Markov Models
REValueD: Regularised Ensemble Value-Decomposition for Factorisable Markov Decision Processes
Ireland, David, Montana, Giovanni
Discrete-action reinforcement learning algorithms often falter in tasks with high-dimensional discrete action spaces due to the vast number of possible actions. A recent advancement leverages value-decomposition, a concept from multi-agent reinforcement learning, to tackle this challenge. This study delves deep into the effects of this value-decomposition, revealing that whilst it curtails the over-estimation bias inherent to Q-learning algorithms, it amplifies target variance. To counteract this, we present an ensemble of critics to mitigate target variance. Moreover, we introduce a regularisation loss that helps to mitigate the effects that exploratory actions in one dimension can have on the value of optimal actions in other dimensions. Our novel algorithm, REValueD, tested on discretised versions of the DeepMind Control Suite tasks, showcases superior performance, especially in the challenging humanoid and dog tasks. We further dissect the factors influencing REValueD's performance, evaluating the significance of the regularisation loss and the scalability of REValueD with increasing sub-actions per dimension.
MMToM-QA: Multimodal Theory of Mind Question Answering
Jin, Chuanyang, Wu, Yutong, Cao, Jing, Xiang, Jiannan, Kuo, Yen-Ling, Hu, Zhiting, Ullman, Tomer, Torralba, Antonio, Tenenbaum, Joshua B., Shu, Tianmin
Theory of Mind (ToM), the ability to understand people's minds, is an essential ingredient for developing machines with human-level social intelligence. Recent machine learning models, particularly large language models, seem to show some aspects of ToM understanding. However, existing ToM benchmarks use unimodal datasets - either video or text. Human ToM, on the other hand, is more than video or text understanding. People can flexibly reason about another person's mind based on conceptual representations (e.g., goals, beliefs, plans) extracted from any available data, which can include visual cues, linguistic narratives, or both. To address this, we introduce a multimodal Theory of Mind question answering (MMToM-QA) benchmark. MMToM-QA comprehensively evaluates machine ToM both on multimodal data and on different kinds of unimodal data about a person's activity in a household environment. To engineer multimodal ToM capacity, we propose a novel method, BIP-ALM (Bayesian Inverse Planning Accelerated by Language Models). BIP-ALM extracts unified representations from multimodal data and utilizes language models for scalable Bayesian inverse planning. We conducted a systematic comparison of human performance, BIP-ALM, and state-of-the-art models, including GPT-4. The experiments demonstrate that large language models and large multimodal models still lack robust ToM capacity. BIP-ALM, on the other hand, shows promising results, by leveraging the power of both model-based mental inference and language models.
AgentMixer: Multi-Agent Correlated Policy Factorization
Li, Zhiyuan, Zhao, Wenshuai, Wu, Lijun, Pajarinen, Joni
Centralized training with decentralized execution (CTDE) is widely employed to stabilize partially observable multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) by utilizing a centralized value function during training. However, existing methods typically assume that agents make decisions based on their local observations independently, which may not lead to a correlated joint policy with sufficient coordination. Inspired by the concept of correlated equilibrium, we propose to introduce a \textit{strategy modification} to provide a mechanism for agents to correlate their policies. Specifically, we present a novel framework, AgentMixer, which constructs the joint fully observable policy as a non-linear combination of individual partially observable policies. To enable decentralized execution, one can derive individual policies by imitating the joint policy. Unfortunately, such imitation learning can lead to \textit{asymmetric learning failure} caused by the mismatch between joint policy and individual policy information. To mitigate this issue, we jointly train the joint policy and individual policies and introduce \textit{Individual-Global-Consistency} to guarantee mode consistency between the centralized and decentralized policies. We then theoretically prove that AgentMixer converges to an $\epsilon$-approximate Correlated Equilibrium. The strong experimental performance on three MARL benchmarks demonstrates the effectiveness of our method.
Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Connected and Automated Vehicles Control: Recent Advancements and Future Prospects
Hua, Min, Chen, Dong, Qi, Xinda, Jiang, Kun, Liu, Zemin Eitan, Zhou, Quan, Xu, Hongming
Connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) have emerged as a potential solution to the future challenges of developing safe, efficient, and eco-friendly transportation systems. However, CAV control presents significant challenges, given the complexity of interconnectivity and coordination required among the vehicles. To address this, multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL), with its notable advancements in addressing complex problems in autonomous driving, robotics, and human-vehicle interaction, has emerged as a promising tool for enhancing the capabilities of CAVs. However, there is a notable absence of current reviews on the state-of-the-art MARL algorithms in the context of CAVs. Therefore, this paper delivers a comprehensive review of the application of MARL techniques within the field of CAV control. The paper begins by introducing MARL, followed by a detailed explanation of its unique advantages in addressing complex mobility and traffic scenarios that involve multiple agents. It then presents a comprehensive survey of MARL applications on the extent of control dimensions for CAVs, covering critical and typical scenarios such as platooning control, lane-changing, and unsignalized intersections. In addition, the paper provides a comprehensive review of the prominent simulation platforms used to create reliable environments for training in MARL. Lastly, the paper examines the current challenges associated with deploying MARL within CAV control and outlines potential solutions that can effectively overcome these issues. Through this review, the study highlights the tremendous potential of MARL to enhance the performance and collaboration of CAV control in terms of safety, travel efficiency, and economy.
How to Turn Your Knowledge Graph Embeddings into Generative Models
Loconte, Lorenzo, Di Mauro, Nicola, Peharz, Robert, Vergari, Antonio
Some of the most successful knowledge graph embedding (KGE) models for link prediction -- CP, RESCAL, TuckER, ComplEx -- can be interpreted as energy-based models. Under this perspective they are not amenable for exact maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE), sampling and struggle to integrate logical constraints. This work re-interprets the score functions of these KGEs as circuits -- constrained computational graphs allowing efficient marginalisation. Then, we design two recipes to obtain efficient generative circuit models by either restricting their activations to be non-negative or squaring their outputs. Our interpretation comes with little or no loss of performance for link prediction, while the circuits framework unlocks exact learning by MLE, efficient sampling of new triples, and guarantee that logical constraints are satisfied by design. Furthermore, our models scale more gracefully than the original KGEs on graphs with millions of entities.
Explainable Predictive Maintenance: A Survey of Current Methods, Challenges and Opportunities
Cummins, Logan, Sommers, Alex, Ramezani, Somayeh Bakhtiari, Mittal, Sudip, Jabour, Joseph, Seale, Maria, Rahimi, Shahram
Predictive maintenance is a well studied collection of techniques that aims to prolong the life of a mechanical system by using artificial intelligence and machine learning to predict the optimal time to perform maintenance. The methods allow maintainers of systems and hardware to reduce financial and time costs of upkeep. As these methods are adopted for more serious and potentially life-threatening applications, the human operators need trust the predictive system. This attracts the field of Explainable AI (XAI) to introduce explainability and interpretability into the predictive system. XAI brings methods to the field of predictive maintenance that can amplify trust in the users while maintaining well-performing systems. This survey on explainable predictive maintenance (XPM) discusses and presents the current methods of XAI as applied to predictive maintenance while following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) 2020 guidelines. We categorize the different XPM methods into groups that follow the XAI literature. Additionally, we include current challenges and a discussion on future research directions in XPM.
Push- and Pull-based Effective Communication in Cyber-Physical Systems
Talli, Pietro, Mason, Federico, Chiariotti, Federico, Zanella, Andrea
In Cyber Physical Systems (CPSs), two groups of actors interact toward the maximization of system performance: the sensors, observing and disseminating the system state, and the actuators, performing physical decisions based on the received information. While it is generally assumed that sensors periodically transmit updates, returning the feedback signal only when necessary, and consequently adapting the physical decisions to the communication policy, can significantly improve the efficiency of the system. In particular, the choice between push-based communication, in which updates are initiated autonomously by the sensors, and pull-based communication, in which they are requested by the actuators, is a key design step. In this work, we propose an analytical model for optimizing push- and pull-based communication in CPSs, observing that the policy optimality coincides with Value of Information (VoI) maximization. Our results also highlight that, despite providing a better optimal solution, implementable push-based communication strategies may underperform even in relatively simple scenarios.
Predicting Next Useful Location With Context-Awareness: The State-Of-The-Art
Nezhadettehad, Alireza, Zaslavsky, Arkady, Abdur, Rakib, Shaikh, Siraj Ahmed, Loke, Seng W., Huang, Guang-Li, Hassani, Alireza
Predicting the future location of mobile objects reinforces location-aware services with proactive intelligence and helps businesses and decision-makers with better planning and near real-time scheduling in different applications such as traffic congestion control, location-aware advertisements, and monitoring public health and well-being. The recent developments in the smartphone and location sensors technology and the prevalence of using location-based social networks alongside the improvements in artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques provide an excellent opportunity to exploit massive amounts of historical and real-time contextual information to recognise mobility patterns and achieve more accurate and intelligent predictions. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of the next useful location prediction problem with context-awareness. First, we explain the concepts of context and context-awareness and define the next location prediction problem. Then we analyse nearly thirty studies in this field concerning the prediction method, the challenges addressed, the datasets and metrics used for training and evaluating the model, and the types of context incorporated. Finally, we discuss the advantages and disadvantages of different approaches, focusing on the usefulness of the predicted location and identifying the open challenges and future work on this subject by introducing two potential use cases of next location prediction in the automotive industry.
MCMChaos: Improvising Rap Music with MCMC Methods and Chaos Theory
A novel freestyle rap software, MCMChaos 0.0.1, based on rap music transcriptions created in previous research is presented. The software has three different versions, each making use of different mathematical simulation methods: collapsed gibbs sampler and lorenz attractor simulation. As far as we know, these simulation methods have never been used in rap music generation before. The software implements Python Text-to-Speech processing (pyttxs) to convert text wrangled from the MCFlow corpus into English speech. In each version, values simulated from each respective mathematical model alter the rate of speech, volume, and (in the multiple voice case) the voice of the text-to-speech engine on a line-by-line basis. The user of the software is presented with a real-time graphical user interface (GUI) which instantaneously changes the initial values read into the mathematical simulation methods. Future research might attempt to allow for more user control and autonomy.
A PAC Learning Algorithm for LTL and Omega-regular Objectives in MDPs
Perez, Mateo, Somenzi, Fabio, Trivedi, Ashutosh
Linear temporal logic (LTL) and omega-regular objectives -- a superset of LTL -- have seen recent use as a way to express non-Markovian objectives in reinforcement learning. We introduce a model-based probably approximately correct (PAC) learning algorithm for omega-regular objectives in Markov decision processes (MDPs). As part of the development of our algorithm, we introduce the epsilon-recurrence time: a measure of the speed at which a policy converges to the satisfaction of the omega-regular objective in the limit. We prove that our algorithm only requires a polynomial number of samples in the relevant parameters, and perform experiments which confirm our theory.