Markov Models
Sr Lead Data Scientist ai-jobs.net
CenturyLink (NYSE: CTL) is the second largest U.S. communications provider to global enterprise customers. With customers in more than 60 countries and an intense focus on the customer experience, CenturyLink strives to be the world's best networking company by solving customers' increased demand for reliable and secure connections. The company also serves as its customers' trusted partner, helping them manage increased network and IT complexity and providing managed network and cyber security solutions that help protect their business. Job Summary Designs, develops and programs methods, processes, and systems to consolidate and analyze unstructured, diverse "big data" sources to generate actionable insights and solutions for client services and product enhancement. Interacts with product and service teams to identify questions and issues for data analysis and experiments.
Flow: A Modular Learning Framework for Autonomy in Traffic
Wu, Cathy, Kreidieh, Aboudy, Parvate, Kanaad, Vinitsky, Eugene, Bayen, Alexandre M
The rapid development of autonomous vehicles (AVs) holds vast potential for transportation systems through improved safety, efficiency, and access to mobility. However, due to numerous technical, political, and human factors challenges, new methodologies are needed to design vehicles and transportation systems for these positive outcomes. This article tackles important technical challenges arising from the partial adoption of autonomy (hence termed mixed autonomy, to involve both AVs and human-driven vehicles): partial control, partial observation, complex multi-vehicle interactions, and the sheer variety of traffic settings represented by real-world networks. To enable the study of the full diversity of traffic settings, we first propose to decompose traffic control tasks into modules, which may be configured and composed to create new control tasks of interest. These modules include salient aspects of traffic control tasks: networks, actors, control laws, metrics, initialization, and additional dynamics. Second, we study the potential of model-free deep Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods to address the complexity of traffic dynamics. The resulting modular learning framework is called Flow. Using Flow, we create and study a variety of mixed-autonomy settings, including single-lane, multi-lane, and intersection traffic. In all cases, the learned control law exceeds human driving performance (measured by system-level velocity) by at least 40% with only 5-10% adoption of AVs. In the case of partially-observed single-lane traffic, we show that a low-parameter neural network control law can eliminate commonly observed stop-and-go traffic. In particular, the control laws surpass all known model-based controllers, achieving near-optimal performance across a wide spectrum of vehicle densities (even with a memoryless control law) and generalizing to out-of-distribution vehicle densities.
Elastic-InfoGAN: Unsupervised Disentangled Representation Learning in Imbalanced Data
Ojha, Utkarsh, Singh, Krishna Kumar, Hsieh, Cho-Jui, Lee, Yong Jae
E LASTIC-I NFOGAN: U NSUPERVISEDD ISENTANGLED R EPRESENTATIONL EARNING IN I MBALANCEDD ATA Utkarsh Ojha 1, Krishna Kumar Singh 1, Cho-Jui Hsieh 2, and Y ong Jae Lee 1 1 University of California, Davis 2 University of California, Los Angeles A BSTRACT We propose a novel unsupervised generative model, Elastic-InfoGAN, that learns to disentangle object identity from other low-level aspects in class-imbalanced datasets. We first investigate the issues surrounding the assumptions about uniformity made by InfoGAN (Chen et al. (2016)), and demonstrate its ineffectiveness to properly disentangle object identity in imbalanced data. Our key idea is to make the discovery of the discrete latent factor of variation invariant to identity-preserving transformations in real images, and use that as the signal to learn the latent distribution's parameters. Experiments on both artificial (MNIST) and real-world (Y ouTube-Faces) datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in imbalanced data by: (i) better disentanglement of object identity as a latent factor of variation; and (ii) better approximation of class imbalance in the data, as reflected in the learned parameters of the latent distribution. Recent deep neural network based models such as Generative Adversarial Networks (Goodfellow et al. (2014); Salimans et al. (2016); Radford et al. (2016)) and V ariational Autoen-coders (Kingma & Welling (2014); Higgins et al. (2017)) have led to promising results in generating realistic samples for high-dimensional and complex data such as images. More advanced models show how to discover disentangled representations (Y an et al. (2016); Chen et al. (2016); Tran et al. (2017); Hu et al. (2018); Singh et al. (2019)), in which different latent dimensions can be made to represent independent factors of variation (e.g., pose, identity) in the data (e.g., human faces). InfoGAN (Chen et al. (2016)) in particular, tries to learn an unsupervised disentangled representation by maximizing the mutual information between the discrete or continuous latent variables and the corresponding generated samples. For discrete latent factors (e.g., digit identities), it assumes that they are uniformly distributed in the data, and approximates them accordingly using a fixed uniform categorical distribution. Although this assumption holds true for many existing benchmark datasets (e.g., MNIST LeCun (1998)), real-word data often follows a long-tailed distribution and rarely exhibits perfect balance between the categories. Indeed, applying InfoGAN on imbalanced data can result in incoherent groupings, since it is forced to discover potentially nonexistent factors that are uniformly distributed in the data; see Figure 1.
Type-aware Convolutional Neural Networks for Slot Filling
Adel, Heike, Schuetze, Hinrich
The slot filling task aims at extracting answers for queries about entities from text, such as "Who founded Apple". In this paper, we focus on the relation classification component of a slot filling system. We propose type-aware convolutional neural networks to benefit from the mutual dependencies between entity and relation classification. In particular, we explore different ways of integrating the named entity types of the relation arguments into a neural network for relation classification, including a joint training and a structured prediction approach. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study on type-aware neural networks for slot filling. The type-aware models lead to the best results of our slot filling pipeline. Joint training performs comparable to structured prediction. To understand the impact of the different components of the slot filling pipeline, we perform a recall analysis, a manual error analysis and several ablation studies. Such analyses are of particular importance to other slot filling researchers since the official slot filling evaluations only assess pipeline outputs. The analyses show that especially coreference resolution and our convolutional neural networks have a large positive impact on the final performance of the slot filling pipeline. The presented models, the source code of our system as well as our coreference resource is publicly available.
Accelerating the Computation of UCB and Related Indices for Reinforcement Learning
Cowan, Wesley, Katehakis, Michael N., Pirutinsky, Daniel
In this paper we derive an efficient method for computing the indices associated with an asymptotically optimal upper confidence bound algorithm (MDP-UCB) of Burnetas and Katehakis (1997) that only requires solving a system of two non-linear equations with two unknowns, irrespective of the cardinality of the state space of the Markovian decision process (MDP). In addition, we develop a similar acceleration for computing the indices for the MDP-Deterministic Minimum Empirical Divergence (MDP-DMED) algorithm developed in Cowan et al. (2019), based on ideas from Honda and Takemura (2011), that involves solving a single equation of one variable. We provide experimental results demonstrating the computational time savings and regret performance of these algorithms. In these comparison we also consider the Optimistic Linear Programming (OLP) algorithm (Tewari and Bartlett, 2008) and a method based on Posterior sampling (MDP-PS).
Identifying Low-Dimensional Structures in Markov Chains: A Nonnegative Matrix Factorization Approach
Ghasemi, Mahsa, Hashemi, Abolfazl, Vikalo, Haris, Topcu, Ufuk
A variety of queries about stochastic systems boil down to study of Markov chains and their properties. If the Markov chain is large, as is typically true for discretized continuous spaces, such analysis may be computationally intractable. Nevertheless, in many scenarios, Markov chains have underlying structural properties that allow them to admit a low-dimensional representation. For instance, the transition matrix associated with the model may be low-rank and hence, representable in a lower-dimensional space. We consider the problem of learning low-dimensional representations for large-scale Markov chains. To that end, we formulate the task of representation learning as that of mapping the state space of the model to a low-dimensional state space, referred to as the kernel space. The kernel space contains a set of meta states which are desired to be representative of only a small subset of original states. To promote this structural property, we constrain the number of nonzero entries of the mappings between the state space and the kernel space. By imposing the desired characteristics of the structured representation, we cast the problem as the task of nonnegative matrix factorization. To compute the solution, we propose an efficient block coordinate gradient descent and theoretically analyze its convergence properties. Our extensive simulation results demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed algorithm in terms of the quality of the low-dimensional representation as well as its computational cost.
Dual Sequential Monte Carlo: Tunneling Filtering and Planning in Continuous POMDPs
Wang, Yunbo, Liu, Bo, Wu, Jiajun, Zhu, Yuke, Du, Simon S., Fei-Fei, Li, Tenenbaum, Joshua B.
We present the DualSMC network that solves continuous POMDPs by learning belief representations and then leveraging them for planning. It is based on the fact that filtering, i.e. state estimation, and planning can be viewed as two related sequential Monte Carlo processes, with one in the belief space and the other in the future planning trajectory space. In particular, we first introduce a novel particle filter network that makes better use of the adversarial relationship between the proposer model and the observation model. We then introduce a new planning algorithm over the belief representations, which learns uncertainty-dependent policies. We allow these two parts to be trained jointly with each other. We testify the effectiveness of our approach on three continuous control and planning tasks: the floor positioning, the 3D light-dark navigation, and a modified Reacher task.
Risk-Averse Planning Under Uncertainty
Ahmadi, Mohamadreza, Ono, Masahiro, Ingham, Michel D., Murray, Richard M., Ames, Aaron D.
Mohamadreza Ahmadi, Masahiro Ono, Michel D. Ingham, Richard M. Murray, and Aaron D. Ames Abstract -- We consider the problem of designing policies for partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with dynamic coherent risk objectives. Synthesizing risk-averse optimal policies for POMDPs requires infinite memory and thus undecidable. T o overcome this difficulty, we propose a method based on bounded policy iteration for designing stochastic but finite state (memory) controllers, which takes advantage of standard convex optimization methods. Given a memory budget and optimality criterion, the proposed method modifies the stochastic finite state controller leading to sub-optimal solutions with lower coherent risk. I NTRODUCTION With the rise of autonomous systems being deployed in real-world settings, the associated risk that stems from unknown and unforeseen circumstances is correspondingly on the rise. In particular, in safety-critical scenarios, such as aerospace applications, decision making should account for risk. For example, spacecraft control technology relies heavily on a relatively large and highly skilled mission operations team that generates detailed time-ordered and event-driven sequences of commands. This approach will not be viable in the future with increasing number of missions and a desire to limit the operations team and Deep Space Network (DSN) costs.
Action Selection for MDPs: Anytime AO* vs. UCT
In the presence of non-admissible heuristics, A* and other best-first algorithms can be converted into anytime optimal algorithms over OR graphs, by simply continuing the search after the first solution is found. The same trick, however, does not work for best-first algorithms over AND/OR graphs, that must be able to expand leaf nodes of the explicit graph that are not necessarily part of the best partial solution. Anytime optimal variants of AO* must thus address an exploration-exploitation tradeoff: they cannot just "exploit", they must keep exploring as well. In this work, we develop one such variant of AO* and apply it to finite-horizon MDPs. This Anytime AO* algorithm eventually delivers an optimal policy while using non-admissible random heuristics that can be sampled, as when the heuristic is the cost of a base policy that can be sampled with rollouts. We then test Anytime AO* for action selection over large infinite-horizon MDPs that cannot be solved with existing off-line heuristic search and dynamic programming algorithms, and compare it with UCT. Introduction One of the natural approaches for selecting actions in very large state spaces is by performing a limited amount of lookahead. In the contexts of discounted MDPs, Kearns, Mansour, and Ng have shown that near to optimal actions can be selected by considering a sampled lookahead tree that is sufficiently sparse, whose size depends on the discount factor and the suboptimality bound but not on the number of problem states (Kearns, Mansour, and Ng 1999).
Dynamic Search -- Optimizing the Game of Information Seeking
This article presents the emerging topic of dynamic search (DS). To position dynamic search in a larger research landscape, the article discusses in detail its relationship to related research topics and disciplines. The article reviews approaches to modeling dynamics during information seeking, with an emphasis on Reinforcement Learning (RL)-enabled methods. Details are given for how different approaches are used to model interactions among the human user, the search system, and the environment. The paper ends with a review of evaluations of dynamic search systems.