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PCL-Indexability and Whittle Index for Restless Bandits with General Observation Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we consider a general observation model for restless multi-armed bandit problems. The operation of the player needs to be based on certain feedback mechanism that is error-prone due to resource constraints or environmental or intrinsic noises. By establishing a general probabilistic model for dynamics of feedback/observation, we formulate the problem as a restless bandit with a countable belief state space starting from an arbitrary initial belief (a priori information). We apply the achievable region method with partial conservation law (PCL) to the infinite-state problem and analyze its indexability and priority index (Whittle index). Finally, we propose an approximation process to transform the problem into which the AG algorithm of Ni\~no-Mora and Bertsimas for finite-state problems can be applied to. Numerical experiments show that our algorithm has an excellent performance.


Efficient Semiring-Weighted Earley Parsing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper provides a reference description, in the form of a deduction system, of Earley's (1970) context-free parsing algorithm with various speed-ups. Our presentation includes a known worst-case runtime improvement from Earley's $O (N^3|G||R|)$, which is unworkable for the large grammars that arise in natural language processing, to $O (N^3|G|)$, which matches the runtime of CKY on a binarized version of the grammar $G$. Here $N$ is the length of the sentence, $|R|$ is the number of productions in $G$, and $|G|$ is the total length of those productions. We also provide a version that achieves runtime of $O (N^3|M|)$ with $|M| \leq |G|$ when the grammar is represented compactly as a single finite-state automaton $M$ (this is partly novel). We carefully treat the generalization to semiring-weighted deduction, preprocessing the grammar like Stolcke (1995) to eliminate deduction cycles, and further generalize Stolcke's method to compute the weights of sentence prefixes. We also provide implementation details for efficient execution, ensuring that on a preprocessed grammar, the semiring-weighted versions of our methods have the same asymptotic runtime and space requirements as the unweighted methods, including sub-cubic runtime on some grammars.


Sample-Efficient Learning of POMDPs with Multiple Observations In Hindsight

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper studies the sample-efficiency of learning in Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs), a challenging problem in reinforcement learning that is known to be exponentially hard in the worst-case. Motivated by real-world settings such as loading in game playing, we propose an enhanced feedback model called ``multiple observations in hindsight'', where after each episode of interaction with the POMDP, the learner may collect multiple additional observations emitted from the encountered latent states, but may not observe the latent states themselves. We show that sample-efficient learning under this feedback model is possible for two new subclasses of POMDPs: \emph{multi-observation revealing POMDPs} and \emph{distinguishable POMDPs}. Both subclasses generalize and substantially relax \emph{revealing POMDPs} -- a widely studied subclass for which sample-efficient learning is possible under standard trajectory feedback. Notably, distinguishable POMDPs only require the emission distributions from different latent states to be \emph{different} instead of \emph{linearly independent} as required in revealing POMDPs.


A Study on Multirobot Quantile Estimation in Natural Environments

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Quantiles of a natural phenomena can provide scientists with an important understanding of different spreads of concentrations. When there are several available robots, it may be advantageous to pool resources in a collaborative way to improve performance. A multirobot team can be difficult to practically bring together and coordinate. To this end, we present a study across several axes of the impact of using multiple robots to estimate quantiles of a distribution of interest using an informative path planning formulation. We measure quantile estimation accuracy with increasing team size to understand what benefits result from a multirobot approach in a drone exploration task of analyzing the algae concentration in lakes. We additionally perform an analysis on several parameters, including the spread of robot initial positions, the planning budget, and inter-robot communication, and find that while using more robots generally results in lower estimation error, this benefit is achieved under certain conditions. We present our findings in the context of real field robotic applications and discuss the implications of the results and interesting directions for future work.


Building Cooperative Embodied Agents Modularly with Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive planning abilities in single-agent embodied tasks across various domains. However, their capacity for planning and communication in multi-agent cooperation remains unclear, even though these are crucial skills for intelligent embodied agents. In this paper, we present a novel framework that utilizes LLMs for multi-agent cooperation and tests it in various embodied environments. Our framework enables embodied agents to plan, communicate, and cooperate with other embodied agents or humans to accomplish long-horizon tasks efficiently. We demonstrate that recent LLMs, such as GPT-4, can surpass strong planning-based methods and exhibit emergent effective communication using our framework without requiring fine-tuning or few-shot prompting. We also discover that LLM-based agents that communicate in natural language can earn more trust and cooperate more effectively with humans. Our research underscores the potential of LLMs for embodied AI and lays the foundation for future research in multi-agent cooperation. Videos can be found on the project website https://vis-www.cs.umass.edu/Co-LLM-Agents/.


Multi-Agent Cooperation via Unsupervised Learning of Joint Intentions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The field of cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) has seen widespread use in addressing complex coordination tasks. While value decomposition methods in MARL have been popular, they have limitations in solving tasks with non-monotonic returns, restricting their general application. Our work highlights the significance of joint intentions in cooperation, which can overcome non-monotonic problems and increase the interpretability of the learning process. To this end, we present a novel MARL method that leverages learnable joint intentions. Our method employs a hierarchical framework consisting of a joint intention policy and a behavior policy to formulate the optimal cooperative policy. The joint intentions are autonomously learned in a latent space through unsupervised learning and enable the method adaptable to different agent configurations. Our results demonstrate significant performance improvements in both the StarCraft micromanagement benchmark and challenging MAgent domains, showcasing the effectiveness of our method in learning meaningful joint intentions.


Fast and Multi-aspect Mining of Complex Time-stamped Event Streams

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Given a huge, online stream of time-evolving events with multiple attributes, such as online shopping logs: (item, price, brand, time), and local mobility activities: (pick-up and drop-off locations, time), how can we summarize large, dynamic high-order tensor streams? How can we see any hidden patterns, rules, and anomalies? Our answer is to focus on two types of patterns, i.e., ''regimes'' and ''components'', for which we present CubeScope, an efficient and effective method over high-order tensor streams. Specifically, it identifies any sudden discontinuity and recognizes distinct dynamical patterns, ''regimes'' (e.g., weekday/weekend/holiday patterns). In each regime, it also performs multi-way summarization for all attributes (e.g., item, price, brand, and time) and discovers hidden ''components'' representing latent groups (e.g., item/brand groups) and their relationship. Thanks to its concise but effective summarization, CubeScope can also detect the sudden appearance of anomalies and identify the types of anomalies that occur in practice. Our proposed method has the following properties: (a) Effective: it captures dynamical multi-aspect patterns, i.e., regimes and components, and statistically summarizes all the events; (b) General: it is practical for successful application to data compression, pattern discovery, and anomaly detection on various types of tensor streams; (c) Scalable: our algorithm does not depend on the length of the data stream and its dimensionality. Extensive experiments on real datasets demonstrate that CubeScope finds meaningful patterns and anomalies correctly, and consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art methods as regards accuracy and execution speed.


Convergence and concentration properties of constant step-size SGD through Markov chains

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Our framework covers both cases provided that each iteration uses new data which is independent from the past. Thanks to its simplicity and efficiency, the SGD algorithm is widely adopted as the go-to approach for stochastic optimization problems in general. Since its first appearance in the seminal work of [73] the theoretical properties of SGD have been investigated in a series of pioneering works [13, 80, 22]. A notable milestone in these theoretical developments was the discovery of Polyak-Ruppert averaging [79, 69] which allows to reduce the impact of noise and improve the convergence rate for certain cases of interest. The subject benefited from a growing attention with the advent of complex machine learning models such as neural networks and a rich literature has appeared to address the surfacing questions about SGD and its numerous variants and use cases [84, 1, 61, 9, 64]. Although the basic definition of the SGD iteration (2) is quite simple, a great number of variations are possible by playing on various aspects among which the choice of step-size is critical.


Last layer state space model for representation learning and uncertainty quantification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

As sequential neural architectures become deeper and more complex, uncertainty estimation is more and more challenging. Efforts in quantifying uncertainty often rely on specific training procedures, and bear additional computational costs due to the dimensionality of such models. In this paper, we propose to decompose a classification or regression task in two steps: a representation learning stage to learn low-dimensional states, and a state space model for uncertainty estimation. This approach allows to separate representation learning and design of generative models. We demonstrate how predictive distributions can be estimated on top of an existing and trained neural network, by adding a state space-based last layer whose parameters are estimated with Sequential Monte Carlo methods. We apply our proposed methodology to the hourly estimation of Electricity Transformer Oil temperature, a publicly benchmarked dataset. Our model accounts for the noisy data structure, due to unknown or unavailable variables, and is able to provide confidence intervals on predictions.


A Bibliographic Study on Artificial Intelligence Research: Global Panorama and Indian Appearance

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The present study identifies and assesses the bibliographic trend in Artificial Intelligence (AI) research for the years 2015-2020 using the science mapping method of bibliometric study. The required data has been collected from the Scopus database. To make the collected data analysis-ready, essential data transformation was performed manually and with the help of a tool viz. OpenRefine. For determining the trend and performing the mapping techniques, top five open access and commercial journals of AI have been chosen based on their citescore driven ranking. The work includes 6880 articles published in the specified period for analysis. The trend is based on Country-wise publications, year-wise publications, topical terms in AI, top-cited articles, prominent authors, major institutions, involvement of industries in AI and Indian appearance. The results show that compared to open access journals; commercial journals have a higher citescore and number of articles published over the years. Additionally, IEEE is the prominent publisher which publishes 84% of the top-cited publications. Further, China and the United States are the major contributors to literature in the AI domain. The study reveals that neural networks and deep learning are the major topics included in top AI research publications. Recently, not only public institutions but also private bodies are investing their resources in AI research. The study also investigates the relative position of Indian researchers in terms of AI research. Present work helps in understanding the initial development, current stand and future direction of AI.