Forward decoding kernel machines (FDKM) combine large-margin classifiers withhidden Markov models (HMM) for maximum a posteriori (MAP) adaptive sequence estimation. State transitions in the sequence are conditioned on observed data using a kernel-based probability model trained with a recursive scheme that deals effectively with noisy and partially labeleddata. Training over very large datasets is accomplished using a sparse probabilistic support vector machine (SVM) model based on quadratic entropy, and an online stochastic steepest descent algorithm. For speaker-independent continuous phone recognition, FDKM trained over 177,080 samples of the TlMIT database achieves 80.6% recognition accuracy over the full test set, without use of a prior phonetic language model. 1 Introduction Sequence estimation is at the core of many problems in pattern recognition, most notably speech and language processing. Recognizing dynamic patterns in sequential data requires a set of tools very different from classifiers trained to recognize static patterns in data assumed i.i.d.

We derive multiplicative updates for solving the nonnegative quadratic programming problem in support vector machines (SVMs). The updates have a simple closed form, and we prove that they converge monotonically tothe solution of the maximum margin hyperplane. The updates optimize the traditionally proposed objective function for SVMs. They do not involve any heuristics such as choosing a learning rate or deciding which variables to update at each iteration. They can be used to adjust all the quadratic programming variables in parallel with a guarantee of improvement ateach iteration. We analyze the asymptotic convergence of the updates and show that the coefficients of nonsupport vectors decay geometrically to zero at a rate that depends on their margins.

Well-known applications include part-of-speech (POS) tagging, named entity classification, information extraction,text segmentation and phoneme classification in text and speech processing [7] as well as problems like protein homology detection, secondary structure prediction or gene classification in computational biology [3]. Up to now, the predominant formalism for modeling and predicting label sequences has been based on Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and variations thereof. Yet, despite its success, generative probabilistic models - of which HMMs are a special case - have two major shortcomings, which this paper is not the first one to point out. First, generative probabilistic models are typically trained using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for a joint sampling model of observation and label sequences. As has been emphasized frequently, MLE based on the joint probability model is inherently non-discriminative and thus may lead to suboptimal prediction accuracy. Secondly, efficient inference and learning in this setting often requires to make questionable conditional independence assumptions.

Greedy importance sampling is an unbiased estimation technique that reduces thevariance of standard importance sampling by explicitly searching for modes in the estimation objective. Previous work has demonstrated thefeasibility of implementing this method and proved that the technique is unbiased in both discrete and continuous domains. In this paper we present a reformulation of greedy importance sampling that eliminates the free parameters from the original estimator, and introduces a new regularization strategy that further reduces variance without compromising unbiasedness.The resulting estimator is shown to be effective for difficult estimation problems arising in Markov random field inference. Inparticular, improvements are achieved over standard MCMC estimators when the distribution has multiple peaked modes.

In this paper we show how the generation of documents can be thought of as a k-stage Markov process, which leads to a Fisher kernel fromwhich the n-gram and string kernels can be reconstructed. The Fisher kernel view gives a more flexible insight into the string kernel and suggests how it can be parametrised in a way that reflects thestatistics of the training corpus. Furthermore, the probabilistic modellingapproach suggests extending the Markov process to consider subsequences of varying length, rather than the standard fixed-length approach used in the string kernel. We give a procedure for determining which subsequences are informative features and hence generate a Finite State Machine model, which can again be used to obtain a Fisher kernel. By adjusting the parametrisation we can also influence the weighting received by the features. In this way we are able to obtain a logarithmic weighting in a Fisher kernel. Finally, experiments are reported comparing the different kernels using the standard Bag of Words kernel as a baseline.

Cortical synaptic plasticity depends on the relative timing of pre-and postsynaptic spikes and also on the temporal pattern of presynaptic spikes and of postsynaptic spikes. We study the hypothesis that cortical synaptic plasticitydoes not associate individual spikes, but rather whole firing episodes,and depends only on when these episodes start and how long they last, but as little as possible on the timing of individual spikes. Here we present the mathematical background for such a study. Standard methodsfrom hidden Markov models are used to define what "firing episodes" are. Estimating the probability of being in such an episode requires not only the knowledge of past spikes, but also of future spikes. We show how to construct a causal learning rule, which depends only on past spikes, but associates pre-and postsynaptic firing episodes as if it also knew future spikes. We also show that this learning rule agrees with some features of synaptic plasticity in superficial layers of rat visual cortex (Froemke and Dan, Nature 416:433, 2002).

We explore the consequences of viewing semantic association as the result of attempting to predict the concepts likely to arise in a particular context. We argue that the success of existing accounts of semantic representation comes as a result of indirectly addressing this problem, and show that a closer correspondence to human data can be obtained by taking a probabilistic approach that explicitly models the generative structure of language.

A wide range of sensor-rich, networked embedded systems are being created that must operate robustly for years in the face of novel failures by managing complex autonomic processes. These systems are being composed, for example, into vast networks of space, air, ground, and underwater vehicles. Our objective is to revolutionize the way in which we control these new artifacts by creating reactive model-based programming languages that enable everyday systems to reason intelligently and enable machines to explore other worlds. A model-based program is state and fault aware; it elevates the programming task to specifying intended state evolutions of a system. The program's executive automatically coordinates system interactions to achieve these states, entertaining known and potential failures, using models of its constituents and environment. At the executive's core is a method, called CONFLICT-DIRECTED A*, which quickly prunes promising but infeasible solutions, using a form of one-shot learning. This approach has been demonstrated on a range of systems, including the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's Deep Space One probe. Model-based programming is being generalized to hybrid discrete-continuous systems and the coordination of networks of robotic vehicles.

Imitation can be viewed as a means of enhancing learning in multiagent environments. It augments an agent's ability to learn useful behaviors by making intelligent use of the knowledge implicit in behaviors demonstrated by cooperative teachers or other more experienced agents. We propose and study a formal model of implicit imitation that can accelerate reinforcement learning dramatically in certain cases. Roughly, by observing a mentor, a reinforcement-learning agent can extract information about its own capabilities in, and the relative value of, unvisited parts of the state space. We study two specific instantiations of this model, one in which the learning agent and the mentor have identical abilities, and one designed to deal with agents and mentors with different action sets. We illustrate the benefits of implicit imitation by integrating it with prioritized sweeping, and demonstrating improved performance and convergence through observation of single and multiple mentors. Though we make some stringent assumptions regarding observability and possible interactions, we briefly comment on extensions of the model that relax these restricitions.

In TAC-00, agent designs were primarily centered around designing algorithms a tripod are sometimes bundled with the camera to solve an NPcomplete optimization and sometimes auctioned separately. However, by the second year, it for the next generation of trading agents, became common knowledge that this problem autonomous bidding in simultaneous auctions was tractable for the TAC travel game parameters. During the second year, agent designs focused Simultaneous auctions, which characterize on estimating clearing prices, and some internet sites such as eBay.com, Agent design in and substitutable goods are on offer. Complementary TAC-02, however, cannot be described so succinctly.