Online selection of optimal waveforms for target tracking with active sensors has long been a problem of interest. Many conventional solutions utilize an estimation-theoretic interpretation, in which a waveform-specific Cram\'{e}r-Rao lower bound on measurement error is used to select the optimal waveform for each tracking step. However, this approach is only valid in the high SNR regime, and requires a rather restrictive set of assumptions regarding the target motion and measurement models. Further, due to computational concerns, many traditional approaches are limited to near-term, or myopic, optimization, even though radar scenes exhibit strong temporal correlation. More recently, reinforcement learning has been proposed for waveform selection, in which the problem is framed as a Markov decision process (MDP), allowing for long-term planning. However, a major limitation of reinforcement learning is that the memory length of the underlying Markov process is often unknown for realistic target and channel dynamics, and a more general framework is desirable. This work develops a universal sequential waveform selection scheme which asymptotically achieves Bellman optimality in any radar scene which can be modeled as a $U^{\text{th}}$ order Markov process for a finite, but unknown, integer $U$. Our approach is based on well-established tools from the field of universal source coding, where a stationary source is parsed into variable length phrases in order to build a context-tree, which is used as a probabalistic model for the scene's behavior. We show that an algorithm based on a multi-alphabet version of the Context-Tree Weighting (CTW) method can be used to optimally solve a broad class of waveform-agile tracking problems while making minimal assumptions about the environment's behavior.

We study a novel setting in offline reinforcement learning (RL) where a number of distributed machines jointly cooperate to solve the problem but only one single round of communication is allowed and there is a budget constraint on the total number of information (in terms of bits) that each machine can send out. For value function prediction in contextual bandits, and both episodic and non-episodic MDPs, we establish information-theoretic lower bounds on the minimax risk for distributed statistical estimators; this reveals the minimum amount of communication required by any offline RL algorithms. Specifically, for contextual bandits, we show that the number of bits must scale at least as $\Omega(AC)$ to match the centralised minimax optimal rate, where $A$ is the number of actions and $C$ is the context dimension; meanwhile, we reach similar results in the MDP settings. Furthermore, we develop learning algorithms based on least-squares estimates and Monte-Carlo return estimates and provide a sharp analysis showing that they can achieve optimal risk up to logarithmic factors. Additionally, we also show that temporal difference is unable to efficiently utilise information from all available devices under the single-round communication setting due to the initial bias of this method. To our best knowledge, this paper presents the first minimax lower bounds for distributed offline RL problems.

We consider stochastic optimization problems where data is drawn from a Markov chain. Existing methods for this setting crucially rely on knowing the mixing time of the chain, which in real-world applications is usually unknown. We propose the first optimization method that does not require the knowledge of the mixing time, yet obtains the optimal asymptotic convergence rate when applied to convex problems. We further show that our approach can be extended to: (i) finding stationary points in non-convex optimization with Markovian data, and (ii) obtaining better dependence on the mixing time in temporal difference (TD) learning; in both cases, our method is completely oblivious to the mixing time. Our method relies on a novel combination of multi-level Monte Carlo (MLMC) gradient estimation together with an adaptive learning method.

The ability of an agent to change its objectives in response to unexpected events is desirable in dynamic environments. In order to provide this capability to hierarchical task network (HTN) planning, we propose an extension of the paradigm called task modifiers, which are functions that receive a task list and a state and produce a new task list. We focus on a particular type of problems in which planning and execution are interleaved and the ability to handle exogenous events is crucial. To determine the efficacy of this approach, we evaluate the performance of our task modifier implementation in two environments, one of which is a simulation that differs substantially from traditional HTN domains.

In recent years, symbolic regression has been of wide interest to provide an interpretable symbolic representation of potentially large data relationships. Initially circled to genetic algorithms, symbolic regression methods now include a variety of Deep Learning based alternatives. However, these methods still do not generalize well to real-world data, mainly because they hardly include domain knowledge nor consider physical relationships between variables such as known equations and units. Regarding these issues, we propose a Reinforcement-Based Grammar-Guided Symbolic Regression (RBG2-SR) method that constrains the representational space with domain-knowledge using context-free grammar as reinforcement action space. We detail a Partially-Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) modeling of the problem and benchmark our approach against state-of-the-art methods. We also analyze the POMDP state definition and propose a physical equation search use case on which we compare our approach to grammar-based and non-grammarbased symbolic regression methods. The experiment results show that our method is competitive against other state-of-the-art methods on the benchmarks and offers the best error-complexity trade-off, highlighting the interest of using a grammar-based method in a real-world scenario.

Decentralized partially observable Markov decision processes (Dec-POMDPs) provide a general model for decision-making under uncertainty in cooperative decentralized settings, but are difficult to solve optimally (NEXP-Complete). As a new way of solving these problems, we recently introduced a method for transforming a Dec-POMDP into a continuous-state deterministic MDP with a piecewise-linear and convex value function. This new Dec-POMDP formulation, which we call an occupancy MDP, allows powerful POMDP and continuous-state MDP methods to be used for the first time. However, scalability remains limited when the number of agents or problem variables becomes large. In this paper, we show that, under certain separability conditions of the optimal value function, the scalability of this approach can increase considerably. This separability is present when there is locality of interaction between agents, which can be exploited to improve performance. Unlike most previous methods, the novel continuous-state MDP algorithm retains optimality and convergence guarantees. Results show that the extension using separability can scale to a large number of agents and domain variables while maintaining optimality.

The task of machine condition monitoring is to detect machine failures at an early stage such that maintenance can be carried out in a timely manner. Most existing techniques are supervised approaches: they require user annotated training data to learn normal and faulty behaviors of a machine. However, such supervision can be difficult to acquire. In contrast, unsupervised methods don't need much human involvement, however, they face another challenge: how to model the generative (observation) process of sensor signals. We propose an unsupervised approach based on segmental hidden Markov models.

One prominent way to deal with conflicting view-points among agents is to conduct an argumentative debate: by exchanging arguments, agents can seek to persuade each other. In this paper we investigate the problem, for an agent, of optimizing a sequence of moves to be put forward in a debate, against an opponent assumed to behave stochastically, and equipped with an unknown initial belief state. Despite the prohibitive number of states induced by a naive mapping to Markov models, we show that exploiting several features of such interaction settings allows for optimal resolution in practice, in particular: (1) as debates take place in a public space (or common ground), they can readily be modelled as Mixed Observability Markov Decision Processes, (2) as argumentation problems are highly structured, one can design optimization techniques to prune the initial instance. We report on the experimental evaluation of these techniques.

In this paper we adopt Skew Symmetric Bilinear (SSB) utility functions to compare policies in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). By considering pairs of alternatives, SSB utility theory generalizes von Neumann and Morgenstern's expected utility (EU) theory to encompass rational decision behaviors that EU cannot accommodate. We provide a game-theoretic analysis of the problem of identifying an SSB-optimal policy in finite horizon MDPs and propose an algorithm based on a double oracle approach for computing an optimal (possibly randomized) policy. Finally, we present and discuss experimental results where SSB-optimal policies are computed for a popular TV contest according to several instantiations of SSB utility functions.

We propose a model, Lexicographic Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (LPOMDP), which extends POMDPs with lexicographic preferences over multiple value functions. It allows for slack--slightly less-than-optimal values--for higher-priority preferences to facilitate improvement in lower-priority value functions. Many real life situations are naturally captured by LPOMDPs with slack. We consider a semi-autonomous driving scenario in which time spent on the road is minimized, while maximizing time spent driving autonomously. We propose two solutions to LPOMDPs--Lexicographic Value Iteration (LVI) and Lexicographic Point-Based Value Iteration (LPBVI), establishing convergence results and correctness within strong slack bounds. We test the algorithms using real-world road data provided by Open Street Map (OSM) within 10 major cities. Finally, we present GPU-based optimizations for point-based solvers, demonstrating that their application enables us to quickly solve vastly larger LPOMDPs and other variations of POMDPs.