Markov Models
Mutual Information as Intrinsic Reward of Reinforcement Learning Agents for On-demand Ride Pooling
Zhang, Xianjie, Sun, Jiahao, Gong, Chen, Wang, Kai, Cao, Yifei, Chen, Hao, Chen, Hao, Liu, Yu
The emergence of on-demand ride pooling services allows each vehicle to serve multiple passengers at a time, thus increasing drivers' income and enabling passengers to travel at lower prices than taxi/car on-demand services (only one passenger can be assigned to a car at a time like UberX and Lyft). Although on-demand ride pooling services can bring so many benefits, ride pooling services need a well-defined matching strategy to maximize the benefits for all parties (passengers, drivers, aggregation companies and environment), in which the regional dispatching of vehicles has a significant impact on the matching and revenue. Existing algorithms often only consider revenue maximization, which makes it difficult for requests with unusual distribution to get a ride. How to increase revenue while ensuring a reasonable assignment of requests brings a challenge to ride pooling service companies (aggregation companies). In this paper, we propose a framework for vehicle dispatching for ride pooling tasks, which splits the city into discrete dispatching regions and uses the reinforcement learning (RL) algorithm to dispatch vehicles in these regions. We also consider the mutual information (MI) between vehicle and order distribution as the intrinsic reward of the RL algorithm to improve the correlation between their distributions, thus ensuring the possibility of getting a ride for unusually distributed requests. In experimental results on a real-world taxi dataset, we demonstrate that our framework can significantly increase revenue up to an average of 3\% over the existing best on-demand ride pooling method.
INVIGORATE: Interactive Visual Grounding and Grasping in Clutter
Zhang, Hanbo, Lu, Yunfan, Yu, Cunjun, Hsu, David, Lan, Xuguang, Zheng, Nanning
This paper presents INVIGORATE, a robot system that interacts with human through natural language and grasps a specified object in clutter. The objects may occlude, obstruct, or even stack on top of one another. INVIGORATE embodies several challenges: (i) infer the target object among other occluding objects, from input language expressions and RGB images, (ii) infer object blocking relationships (OBRs) from the images, and (iii) synthesize a multi-step plan to ask questions that disambiguate the target object and to grasp it successfully. We train separate neural networks for object detection, for visual grounding, for question generation, and for OBR detection and grasping. They allow for unrestricted object categories and language expressions, subject to the training datasets. However, errors in visual perception and ambiguity in human languages are inevitable and negatively impact the robot's performance. To overcome these uncertainties, we build a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) that integrates the learned neural network modules. Through approximate POMDP planning, the robot tracks the history of observations and asks disambiguation questions in order to achieve a near-optimal sequence of actions that identify and grasp the target object. INVIGORATE combines the benefits of model-based POMDP planning and data-driven deep learning. Preliminary experiments with INVIGORATE on a Fetch robot show significant benefits of this integrated approach to object grasping in clutter with natural language interactions. A demonstration video is available at https://youtu.be/zYakh80SGcU.
LLMs for Robotic Object Disambiguation
Jiang, Connie, Xu, Yiqing, Hsu, David
The advantages of pre-trained large language models (LLMs) are apparent in a variety of language processing tasks. But can a language model's knowledge be further harnessed to effectively disambiguate objects and navigate decision-making challenges within the realm of robotics? Our study reveals the LLM's aptitude for solving complex decision making challenges that are often previously modeled by Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs). A pivotal focus of our research is the object disambiguation capability of LLMs. We detail the integration of an LLM into a tabletop environment disambiguation task, a decision making problem where the robot's task is to discern and retrieve a user's desired object from an arbitrarily large and complex cluster of objects. Despite multiple query attempts with zero-shot prompt engineering (details can be found in the Appendix), the LLM struggled to inquire about features not explicitly provided in the scene description. In response, we have developed a few-shot prompt engineering system to improve the LLM's ability to pose disambiguating queries. The result is a model capable of both using given features when they are available and inferring new relevant features when necessary, to successfully generate and navigate down a precise decision tree to the correct object--even when faced with identical options.
Subjectivity in Unsupervised Machine Learning Model Selection
Chen, Wanyi, Cummings, Mary L.
Model selection is a necessary step in unsupervised machine learning. Despite numerous criteria and metrics, model selection remains subjective. A high degree of subjectivity may lead to questions about repeatability and reproducibility of various machine learning studies and doubts about the robustness of models deployed in the real world. Yet, the impact of modelers' preferences on model selection outcomes remains largely unexplored. This study uses the Hidden Markov Model as an example to investigate the subjectivity involved in model selection. We asked 33 participants and three Large Language Models (LLMs) to make model selections in three scenarios. Results revealed variability and inconsistencies in both the participants' and the LLMs' choices, especially when different criteria and metrics disagree. Sources of subjectivity include varying opinions on the importance of different criteria and metrics, differing views on how parsimonious a model should be, and how the size of a dataset should influence model selection. The results underscore the importance of developing a more standardized way to document subjective choices made in model selection processes.
RL$^3$: Boosting Meta Reinforcement Learning via RL inside RL$^2$
Bhatia, Abhinav, Nashed, Samer B., Zilberstein, Shlomo
Meta reinforcement learning (meta-RL) methods such as RL$^2$ have emerged as promising approaches for learning data-efficient RL algorithms tailored to a given task distribution. However, these RL algorithms struggle with long-horizon tasks and out-of-distribution tasks since they rely on recurrent neural networks to process the sequence of experiences instead of summarizing them into general RL components such as value functions. Moreover, even transformers have a practical limit to the length of histories they can efficiently reason about before training and inference costs become prohibitive. In contrast, traditional RL algorithms are data-inefficient since they do not leverage domain knowledge, but they do converge to an optimal policy as more data becomes available. In this paper, we propose RL$^3$, a principled hybrid approach that combines traditional RL and meta-RL by incorporating task-specific action-values learned through traditional RL as an input to the meta-RL neural network. We show that RL$^3$ earns greater cumulative reward on long-horizon and out-of-distribution tasks compared to RL$^2$, while maintaining the efficiency of the latter in the short term. Experiments are conducted on both custom and benchmark discrete domains from the meta-RL literature that exhibit a range of short-term, long-term, and complex dependencies.
DGPO: Discovering Multiple Strategies with Diversity-Guided Policy Optimization
Chen, Wentse, Huang, Shiyu, Chiang, Yuan, Pearce, Tim, Tu, Wei-Wei, Chen, Ting, Zhu, Jun
Most reinforcement learning algorithms seek a single optimal strategy that solves a given task. However, it can often be valuable to learn a diverse set of solutions, for instance, to make an agent's interaction with users more engaging, or improve the robustness of a policy to an unexpected perturbance. We propose Diversity-Guided Policy Optimization (DGPO), an on-policy algorithm that discovers multiple strategies for solving a given task. Unlike prior work, it achieves this with a shared policy network trained over a single run. Specifically, we design an intrinsic reward based on an information-theoretic diversity objective. Our final objective alternately constraints on the diversity of the strategies and on the extrinsic reward. We solve the constrained optimization problem by casting it as a probabilistic inference task and use policy iteration to maximize the derived lower bound. Experimental results show that our method efficiently discovers diverse strategies in a wide variety of reinforcement learning tasks. Compared to baseline methods, DGPO achieves comparable rewards, while discovering more diverse strategies, and often with better sample efficiency.
Multi-agent Reinforcement Learning for Cooperative Lane Changing of Connected and Autonomous Vehicles in Mixed Traffic
Zhou, Wei, Chen, Dong, Yan, Jun, Li, Zhaojian, Yin, Huilin, Ge, Wanchen
Autonomous driving has attracted significant research interests in the past two decades as it offers many potential benefits, including releasing drivers from exhausting driving and mitigating traffic congestion, among others. Despite promising progress, lane-changing remains a great challenge for autonomous vehicles (AV), especially in mixed and dynamic traffic scenarios. Recently, reinforcement learning (RL), a powerful data-driven control method, has been widely explored for lane-changing decision makings in AVs with encouraging results demonstrated. However, the majority of those studies are focused on a single-vehicle setting, and lane-changing in the context of multiple AVs coexisting with human-driven vehicles (HDVs) have received scarce attention. In this paper, we formulate the lane-changing decision making of multiple AVs in a mixed-traffic highway environment as a multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) problem, where each AV makes lane-changing decisions based on the motions of both neighboring AVs and HDVs. Specifically, a multi-agent advantage actor-critic network (MA2C) is developed with a novel local reward design and a parameter sharing scheme. In particular, a multi-objective reward function is proposed to incorporate fuel efficiency, driving comfort, and safety of autonomous driving. Comprehensive experimental results, conducted under three different traffic densities and various levels of human driver aggressiveness, show that our proposed MARL framework consistently outperforms several state-of-the-art benchmarks in terms of efficiency, safety and driver comfort.
A comprehensive survey of research towards AI-enabled unmanned aerial systems in pre-, active-, and post-wildfire management
Boroujeni, Sayed Pedram Haeri, Razi, Abolfazl, Khoshdel, Sahand, Afghah, Fatemeh, Coen, Janice L., ONeill, Leo, Fule, Peter Z., Watts, Adam, Kokolakis, Nick-Marios T., Vamvoudakis, Kyriakos G.
Wildfires have emerged as one of the most destructive natural disasters worldwide, causing catastrophic losses in both human lives and forest wildlife. Recently, the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in wildfires, propelled by the integration of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) and deep learning models, has created an unprecedented momentum to implement and develop more effective wildfire management. Although some of the existing survey papers have explored various learning-based approaches, a comprehensive review emphasizing the application of AI-enabled UAV systems and their subsequent impact on multi-stage wildfire management is notably lacking. This survey aims to bridge these gaps by offering a systematic review of the recent state-of-the-art technologies, highlighting the advancements of UAV systems and AI models from pre-fire, through the active-fire stage, to post-fire management. To this aim, we provide an extensive analysis of the existing remote sensing systems with a particular focus on the UAV advancements, device specifications, and sensor technologies relevant to wildfire management. We also examine the pre-fire and post-fire management approaches, including fuel monitoring, prevention strategies, as well as evacuation planning, damage assessment, and operation strategies. Additionally, we review and summarize a wide range of computer vision techniques in active-fire management, with an emphasis on Machine Learning (ML), Reinforcement Learning (RL), and Deep Learning (DL) algorithms for wildfire classification, segmentation, detection, and monitoring tasks. Ultimately, we underscore the substantial advancement in wildfire modeling through the integration of cutting-edge AI techniques and UAV-based data, providing novel insights and enhanced predictive capabilities to understand dynamic wildfire behavior.
Structured Matrix Learning under Arbitrary Entrywise Dependence and Estimation of Markov Transition Kernel
The problem of structured matrix estimation has been studied mostly under strong noise dependence assumptions. This paper considers a general framework of noisy low-rank-plus-sparse matrix recovery, where the noise matrix may come from any joint distribution with arbitrary dependence across entries. We propose an incoherent-constrained least-square estimator and prove its tightness both in the sense of deterministic lower bound and matching minimax risks under various noise distributions. To attain this, we establish a novel result asserting that the difference between two arbitrary low-rank incoherent matrices must spread energy out across its entries, in other words cannot be too sparse, which sheds light on the structure of incoherent low-rank matrices and may be of independent interest. We then showcase the applications of our framework to several important statistical machine learning problems. In the problem of estimating a structured Markov transition kernel, the proposed method achieves the minimax optimality and the result can be extended to estimating the conditional mean operator, a crucial component in reinforcement learning. The applications to multitask regression and structured covariance estimation are also presented. We propose an alternating minimization algorithm to approximately solve the potentially hard optimization problem. Numerical results corroborate the effectiveness of our method which typically converges in a few steps.
The Rank-Reduced Kalman Filter: Approximate Dynamical-Low-Rank Filtering In High Dimensions
Schmidt, Jonathan, Hennig, Philipp, Nick, Jörg, Tronarp, Filip
Inference and simulation in the context of high-dimensional dynamical systems remain computationally challenging problems. Some form of dimensionality reduction is required to make the problem tractable in general. In this paper, we propose a novel approximate Gaussian filtering and smoothing method which propagates low-rank approximations of the covariance matrices. This is accomplished by projecting the Lyapunov equations associated with the prediction step to a manifold of low-rank matrices, which are then solved by a recently developed, numerically stable, dynamical low-rank integrator. Meanwhile, the update steps are made tractable by noting that the covariance update only transforms the column space of the covariance matrix, which is low-rank by construction. The algorithm differentiates itself from existing ensemble-based approaches in that the low-rank approximations of the covariance matrices are deterministic, rather than stochastic. Crucially, this enables the method to reproduce the exact Kalman filter as the low-rank dimension approaches the true dimensionality of the problem. Our method reduces computational complexity from cubic (for the Kalman filter) to \emph{quadratic} in the state-space size in the worst-case, and can achieve \emph{linear} complexity if the state-space model satisfies certain criteria. Through a set of experiments in classical data-assimilation and spatio-temporal regression, we show that the proposed method consistently outperforms the ensemble-based methods in terms of error in the mean and covariance with respect to the exact Kalman filter. This comes at no additional cost in terms of asymptotic computational complexity.