Markov Models
Learning Discriminative Feature Transforms to Low Dimensions in Low Dimentions
The marriage of Renyi entropy with Parzen density estimation has been shown to be a viable tool in learning discriminative feature transforms. However, it suffers from computational complexity proportional to the square of the number of samples in the training data. This sets a practical limit to using large databases. We suggest immediate divorce of the two methods and remarriage of Renyi entropy with a semi-parametric density estimation method, such as a Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM). This allows allof the computation to take place in the low dimensional target space, and it reduces computational complexity proportional to square of the number of components in the mixtures. Furthermore, a convenient extensionto Hidden Markov Models as commonly used in speech recognition becomes possible.
Speech Recognition with Missing Data using Recurrent Neural Nets
In the'missing data' approach to improving the robustness of automatic speech recognition to added noise, an initial process identifies spectraltemporal regionswhich are dominated by the speech source. The remaining regions are considered to be'missing'. In this paper we develop a connectionist approach to the problem of adapting speech recognition to the missing data case, using Recurrent Neural Networks. In contrast to methods based on Hidden Markov Models, RNNs allow us to make use of long-term time constraints and to make the problems of classification with incomplete data and imputing missing values interact. We report encouraging results on an isolated digit recognition task.
The Infinite Hidden Markov Model
Beal, Matthew J., Ghahramani, Zoubin, Rasmussen, Carl E.
We show that it is possible to extend hidden Markov models to have a countably infinite number of hidden states. By using the theory of Dirichlet processes we can implicitly integrate out the infinitely many transition parameters, leaving only three hyperparameters which can be learned from data. These three hyperparameters define a hierarchical Dirichlet process capable of capturing a rich set of transition dynamics. The three hyperparameters control the time scale of the dynamics, the sparsity of the underlying state-transition matrix, and the expected number ofdistinct hidden states in a finite sequence. In this framework it is also natural to allow the alphabet of emitted symbols to be infinite-- consider, for example, symbols being possible words appearing in English text.
Risk Sensitive Particle Filters
Thrun, Sebastian, Langford, John, Verma, Vandi
We propose a new particle filter that incorporates a model of costs when generating particles. The approach is motivated by the observation that the costs of accidentally not tracking hypotheses might be significant in some areas of state space, and next to irrelevant in others. By incorporating acost model into particle filtering, states that are more critical to the system performance are more likely to be tracked. Automatic calculation of the cost model is implemented using an MDP value function calculation thatestimates the value of tracking a particular state. Experiments in two mobile robot domains illustrate the appropriateness of the approach.
Reinforcement Learning with Long Short-Term Memory
This paper presents reinforcement learning with a Long Short Term Memory recurrent neural network: RL-LSTM. Model-free RL-LSTM using Advantage(,x) learning and directed exploration can solve non-Markovian tasks with long-term dependencies between relevantevents. This is demonstrated in a T-maze task, as well as in a difficult variation of the pole balancing task. 1 Introduction Reinforcement learning (RL) is a way of learning how to behave based on delayed reward signals [12]. Among the more important challenges for RL are tasks where part of the state of the environment is hidden from the agent. Such tasks are called non-Markovian tasks or Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes. Many real world tasks have this problem of hidden state. For instance, in a navigation task different positions in the environment may look the same, but one and the same action may lead to different next states or rewards. Thus, hidden state makes RL more realistic.
Relative Density Nets: A New Way to Combine Backpropagation with HMM's
Brown, Andrew D., Hinton, Geoffrey E.
Hinton Gatsby Unit, UCL London, UK WCIN 3AR hinton@gatsby.ucl.ac.uk Abstract Logistic units in the first hidden layer of a feedforward neural network computethe relative probability of a data point under two Gaussians. This leads us to consider substituting other density models. We present an architecture for performing discriminative learning of Hidden Markov Models using a network of many small HMM's. Experiments on speech data show it to be superior to the standard method of discriminatively training HMM's. 1 Introduction A standard way of performing classification using a generative model is to divide the training cases into their respective classes and then train a set of class conditional models. This unsupervised approach to classification is appealing for two reasons.
Policy Recognition in the Abstract Hidden Markov Model
Bui, H. H., Venkatesh, S., West, G.
In this paper, we present a method for recognising an agent's behaviour in dynamic, noisy, uncertain domains, and across multiple levels of abstraction. We term this problem on-line plan recognition under uncertainty and view it generally as probabilistic inference on the stochastic process representing the execution of the agent's plan. Our contributions in this paper are twofold. In terms of probabilistic inference, we introduce the Abstract Hidden Markov Model (AHMM), a novel type of stochastic processes, provide its dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) structure and analyse the properties of this network. We then describe an application of the Rao-Blackwellised Particle Filter to the AHMM which allows us to construct an efficient, hybrid inference method for this model. In terms of plan recognition, we propose a novel plan recognition framework based on the AHMM as the plan execution model. The Rao-Blackwellised hybrid inference for AHMM can take advantage of the independence properties inherent in a model of plan execution, leading to an algorithm for online probabilistic plan recognition that scales well with the number of levels in the plan hierarchy. This illustrates that while stochastic models for plan execution can be complex, they exhibit special structures which, if exploited, can lead to efficient plan recognition algorithms. We demonstrate the usefulness of the AHMM framework via a behaviour recognition system in a complex spatial environment using distributed video surveillance data.
A Unified Model of Structural Organization in Language and Music
Is there a general model that can predict the perceived phrase structure in language and music? While it is usually assumed that humans have separate faculties for language and music, this work focuses on the commonalities rather than on the differences between these modalities, aiming at finding a deeper 'faculty'. Our key idea is that the perceptual system strives for the simplest structure (the 'simplicity principle'), but in doing so it is biased by the likelihood of previous structures (the 'likelihood principle'). We present a series of data-oriented parsing (DOP) models that combine these two principles and that are tested on the Penn Treebank and the Essen Folksong Collection. Our experiments show that (1) a combination of the two principles outperforms the use of either of them, and (2) exactly the same model with the same parameter setting achieves maximum accuracy for both language and music. We argue that our results suggest an interesting parallel between linguistic and musical structuring.
The Communicative Multiagent Team Decision Problem: Analyzing Teamwork Theories and Models
Despite the significant progress in multiagent teamwork, existing research does not address the optimality of its prescriptions nor the complexity of the teamwork problem. Without a characterization of the optimality-complexity tradeoffs, it is impossible to determine whether the assumptions and approximations made by a particular theory gain enough efficiency to justify the losses in overall performance. To provide a tool for use by multiagent researchers in evaluating this tradeoff, we present a unified framework, the COMmunicative Multiagent Team Decision Problem (COM-MTDP). The COM-MTDP model combines and extends existing multiagent theories, such as decentralized partially observable Markov decision processes and economic team theory. In addition to their generality of representation, COM-MTDPs also support the analysis of both the optimality of team performance and the computational complexity of the agents' decision problem. In analyzing complexity, we present a breakdown of the computational complexity of constructing optimal teams under various classes of problem domains, along the dimensions of observability and communication cost. In analyzing optimality, we exploit the COM-MTDP's ability to encode existing teamwork theories and models to encode two instantiations of joint intentions theory taken from the literature. Furthermore, the COM-MTDP model provides a basis for the development of novel team coordination algorithms. We derive a domain-independent criterion for optimal communication and provide a comparative analysis of the two joint intentions instantiations with respect to this optimal policy. We have implemented a reusable, domain-independent software package based on COM-MTDPs to analyze teamwork coordination strategies, and we demonstrate its use by encoding and evaluating the two joint intentions strategies within an example domain.