Undirected Networks
Demonstration-guided Deep Reinforcement Learning for Coordinated Ramp Metering and Perimeter Control in Large Scale Networks
Effective traffic control methods have great potential in alleviating network congestion. Existing literature generally focuses on a single control approach, while few studies have explored the effectiveness of integrated and coordinated control approaches. This study considers two representative control approaches: ramp metering for freeways and perimeter control for homogeneous urban roads, and we aim to develop a deep reinforcement learning (DRL)-based coordinated control framework for large-scale networks. The main challenges are 1) there is a lack of efficient dynamic models for both freeways and urban roads; 2) the standard DRL method becomes ineffective due to the complex and non-stationary network dynamics. In view of this, we propose a novel meso-macro dynamic network model and first time develop a demonstration-guided DRL method to achieve large-scale coordinated ramp metering and perimeter control. The dynamic network model hybridizes the link and generalized bathtub models to depict the traffic dynamics of freeways and urban roads, respectively. For the DRL method, we incorporate demonstration to guide the DRL method for better convergence by introducing the concept of "teacher" and "student" models. The teacher models are traditional controllers (e.g., ALINEA, Gating), which provide control demonstrations. The student models are DRL methods, which learn from the teacher and aim to surpass the teacher's performance. To validate the proposed framework, we conduct two case studies in a small-scale network and a real-world large-scale traffic network in Hong Kong. The research outcome reveals the great potential of combining traditional controllers with DRL for coordinated control in large-scale networks.
Proximal Exploration of Venus Volcanism with Teams of Autonomous Buoyancy-Controlled Balloons
Rossi, Federico, Saboia, Maira, Krishnamoorthy, Siddharth, Hook, Joshua Vander
Altitude-controlled balloons hold great promise for performing high-priority scientific investigations of Venus's atmosphere and geological phenomena, including tectonic and volcanic activity, as demonstrated by a number of recent Earth-based experiments. In this paper, we explore a concept of operations where multiple autonomous, altitude-controlled balloons monitor explosive volcanic activity on Venus through infrasound microbarometers, and autonomously navigate the uncertain wind field to perform follow-on observations of detected events of interest. We propose a novel autonomous guidance technique for altitude-controlled balloons in Venus's uncertain wind field, and show the approach can result in an increase of up to 63% in the number of close-up observations of volcanic events compared to passive drifters, and a 16% increase compared to ground-in-the-loop guidance. The results are robust to uncertainty in the wind field, and hold across large changes in the frequency of explosive volcanic events, sensitivity of the microbarometer detectors, and numbers of aerial platforms.
Minimizing the Outage Probability in a Markov Decision Process
Corlay, Vincent, Sibel, Jean-Christophe
Standard Markov decision process (MDP) and reinforcement learning algorithms optimize the policy with respect to the expected gain. We propose an algorithm which enables to optimize an alternative objective: the probability that the gain is greater than a given value. The algorithm can be seen as an extension of the value iteration algorithm. We also show how the proposed algorithm could be generalized to use neural networks, similarly to the deep Q learning extension of Q learning.
POPGym: Benchmarking Partially Observable Reinforcement Learning
Morad, Steven, Kortvelesy, Ryan, Bettini, Matteo, Liwicki, Stephan, Prorok, Amanda
Real world applications of Reinforcement Learning (RL) are often partially observable, thus requiring memory. Despite this, partial observability is still largely ignored by contemporary RL benchmarks and libraries. We introduce Partially Observable Process Gym (POPGym), a two-part library containing (1) a diverse collection of 15 partially observable environments, each with multiple difficulties and (2) implementations of 13 memory model baselines -- the most in a single RL library. Existing partially observable benchmarks tend to fixate on 3D visual navigation, which is computationally expensive and only one type of POMDP. In contrast, POPGym environments are diverse, produce smaller observations, use less memory, and often converge within two hours of training on a consumer-grade GPU. We implement our high-level memory API and memory baselines on top of the popular RLlib framework, providing plug-and-play compatibility with various training algorithms, exploration strategies, and distributed training paradigms. Using POPGym, we execute the largest comparison across RL memory models to date. POPGym is available at https://github.com/proroklab/popgym.
Interactive Trajectory Planner for Mandatory Lane Changing in Dense Non-Cooperative Traffic
Liu, Xiangguo, Chen, Jianxing, Li, Shan, Zhang, Yajia, Yu, Hongtao, Huang, Fuqiang, Liu, Jiechao, Wang, Chao, Li, Liyun, Zhu, Qi
Abstract-- When the traffic stream is extremely congested and surrounding vehicles are not cooperative, the mandatory lane changing can be significantly difficult. In this work, we propose an interactive trajectory planner, which will firstly attempt to change lanes as long as safety is ensured. Based on receding horizon planning, the ego vehicle can abort or continue changing lanes according to surrounding vehicles' reactions. We demonstrate the performance of our planner in extensive simulations with eight surrounding vehicles, initial velocity ranging from 0.5 to 5 meters per second, and bumper to bumper gap ranging from 4 to 10 meters. The ego vehicle with our planner can change lanes safely and smoothly. The computation time of the planner at every step is within 10 milliseconds in most cases on a laptop with 1.8GHz Intel Core i7-10610U.
Interpretable reduced-order modeling with time-scale separation
Kaltenbach, Sebastian, Koutsourelakis, Phaedon-Stelios, Koumoutsakos, Petros
Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) with high dimensionality are commonly encountered in computational physics and engineering. However, finding solutions for these PDEs can be computationally expensive, making model-order reduction crucial. We propose such a data-driven scheme that automates the identification of the time-scales involved and can produce stable predictions forward in time as well as under different initial conditions not included in the training data. To this end, we combine a non-linear autoencoder architecture with a time-continuous model for the latent dynamics in the complex space. It readily allows for the inclusion of sparse and irregularly sampled training data. The learned, latent dynamics are interpretable and reveal the different temporal scales involved. We show that this data-driven scheme can automatically learn the independent processes that decompose a system of linear ODEs along the eigenvectors of the system's matrix. Apart from this, we demonstrate the applicability of the proposed framework in a hidden Markov Model and the (discretized) Kuramoto-Shivashinsky (KS) equation. Additionally, we propose a probabilistic version, which captures predictive uncertainties and further improves upon the results of the deterministic framework.
A Survey on Uncertainty Quantification Methods for Deep Neural Networks: An Uncertainty Source Perspective
Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved tremendous success in making accurate predictions for computer vision, natural language processing, as well as science and engineering domains. However, it is also well-recognized that DNNs sometimes make unexpected, incorrect, but overconfident predictions. This can cause serious consequences in high-stake applications, such as autonomous driving, medical diagnosis, and disaster response. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) aims to estimate the confidence of DNN predictions beyond prediction accuracy. In recent years, many UQ methods have been developed for DNNs. It is of great practical value to systematically categorize these UQ methods and compare their advantages and disadvantages. However, existing surveys mostly focus on categorizing UQ methodologies from a neural network architecture perspective or a Bayesian perspective and ignore the source of uncertainty that each methodology can incorporate, making it difficult to select an appropriate UQ method in practice. To fill the gap, this paper presents a systematic taxonomy of UQ methods for DNNs based on the types of uncertainty sources (data uncertainty versus model uncertainty). We summarize the advantages and disadvantages of methods in each category. We show how our taxonomy of UQ methodologies can potentially help guide the choice of UQ method in different machine learning problems (e.g., active learning, robustness, and reinforcement learning). We also identify current research gaps and propose several future research directions.
A Critical Review of Inductive Logic Programming Techniques for Explainable AI
Zhang, Zheng, Xu, Liangliang, Yilmaz, Levent, Liu, Bo
Despite recent advances in modern machine learning algorithms, the opaqueness of their underlying mechanisms continues to be an obstacle in adoption. To instill confidence and trust in artificial intelligence systems, Explainable Artificial Intelligence has emerged as a response to improving modern machine learning algorithms' explainability. Inductive Logic Programming (ILP), a subfield of symbolic artificial intelligence, plays a promising role in generating interpretable explanations because of its intuitive logic-driven framework. ILP effectively leverages abductive reasoning to generate explainable first-order clausal theories from examples and background knowledge. However, several challenges in developing methods inspired by ILP need to be addressed for their successful application in practice. For example, existing ILP systems often have a vast solution space, and the induced solutions are very sensitive to noises and disturbances. This survey paper summarizes the recent advances in ILP and a discussion of statistical relational learning and neural-symbolic algorithms, which offer synergistic views to ILP. Following a critical review of the recent advances, we delineate observed challenges and highlight potential avenues of further ILP-motivated research toward developing self-explanatory artificial intelligence systems.
Strategy Complexity of Point Payoff, Mean Payoff and Total Payoff Objectives in Countable MDPs
We study countably infinite Markov decision processes (MDPs) with real-valued transition rewards. Every infinite run induces the following sequences of payoffs: 1. Point payoff (the sequence of directly seen transition rewards), 2. Mean payoff (the sequence of the sums of all rewards so far, divided by the number of steps), and 3. Total payoff (the sequence of the sums of all rewards so far). For each payoff type, the objective is to maximize the probability that the $\liminf$ is non-negative. We establish the complete picture of the strategy complexity of these objectives, i.e., how much memory is necessary and sufficient for $\varepsilon$-optimal (resp. optimal) strategies. Some cases can be won with memoryless deterministic strategies, while others require a step counter, a reward counter, or both.
Data-efficient, Explainable and Safe Payload Manipulation: An Illustration of the Advantages of Physical Priors in Model-Predictive Control
Salehi, Achkan, Doncieux, Stephane
Machine Learning methods, such as those from the Reinforcement Learning (RL) literature, have increasingly been applied to robot control problems. However, such control methods, even when learning environment dynamics (e.g. as in Model-Based RL/control) often remain data-inefficient. Furthermore, the decisions made by learned policies or the estimations made by learned dynamic models, unlike those made by their hand-designed counterparts, are not readily interpretable by a human user without the use of Explainable AI techniques. This has several disadvantages, such as increased difficulty both in debugging and integration in safety-critical systems. On the other hand, in many robotic systems, prior knowledge of environment kinematics and dynamics is at least partially available (e.g. from classical mechanics). Arguably, incorporating such priors to the environment model or decision process can help address the aforementioned problems: it reduces problem complexity and the needs in terms of exploration, while also facilitating the expression of the decisions taken by the agent in terms of physically meaningful entities. Our aim with this paper is to illustrate and support this point of view. We model a payload manipulation problem based on a real robotic system, and show that leveraging prior knowledge about the dynamics of the environment can lead to improved explainability and an increase in both safety and data-efficiency,leading to satisfying generalization properties with less data.