In-Context Learning (ICL) empowers Large Language Models (LLMs) with the capacity to learn in context, achieving downstream generalization without gradient updates but with a few in-context examples. Despite the encouraging empirical success, the underlying mechanism of ICL remains unclear, and existing research offers various viewpoints of understanding. These studies propose intuition-driven and ad-hoc technical solutions for interpreting ICL, illustrating an ambiguous road map. In this paper, we leverage a data generation perspective to reinterpret recent efforts and demonstrate the potential broader usage of popular technical solutions, approaching a systematic angle. For a conceptual definition, we rigorously adopt the terms of skill learning and skill recognition. The difference between them is skill learning can learn new data generation functions from in-context data. We also provide a comprehensive study on the merits and weaknesses of different solutions, and highlight the uniformity among them given the perspective of data generation, establishing a technical foundation for future research to incorporate the strengths of different lines of research.

In Reinforcement Learning (RL), agents have no incentive to exhibit predictable behaviors, and are often pushed (through e.g. policy entropy regularization) to randomize their actions in favor of exploration. From a human perspective, this makes RL agents hard to interpret and predict, and from a safety perspective, even harder to formally verify. We propose a novel method to induce predictable behavior in RL agents, referred to as Predictability-Aware RL (PA-RL), which employs the state sequence entropy rate as a predictability measure. We show how the entropy rate can be formulated as an average reward objective, and since its entropy reward function is policy-dependent, we introduce an action-dependent surrogate entropy enabling the use of PG methods. We prove that deterministic policies minimizing the average surrogate reward exist and also minimize the actual entropy rate, and show how, given a learned dynamical model, we are able to approximate the value function associated to the true entropy rate. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach in RL tasks inspired by human-robot use-cases, and show how it produces agents with more predictable behavior while achieving near-optimal rewards.

In longitudinal observational studies with a time-to-event outcome, a common objective in causal analysis is to estimate the causal survival curve under hypothetical intervention scenarios within the study cohort. The g-formula is a particularly useful tool for this analysis. To enhance the traditional parametric g-formula approach, we developed a more adaptable Bayesian g-formula estimator. This estimator facilitates both longitudinal predictive and causal inference. It incorporates Bayesian additive regression trees in the modeling of the time-evolving generative components, aiming to mitigate bias due to model misspecification. Specifically, we introduce a more general class of g-formulas for discrete survival data. These formulas can incorporate the longitudinal balancing scores, which serve as an effective method for dimension reduction and are vital when dealing with an expanding array of time-varying confounders. The minimum sufficient formulation of these longitudinal balancing scores is linked to the nature of treatment regimes, whether static or dynamic. For each type of treatment regime, we provide posterior sampling algorithms, which are grounded in the Bayesian additive regression trees framework. We have conducted simulation studies to illustrate the empirical performance of our proposed Bayesian g-formula estimators, and to compare them with existing parametric estimators. We further demonstrate the practical utility of our methods in real-world scenarios using data from the Yale New Haven Health System's electronic health records.

Diffusion models are recently employed as generative classifiers for robust classification. However, a comprehensive theoretical understanding of the robustness of diffusion classifiers is still lacking, leading us to question whether they will be vulnerable to future stronger attacks. In this study, we propose a new family of diffusion classifiers, named Noised Diffusion Classifiers~(NDCs), that possess state-of-the-art certified robustness. Specifically, we generalize the diffusion classifiers to classify Gaussian-corrupted data by deriving the evidence lower bounds (ELBOs) for these distributions, approximating the likelihood using the ELBO, and calculating classification probabilities via Bayes' theorem. We integrate these generalized diffusion classifiers with randomized smoothing to construct smoothed classifiers possessing non-constant Lipschitzness. Experimental results demonstrate the superior certified robustness of our proposed NDCs. Notably, we are the first to achieve 80\%+ and 70\%+ certified robustness on CIFAR-10 under adversarial perturbations with $\ell_2$ norm less than 0.25 and 0.5, respectively, using a single off-the-shelf diffusion model without any additional data.

Initial weighting is significant in deep neural networks because the random selection of weights produces different outputs and increases the probability of overfitting and underfitting. On the other hand, vector-based approaches to extract vector features need rich vectors for more accurate classification. The InceptionCapsule approach is presented to alleviate these two problems. This approach uses transfer learning and the Inception-ResNet model to avoid random selection of weights, which takes initial weights from ImageNet. It also uses the output of Inception middle layers to generate rich vectors. Extracted vectors are given to a capsule network for learning, which is equipped with an attention technique. Kvasir data and BUSI with the GT dataset were used to evaluate this approach. This model was able to achieve 97.62 accuracies in 5-class classification and also achieved 94.30 accuracies in 8-class classification on Kvasir. In the BUSI with GT dataset, the proposed approach achieved accuracy=98.88, Precision=95.34, and F1-score=93.74, which are acceptable results compared to other approaches in the literature.

Background and objective: Diabetes is a chronic pathology which is affecting more and more people over the years. It gives rise to a large number of deaths each year. Furthermore, many people living with the disease do not realize the seriousness of their health status early enough. Late diagnosis brings about numerous health problems and a large number of deaths each year so the development of methods for the early diagnosis of this pathology is essential. Methods: In this paper, a pipeline based on deep learning techniques is proposed to predict diabetic people. It includes data augmentation using a variational autoencoder (VAE), feature augmentation using an sparse autoencoder (SAE) and a convolutional neural network for classification. Pima Indians Diabetes Database, which takes into account information on the patients such as the number of pregnancies, glucose or insulin level, blood pressure or age, has been evaluated. Results: A 92.31% of accuracy was obtained when CNN classifier is trained jointly the SAE for featuring augmentation over a well balanced dataset. This means an increment of 3.17% of accuracy with respect the state-of-the-art. Conclusions: Using a full deep learning pipeline for data preprocessing and classification has demonstrate to be very promising in the diabetes detection field outperforming the state-of-the-art proposals.

Recent diffusion models provide a promising zero-shot solution to noisy linear inverse problems without retraining for specific inverse problems. In this paper, we propose the first unified interpretation for existing zero-shot methods from the perspective of approximating the conditional posterior mean for the reverse diffusion process of conditional sampling. We reveal that recent methods are equivalent to making isotropic Gaussian approximations to intractable posterior distributions over clean images given diffused noisy images, with the only difference in the handcrafted design of isotropic posterior covariances. Inspired by this finding, we propose a general plug-and-play posterior covariance optimization based on maximum likelihood estimation to improve recent methods. To achieve optimal posterior covariance without retraining, we provide general solutions based on two approaches specifically designed to leverage pre-trained models with and without reverse covariances. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed methods significantly enhance the overall performance or robustness to hyperparameters of recent methods. Code is available at https://github.com/xypeng9903/k-diffusion-inverse-problems

In this paper, we re-examine the Markov property in the context of neural machine translation. We design a Markov Autoregressive Transformer~(MAT) and undertake a comprehensive assessment of its performance across four WMT benchmarks. Our findings indicate that MAT with an order larger than 4 can generate translations with quality on par with that of conventional autoregressive transformers. In addition, counter-intuitively, we also find that the advantages of utilizing a higher-order MAT do not specifically contribute to the translation of longer sentences.

Deep or reinforcement learning (RL) approaches have been adapted as reactive agents to quickly learn and respond with new investment strategies for portfolio management under the highly turbulent financial market environments in recent years. In many cases, due to the very complex correlations among various financial sectors, and the fluctuating trends in different financial markets, a deep or reinforcement learning based agent can be biased in maximising the total returns of the newly formulated investment portfolio while neglecting its potential risks under the turmoil of various market conditions in the global or regional sectors. Accordingly, a multi-agent and self-adaptive framework namely the MASA is proposed in which a sophisticated multi-agent reinforcement learning (RL) approach is adopted through two cooperating and reactive agents to carefully and dynamically balance the trade-off between the overall portfolio returns and their potential risks. Besides, a very flexible and proactive agent as the market observer is integrated into the MASA framework to provide some additional information on the estimated market trends as valuable feedbacks for multi-agent RL approach to quickly adapt to the ever-changing market conditions. The obtained empirical results clearly reveal the potential strengths of our proposed MASA framework based on the multi-agent RL approach against many well-known RL-based approaches on the challenging data sets of the CSI 300, Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 indexes over the past 10 years. More importantly, our proposed MASA framework shed lights on many possible directions for future investigation.

The importance of predictive maintenance is well-recognized in the industrial sector for several reasons, e.g., it allows for the reduction in machine downtime, it helps in reducing the production cost, and it is useful in enhancing the life of machines. Consequently, predictive maintenance is one of the key areas of research among the scientific community. Initially, the predictive maintenance used to be time-based but later on (with the advances in sensing technology), condition-based maintenance (CBM) gained more popularity. Maintenance of machine tools involve two key stages, i.e., diagnosis and prognosis. Prognosis deals with the prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) of the machine whereas diagnosis is concerned with detection and identification of various faults in the machine. Major approaches for prognosis include data-based approaches, knowledge-based approaches, and physics (model) based approaches. Diagnosis on the other hand is based on centralized or distributed approaches [1]. Key challenges in predictive maintenance include 1) Dealing with the noisy sensor data, 2) Uncertainty in the operating conditions, and 3) Diversity of tasks assigned to the machine. A comparison between time-based and condition-based maintenance strategies has been presented in [2].