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A Review of Emergency Incident Prediction, Resource Allocation and Dispatch Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Emergency response to incidents such as accidents, medical calls, and fires is one of the most pressing problems faced by communities across the globe. In the last fifty years, researchers have developed statistical, analytical, and algorithmic approaches for designing emergency response management (ERM) systems. In this survey, we present models for incident prediction, resource allocation, and dispatch for emergency incidents. We highlight the strengths and weaknesses of prior work in this domain and explore the similarities and differences between different modeling paradigms. Finally, we present future research directions. To the best of our knowledge, our work is the first comprehensive survey that explores the entirety of ERM systems.


Online Spatiotemporal Action Detection and Prediction via Causal Representations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this thesis, we focus on video action understanding problems from an online and real-time processing point of view. We start with the conversion of the traditional offline spatiotemporal action detection pipeline into an online spatiotemporal action tube detection system. An action tube is a set of bounding connected over time, which bounds an action instance in space and time. Next, we explore the future prediction capabilities of such detection methods by extending the an existing action tube into the future by regression. Later, we seek to establish that online/causal representations can achieve similar performance to that of offline three dimensional (3D) convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on various tasks, including action recognition, temporal action segmentation and early prediction.


Multi-Scale One-Class Recurrent Neural Networks for Discrete Event Sequence Anomaly Detection

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Discrete event sequences are ubiquitous, such as an ordered event series of process interactions in Information and Communication Technology systems. Recent years have witnessed increasing efforts in detecting anomalies with discrete-event sequences. However, it still remains an extremely difficult task due to several intrinsic challenges including data imbalance issues, the discrete property of the events, and sequential nature of the data. To address these challenges, in this paper, we propose OC4Seq, a multi-scale one-class recurrent neural network for detecting anomalies in discrete event sequences. Specifically, OC4Seq integrates the anomaly detection objective with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to embed the discrete event sequences into latent spaces, where anomalies can be easily detected. In addition, given that an anomalous sequence could be caused by either individual events, subsequences of events, or the whole sequence, we design a multi-scale RNN framework to capture different levels of sequential patterns simultaneously. Experimental results on three benchmark datasets show that OC4Seq consistently outperforms various representative baselines by a large margin. Moreover, through both quantitative and qualitative analysis, the importance of capturing multi-scale sequential patterns for event anomaly detection is verified.


Human-in-the-Loop Methods for Data-Driven and Reinforcement Learning Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent successes combine reinforcement learning algorithms and deep neural networks, despite reinforcement learning not being widely applied to robotics and real world scenarios. This can be attributed to the fact that current state-of-the-art, end-to-end reinforcement learning approaches still require thousands or millions of data samples to converge to a satisfactory policy and are subject to catastrophic failures during training. Conversely, in real world scenarios and after just a few data samples, humans are able to either provide demonstrations of the task, intervene to prevent catastrophic actions, or simply evaluate if the policy is performing correctly. This research investigates how to integrate these human interaction modalities to the reinforcement learning loop, increasing sample efficiency and enabling real-time reinforcement learning in robotics and real world scenarios. This novel theoretical foundation is called Cycle-of-Learning, a reference to how different human interaction modalities, namely, task demonstration, intervention, and evaluation, are cycled and combined to reinforcement learning algorithms. Results presented in this work show that the reward signal that is learned based upon human interaction accelerates the rate of learning of reinforcement learning algorithms and that learning from a combination of human demonstrations and interventions is faster and more sample efficient when compared to traditional supervised learning algorithms. Finally, Cycle-of-Learning develops an effective transition between policies learned using human demonstrations and interventions to reinforcement learning. The theoretical foundation developed by this research opens new research paths to human-agent teaming scenarios where autonomous agents are able to learn from human teammates and adapt to mission performance metrics in real-time and in real world scenarios.


Learning and Reasoning for Robot Dialog and Navigation Tasks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Reinforcement learning and probabilistic reasoning algorithms aim at learning from interaction experiences and reasoning with probabilistic contextual knowledge respectively. In this research, we develop algorithms for robot task completions, while looking into the complementary strengths of reinforcement learning and probabilistic reasoning techniques. The robots learn from trial-and-error experiences to augment their declarative knowledge base, and the augmented knowledge can be used for speeding up the learning process in potentially different tasks. We have implemented and evaluated the developed algorithms using mobile robots conducting dialog and navigation tasks. From the results, we see that our robot's performance can be improved by both reasoning with human knowledge and learning from task-completion experience. More interestingly, the robot was able to learn from navigation tasks to improve its dialog strategies.


On Multiple Intelligences and Learning Styles for Artificial Intelligence Systems: Future Research Trends in AI with a Human Face?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This article discusses recent trends and concepts in developing new kinds of artificial intelligence (AI) systems which relate to complex facets and different types of human intelligence, especially social, emotional, attentional and ethical intelligence, which to date have been under-discussed. We describe various aspects of multiple human intelligence and learning styles, which may impact on a variety of AI problem domains. Using the concept of multiple intelligence rather than a single type of intelligence, we categorize and provide working definitions of various AI depending on their cognitive skills or capacities. Future AI systems will be able not only to communicate with human actors and each other, but also to efficiently exchange knowledge with abilities of cooperation, collaboration and even co-creating something new and valuable and have meta-learning capacities. Multi-agent systems such as these can be used to solve problems that would be difficult to solve by any individual intelligent agent.


A Survey of Deep Active Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Active learning (AL) attempts to maximize the performance gain of the model by marking the fewest samples. Deep learning (DL) is greedy for data and requires a large amount of data supply to optimize massive parameters, so that the model learns how to extract high-quality features. In recent years, due to the rapid development of internet technology, we are in an era of information torrents and we have massive amounts of data. In this way, DL has aroused strong interest of researchers and has been rapidly developed. Compared with DL, researchers have relatively low interest in AL. This is mainly because before the rise of DL, traditional machine learning requires relatively few labeled samples. Therefore, early AL is difficult to reflect the value it deserves. Although DL has made breakthroughs in various fields, most of this success is due to the publicity of the large number of existing annotation datasets. However, the acquisition of a large number of high-quality annotated datasets consumes a lot of manpower, which is not allowed in some fields that require high expertise, especially in the fields of speech recognition, information extraction, medical images, etc. Therefore, AL has gradually received due attention. A natural idea is whether AL can be used to reduce the cost of sample annotations, while retaining the powerful learning capabilities of DL. Therefore, deep active learning (DAL) has emerged. Although the related research has been quite abundant, it lacks a comprehensive survey of DAL. This article is to fill this gap, we provide a formal classification method for the existing work, and a comprehensive and systematic overview. In addition, we also analyzed and summarized the development of DAL from the perspective of application. Finally, we discussed the confusion and problems in DAL, and gave some possible development directions for DAL.


Subtask Analysis of Process Data Through a Predictive Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Response process data collected from human-computer interactive items contain rich information about respondents' behavioral patterns and cognitive processes. Their irregular formats as well as their large sizes make standard statistical tools difficult to apply. This paper develops a computationally efficient method for exploratory analysis of such process data. The new approach segments a lengthy individual process into a sequence of short subprocesses to achieve complexity reduction, easy clustering and meaningful interpretation. Each subprocess is considered a subtask. The segmentation is based on sequential action predictability using a parsimonious predictive model combined with the Shannon entropy. Simulation studies are conducted to assess performance of the new methods. We use the process data from PIAAC 2012 to demonstrate how exploratory analysis of process data can be done with the new approach.


Short-term Traffic Prediction with Deep Neural Networks: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Advances in transportation systems have resulted in the generation of a large amount of traffic data from various sources [1-3]. In everyday life, GPS sensors installed in smartphones carried by millions of people can collect crowd flow data. Furthermore, taximeters and bus card readers can collect crowd demand data, and vehicle loop detectors can collect traffic flow or speed data. In the mean time, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have achieved promising performance improvements in various application areas. They can classify images into thousands of classes [4,5] as well as recognize human speech [6,7], with only small errors.


Shannon Entropy Rate of Hidden Markov Processes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Hidden Markov chains are widely applied statistical models of stochastic processes, from fundamental physics and chemistry to finance, health, and artificial intelligence. The hidden Markov processes they generate are notoriously complicated, however, even if the chain is finite state: no finite expression for their Shannon entropy rate exists, as the set of their predictive features is generically infinite. As such, to date one cannot make general statements about how random they are nor how structured. Here, we address the first part of this challenge by showing how to efficiently and accurately calculate their entropy rates. We also show how this method gives the minimal set of infinite predictive features. A sequel addresses the challenge's second part on structure.