under the online setting. The existing algorithms either fail to achieve regret optimality or have to incur a high memory and computational cost. In addition, existing optimal algorithms all require a long burn-in time in order to achieve optimal sample efficiency, i.e., their optimality is not guaranteed unless sample size surpasses a high threshold. We address both open problems by introducing a model-free algorithm that employs variance reduction and a novel technique that switches the execution policy in a slow-yet-adaptive manner. This is the first regret-optimal model-free algorithm in the discounted setting, with the additional benefit of a low burn-in time.
The Choice of Noninformative Priors for Thompson Sampling in Multiparameter Bandit Models
Lee, Jongyeong, Chiang, Chao-Kai, Sugiyama, Masashi
Thompson sampling (TS) has been known for its outstanding empirical performance supported by theoretical guarantees across various reward models in the classical stochastic multi-armed bandit problems. Nonetheless, its optimality is often restricted to specific priors due to the common observation that TS is fairly insensitive to the choice of the prior when it comes to asymptotic regret bounds. However, when the model contains multiple parameters, the optimality of TS highly depends on the choice of priors, which casts doubt on the generalizability of previous findings to other models. To address this gap, this study explores the impact of selecting noninformative priors, offering insights into the performance of TS when dealing with new models that lack theoretical understanding. We first extend the regret analysis of TS to the model of uniform distributions with unknown supports, which would be the simplest non-regular model. Our findings reveal that changing noninformative priors can significantly affect the expected regret, aligning with previously known results in other multiparameter bandit models. Although the uniform prior is shown to be optimal, we highlight the inherent limitation of its optimality, which is limited to specific parameterizations and emphasizes the significance of the invariance property of priors. In light of this limitation, we propose a slightly modified TS-based policy, called TS with Truncation (TS-T), which can achieve the asymptotic optimality for the Gaussian models and the uniform models by using the reference prior and the Jeffreys prior that are invariant under one-to-one reparameterizations. This policy provides an alternative approach to achieving optimality by employing fine-tuned truncation, which would be much easier than hunting for optimal priors in practice.
Bayesian Optimization with Conformal Prediction Sets
Stanton, Samuel, Maddox, Wesley, Wilson, Andrew Gordon
Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e. objective function queries) with maximal expected utility with respect to the posterior distribution of a Bayesian model, which quantifies reducible, epistemic uncertainty about query outcomes. In practice, subjectively implausible outcomes can occur regularly for two reasons: 1) model misspecification and 2) covariate shift. Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method with coverage guarantees even for misspecified models and a simple mechanism to correct for covariate shift. We propose conformal Bayesian optimization, which directs queries towards regions of search space where the model predictions have guaranteed validity, and investigate its behavior on a suite of black-box optimization tasks and tabular ranking tasks. In many cases we find that query coverage can be significantly improved without harming sample-efficiency.
Achieving Zero Constraint Violation for Concave Utility Constrained Reinforcement Learning via Primal-Dual Approach
Bai, Qinbo | Bedi, Amrit Singh | Agarwal, Mridul | Koppel, Alec | Aggarwal, Vaneet (a:1:{s:5:"en_US";s:17:"Purdue University";})
Reinforcement learning (RL) is widely used in applications where one needs to perform sequential decision-making while interacting with the environment. The standard RL problem with safety constraints is generally mathematically modeled by constrained Markov Decision Processes (CMDP), which is linear in objective and rules in occupancy measure space, where the problem becomes challenging in the case where the model is unknown apriori. The problem further becomes challenging when the decision requirement includes optimizing a concave utility while satisfying some nonlinear safety constraints. To solve such a nonlinear problem, we propose a conservative stochastic primal-dual algorithm (CSPDA) via a randomized primal-dual approach. By leveraging a generative model, we prove that CSPDA not only exhibits Õ(1/ε2)sample complexity, but also achieves zero constraint violations for the concave utility CMDP. Compared with the previous works, the best available sample complexity for CMDP with zero constraint violation is Õ(1/ε5). Hence, the proposed algorithm provides a significant improvement as compared to the state-of-the-art.
A General Model for Aggregating Annotations Across Simple, Complex, and Multi-Object Annotation Tasks
Braylan, Alexander (a:1:{s:5:"en_US";s:29:"University of Texas at Austin";}) | Marabella, Madalyn | Alonso, Omar | Lease, Matthew
Human annotations are vital to supervised learning, yet annotators often disagree on the correct label, especially as annotation tasks increase in complexity. A common strategy to improve label quality is to ask multiple annotators to label the same item and then aggregate their labels. To date, many aggregation models have been proposed for simple categorical or numerical annotation tasks, but far less work has considered more complex annotation tasks, such as those involving open-ended, multivariate, or structured responses. Similarly, while a variety of bespoke models have been proposed for specific tasks, our work is the first we are aware of to introduce aggregation methods that generalize across many, diverse complex tasks, including sequence labeling, translation, syntactic parsing, ranking, bounding boxes, and keypoints. This generality is achieved by applying readily available task-specific distance functions, then devising a task-agnostic method to model these distances between labels, rather than the labels themselves. This article presents a unified treatment of our prior work on complex annotation modeling and extends that work with investigation of three new research questions. First, how do complex annotation task and dataset properties impact aggregation accuracy? Second, how should a task owner navigate the many modeling choices in order to maximize aggregation accuracy? Finally, what tests and diagnoses can verify that aggregation models are specified correctly for the given data? To understand how various factors impact accuracy and to inform model selection, we conduct large-scale simulation studies and broad experiments on real, complex datasets. Regarding testing, we introduce the concept of unit tests for aggregation models and present a suite of such tests to ensure that a given model is not mis-specified and exhibits expected behavior. Beyond investigating these research questions above, we discuss the foundational concept and nature of annotation complexity, present a new aggregation model as a conceptual bridge between traditional models and our own, and contribute a new general semisupervised learning method for complex label aggregation that outperforms prior work.
Explain To Decide: A Human-Centric Review on the Role of Explainable Artificial Intelligence in AI-assisted Decision Making
Throughout its evolution since the 1950s, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has experienced both periods of growth and decline, known as AI springs and AI winters. However, advancements in computer hardware technology and enhanced data availability have paved the way for increased AI applications across a variety of domains, including manufacturing, healthcare, finance, management, transportation, security, education, military, and legal practice in recent years [1, 2, 3]. Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), especially Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), demonstrated outstanding performance when applied to different tasks, including optimization, pattern recognition, data trends identification, forecasting, prediction tasks and even in query processing[4, 5, 3, 6]. However, the complex, non-linear, and multilayered architecture of these models makes the internal process and the reasoning behind such outcomes challenging to understand by the end user, turning them into "black box" models [7, 8, 9]. Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are an example of black-box models that are frequently used in Natural Language Processing (NLP). These models are often opaque, which means it can be challenging for users to comprehend how these models derive specific predictions or decisions. The lack of transparency in deep learning models can create a lack of confidence in their outputs [10]. This absence of transparency can be particularly worrying in applications where the models' decisions carry significant consequences, such as healthcare, finance, or the criminal justice system [11].
Anytime Approximate Formal Feature Attribution
Yu, Jinqiang, Farr, Graham, Ignatiev, Alexey, Stuckey, Peter J.
Widespread use of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms and machine learning (ML) models on the one hand and a number of crucial issues pertaining to them warrant the need for explainable artificial intelligence (XAI). A key explainability question is: given this decision was made, what are the input features which contributed to the decision? Although a range of XAI approaches exist to tackle this problem, most of them have significant limitations. Heuristic XAI approaches suffer from the lack of quality guarantees, and often try to approximate Shapley values, which is not the same as explaining which features contribute to a decision. A recent alternative is so-called formal feature attribution (FFA), which defines feature importance as the fraction of formal abductive explanations (AXp's) containing the given feature. This measures feature importance from the view of formally reasoning about the model's behavior. It is challenging to compute FFA using its definition because that involves counting AXp's, although one can approximate it. Based on these results, this paper makes several contributions. First, it gives compelling evidence that computing FFA is intractable, even if the set of contrastive formal explanations (CXp's) is provided, by proving that the problem is #P-hard. Second, by using the duality between AXp's and CXp's, it proposes an efficient heuristic to switch from CXp enumeration to AXp enumeration on-the-fly resulting in an adaptive explanation enumeration algorithm effectively approximating FFA in an anytime fashion. Finally, experimental results obtained on a range of widely used datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed FFA approximation approach in terms of the error of FFA approximation as well as the number of explanations computed and their diversity given a fixed time limit.
Predictive variational autoencoder for learning robust representations of time-series data
Wang, Julia Huiming, Tsin, Dexter, Engel, Tatiana
Variational autoencoders (VAEs) have been used extensively to discover low-dimensional latent factors governing neural activity and animal behavior. However, without careful model selection, the uncovered latent factors may reflect noise in the data rather than true underlying features, rendering such representations unsuitable for scientific interpretation. Existing solutions to this problem involve introducing additional measured variables or data augmentations specific to a particular data type. We propose a VAE architecture that predicts the next point in time and show that it mitigates the learning of spurious features. In addition, we introduce a model selection metric based on smoothness over time in the latent space. We show that together these two constraints on VAEs to be smooth over time produce robust latent representations and faithfully recover latent factors on synthetic datasets.
Interactive Planning Using Large Language Models for Partially Observable Robotics Tasks
Sun, Lingfeng, Jha, Devesh K., Hori, Chiori, Jain, Siddarth, Corcodel, Radu, Zhu, Xinghao, Tomizuka, Masayoshi, Romeres, Diego
Designing robotic agents to perform open vocabulary tasks has been the long-standing goal in robotics and AI. Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved impressive results in creating robotic agents for performing open vocabulary tasks. However, planning for these tasks in the presence of uncertainties is challenging as it requires \enquote{chain-of-thought} reasoning, aggregating information from the environment, updating state estimates, and generating actions based on the updated state estimates. In this paper, we present an interactive planning technique for partially observable tasks using LLMs. In the proposed method, an LLM is used to collect missing information from the environment using a robot and infer the state of the underlying problem from collected observations while guiding the robot to perform the required actions. We also use a fine-tuned Llama 2 model via self-instruct and compare its performance against a pre-trained LLM like GPT-4. Results are demonstrated on several tasks in simulation as well as real-world environments. A video describing our work along with some results could be found here.
Tackling Cyberattacks through AI-based Reactive Systems: A Holistic Review and Future Vision
Molina, Sergio Bernardez, Nespoli, Pantaleone, Mármol, Félix Gómez
There is no denying that the use of Information Technology (IT) is undergoing exponential growth in today's world. This digital transformation has also given rise to a multitude of security challenges, notably in the realm of cybercrime. In response to these growing threats, public and private sectors have prioritized the strengthening of IT security measures. In light of the growing security concern, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has gained prominence within the cybersecurity landscape. This paper presents a comprehensive survey of recent advancements in AI-driven threat response systems. To the best of our knowledge, the most recent survey covering the AI reaction domain was conducted in 2017. Since then, considerable literature has been published and therefore it is worth reviewing it. By means of several shared features, each of the studies is compared on a common ground. Through an analysis of the research papers conducted on a standardized basis, this survey aims to unravel the complexities and opportunities of integrating AI into cyber defense. The conclusions drawn from this collective analysis provide a comprehensive snapshot of the evolving landscape at the intersection of AI and cybersecurity. This landscape underscores the growing significance of not only anticipating and detecting threats but also responding to them effectively. Additionally, from these reviews, various research challenges for the future are presented. These challenges serve as a roadmap for researchers and practitioners in the field of AI-integrated reactive strategies.