In a standard multi-output classification scenario, both features and labels of training data are partially observed. This challenging issue is widely witnessed due to sensor or database failures, crowd-sourcing and noisy communication channels in industrial data analytic services. Classic methods for handling multi-output classification with incomplete supervision information usually decompose the problem into an imputation stage that reconstructs the missing training information, and a learning stage that builds a classifier based on the imputed training set. These methods fail to fully leverage the dependencies between features and labels. In order to take full advantage of these dependencies we consider a purely probabilistic setting in which the features imputation and multi-label classification problems are jointly solved. Indeed, we show that a simple Restricted Boltzmann Machine can be trained with an adapted algorithm based on mean-field equations to efficiently solve problems of inductive and transductive learning in which both features and labels are missing at random. The effectiveness of the approach is demonstrated empirically on various datasets, with particular focus on a real-world Internet-of-Things security dataset.

There has been considerable advance in understanding the properties of sparse regularization procedures in high-dimensional models. Most of the work is limited to either independent and identically distributed setting, or time series with independent and/or (sub-)Gaussian innovations. We extend current literature to a broader set of innovation processes, by assuming that the error process is non-sub-Gaussian and conditionally heteroscedastic, and the generating process is not necessarily sparse. This setting covers fat tailed, conditionally dependent innovations which is of particular interest for financial risk modeling. It covers several multivariate-GARCH specifications, such as the BEKK model, and other factor stochastic volatility specifications.

We present a general method for fitting finite mixture models (FMM). Learning in a mixture model consists of finding the most likely cluster assignment for each data-point, as well as finding the parameters of the clusters themselves. In many mixture models, this is difficult with current learning methods, where the most common approach is to employ monotone learning algorithms e.g. the conventional expectation-maximisation algorithm. While effective, the success of any monotone algorithm is crucially dependant on good parameter initialisation, where a common choice is $K$-means initialisation, commonly employed for Gaussian mixture models. For other types of mixture models, the path to good initialisation parameters is often unclear and may require a problem-specific solution. To this end, we propose a general heuristic learning algorithm that utilises Boltzmann exploration to assign each observation to a specific base distribution within the mixture model, which we call Boltzmann exploration expectation-maximisation (BEEM). With BEEM, hard assignments allow straight forward parameter learning for each base distribution by conditioning only on its assigned observations. Consequently, it can be applied to mixtures of any base distribution where single component parameter learning is tractable. The stochastic learning procedure is able to escape local optima and is thus insensitive to parameter initialisation. We show competitive performance on a number of synthetic benchmark cases as well as on real-world datasets.

Advances in artificial intelligence have renewed interest in conversational agents. Additionally to software developers, today all kinds of employees show interest in new technologies and their possible applications for customers. German insurance companies generally are interested in improving their customer service and digitizing their business processes. In this work we investigate the potential use of conversational agents in insurance companies theoretically by determining which classes of agents exist which are of interest to insurance companies, finding relevant use cases and requirements. We add two practical parts: First we develop a showcase prototype for an exemplary insurance scenario in claim management. Additionally in a second step, we create a prototype focusing on customer service in a chatbot hackathon, fostering innovation in interdisciplinary teams. In this work, we describe the results of both prototypes in detail. We evaluate both chatbots defining criteria for both settings in detail and compare the results and draw conclusions for the maturity of chatbot technology for practical use, describing the opportunities and challenges companies, especially small and medium enterprises, face.

There are over 15 distinct communities that work in the general area of sequential decisions and information, often referred to as decisions under uncertainty or stochastic optimization. We focus on two of the most important fields: stochastic optimal control, with its roots in deterministic optimal control, and reinforcement learning, with its roots in Markov decision processes. Building on prior work, we describe a unified framework that covers all 15 different communities, and note the strong parallels with the modeling framework of stochastic optimal control. By contrast, we make the case that the modeling framework of reinforcement learning, inherited from discrete Markov decision processes, is quite limited. Our framework (and that of stochastic control) is based on the core problem of optimizing over policies. We describe four classes of policies that we claim are universal, and show that each of these two fields have, in their own way, evolved to include examples of each of these four classes.

We consider the problem of the estimation of a high-dimensional probability distribution using model classes of functions in tree-based tensor formats, a particular case of tensor networks associated with a dimension partition tree. The distribution is assumed to admit a density with respect to a product measure, possibly discrete for handling the case of discrete random variables. After discussing the representation of classical model classes in tree-based tensor formats, we present learning algorithms based on empirical risk minimization using a $L^2$ contrast. These algorithms exploit the multilinear parametrization of the formats to recast the nonlinear minimization problem into a sequence of empirical risk minimization problems with linear models. A suitable parametrization of the tensor in tree-based tensor format allows to obtain a linear model with orthogonal bases, so that each problem admits an explicit expression of the solution and cross-validation risk estimates. These estimations of the risk enable the model selection, for instance when exploiting sparsity in the coefficients of the representation. A strategy for the adaptation of the tensor format (dimension tree and tree-based ranks) is provided, which allows to discover and exploit some specific structures of high-dimensional probability distributions such as independence or conditional independence. We illustrate the performances of the proposed algorithms for the approximation of classical probabilistic models (such as Gaussian distribution, graphical models, Markov chain).

Full Wave Inversion (FWI) imaging scheme has many applications in engineering, geoscience and medical sciences. In this paper, a surrogate deep learning FWI approach is presented to quantify properties of materials using stress waves. Such inverse problems, in general, are ill-posed and nonconvex, especially in cases where the solutions exhibit shocks, heterogeneity, discontinuities, or large gradients. The proposed approach is proven efficient to obtain global minima responses in these cases. This approach is trained based on random sampled set of material properties and sampled trials around local minima, therefore, it requires a forward simulation can handle high heterogeneity, discontinuities and large gradients. High resolution Kurganov-Tadmor (KT) central finite volume method is used as forward wave propagation operator. Using the proposed framework, material properties of 2D media are quantified for several different situations. The results demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed method for estimating mechanical properties of materials with high accuracy using deep learning approaches.

We introduce an algorithm for model-based hierarchical reinforcement learning to acquire self-contained transition and reward models suitable for probabilistic planning at multiple levels of abstraction. We call this framework Planning with Abstract Learned Models (PALM). By representing subtasks symbolically using a new formal structure, the lifted abstract Markov decision process (L-AMDP), PALM learns models that are independent and modular. Through our experiments, we show how PALM integrates planning and execution, facilitating a rapid and efficient learning of abstract, hierarchical models. We also demonstrate the increased potential for learned models to be transferred to new and related tasks.

The mixing time $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ of an ergodic Markov chain measures the rate of convergence towards its stationary distribution $\boldsymbol{\pi}$. We consider the problem of estimating $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ from one single trajectory of $m$ observations $(X_1, . . . , X_m)$, in the case where the transition kernel $\boldsymbol{M}$ is unknown, a research program started by Hsu et al. [2015]. The community has so far focused primarily on leveraging spectral methods to estimate the relaxation time $t_{\mathsf{rel}}$ of a reversible Markov chain as a proxy for $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$. Although these techniques have recently been extended to tackle non-reversible chains, this general setting remains much less understood. Our new approach based on contraction methods is the first that aims at directly estimating $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ up to multiplicative small universal constants instead of $t_{\mathsf{rel}}$. It does so by introducing a generalized version of Dobrushin's contraction coefficient $\kappa_{\mathsf{gen}}$, which is shown to control the mixing time regardless of reversibility. We subsequently design fully data-dependent high confidence intervals around $\kappa_{\mathsf{gen}}$ that generally yield better convergence guarantees and are more practical than state-of-the-art.

Autonomous agents are limited in their ability to observe the world state. Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) formally model the problem of planning under world state uncertainty, but POMDPs with continuous actions and nonlinear dynamics suitable for robotics applications are challenging to solve. In this paper, we present an efficient differential dynamic programming (DDP) algorithm for belief space planning in POMDPs with uncertainty over a discrete latent state, and continuous states, actions, observations, and nonlinear dynamics. This representation allows planning of dynamic trajectories which are sensitive to structured uncertainty over discrete latent world states. We develop dynamic programming techniques to optimize a contingency plan over a tree of possible observations and belief space trajectories, and also derive a hierarchical version of the algorithm. Our method is applicable to problems with uncertainty over the cost or reward function (e.g., the configuration of goals or obstacles), uncertainty over the dynamics (e.g., the dynamical mode of a hybrid system), and uncertainty about interactions, where other agents' behavior is conditioned on latent intentions. Benchmarks show that our algorithm outperforms popular heuristic approaches to planning under uncertainty, and results from an autonomous lane changing task demonstrate that our algorithm can synthesize robust interactive trajectories.