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 Markov Models


Point-Based Value Iteration for Constrained POMDPs

AAAI Conferences

Constrained partially observable Markov decision processes (CPOMDPs) extend the standard POMDPs by allowing the specification of constraints on some aspects of the policy in addition to the optimality objective for the value function. CPOMDPs have many practical advantages over standard POMDPs since they naturally model problems involving limited resource or multiple objectives. In this paper, we show that the optimal policies in CPOMDPs can be randomized, and present exact and approximate dynamic programming methods for computing randomized optimal policies. While the exact method requires solving a minimax quadratically constrained program (QCP) in each dynamic programming update, the approximate method utilizes the point-based value update with a linear program (LP). We show that the randomized policies are significantly better than the deterministic ones. We also demonstrate that the approximate point-based method is scalable to solve large problems.


Robust Online Optimization of Reward-Uncertain MDPs

AAAI Conferences

Imprecise-reward Markov decision processes (IRMDPs) are MDPs in which the reward function is only partially specified (e.g., by some elicitation process). Recent work using minimax regret to solve IRMDPs has shown, despite their theoretical intractability, how the set of policies that are nondominated w.r.t. reward uncertainty can be exploited to accelerate regret computation. However, the number of nondominated policies is generally so large as to undermine this leverage. In this paper, we show how the quality of the approximation can be improved online by pruning/adding nondominated policies during reward elicitation, while maintaining computational tractability. Drawing insights from the POMDP literature, we also develop a new anytime algorithm for constructing the set of nondominated policies with provable (anytime) error bounds. These bounds can be exploited to great effect in our online approximation scheme.


Risk-Sensitive Policies for Sustainable Renewable Resource Allocation

AAAI Conferences

Markov Decision Processes arise as a natural model for many renewable resources allocation problems. In many such problems, high stakes decisions with potentially catastrophic outcomes (such as the collapse of an entire ecosystem) need to be taken by carefully balancing social, economic, and ecologic goals. We introduce a broad class of such MDP models with a risk averse attitude of the decision maker, in order to obtain policies that are more balanced with respect to the welfare of future generations. We prove that they admit a closed form solution that can be efficiently computed. We show an application of the proposed framework to the Pacific Halibut marine fishery, obtaining new and more cautious policies. Our results strengthen findings of related policies from the literature by providing new evidence that a policy based on periodic closures of the fishery should be employed, in place of the one traditionally used that harvests a constant proportion of the stock every year.


Finite-Length Markov Processes with Constraints

AAAI Conferences

Many systems use Markov models to generate finite-length sequences that imitate a given style. These systems often need to enforce specific control constraints on the sequences to generate. Unfortunately, control constraints are not compatible with Markov models, as they induce long-range dependencies that violate the Markov hypothesis of limited memory. Attempts to solve this issue using heuristic search do not give any guarantee on the nature and probability of the sequences generated. We propose a novel and efficient approach to controlled Markov generation for a specific class of control constraints that 1) guarantees that generated sequences satisfy control constraints and 2) follow the statistical distribution of the initial Markov model. Revisiting Markov generation in the framework of constraint satisfaction, we show how constraints can be compiled into a non-homogeneous Markov model, using arc-consistency techniques and renormalization. We illustrate the approach on a melody generation problem and sketch some realtime applications in which control constraints are given by gesture controllers.


Collective Semantic Role Labeling for Tweets with Clustering

AAAI Conferences

As tweets has become a comprehensive repository of fresh information, Semantic Role Labeling (SRL) for tweets has aroused great research interests because of its center role in a wide range of tweet related studies such as fine-grained information extraction, sentiment analysis and summarization. However, the fact that a tweet is often too short and informal to provide sufficient information poses a main challenge. To tackle this challenge, we propose a new method to collectively label similar tweets. The underlying idea is to exploit similar tweets to make up for the lack of information in a tweet. Specifically, similar tweets are first grouped together by clustering. Then for each cluster a two-stage labeling is conducted: One labeler conducts SRL to get statistical information, such as the predicate/argument/role triples that occur frequently, from its highly confidently labeled results; then in the second stage, another labeler performs SRL with such statistical information to refine the results. Experimental results on a human annotated dataset show that our approach remarkably improves SRL by 3.1% F1.


Probabilistic Goal Markov Decision Processes

AAAI Conferences

In contrast to the studied in single-period optimization [Miller and Wagner, standard approach that studies the expected performance, 1965; Prรฉkopa, 1970]. However, little has been done in we consider the policy that maximizes the context of sequential decision problem including MDPs. the probability of achieving a predetermined target The standard approaches in risk-averse MDPs include maximization performance, a criterion we term probabilistic of expected utility function [Bertsekas, 1995], goal Markov decision processes. We show that and optimization of a coherent risk measure [Riedel, 2004; this problem is NPhard, but can be solved using a Le Tallec, 2007]. Both approaches lead to formulations that pseudo-polynomial algorithm. We further consider can not be solved in polynomial time, except for special a variant dubbed "chance-constraint Markov decision cases including exponential utility function [Chung and Sobel, problems," that treats the probability of achieving 1987], piecewise linear utility function with a single target performance as a constraint instead of the break down point [Liu and Koenig, 2005], and risk measures maximizing objective. This variant is NPhard, but that can be reduced to robust MDPs satisfying the socalled can be solved in pseudo-polynomial time.


Goal Recognition over POMDPs: Inferring the Intention of a POMDP Agent

AAAI Conferences

Plan recognition is the problem of inferring the goals and plans of an agent from partial observations of her behavior. Recently, it has been shown that the problem can be formulated and solved using planners, reducing plan recognition to plan generation. In this work, we extend this model-based approach to plan recognition to the POMDP setting, where actions are stochastic and states are partially observable. The task is to infer a probability distribution over the possible goals of an agent whose behavior results from a POMDP model. The POMDP model is shared between agent and observer except for the true goal of the agent that is hidden to the observer. The observations are action sequences O that may contain gaps as some or even most of the actions done by the agent may not be observed. We show that the posterior goal distribution P ( G | O ) can be computed from the value function V G ( b ) over beliefs bย  generated by the POMDP planner for each possible goal G. Some extensions of the basic framework are discussed, and a number of experiments are reported.


A Framework for Incorporating General Domain Knowledge into Latent Dirichlet Allocation Using First-Order Logic

AAAI Conferences

Topic models have been used successfully for a variety of problems, often in the form of application-specific extensions of the basic Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) model. Because deriving these new models in order to encode domain knowledge can be difficult and time-consuming, we propose the Foldยทall model, which allows the user to specify general domain knowledge in First-Order Logic (FOL). However, combining topic modeling with FOL can result in inference problems beyond the capabilities of existing techniques. We have therefore developed a scalable inference technique using stochastic gradient descent which may also be useful to the Markov Logic Network (MLN) research community. Experiments demonstrate the expresive power of Foldยทall, as well as the scalability of our proposed inference method.


Semantic Relationship Discovery with Wikipedia Structure

AAAI Conferences

Thanks to the idea of social collaboration, Wikipedia has accumulated vast amount of semi-structured knowledge in which the link structure reflects human's cognition on semantic relationship to some extent. In this paper, we proposed a novel method RCRank to jointly compute concept-concept relatedness and concept-category relatedness base on the assumption that information carried in concept-concept links and concept-category links can mutually reinforce each other. Different from previous work, RCRank can not only find semantically related concepts but also interpret their relations by categories. Experimental results on concept recommendation and relation interpretation show that our method substantially outperforms classical methods.


Control of Robotic Systems for Safe Interaction with Human Operators

AAAI Conferences

Human Robot Interaction (HRI) is an active field of integrating and embedding different techniques in artificial intelligence. This paper describes my research topic on: Control of Robotic Systems for Safe Interaction with Human Operators. It consists of online motion generation for robotic manipulators interacting with dynamic obstacles and humans using a moving horizon scheme, modeling and long term prediction of human motion using probabilistic models and reachability analysis, and development of an HRI demonstration platform.