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 Markov Models


Spectral Statistics of the Sample Covariance Matrix for High Dimensional Linear Gaussians

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Performance of ordinary least squares(OLS) method for the \emph{estimation of high dimensional stable state transition matrix} $A$(i.e., spectral radius $\rho(A)<1$) from a single noisy observed trajectory of the linear time invariant(LTI)\footnote{Linear Gaussian (LG) in Markov chain literature} system $X_{-}:(x_0,x_1, \ldots,x_{N-1})$ satisfying \begin{equation} x_{t+1}=Ax_{t}+w_{t}, \hspace{10pt} \text{ where } w_{t} \thicksim N(0,I_{n}), \end{equation} heavily rely on negative moments of the sample covariance matrix: $(X_{-}X_{-}^{*})=\sum_{i=0}^{N-1}x_{i}x_{i}^{*}$ and singular values of $EX_{-}^{*}$, where $E$ is a rectangular Gaussian ensemble $E=[w_0, \ldots, w_{N-1}]$. Negative moments requires sharp estimates on all the eigenvalues $\lambda_{1}\big(X_{-}X_{-}^{*}\big) \geq \ldots \geq \lambda_{n}\big(X_{-}X_{-}^{*}\big) \geq 0$. Leveraging upon recent results on spectral theorem for non-Hermitian operators in \cite{naeem2023spectral}, along with concentration of measure phenomenon and perturbation theory(Gershgorins' and Cauchys' interlacing theorem) we show that only when $A=A^{*}$, typical order of $\lambda_{j}\big(X_{-}X_{-}^{*}\big) \in \big[N-n\sqrt{N}, N+n\sqrt{N}\big]$ for all $j \in [n]$. However, in \emph{high dimensions} when $A$ has only one distinct eigenvalue $\lambda$ with geometric multiplicity of one, then as soon as eigenvalue leaves \emph{complex half unit disc}, largest eigenvalue suffers from curse of dimensionality: $\lambda_{1}\big(X_{-}X_{-}^{*}\big)=\Omega\big( \lfloor\frac{N}{n}\rfloor e^{\alpha_{\lambda}n} \big)$, while smallest eigenvalue $\lambda_{n}\big(X_{-}X_{-}^{*}\big) \in (0, N+\sqrt{N}]$. Consequently, OLS estimator incurs a \emph{phase transition} and becomes \emph{transient: increasing iteration only worsens estimation error}, all of this happening when the dynamics are generated from stable systems.


A Scalable MARL Solution for Scheduling in Conflict Graphs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper proposes a fully scalable multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) approach for packet scheduling in conflict graphs, aiming to minimizing average packet delays. Each agent autonomously manages the schedule of a single link over one or multiple sub-bands, considering its own state and states of conflicting links. The problem can be conceptualized as a decentralized partially observable Markov decision process (Dec-POMDP). The proposed solution leverages an on-policy reinforcement learning algorithms multi-agent proximal policy optimization (MAPPO) within a multi-agent networked system, incorporating advanced recurrent structures in the neural network. The MARL design allows for fully decentralized training and execution, seamlessly scaling to very large networks. Extensive simulations across a diverse range of conflict graphs demonstrate that the proposed solution compares favorably to well-established schedulers in terms of both throughput and delay under various traffic conditions.


A Comprehensive Survey on Multi-modal Conversational Emotion Recognition with Deep Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multi-modal conversation emotion recognition (MCER) aims to recognize and track the speaker's emotional state using text, speech, and visual information in the conversation scene. Analyzing and studying MCER issues is significant to affective computing, intelligent recommendations, and human-computer interaction fields. Unlike the traditional single-utterance multi-modal emotion recognition or single-modal conversation emotion recognition, MCER is a more challenging problem that needs to deal with more complex emotional interaction relationships. The critical issue is learning consistency and complementary semantics for multi-modal feature fusion based on emotional interaction relationships. To solve this problem, people have conducted extensive research on MCER based on deep learning technology, but there is still a lack of systematic review of the modeling methods. Therefore, a timely and comprehensive overview of MCER's recent advances in deep learning is of great significance to academia and industry. In this survey, we provide a comprehensive overview of MCER modeling methods and roughly divide MCER methods into four categories, i.e., context-free modeling, sequential context modeling, speaker-differentiated modeling, and speaker-relationship modeling. In addition, we further discuss MCER's publicly available popular datasets, multi-modal feature extraction methods, application areas, existing challenges, and future development directions. We hope that our review can help MCER researchers understand the current research status in emotion recognition, provide some inspiration, and develop more efficient models.


Keyword spotting -- Detecting commands in speech using deep learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Speech recognition has become an important task in the development of machine learning and artificial intelligence. In this study, we explore the important task of keyword spotting using speech recognition machine learning and deep learning techniques. We implement feature engineering by converting raw waveforms to Mel Frequency Cepstral Coefficients (MFCCs), which we use as inputs to our models. We experiment with several different algorithms such as Hidden Markov Model with Gaussian Mixture, Convolutional Neural Networks and variants of Recurrent Neural Networks including Long Short-Term Memory and the Attention mechanism. In our experiments, RNN with BiLSTM and Attention achieves the best performance with an accuracy of 93.9 %


The Impact of Large Language Models on Scientific Discovery: a Preliminary Study using GPT-4

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, groundbreaking advancements in natural language processing have culminated in the emergence of powerful large language models (LLMs), which have showcased remarkable capabilities across a vast array of domains, including the understanding, generation, and translation of natural language, and even tasks that extend beyond language processing. In this report, we delve into the performance of LLMs within the context of scientific discovery, focusing on GPT-4, the state-of-the-art language model. Our investigation spans a diverse range of scientific areas encompassing drug discovery, biology, computational chemistry (density functional theory (DFT) and molecular dynamics (MD)), materials design, and partial differential equations (PDE). Evaluating GPT-4 on scientific tasks is crucial for uncovering its potential across various research domains, validating its domain-specific expertise, accelerating scientific progress, optimizing resource allocation, guiding future model development, and fostering interdisciplinary research. Our exploration methodology primarily consists of expert-driven case assessments, which offer qualitative insights into the model's comprehension of intricate scientific concepts and relationships, and occasionally benchmark testing, which quantitatively evaluates the model's capacity to solve well-defined domain-specific problems. Our preliminary exploration indicates that GPT-4 exhibits promising potential for a variety of scientific applications, demonstrating its aptitude for handling complex problem-solving and knowledge integration tasks. Broadly speaking, we evaluate GPT-4's knowledge base, scientific understanding, scientific numerical calculation abilities, and various scientific prediction capabilities.


Stochastic Directly-Follows Process Discovery Using Grammatical Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Starting with a collection of traces generated by process executions, process discovery is the task of constructing a simple model that describes the process, where simplicity is often measured in terms of model size. The challenge of process discovery is that the process of interest is unknown, and that while the input traces constitute positive examples of process executions, no negative examples are available. Many commercial tools discover Directly-Follows Graphs, in which nodes represent the observable actions of the process, and directed arcs indicate execution order possibilities over the actions. We propose a new approach for discovering sound Directly-Follows Graphs that is grounded in grammatical inference over the input traces. To promote the discovery of small graphs that also describe the process accurately we design and evaluate a genetic algorithm that supports the convergence of the inference parameters to the areas that lead to the discovery of interesting models. Experiments over real-world datasets confirm that our new approach can construct smaller models that represent the input traces and their frequencies more accurately than the state-of-the-art technique. Reasoning over the frequencies of encoded traces also becomes possible, due to the stochastic semantics of the action graphs we propose, which, for the first time, are interpreted as models that describe the stochastic languages of action traces.


On the Performance of Temporal Difference Learning With Neural Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Neural Temporal Difference (TD) Learning is an approximate temporal difference method for policy evaluation that uses a neural network for function approximation. Analysis of Neural TD Learning has proven to be challenging. In this paper we provide a convergence analysis of Neural TD Learning with a projection onto $B(\theta_0, \omega)$, a ball of fixed radius $\omega$ around the initial point $\theta_0$. We show an approximation bound of $O(\epsilon) + \tilde{O} (1/\sqrt{m})$ where $\epsilon$ is the approximation quality of the best neural network in $B(\theta_0, \omega)$ and $m$ is the width of all hidden layers in the network.


A Review of Cooperation in Multi-agent Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cooperation in multi-agent learning (MAL) is a topic at the intersection of numerous disciplines, including game theory, economics, social sciences, and evolutionary biology. Research in this area aims to understand both how agents can coordinate effectively when goals are aligned and how they may cooperate in settings where gains from working together are possible but possibilities for conflict abound. In this paper we provide an overview of the fundamental concepts, problem settings and algorithms of multi-agent learning. This encompasses reinforcement learning, multi-agent sequential decision-making, challenges associated with multi-agent cooperation, and a comprehensive review of recent progress, along with an evaluation of relevant metrics. Finally we discuss open challenges in the field with the aim of inspiring new avenues for research.


Procedural generation of meta-reinforcement learning tasks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Open-endedness stands to benefit from the ability to generate an infinite variety of diverse, challenging environments. One particularly interesting type of challenge is meta-learning ("learning-to-learn"), a hallmark of intelligent behavior. However, the number of meta-learning environments in the literature is limited. Here we describe a parametrized space for simple meta-reinforcement learning (meta-RL) tasks with arbitrary stimuli. The parametrization allows us to randomly generate an arbitrary number of novel simple meta-learning tasks. The parametrization is expressive enough to include many well-known meta-RL tasks, such as bandit problems, the Harlow task, T-mazes, the Daw two-step task and others. Simple extensions allow it to capture tasks based on two-dimensional topological spaces, such as full mazes or find-the-spot domains. We describe a number of randomly generated meta-RL domains of varying complexity and discuss potential issues arising from random generation.


Learning to sample in Cartesian MRI

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Despite its exceptional soft tissue contrast, Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) faces the challenge of long scanning times compared to other modalities like X-ray radiography. Shortening scanning times is crucial in clinical settings, as it increases patient comfort, decreases examination costs and improves throughput. Recent advances in compressed sensing (CS) and deep learning allow accelerated MRI acquisition by reconstructing high-quality images from undersampled data. While reconstruction algorithms have received most of the focus, designing acquisition trajectories to optimize reconstruction quality remains an open question. This thesis explores two approaches to address this gap in the context of Cartesian MRI. First, we propose two algorithms, lazy LBCS and stochastic LBCS, that significantly improve upon G\"ozc\"u et al.'s greedy learning-based CS (LBCS) approach. These algorithms scale to large, clinically relevant scenarios like multi-coil 3D MR and dynamic MRI, previously inaccessible to LBCS. Additionally, we demonstrate that generative adversarial networks (GANs) can serve as a natural criterion for adaptive sampling by leveraging variance in the measurement domain to guide acquisition. Second, we delve into the underlying structures or assumptions that enable mask design algorithms to perform well in practice. Our experiments reveal that state-of-the-art deep reinforcement learning (RL) approaches, while capable of adaptation and long-horizon planning, offer only marginal improvements over stochastic LBCS, which is neither adaptive nor does long-term planning. Altogether, our findings suggest that stochastic LBCS and similar methods represent promising alternatives to deep RL. They shine in particular by their scalability and computational efficiency and could be key in the deployment of optimized acquisition trajectories in Cartesian MRI.