Markov Models
Applying Metric-Trees to Belief-Point POMDPs
Pineau, Joelle, Gordon, Geoffrey J., Thrun, Sebastian
Recent developments in grid-based and point-based approximation algorithms forPOMDPs have greatly improved the tractability of POMDP planning. These approaches operate on sets of belief points by individually learninga value function for each point. In reality, belief points exist in a highly-structured metric simplex, but current POMDP algorithms donot exploit this property. This paper presents a new metric-tree algorithm which can be used in the context of POMDP planning to sort belief points spatially, and then perform fast value function updates over groups of points. We present results showing that this approach can reduce computationin point-based POMDP algorithms for a wide range of problems.
Eye Movements for Reward Maximization
Sprague, Nathan, Ballard, Dana
Recent eye tracking studies in natural tasks suggest that there is a tight link between eye movements and goal directed motor actions. However, most existing models of human eye movements provide a bottom up account thatrelates visual attention to attributes of the visual scene. The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new model of human eye movements thatdirectly ties eye movements to the ongoing demands of behavior. Thebasic idea is that eye movements serve to reduce uncertainty about environmental variables that are task relevant. A value is assigned to an eye movement by estimating the expected cost of the uncertainty that will result if the movement is not made. If there are several candidate eye movements, the one with the highest expected value is chosen. The model is illustrated using a humanoid graphic figure that navigates on a sidewalk in a virtual urban environment. Simulations show our protocol is superior to a simple round robin scheduling mechanism.
Max-Margin Markov Networks
Taskar, Ben, Guestrin, Carlos, Koller, Daphne
In typical classification tasks, we seek a function which assigns a label to a single object.Kernel-based approaches, such as support vector machines (SVMs), which maximize the margin of confidence of the classifier, are the method of choice for many such tasks. Their popularity stems both from the ability to use high-dimensional feature spaces, and from their strong theoretical guarantees. However,many real-world tasks involve sequential, spatial, or structured data, where multiple labels must be assigned. Existing kernel-based methods ignore structurein the problem, assigning labels independently to each object, losing much useful information. Conversely, probabilistic graphical models, such as Markov networks, can represent correlations between labels, by exploiting problem structure, but cannot handle high-dimensional feature spaces, and lack strong theoretical generalization guarantees.
Markov Models for Automated ECG Interval Analysis
Hughes, Nicholas P., Tarassenko, Lionel, Roberts, Stephen J.
We examine the use of hidden Markov and hidden semi-Markov models forautomatically segmenting an electrocardiogram waveform into its constituent waveform features. An undecimated wavelet transform is used to generate an overcomplete representation of the signal that is more appropriate for subsequent modelling. We show that the state durations implicitin a standard hidden Markov model are ill-suited to those of real ECG features, and we investigate the use of hidden semi-Markov models for improved state duration modelling.
An MDP-Based Approach to Online Mechanism Design
Parkes, David C., Singh, Satinder P.
Online mechanism design (MD) considers the problem of providing incentivesto implement desired system-wide outcomes in systems withself-interested agents that arrive and depart dynamically. Agentscan choose to misrepresent their arrival and departure times, in addition to information about their value for different outcomes. We consider the problem of maximizing the total longterm valueof the system despite the self-interest of agents. The online MD problem induces a Markov Decision Process (MDP), which when solved can be used to implement optimal policies in a truth-revealing Bayesian-Nash equilibrium.
Linear Program Approximations for Factored Continuous-State Markov Decision Processes
Hauskrecht, Milos, Kveton, Branislav
Approximate linear programming (ALP) has emerged recently as one of the most promising methods for solving complex factored MDPs with finite state spaces. In this work we show that ALP solutions are not limited only to MDPs with finite state spaces, but that they can also be applied successfully to factored continuous-state MDPs (CMDPs). We show how one can build an ALPbased approximation for such a model and contrast it to existing solution methods. We argue that this approach offers a robust alternative for solving high dimensional continuous-state space problems. The point is supported by experiments on three CMDP problems with 24-25 continuous state factors.
Discriminative Fields for Modeling Spatial Dependencies in Natural Images
Kumar, Sanjiv, Hebert, Martial
In this paper we present Discriminative Random Fields (DRF), a discriminative frameworkfor the classification of natural image regions by incorporating neighborhoodspatial dependencies in the labels as well as the observed data. The proposed model exploits local discriminative models and allows to relax the assumption of conditional independence of the observed data given the labels, commonly used in the Markov Random Field (MRF) framework. The parameters of the DRF model are learned using penalized maximum pseudo-likelihood method. Furthermore, the form of the DRF model allows the MAP inference for binary classification problemsusing the graph min-cut algorithms. The performance of the model was verified on the synthetic as well as the real-world images. The DRF model outperforms the MRF model in the experiments.
Solving Transition Independent Decentralized Markov Decision Processes
Becker, R., Zilberstein, S., Lesser, V., Goldman, C. V.
Formal treatment of collaborative multi-agent systems has been lagging behind the rapid progress in sequential decision making by individual agents. Recent work in the area of decentralized Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) has contributed to closing this gap, but the computational complexity of these models remains a serious obstacle. To overcome this complexity barrier, we identify a specific class of decentralized MDPs in which the agents' transitions are independent. The class consists of independent collaborating agents that are tied together through a structured global reward function that depends on all of their histories of states and actions. We present a novel algorithm for solving this class of problems and examine its properties, both as an optimal algorithm and as an anytime algorithm. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first algorithm to optimally solve a non-trivial subclass of decentralized MDPs. It lays the foundation for further work in this area on both exact and approximate algorithms.