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 Markov Models


Multi-Agent Exploration of an Unknown Sparse Landmark Complex via Deep Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years Landmark Complexes have been successfully employed for localization-free and metric-free autonomous exploration using a group of sensing-limited and communication-limited robots in a GPS-denied environment. To ensure rapid and complete exploration, existing works make assumptions on the density and distribution of landmarks in the environment. These assumptions may be overly restrictive, especially in hazardous environments where landmarks may be destroyed or completely missing. In this paper, we first propose a deep reinforcement learning framework for multi-agent cooperative exploration in environments with sparse landmarks while reducing client-server communication. By leveraging recent development on partial observability and credit assignment, our framework can train the exploration policy efficiently for multi-robot systems. The policy receives individual rewards from actions based on a proximity sensor with limited range and resolution, which is combined with group rewards to encourage collaborative exploration and construction of the Landmark Complex through observation of 0-, 1- and 2-dimensional simplices. In addition, we employ a three-stage curriculum learning strategy to mitigate the reward sparsity by gradually adding random obstacles and destroying random landmarks. Experiments in simulation demonstrate that our method outperforms the state-of-the-art landmark complex exploration method in efficiency among different environments with sparse landmarks.


Adaptive Risk-Tendency: Nano Drone Navigation in Cluttered Environments with Distributional Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Enabling the capability of assessing risk and making risk-aware decisions is essential to applying reinforcement learning to safety-critical robots like drones. In this paper, we investigate a specific case where a nano quadcopter robot learns to navigate an apriori-unknown cluttered environment under partial observability. We present a distributional reinforcement learning framework to generate adaptive risk-tendency policies. Specifically, we propose to use lower tail conditional variance of the learnt return distribution as intrinsic uncertainty estimation, and use exponentially weighted average forecasting (EWAF) to adapt the risk-tendency in accordance with the estimated uncertainty. In simulation and real-world empirical results, we show that (1) the most effective risk-tendency vary across states, (2) the agent with adaptive risk-tendency achieves superior performance compared to risk-neutral policy or risk-averse policy baselines.


Off-Policy Risk Assessment in Markov Decision Processes

#artificialintelligence

Addressing such diverse ends as safety alignment with human preferences, and the efficiency of learning, a growing line of reinforcement learning research focuses on risk functionals that depend on the entire distribution of returns. Recent work on \emph{off-policy risk assessment} (OPRA) for contextual bandits introduced consistent estimators for the target policy's CDF of returns along with finite sample guarantees that extend to (and hold simultaneously over) all risk. In this paper, we lift OPRA to Markov decision processes (MDPs), where importance sampling (IS) CDF estimators suffer high variance on longer trajectories due to small effective sample size. To mitigate these problems, we incorporate model-based estimation to develop the first doubly robust (DR) estimator for the CDF of returns in MDPs. This estimator enjoys significantly less variance and, when the model is well specified, achieves the Cramer-Rao variance lower bound. Moreover, for many risk functionals, the downstream estimates enjoy both lower bias and lower variance. Additionally, we derive the first minimax lower bounds for off-policy CDF and risk estimation, which match our error bounds up to a constant factor. Finally, we demonstrate the precision of our DR CDF estimates experimentally on several different environments.


Reactive Exploration to Cope with Non-Stationarity in Lifelong Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In lifelong learning, an agent learns throughout its entire life without resets, in a constantly changing environment, as we humans do. Consequently, lifelong learning comes with a plethora of research problems such as continual domain shifts, which result in non-stationary rewards and environment dynamics. These non-stationarities are difficult to detect and cope with due to their continuous nature. Therefore, exploration strategies and learning methods are required that are capable of tracking the steady domain shifts, and adapting to them. We propose Reactive Exploration to track and react to continual domain shifts in lifelong reinforcement learning, and to update the policy correspondingly. To this end, we conduct experiments in order to investigate different exploration strategies. We empirically show that representatives of the policy-gradient family are better suited for lifelong learning, as they adapt more quickly to distribution shifts than Q-learning. Thereby, policy-gradient methods profit the most from Reactive Exploration and show good results in lifelong learning with continual domain shifts. Our code is available at: https://github.com/ml-jku/reactive-exploration.


SCALES: From Fairness Principles to Constrained Decision-Making

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper proposes SCALES, a general framework that translates well-established fairness principles into a common representation based on the Constraint Markov Decision Process (CMDP). With the help of causal language, our framework can place constraints on both the procedure of decision making (procedural fairness) as well as the outcomes resulting from decisions (outcome fairness). Specifically, we show that well-known fairness principles can be encoded either as a utility component, a non-causal component, or a causal component in a SCALES-CMDP. We illustrate SCALES using a set of case studies involving a simulated healthcare scenario and the real-world COMPAS dataset. Experiments demonstrate that our framework produces fair policies that embody alternative fairness principles in single-step and sequential decision-making scenarios.


Protein language models trained on multiple sequence alignments learn phylogenetic relationships

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The explosion of available biological sequence data has led to multiple computational approaches aiming to infer three-dimensional structure, biological function, fitness, and evolutionary history of proteins from sequence data [1, 2]. Recently, self-supervised deep learning models based on natural language processing methods, especially attention [3] and transformers [4], have been trained on large ensembles of protein sequences by means of the masked language modeling objective of filling in masked amino acids in a sequence, given the surrounding ones [5-10]. These models, which capture longrange dependencies, learn rich representations of protein sequences, and can be employed for multiple tasks. In particular, they can predict structural contacts from single sequences in an unsupervised way [7], presumably by transferring knowledge from their large training set [11]. Neural network architectures based on attention are also employed in the Evoformer blocks in AlphaFold [12], as well as in RoseTTAFold [13] and RGN2 [14], and they contributed to the recent breakthrough in the supervised prediction of protein structure. Protein sequences can be classified in families of homologous proteins, that descend from an ancestral protein and share a similar structure and function. Analyzing multiple sequence alignments (MSAs) of homologous proteins thus provides substantial information about functional and structural constraints [1]. The statistics of MSA columns, representing amino-acid sites, allow to identify functional residues that are conserved during evolution, and correlations of amino-acid usage between columns contain key information about functional sectors and structural contacts [15-18]. Indeed, through the course of evolution, contacting amino acids need to maintain their physico-chemical complementarity, which leads to correlated amino-acid usages at these sites: this is known as coevolution.


Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes in Robotics: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Noisy sensing, imperfect control, and environment changes are defining characteristics of many real-world robot tasks. The partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) provides a principled mathematical framework for modeling and solving robot decision and control tasks under uncertainty. Over the last decade, it has seen many successful applications, spanning localization and navigation, search and tracking, autonomous driving, multi-robot systems, manipulation, and human-robot interaction. This survey aims to bridge the gap between the development of POMDP models and algorithms at one end and application to diverse robot decision tasks at the other. It analyzes the characteristics of these tasks and connects them with the mathematical and algorithmic properties of the POMDP framework for effective modeling and solution. For practitioners, the survey provides some of the key task characteristics in deciding when and how to apply POMDPs to robot tasks successfully. For POMDP algorithm designers, the survey provides new insights into the unique challenges of applying POMDPs to robot systems and points to promising new directions for further research.


LCRL: Certified Policy Synthesis via Logically-Constrained Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

LCRL is a software tool that implements model-free Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms over unknown Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), synthesising policies that satisfy a given linear temporal specification with maximal probability. LCRL leverages partially deterministic finite-state machines known as Limit Deterministic Buchi Automata (LDBA) to express a given linear temporal specification. A reward function for the RL algorithm is shaped on-the-fly, based on the structure of the LDBA. Theoretical guarantees under proper assumptions ensure the convergence of the RL algorithm to an optimal policy that maximises the satisfaction probability. We present case studies to demonstrate the applicability, ease of use, scalability, and performance of LCRL. Owing to the LDBA-guided exploration and LCRL model-free architecture, we observe robust performance, which also scales well when compared to standard RL approaches (whenever applicable to LTL specifications). Full instructions on how to execute all the case studies in this paper are provided on a GitHub page that accompanies the LCRL distribution www.github.com/grockious/lcrl.


Off-Policy Risk Assessment in Markov Decision Processes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Addressing such diverse ends as safety alignment with human preferences, and the efficiency of learning, a growing line of reinforcement learning research focuses on risk functionals that depend on the entire distribution of returns. Recent work on \emph{off-policy risk assessment} (OPRA) for contextual bandits introduced consistent estimators for the target policy's CDF of returns along with finite sample guarantees that extend to (and hold simultaneously over) all risk. In this paper, we lift OPRA to Markov decision processes (MDPs), where importance sampling (IS) CDF estimators suffer high variance on longer trajectories due to small effective sample size. To mitigate these problems, we incorporate model-based estimation to develop the first doubly robust (DR) estimator for the CDF of returns in MDPs. This estimator enjoys significantly less variance and, when the model is well specified, achieves the Cramer-Rao variance lower bound. Moreover, for many risk functionals, the downstream estimates enjoy both lower bias and lower variance. Additionally, we derive the first minimax lower bounds for off-policy CDF and risk estimation, which match our error bounds up to a constant factor. Finally, we demonstrate the precision of our DR CDF estimates experimentally on several different environments.


Bayesian regularization of empirical MDPs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In most applications of model-based Markov decision processes, the parameters for the unknown underlying model are often estimated from the empirical data. Due to noise, the policy learnedfrom the estimated model is often far from the optimal policy of the underlying model. When applied to the environment of the underlying model, the learned policy results in suboptimal performance, thus calling for solutions with better generalization performance. In this work we take a Bayesian perspective and regularize the objective function of the Markov decision process with prior information in order to obtain more robust policies. Two approaches are proposed, one based on $L^1$ regularization and the other on relative entropic regularization. We evaluate our proposed algorithms on synthetic simulations and on real-world search logs of a large scale online shopping store. Our results demonstrate the robustness of regularized MDP policies against the noise present in the models.