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 Markov Models


Diffusion Approximations for Online Principal Component Estimation and Global Convergence

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper, we propose to adopt the diffusion approximation tools to study the dynamics of Oja's iteration which is an online stochastic gradient descent method for the principal component analysis. Oja's iteration maintains a running estimate of the true principal component from streaming data and enjoys less temporal and spatial complexities. We show that the Oja's iteration for the top eigenvector generates a continuous-state discrete-time Markov chain over the unit sphere. We characterize the Oja's iteration in three phases using diffusion approximation and weak convergence tools. Our three-phase analysis further provides a finite-sample error bound for the running estimate, which matches the minimax information lower bound for principal component analysis under the additional assumption of bounded samples.


Stochastic Gradient Richardson-Romberg Markov Chain Monte Carlo

Neural Information Processing Systems

Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) algorithms have become increasingly popular for Bayesian inference in large-scale applications. Even though these methods have proved useful in several scenarios, their performance is often limited by their bias. In this study, we propose a novel sampling algorithm that aims to reduce the bias of SG-MCMC while keeping the variance at a reasonable level. Our approach is based on a numerical sequence acceleration method, namely the Richardson-Romberg extrapolation, which simply boils down to running almost the same SG-MCMC algorithm twice in parallel with different step sizes. We illustrate our framework on the popular Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics (SGLD) algorithm and propose a novel SG-MCMC algorithm referred to as Stochastic Gradient Richardson-Romberg Langevin Dynamics (SGRRLD). We provide formal theoretical analysis and show that SGRRLD is asymptotically consistent, satisfies a central limit theorem, and its non-asymptotic bias and the mean squared-error can be bounded. Our results show that SGRRLD attains higher rates of convergence than SGLD in both finite-time and asymptotically, and it achieves the theoretical accuracy of the methods that are based on higher-order integrators. We support our findings using both synthetic and real data experiments.


MARLadona - Towards Cooperative Team Play Using Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Robot soccer, in its full complexity, poses an unsolved research challenge. Current solutions heavily rely on engineered heuristic strategies, which lack robustness and adaptability. Deep reinforcement learning has gained significant traction in various complex robotics tasks such as locomotion, manipulation, and competitive games (e.g., AlphaZero, OpenAI Five), making it a promising solution to the robot soccer problem. This paper introduces MARLadona. A decentralized multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) training pipeline capable of producing agents with sophisticated team play behavior, bridging the shortcomings of heuristic methods. Further, we created an open-source multi-agent soccer environment based on Isaac Gym. Utilizing our MARL framework and a modified a global entity encoder as our core architecture, our approach achieves a 66.8% win rate against HELIOS agent, which employs a state-of-the-art heuristic strategy. Furthermore, we provided an in-depth analysis of the policy behavior and interpreted the agent's intention using the critic network.


Hawk: An Efficient NALM System for Accurate Low-Power Appliance Recognition

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Non-intrusive Appliance Load Monitoring (NALM) aims to recognize individual appliance usage from the main meter without indoor sensors. However, existing systems struggle to balance dataset construction efficiency and event/state recognition accuracy, especially for low-power appliance recognition. This paper introduces Hawk, an efficient and accurate NALM system that operates in two stages: dataset construction and event recognition. In the data construction stage, we efficiently collect a balanced and diverse dataset, HawkDATA, based on balanced Gray code and enable automatic data annotations via a sampling synchronization strategy called shared perceptible time. During the event recognition stage, our algorithm integrates steady-state differential pre-processing and voting-based post-processing for accurate event recognition from the aggregate current. Experimental results show that HawkDATA takes only 1/71.5 of the collection time to collect 6.34x more appliance state combinations than the baseline. In HawkDATA and a widely used dataset, Hawk achieves an average F1 score of 93.94% for state recognition and 97.07% for event recognition, which is a 47. 98% and 11. 57% increase over SOTA algorithms. Furthermore, selected appliance subsets and the model trained from HawkDATA are deployed in two real-world scenarios with many unknown background appliances. The average F1 scores of event recognition are 96.02% and 94.76%. Hawk's source code and HawkDATA are accessible at https://github.com/WZiJ/SenSys24-Hawk.


ACDC: Autoregressive Coherent Multimodal Generation using Diffusion Correction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Autoregressive models (ARMs) and diffusion models (DMs) represent two leading paradigms in generative modeling, each excelling in distinct areas: ARMs in global context modeling and long-sequence generation, and DMs in generating high-quality local contexts, especially for continuous data such as images and short videos. However, ARMs often suffer from exponential error accumulation over long sequences, leading to physically implausible results, while DMs are limited by their local context generation capabilities. In this work, we introduce Autoregressive Coherent multimodal generation with Diffusion Correction (ACDC), a zero-shot approach that combines the strengths of both ARMs and DMs at the inference stage without the need for additional fine-tuning. ACDC leverages ARMs for global context generation and memory-conditioned DMs for local correction, ensuring high-quality outputs by correcting artifacts in generated multimodal tokens. In particular, we propose a memory module based on large language models (LLMs) that dynamically adjusts the conditioning texts for the DMs, preserving crucial global context information. Our experiments on multimodal tasks, including coherent multi-frame story generation and autoregressive video generation, demonstrate that ACDC effectively mitigates the accumulation of errors and significantly enhances the quality of generated outputs, achieving superior performance while remaining agnostic to specific ARM and DM architectures. Project page: https://acdc2025.github.io/


Neuro-Symbolic Entity Alignment via Variational Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Entity alignment (EA) aims to merge two knowledge graphs (KGs) by identifying equivalent entity pairs. Existing methods can be categorized into symbolic and neural models. Symbolic models, while precise, struggle with substructure heterogeneity and sparsity, whereas neural models, although effective, generally lack interpretability and cannot handle uncertainty. We propose NeuSymEA, a probabilistic neuro-symbolic framework that combines the strengths of both methods. NeuSymEA models the joint probability of all possible pairs' truth scores in a Markov random field, regulated by a set of rules, and optimizes it with the variational EM algorithm. In the M-step, the rule weights are updated based on the observed and inferred alignments. To facilitate interpretability, we further design a path-ranking-based explainer upon this framework that generates supporting rules for the inferred alignments. Experiments on benchmarks demonstrate that NeuSymEA not only significantly outperforms baselines in terms of effectiveness and robustness, but also provides interpretable results.


Beyond normality: Learning sparse probabilistic graphical models in the non-Gaussian setting

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present an algorithm to identify sparse dependence structure in continuous and non-Gaussian probability distributions, given a corresponding set of data. The conditional independence structure of an arbitrary distribution can be represented as an undirected graph (or Markov random field), but most algorithms for learning this structure are restricted to the discrete or Gaussian cases. Our new approach allows for more realistic and accurate descriptions of the distribution in question, and in turn better estimates of its sparse Markov structure. Sparsity in the graph is of interest as it can accelerate inference, improve sampling methods, and reveal important dependencies between variables. The algorithm relies on exploiting the connection between the sparsity of the graph and the sparsity of transport maps, which deterministically couple one probability measure to another.


A Learning Error Analysis for Structured Prediction with Approximate Inference

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this work, we try to understand the differences between exact and approximate inference algorithms in structured prediction. We compare the estimation and approximation error of both underestimate (e.g., greedy search) and overestimate (e.g., linear relaxation of integer programming) models. The result shows that, from the perspective of learning errors, performances of approximate inference could be as good as exact inference. The error analyses also suggest a new margin for existing learning algorithms. Empirical evaluations on text classification, sequential labelling and dependency parsing witness the success of approximate inference and the benefit of the proposed margin.


QMDP-Net: Deep Learning for Planning under Partial Observability

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper introduces the QMDP-net, a neural network architecture for planning under partial observability. The QMDP-net combines the strengths of model-free learning and model-based planning. It is a recurrent policy network, but it represents a policy for a parameterized set of tasks by connecting a model with a planning algorithm that solves the model, thus embedding the solution structure of planning in a network learning architecture. The QMDP-net is fully differentiable and allows for end-to-end training. We train a QMDPnet on different tasks so that it can generalize to new ones in the parameterized task set and "transfer" to other similar tasks beyond the set. In preliminary experiments, QMDP-net showed strong performance on several robotic tasks in simulation. Interestingly, while QMDP-net encodes the QMDP algorithm, it sometimes outperforms the QMDP algorithm in the experiments, as a result of end-to-end learning.