Markov Models
Solving POMDPs: RTDP-Bel Versus Point-based Algorithms
Bonet, Blai (Universidad Simon Bolivar) | Geffner, Hector (ICREA &)
Point-based algorithms and RTDP-Bel are approximate methods for solving POMDPs that replace the full updates of parallel value iteration by faster and more effective updates at selected beliefs. An important difference between the two methods is that the former adopt Sondik's representation of the value function, while the latter uses a tabular representation and a discretization function. The algorithms, however, have not been compared up to now, because they target different POMDPs: discounted POMDPs on the one hand, and Goal POMDPs on the other. In this paper, we bridge this representational gap, showing how to transform discounted POMDPs into Goal POMDPs, and use the transformation to compare RTDP-Bel with point-based algorithms over the existing discounted benchmarks. The results appear to contradict the conventional wisdom in the area showing that RTDP-Bel is competitive, and sometimes superior to point-based algorithms in both quality and time.
Abnormal Activity Recognition based on HDP-HMM Models
Hu, Derek Hao (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) | Zhang, Xian-Xing (Nanjing University) | Yin, Jie (CSIRO ICT Centre) | Zheng, Vincent Wenchen (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) | Yang, Qiang (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
Detecting abnormal activities from sensor readings is an important research problem in activity recognition. A number of different algorithms have been proposed in the past to tackle this problem. Many of the previous state-based approaches suffer from the problem of failing to decide the appropriate number of states, which are difficult to find through a trial and-error approach, in real-world applications. In this paper, we propose an accurate and flexible framework for abnormal activity recognition from sensor readings that involves less human tuning of model parameters. Our approach first applies a Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM), which supports an infinite number of states, to automatically find an appropriate number of states. We incorporate a Fisher Kernel into the One-Class Support Vector Machine (OCSVM) model to filter out the activities that are likely to be normal. Finally, we derive an abnormal activity model from the normal activity models to reduce false positive rate in an unsupervised manner. Our main contribution is that our proposed HDP-HMM models can decide the appropriate number of states automatically, and that by incorporating a Fisher Kernel into the OCSVM model, we can combine the advantages from generative model and discriminative model. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach by using several real-world datasets to test our algorithm’s performance.
ReTrASE: Integrating Paradigms for Approximate Probabilistic Planning
Kolobov, Andrey (University of Washington, Seattle) | Mausam, (University of Washington, Seattle) | Weld, Daniel S. (University of Washington, Seattle)
Past approaches for solving MDPs have several weaknesses: 1) Decision-theoretic computation over the state space can yield optimal results but scales poorly. 2) Value-function approximation typically requires human-specified basis functions and has not been shown successful on nominal ("discrete") domains such as those in the ICAPS planning competitions. 3) Replanning by applying a classical planner to a determinized domain model can generate approximate policies for very large problems but has trouble handling probabilistic subtlety. This paper presents ReTrASE, a novel MDP solver, which combines decision theory, function approximation and classical planning in a new way. ReTrASE uses classical planning to create basis functions for value-function approximation and applies expected-utility analysis to this compact space. Our algorithm is memory-efficient and fast (due to its compact, approximate representation), returns high-quality solutions (due to the decision-theoretic framework) and does not require additional knowledge from domain engineers (since we apply classical planning to automatically construct the basis functions). Experiments demonstrate that ReTrASE outperforms winners from the past three probabilistic-planning competitions on many hard problems.
Speeding Up Inference in Markov Logic Networks by Preprocessing to Reduce the Size of the Resulting Grounded Network
Shavlik, Jude (University of Wisconsin Madison) | Natarajan, Sriraam (University of Wisconsin Madison)
Statistical-relational reasoning has received much attention due to its ability to robustly model complex relationships. A key challenge is tractable inference, especially in domains involving many objects, due to the combinatorics involved. One can accelerate inference by using approximation techniques, lazy algorithms, etc. We consider Markov Logic Networks (MLNs), which involve counting how often logical formulae are satisfied. We propose a preprocessing algorithm that can substantially reduce the effective size of MLNs by rapidly counting how often the evidence satisfies each formula, regardless of the truth values of the query literals. This is a general preprocessing method that loses no information and can be used for any MLN inference algorithm. We evaluate our algorithm empirically in three real-world domains, greatly reducing the work needed during subsequent inference. Such reduction might even allow exact inference to be performed when sampling methods would be otherwise necessary.
Large Margin Boltzmann Machines
Miao, Xu (University of Washington) | Rao, Rajesh P. N. (University of Washington)
Boltzmann Machines are a powerful class of undirected graphical models. Originally proposed as artificial neural networks, they can be regarded as a type of Markov Random Field in which the connection weights between nodes are symmetric and learned from data. They are also closely related to recent models such as Markov logic networks and Conditional Random Fields. A major challenge for Boltzmann machines (as well as other graphical models) is speeding up learning for large-scale problems. The heart of the problem lies in efficiently and effectively approximating the partition function. In this paper, we propose a new efficient learning algorithm for Boltzmann machines that allows them to be applied to problems with large numbers of random variables. We introduce a new large-margin variational approximation to the partition function that allows Boltzmann machines to be trained using a support vector machine (SVM) style learning algorithm. For discriminative learning tasks, these large margin Boltzmann machines provide an alternative approach to structural SVMs. We show that these machines have low sample complexity and derive a generalization bound. Our results demonstrate that on multi-label classification problems, large margin Boltzmann machines achieve orders of magnitude faster performance than structural SVMs and also outperform structural SVMs on problems with large numbers of labels.
Information-Lookahead Planning for AUV Mapping
Saigol, Zeyn A. (University of Birmingham) | Dearden, Richard W. (University of Birmingham) | Wyatt, Jeremy L. (University of Birmingham) | Murton, Bramley J. (National Oceanography Centre, Southampton)
Exploration for robotic mapping is typically handled using greedy entropy reduction. Here we show how to apply information lookahead planning to a challenging instance of this problem in which an Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV) maps hydrothermal vents. Given a simulation of vent behaviour we derive an observation function to turn the planning for mapping problem into a POMDP. We test a variety of information state MDP algorithms against greedy, systematic and reactive search strategies. We show that directly rewarding the AUV for visiting vents induces effective mapping strategies. We evaluate the algorithms in simulation and show that our information lookahead method outperforms the others.
Human Activity Encoding and Recognition Using Low-level Visual Features
Wang, Zheshen (Arizona State University) | Li, Baoxin (Arizona State University)
Automatic recognition of human activities is among the key capabilities of many intelligent systems with vision/perception. Most existing approaches to this problem require sophisticated feature extraction before classification can be performed. This paper presents a novel approach for human action recognition using only simple low-level visual features: motion captured from direct frame differencing. A codebook of key poses is first created from the training data through unsupervised clustering. Videos of actions are then coded as sequences of super-frames, defined as the key poses augmented with discriminative attributes. A weighted-sequence distance is proposed for comparing two super-frame sequences, which is further wrapped as a kernel embedded in a SVM classifier for the final classification. Compared with conventional methods, our approach provides a flexible non-parametric sequential structure with a corresponding distance measure for human action representation and classification without requiring complex feature extraction. The effectiveness of our approach is demonstrated with the widely-used KTH human activity dataset, for which the proposed method outperforms the existing state-of-the-art.
Nonmyopic Adaptive Informative Path Planning for Multiple Robots
Singh, Amarjeet (University of California Los Angeles) | Krause, Andreas (Caltech) | Kaiser, William J. (University of California Los Angeles)
Many robotic path planning applications, such as search and rescue, involve uncertain environments with complex dynamics that can be only partially observed. When selecting the best subset of observation locations subject to constrained resources (such as limited time or battery capacity) it is an important problem to trade off exploration (gathering information about the environment) and exploitation (using the current knowledge about the environment most effectively) for efficiently observing these environments. Even the nonadaptive setting, where paths are planned before observations are made, is NP-hard, and has been subject to much research. In this paper, we present a novel approach to adaptive informative path planning that addresses this exploration-exploitation tradeoff. Our approach is nonmyopic, i.e. it plans ahead for possible observations that can be made in the future. We quantify the benefit of exploration through the “adaptivity gap” between an adaptive and a nonadaptive algorithm in terms of the uncertainty in the environment. Exploiting the submodularity (a diminishing returns property) and locality properties of the objective function, we develop an algorithm that performs provably near-optimally in settings where the adaptivity gap is small. In case of large gap, we use an objective function that simultaneously optimizes paths for exploration and exploitation. We also provide an algorithm to extend any single robot algorithm for adaptive informative path planning to the multi robot setting while approximately preserving the theoretical guarantee of the single robot algorithm. We extensively evaluate our approach on a search and rescue domain and a scientific monitoring problem using a real robotic system.
Inverse Reinforcement Learning in Partially Observable Environments
Choi, Jaedeug (KAIST) | Kim, Kee-Eung (KAIST)
Inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) is the problem of recovering the underlying reward function from the behaviour of an expert. Most of the existing algorithms for IRL assume that the expert's environment is modeled as a Markov decision process (MDP), although they should be able to handle partially observable settings in order to widen the applicability to more realistic scenarios. In this paper, we present an extension of the classical IRL algorithm by Ng and Russell to partially observable environments. We discuss technical issues and challenges, and present the experimental results on some of the benchmark partially observable domains.
Probabilistic Models for Concurrent Chatting Activity Recognition
Lian, Chia-chun (National Taiwan University) | Hsu, Jane Yung-jen (National Taiwan University)
Recognition of chatting activities in social interactions is useful for constructing human social networks. However, the existence of multiple people involved in multiple dialogues presents special challenges. To model the conversational dynamics of concurrent chatting behaviors, this paper advocates Factorial Conditional Random Fields (FCRFs) as a model to accommodate co-temporal relationships among multiple activity states. In addition, to avoid the use of inefficient Loopy Belief Propagation (LBP) algorithm, we propose using Iterative Classification Algorithm (ICA) as the inference method for FCRFs. We designed experiments to compare our FCRFs model with two dynamic probabilistic models, Parallel Condition Random Fields (PCRFs) and Hidden Markov Models (HMMs), in learning and decoding based on auditory data. The experimental results show that FCRFs outperform PCRFs and HMM-like models. We also discover that FCRFs using the ICA inference approach not only improves the recognition accuracy but also takes significantly less time than the LBP inference method.