Learning Graphical Models
AUnified Framework for Variable Selection in Model-Based Clustering with Missing Not at Random
Model-based clustering integrated with variable selection is a powerful tool for uncovering latent structures within complex data. However, its effectiveness is often hindered by challenges such as identifying relevant variables that define heterogeneous subgroups and handling data that are missing not at random, a prevalent issue in fields like transcriptomics. While several notable methods have been proposed to address these problems, they typically tackle each issue in isolation, thereby limiting their flexibility and adaptability. This paper introduces a unified framework designed to address these challenges simultaneously. Our approach incorporates a data-driven penalty matrix into penalized clustering to enable more flexible variable selection, along with a mechanism that explicitly models the relationship between missingness and latent class membership. We demonstrate that, under certain regularity conditions, the proposed framework achieves both asymptotic consistency and selection consistency, even in the presence of missing data. This unified strategy significantly enhances the capability and efficiency of model-based clustering, advancing methodologies for identifying informative variables that define homogeneous subgroups in the presence of complex missing data patterns. The performance of the framework, including its computational efficiency, is evaluated through simulations and demonstrated using both synthetic and real-world transcriptomic datasets.
Neural Correlates of Serial Dependence: Synaptic Short-term Plasticity Orchestrates Repulsion and Attraction
Serial dependence reflects how recent sensory history shapes current perception, producing two opposing biases: repulsion, where perception is repelled from recent stimuli, and attraction, where perception is drawn toward them. Repulsion typically occurs at the sensory perception stage, while attraction arises at the post-perception stage. To uncover the neural basis of these effects, we developed a two-layer continuous attractor neural network model incorporating synaptic short-term plasticity (STP). The lower layer, dominated by synaptic depression, models sensory processing and drives repulsion due to sustained neurotransmitter depletion. The higher layer, dominated by synaptic facilitation, models post-perception processing and drives attraction by sustained high neurotransmitter release probability. Our model successfully explains the serial dependence phenomena observed in the visual orientation judgment experiments, highlighting STP as the critical mechanism, with its time constants defining the temporal windows of repulsion and attraction. Furthermore, the model provides a neural foundation for the Bayesian interpretation of serial dependence. This study advances our understanding of how the neural system leverages STP to balance sensitivity in sensory perception with stability in post-perceptual cognition.
Learning Latent Variable Models via Jarzynski-adjusted Langevin Algorithm
We utilise a sampler originating from nonequilibrium statistical mechanics, termed here Jarzynski-adjusted Langevin algorithm (JALA), to build statistical estimation methods in latent variable models. We achieve this by leveraging Jarzynski's equality and developing algorithms based on a weighted version of the unadjusted Langevin algorithm (ULA) with recursively updated weights. Adapting this for latent variable models, we develop a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method that provides the maximum marginal likelihood estimate of the parameters, termed JALA-EM. Under suitable regularity assumptions on the marginal likelihood, we provide a nonasymptotic analysis of the JALA-EM scheme implemented with stochastic gradient descent and show that it provably converges to the maximum marginal likelihood estimate. We demonstrate the performance of JALA-EM on a variety of latent variable models and show that it performs comparably to existing methods in terms of accuracy and computational efficiency. Importantly, the ability to recursively estimate marginal likelihoods--an uncommon feature among scalable methods--makes our approach particularly suited for model selection, which we validate through dedicated experiments.
ReinFlow: Fine-tuning Flow Matching Policy with Online Reinforcement Learning
We propose ReinFlow, a simple yet effective online reinforcement learning (RL) framework that fine-tunes a family of flow matching policies for continuous robotic control. Derived from rigorous RL theory, ReinFlow injects learnable noise into a flow policy's deterministic path, converting the flow into a discrete-time Markov Process for exact and straightforward likelihood computation. This conversion facilitates exploration and ensures training stability, enabling ReinFlow to fine-tune diverse flow model variants stably, including Rectified Flow [34] and Shortcut Models [18], particularly at very few or even one denoising step.
EDELINE: Enhancing Memory in Diffusion-based World Models via Linear-Time Sequence Modeling
World models represent a promising approach for training reinforcement learning agents with significantly improved sample efficiency. While most world model methods primarily rely on sequences of discrete latent variables to model environment dynamics, this compression often neglects critical visual details essential for reinforcement learning. Recent diffusion-based world models condition generation on a fixed context length of frames to predict the next observation, using separate recurrent neural networks to model rewards and termination signals. Although this architecture effectively enhances visual fidelity, the fixed context length approach inherently limits memory capacity. In this paper, we introduce EDELINE, a unified world model architecture that integrates state space models with diffusion models. Our approach outperforms existing baselines across visually challenging Atari 100k tasks, memory-demanding Crafter benchmark, and 3D first-person ViZDoom environments, demonstrating superior performance in all these diverse challenges.
Non-monotone Submodular Optimization: p-Matchoid Constraints and Fully Dynamic Setting
Submodular maximization subject to a p-matchoid constraint has various applications in machine learning, particularly in tasks such as feature selection, video and text summarization, movie recommendation, graph-based learning, and constraintbased optimization. We study this problem in the dynamic setting, where a sequence of insertions and deletions of elements to a p-matchoid M(V,I) occurs over time and the goal is to efficiently maintain an approximate solution. We propose a dynamic algorithm for non-monotone submodular maximization under a p-matchoid constraint. For a p-matchoid M(V,I) of rank k, defined by a collection of m matroids, our algorithm guarantees a (2p +2 p p(p +1) +1 +ϵ)-approximate solution at any time t in the update sequence, with an expected amortized query complexity of O(ϵ 3 pk4 log2(k)) per update.
Cross-fluctuation phase transitions reveal sampling dynamics in diffusion models
We analyse how the sampling dynamics of distributions evolve in score-based diffusion models using cross-fluctuations, a centered-moment statistic from statistical physics. Specifically, we show that starting from an unbiased isotropic normal distribution, samples undergo sharp, discrete transitions, eventually forming distinct events of a desired distribution while progressively revealing finer structure. As this process is reversible, these transitions also occur in reverse, where intermediate states progressively merge, tracing a path back to the initial distribution. We demonstrate that these transitions can be detected as discontinuities in nth-order cross-fluctuations. For variance-preserving SDEs, we derive a closed-form for these cross-fluctuations that is efficiently computable for the reverse trajectory. We find that detecting these transitions directly boosts sampling efficiency, accelerates class-conditional and rare-class generation, and improves two zero-shot tasks-image classification and style transfer-without expensive grid search or retraining. We also show that this viewpoint unifies classical coupling and mixing from finite Markov chains with continuous dynamics while extending to stochastic SDEs and non Markovian samplers.
Reinforcement Learning with Imperfect Transition Predictions: ABellman-Jensen Approach
Traditional reinforcement learning (RL) assumes the agents make decisions based on Markov decision processes (MDPs) with one-step transition models. In many real-world applications, such as energy management and stock investment, agents can access multi-step predictions of future states, which provide additional advantages for decision making. However, multi-step predictions are inherently high-dimensional: naively embedding these predictions into an MDP leads to an exponential blow-up in state space and the curse of dimensionality. Moreover, existing RL theory provides few tools to analyze prediction-augmented MDPs, as it typically works on one-step transition kernels and cannot accommodate multi-step predictions with errors or partial action-coverage. We address these challenges with three key innovations: First, we propose the Bayesian value function to characterize the optimal prediction-aware policy tractably. Second, we develop a novel BellmanJensen Gap analysis on the Bayesian value function, which enables characterizing the value of imperfect predictions. Third, we introduce BOLA (Bayesian Offline Learning with Online Adaptation), a two-stage model-based RL algorithm that separates offline Bayesian value learning from lightweight online adaptation to real-time predictions. We prove that BOLA remains sample-efficient even under imperfect predictions.
Epistemic Uncertainty for Generated Image Detection
We introduce a novel framework for AI-generated image detection through epistemic uncertainty, aiming to address critical security concerns in the era of generative models. Our key insight stems from the observation that distributional discrepancies between training and testing data manifest distinctively in the epistemic uncertainty space of machine learning models. In this context, the distribution shift between natural and generated images leads to elevated epistemic uncertainty in models trained on natural images when evaluating generated ones. Hence, we exploit this phenomenon by using epistemic uncertainty as a proxy for detecting generated images. This converts the challenge of generated image detection into the problem of uncertainty estimation, underscoring the generalization performance of the model used for uncertainty estimation. Fortunately, advanced large-scale vision models pre-trained on extensive natural images have shown excellent generalization performance for various scenarios. Thus, we utilize these pre-trained models to estimate the epistemic uncertainty of images and flag those with high uncertainty as generated. Extensive experiments demonstrate the efficacy of our method. Code is available at https://github.com/tmlr-group/WePe.
AMarkov Decision Process for Variable Selection in Branch & Bound
Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) is a powerful framework used to address a wide range of NP-hard combinatorial optimization problems, often solved by Branch and bound (B&B). A key factor influencing the performance of B&B solvers is the variable selection heuristic governing branching decisions. Recent contributions have sought to adapt reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms to the B&B setting to learn optimal branching policies, through Markov Decision Processes (MDP) inspired formulations, and ad hoc convergence theorems and algorithms. In this work, we introduce BBMDP, a principled vanilla MDP formulation for variable selection in B&B, allowing to leverage a broad range of RL algorithms for the purpose of learning optimal B&B heuristics. Computational experiments validate our model empirically, as our branching agent outperforms prior state-of-the-art RL agents on four standard MILP benchmarks.