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 Markov Models


Reducing Planning Complexity of General Reinforcement Learning with Non-Markovian Abstractions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The field of General Reinforcement Learning (GRL) formulates the problem of sequential decision-making from ground up. The history of interaction constitutes a "ground" state of the system, which never repeats. On the one hand, this generality allows GRL to model almost every domain possible, e.g.\ Bandits, MDPs, POMDPs, PSRs, and history-based environments. On the other hand, in general, the near-optimal policies in GRL are functions of complete history, which hinders not only learning but also planning in GRL. The usual way around for the planning part is that the agent is given a Markovian abstraction of the underlying process. So, it can use any MDP planning algorithm to find a near-optimal policy. The Extreme State Aggregation (ESA) framework has extended this idea to non-Markovian abstractions without compromising on the possibility of planning through a (surrogate) MDP. A distinguishing feature of ESA is that it proves an upper bound of $O\left(\varepsilon^{-A} \cdot (1-\gamma)^{-2A}\right)$ on the number of states required for the surrogate MDP (where $A$ is the number of actions, $\gamma$ is the discount-factor, and $\varepsilon$ is the optimality-gap) which holds \emph{uniformly} for \emph{all} domains. While the possibility of a universal bound is quite remarkable, we show that this bound is very loose. We propose a novel non-MDP abstraction which allows for a much better upper bound of $O\left(\varepsilon^{-1} \cdot (1-\gamma)^{-2} \cdot A \cdot 2^{A}\right)$. Furthermore, we show that this bound can be improved further to $O\left(\varepsilon^{-1} \cdot (1-\gamma)^{-2} \cdot \log^3 A \right)$ by using an action-sequentialization method.


Application of Markov Structure of Genomes to Outlier Identification and Read Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

That the sequential structure of genomes is important has been known since the discovery of DNA. In this paper we employ a statistics and stochastic process perspective on triplets of successive bases to address two important applications: identifying outliers in genome databases, and classifying reads in the metagenomic context of reference-guided assembly. From this stochastic process perspective, triplets are a second-order Markov chain specified by the distribution of each base conditional on its two immediate predecessors. To be sure, studying genomes via base sequence distributions is not novel. Previous papers have addressed genome signatures (Karlin et al., 1997; Campbell et al., 1999; Takashi et al., 2003), as well as frequentist (Rosen et al., 2008) and Bayesian (Wang et al., 2007) approaches to classification problems.


Optimal and instance-dependent guarantees for Markovian linear stochastic approximation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study stochastic approximation procedures for approximately solving a $d$-dimensional linear fixed point equation based on observing a trajectory of length $n$ from an ergodic Markov chain. We first exhibit a non-asymptotic bound of the order $t_{\mathrm{mix}} \tfrac{d}{n}$ on the squared error of the last iterate of a standard scheme, where $t_{\mathrm{mix}}$ is a mixing time. We then prove a non-asymptotic instance-dependent bound on a suitably averaged sequence of iterates, with a leading term that matches the local asymptotic minimax limit, including sharp dependence on the parameters $(d, t_{\mathrm{mix}})$ in the higher order terms. We complement these upper bounds with a non-asymptotic minimax lower bound that establishes the instance-optimality of the averaged SA estimator. We derive corollaries of these results for policy evaluation with Markov noise -- covering the TD($\lambda$) family of algorithms for all $\lambda \in [0, 1)$ -- and linear autoregressive models. Our instance-dependent characterizations open the door to the design of fine-grained model selection procedures for hyperparameter tuning (e.g., choosing the value of $\lambda$ when running the TD($\lambda$) algorithm).


Entropy-Regularized Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We investigate partially observed Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with cost functions regularized by entropy terms describing state, observation, and control uncertainty. Standard POMDP techniques are shown to offer bounded-error solutions to these entropy-regularized POMDPs, with exact solutions when the regularization involves the joint entropy of the state, observation, and control trajectories. Our joint-entropy result is particularly surprising since it constitutes a novel, tractable formulation of active state estimation. Partially observed Markov decision processes (POMDPs) and Markov decision processes (MDPs) with information-theoretic costs have attracted widespread attention across the technical disciplines of systems and control [2]-[5], computer science [6]-[8], signal processing [9]-[12], and robotics [13]-[15]. Interest in such POMDPs has been driven, in large part, by active state estimation problems in which informationtheoretic costs describing the uncertainty about latent states are minimized in order to aid or enhance the performance of state estimation algorithms [5], [6], [9], [10].


Evaluating the Robustness of Deep Reinforcement Learning for Autonomous and Adversarial Policies in a Multi-agent Urban Driving Environment

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep reinforcement learning is actively used for training autonomous driving agents in a vision-based urban simulated environment. Due to the large availability of various reinforcement learning algorithms, we are still unsure of which one works better while training autonomous cars in single-agent as well as multi-agent driving environments. A comparison of deep reinforcement learning in vision-based autonomous driving will open up the possibilities for training better autonomous car policies. Also, autonomous cars trained on deep reinforcement learning-based algorithms are known for being vulnerable to adversarial attacks, and we have less information on which algorithms would act as a good adversarial agent. In this work, we provide a systematic evaluation and comparative analysis of 6 deep reinforcement learning algorithms for autonomous and adversarial driving in four-way intersection scenario. Specifically, we first train autonomous cars using state-of-the-art deep reinforcement learning algorithms. Second, we test driving capabilities of the trained autonomous policies in single-agent as well as multi-agent scenarios. Lastly, we use the same deep reinforcement learning algorithms to train adversarial driving agents, in order to test the driving performance of autonomous cars and look for possible collision and offroad driving scenarios. We perform experiments by using vision-only high fidelity urban driving simulated environments.


Adversarial Deep Reinforcement Learning for Trustworthy Autonomous Driving Policies

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep reinforcement learning is widely used to train autonomous cars in a simulated environment. Still, autonomous cars are well known for being vulnerable when exposed to adversarial attacks. This raises the question of whether we can train the adversary as a driving agent for finding failure scenarios in autonomous cars, and then retrain autonomous cars with new adversarial inputs to improve their robustness. In this work, we first train and compare adversarial car policy on two custom reward functions to test the driving control decision of autonomous cars in a multi-agent setting. Second, we verify that adversarial examples can be used not only for finding unwanted autonomous driving behavior, but also for helping autonomous driving cars in improving their deep reinforcement learning policies. By using a high fidelity urban driving simulation environment and vision-based driving agents, we demonstrate that the autonomous cars retrained using the adversary player noticeably increase the performance of their driving policies in terms of reducing collision and offroad steering errors.


Why generalization in RL is difficult: epistemic POMDPs and implicit partial observability

AIHub

Many experimental works have observed that generalization in deep RL appears to be difficult: although RL agents can learn to perform very complex tasks, they don't seem to generalize over diverse task distributions as well as the excellent generalization of supervised deep nets might lead us to expect. In this blog post, we will aim to explain why generalization in RL is fundamentally harder, and indeed more difficult even in theory. We will show that attempting to generalize in RL induces implicit partial observability, even when the RL problem we are trying to solve is a standard fully-observed MDP. This induced partial observability can significantly complicate the types of policies needed to generalize well, potentially requiring counterintuitive strategies like information-gathering actions, recurrent non-Markovian behavior, or randomized strategies. Ordinarily, this is not necessary in fully observed MDPs but surprisingly becomes necessary when we consider generalization from a finite training set in a fully observed MDP.


Do Androids Dream of Electric Fences? Safety-Aware Reinforcement Learning with Latent Shielding

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The growing trend of fledgling reinforcement learning systems making their way into real-world applications has been accompanied by growing concerns for their safety and robustness. In recent years, a variety of approaches have been put forward to address the challenges of safety-aware reinforcement learning; however, these methods often either require a handcrafted model of the environment to be provided beforehand, or that the environment is relatively simple and low-dimensional. We present a novel approach to safety-aware deep reinforcement learning in high-dimensional environments called latent shielding. Latent shielding leverages internal representations of the environment learnt by model-based agents to "imagine" future trajectories and avoid those deemed unsafe. We experimentally demonstrate that this approach leads to improved adherence to formally-defined safety specifications.


An Alternate Policy Gradient Estimator for Softmax Policies

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Policy gradient (PG) estimators for softmax policies are ineffective with sub-optimally saturated initialization, which happens when the density concentrates on a sub-optimal action. Sub-optimal policy saturation may arise from bad policy initialization or sudden changes in the environment that occur after the policy has already converged, and softmax PG estimators require a large number of updates to recover an effective policy. This severe issue causes high sample inefficiency and poor adaptability to new situations. To mitigate this problem, we propose a novel policy gradient estimator for softmax policies that utilizes the bias in the critic estimate and the noise present in the reward signal to escape the saturated regions of the policy parameter space. Our analysis and experiments, conducted on bandits and classical MDP benchmarking tasks, show that our estimator is more robust to policy saturation.


Task-oriented Dialogue Systems: performance vs. quality-optima, a review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Task-oriented dialogue systems (TODS) are continuing to rise in popularity as various industries find ways to effectively harness their capabilities, saving both time and money. However, even state-of-the-art TODS are not yet reaching their full potential. TODS typically have a primary design focus on completing the task at hand, so the metric of task-resolution should take priority. Other conversational quality attributes that may point to the success, or otherwise, of the dialogue, may be ignored. This can cause interactions between human and dialogue system that leave the user dissatisfied or frustrated. This paper explores the literature on evaluative frameworks of dialogue systems and the role of conversational quality attributes in dialogue systems, looking at if, how, and where they are utilised, and examining their correlation with the performance of the dialogue system.