Learning Graphical Models
Enhancing Safety for Autonomous Agents in Partly Concealed Urban Traffic Environments Through Representation-Based Shielding
Haritz, Pierre, Wanke, David, Liebig, Thomas
Navigating unsignalized intersections in urban environments poses a complex challenge for self-driving vehicles, where issues such as view obstructions, unpredictable pedestrian crossings, and diverse traffic participants demand a great focus on crash prevention. In this paper, we propose a novel state representation for Reinforcement Learning (RL) agents centered around the information perceivable by an autonomous agent, enabling the safe navigation of previously uncharted road maps. Our approach surpasses several baseline models by a sig nificant margin in terms of safety and energy consumption metrics. These improvements are achieved while maintaining a competitive average travel speed. Our findings pave the way for more robust and reliable autonomous navigation strategies, promising safer and more efficient urban traffic environments.
The diameter of a stochastic matrix: A new measure for sensitivity analysis in Bayesian networks
Leonelli, Manuele, Smith, Jim Q., Wright, Sophia K.
Their use as a decision support tool in business and OR has been increasing over the years, including case studies in project management (van Dorp, 2020), supply chain (Garvey et al., 2015), marketing (Hosseini, 2021), and logistics (Qazi, 2022), among others. BNs are defined by two components: a directed acyclic graph (DAG) where each node is a variable of interest and edges represent the, possibly causal, relationship between them; a conditional probability table (CPT) for each node of the DAG reporting the probability distribution of the associated variable conditional on its parents. BNs are highly interpretable due to their graphical nature, representing the probabilistic relationships between variables, making it easy for users to understand and trace the influence of one variable on another. With explainability now recognized as critical for the use of AI in applied research (Rudin, 2019), including in OR (De Bock et al., 2023), BNs stand out by providing transparent and intuitive explanations, thereby enhancing trust and clarity in decision-making processes. The underlying DAG and the associated CPTs can be learned from data using machine learning algorithms or elicited using experts' opinions and knowledge. There is now a vast amount of algorithms to learn BN from data (e.g.
FOSP: Fine-tuning Offline Safe Policy through World Models
Cao, Chenyang, Xin, Yucheng, Wu, Silang, He, Longxiang, Yan, Zichen, Tan, Junbo, Wang, Xueqian
Model-based Reinforcement Learning (RL) has shown its high training efficiency and capability of handling high-dimensional tasks. Regarding safety issues, safe model-based RL can achieve nearly zero-cost performance and effectively manage the trade-off between performance and safety. Nevertheless, prior works still pose safety challenges due to the online exploration in real-world deployment. To address this, some offline RL methods have emerged as solutions, which learn from a static dataset in a safe way by avoiding interactions with the environment. In this paper, we aim to further enhance safety during the deployment stage for vision-based robotic tasks by fine-tuning an offline-trained policy. We incorporate in-sample optimization, model-based policy expansion, and reachability guidance to construct a safe offline-to-online framework. Moreover, our method proves to improve the generalization of offline policy in unseen safety-constrained scenarios. Finally, the efficiency of our method is validated on simulation benchmarks with five vision-only tasks and a real robot by solving some deployment problems using limited data.
Value-Incentivized Preference Optimization: A Unified Approach to Online and Offline RLHF
Cen, Shicong, Mei, Jincheng, Goshvadi, Katayoon, Dai, Hanjun, Yang, Tong, Yang, Sherry, Schuurmans, Dale, Chi, Yuejie, Dai, Bo
Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) has demonstrated great promise in aligning large language models (LLMs) with human preference. Depending on the availability of preference data, both online and offline RLHF are active areas of investigation. A key bottleneck is understanding how to incorporate uncertainty estimation in the reward function learned from the preference data for RLHF, regardless of how the preference data is collected. While the principles of optimism or pessimism under uncertainty are well-established in standard reinforcement learning (RL), a practically-implementable and theoretically-grounded form amenable to large language models is not yet available, as standard techniques for constructing confidence intervals become intractable under arbitrary policy parameterizations. In this paper, we introduce a unified approach to online and offline RLHF -- value-incentivized preference optimization (VPO) -- which regularizes the maximum-likelihood estimate of the reward function with the corresponding value function, modulated by a $\textit{sign}$ to indicate whether the optimism or pessimism is chosen. VPO also directly optimizes the policy with implicit reward modeling, and therefore shares a simpler RLHF pipeline similar to direct preference optimization. Theoretical guarantees of VPO are provided for both online and offline settings, matching the rates of their standard RL counterparts. Moreover, experiments on text summarization and dialog verify the practicality and effectiveness of VPO.
Machine Learning for Complex Systems with Abnormal Pattern by Exception Maximization Outlier Detection Method
Zhang, Zhikun, Duan, Yiting, Wang, Xiangjun, Zhang, Mingyuan
This paper proposes a novel fast online methodology for outlier detection called the exception maximization outlier detection method(EMODM), which employs probabilistic models and statistical algorithms to detect abnormal patterns from the outputs of complex systems. The EMODM is based on a two-state Gaussian mixture model and demonstrates strong performance in probability anomaly detection working on real-time raw data rather than using special prior distribution information. We confirm this using the synthetic data from two numerical cases. For the real-world data, we have detected the short circuit pattern of the circuit system using EMODM by the current and voltage output of a three-phase inverter. The EMODM also found an abnormal period due to COVID-19 in the insured unemployment data of 53 regions in the United States from 2000 to 2024. The application of EMODM to these two real-life datasets demonstrated the effectiveness and accuracy of our algorithm.
RPN: Reconciled Polynomial Network Towards Unifying PGMs, Kernel SVMs, MLP and KAN
In this paper, we will introduce a novel deep model named Reconciled Polynomial Network (RPN) for deep function learning. RPN has a very general architecture and can be used to build models with various complexities, capacities, and levels of completeness, which all contribute to the correctness of these models. As indicated in the subtitle, RPN can also serve as the backbone to unify different base models into one canonical representation. This includes non-deep models, like probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) - such as Bayesian network and Markov network - and kernel support vector machines (kernel SVMs), as well as deep models like the classic multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and the recent Kolmogorov-Arnold network (KAN). Technically, RPN proposes to disentangle the underlying function to be inferred into the inner product of a data expansion function and a parameter reconciliation function. Together with the remainder function, RPN accurately approximates the underlying functions that governs data distributions. The data expansion functions in RPN project data vectors from the input space to a high-dimensional intermediate space, specified by the expansion functions in definition. Meanwhile, RPN also introduces the parameter reconciliation functions to fabricate a small number of parameters into a higher-order parameter matrix to address the ``curse of dimensionality'' problem caused by the data expansions. Moreover, the remainder functions provide RPN with additional complementary information to reduce potential approximation errors. We conducted extensive empirical experiments on numerous benchmark datasets across multiple modalities, including continuous function datasets, discrete vision and language datasets, and classic tabular datasets, to investigate the effectiveness of RPN.
Predictive Coding Networks and Inference Learning: Tutorial and Survey
van Zwol, Björn, Jefferson, Ro, Broek, Egon L. van den
Recent years have witnessed a growing call for renewed emphasis on neuroscience-inspired approaches in artificial intelligence research, under the banner of $\textit{NeuroAI}$. This is exemplified by recent attention gained by predictive coding networks (PCNs) within machine learning (ML). PCNs are based on the neuroscientific framework of predictive coding (PC), which views the brain as a hierarchical Bayesian inference model that minimizes prediction errors from feedback connections. PCNs trained with inference learning (IL) have potential advantages to traditional feedforward neural networks (FNNs) trained with backpropagation. While historically more computationally intensive, recent improvements in IL have shown that it can be more efficient than backpropagation with sufficient parallelization, making PCNs promising alternatives for large-scale applications and neuromorphic hardware. Moreover, PCNs can be mathematically considered as a superset of traditional FNNs, which substantially extends the range of possible architectures for both supervised and unsupervised learning. In this work, we provide a comprehensive review as well as a formal specification of PCNs, in particular placing them in the context of modern ML methods, and positioning PC as a versatile and promising framework worthy of further study by the ML community.
Mechanisms for Data Sharing in Collaborative Causal Inference (Extended Version)
Filter, Björn, Möller, Ralf, Özçep, Özgür Lütfü
Collaborative causal inference (CCI) is a federated learning method for pooling data from multiple, often self-interested, parties, to achieve a common learning goal over causal structures, e.g. estimation and optimization of treatment variables in a medical setting. Since obtaining data can be costly for the participants and sharing unique data poses the risk of losing competitive advantages, motivating the participation of all parties through equitable rewards and incentives is necessary. This paper devises an evaluation scheme to measure the value of each party's data contribution to the common learning task, tailored to causal inference's statistical demands, by comparing completed partially directed acyclic graphs (CPDAGs) inferred from observational data contributed by the participants. The Data Valuation Scheme thus obtained can then be used to introduce mechanisms that incentivize the agents to contribute data. It can be leveraged to reward agents fairly, according to the quality of their data, or to maximize all agents' data contributions.
PA-LOCO: Learning Perturbation-Adaptive Locomotion for Quadruped Robots
Xiao, Zhiyuan, Zhang, Xinyu, Zhou, Xiang, Zhang, Qingrui
Numerous locomotion controllers have been designed based on Reinforcement Learning (RL) to facilitate blind quadrupedal locomotion traversing challenging terrains. Nevertheless, locomotion control is still a challenging task for quadruped robots traversing diverse terrains amidst unforeseen disturbances. Recently, privileged learning has been employed to learn reliable and robust quadrupedal locomotion over various terrains based on a teacher-student architecture. However, its one-encoder structure is not adequate in addressing external force perturbations. The student policy would experience inevitable performance degradation due to the feature embedding discrepancy between the feature encoder of the teacher policy and the one of the student policy. Hence, this paper presents a privileged learning framework with multiple feature encoders and a residual policy network for robust and reliable quadruped locomotion subject to various external perturbations. The multi-encoder structure can decouple latent features from different privileged information, ultimately leading to enhanced performance of the learned policy in terms of robustness, stability, and reliability. The efficiency of the proposed feature encoding module is analyzed in depth using extensive simulation data. The introduction of the residual policy network helps mitigate the performance degradation experienced by the student policy that attempts to clone the behaviors of a teacher policy. The proposed framework is evaluated on a Unitree GO1 robot, showcasing its performance enhancement over the state-of-the-art privileged learning algorithm through extensive experiments conducted on diverse terrains. Ablation studies are conducted to illustrate the efficiency of the residual policy network.
Diffusion Forcing: Next-token Prediction Meets Full-Sequence Diffusion
Chen, Boyuan, Monso, Diego Marti, Du, Yilun, Simchowitz, Max, Tedrake, Russ, Sitzmann, Vincent
This paper presents Diffusion Forcing, a new training paradigm where a diffusion model is trained to denoise a set of tokens with independent per-token noise levels. We apply Diffusion Forcing to sequence generative modeling by training a causal next-token prediction model to generate one or several future tokens without fully diffusing past ones. Our approach is shown to combine the strengths of next-token prediction models, such as variable-length generation, with the strengths of full-sequence diffusion models, such as the ability to guide sampling to desirable trajectories. Our method offers a range of additional capabilities, such as (1) rolling-out sequences of continuous tokens, such as video, with lengths past the training horizon, where baselines diverge and (2) new sampling and guiding schemes that uniquely profit from Diffusion Forcing's variable-horizon and causal architecture, and which lead to marked performance gains in decision-making and planning tasks. In addition to its empirical success, our method is proven to optimize a variational lower bound on the likelihoods of all subsequences of tokens drawn from the true joint distribution. Project website: https://boyuan.space/diffusion-forcing