This paper introduces a new specialized algorithm for equilibrium Monte Carlo sampling of binary-valued systems, which allows for large moves in the state space. This is achieved by constructing self-avoiding walks (SAWs) in the state space. As a consequence, many bits are flipped in a single MCMC step. We name the algorithm SARDONICS, an acronym for Self-Avoiding Random Dynamics on Integer Complex Systems. The algorithm has several free parameters, but we show that Bayesian optimization can be used to automatically tune them. SARDONICS performs remarkably well in a broad number of sampling tasks: toroidal ferromagnetic and frustrated Ising models, 3D Ising models, restricted Boltzmann machines and chimera graphs arising in the design of quantum computers.

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to the problem of jointly modeling multiple related time series. Our approach is based on the discovery of a set of latent, shared dynamical behaviors. Using a beta process prior, the size of the set and the sharing pattern are both inferred from data. We develop efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo methods based on the Indian buffet process representation of the predictive distribution of the beta process, without relying on a truncated model. In particular, our approach uses the sum-product algorithm to efficiently compute Metropolis-Hastings acceptance probabilities, and explores new dynamical behaviors via birth and death proposals. We examine the benefits of our proposed feature-based model on several synthetic datasets, and also demonstrate promising results on unsupervised segmentation of visual motion capture data.

When faced with the problem of learning a model of a high-dimensional environment, a common approach is to limit the model to make only a restricted set of predictions, thereby simplifying the learning problem. These partial models may be directly useful for making decisions or may be combined together to form a more complete, structured model. However, in partially observable (non-Markov) environments, standard model-learning methods learn generative models, i.e. models that provide a probability distribution over all possible futures (such as POMDPs). It is not straightforward to restrict such models to make only certain predictions, and doing so does not always simplify the learning problem. In this paper we present prediction profile models: non-generative partial models for partially observable systems that make only a given set of predictions, and are therefore far simpler than generative models in some cases. We formalize the problem of learning a prediction profile model as a transformation of the original model-learning problem, and show empirically that one can learn prediction profile models that make a small set of important predictions even in systems that are too complex for standard generative models.

This work considers the problem of learning the structure of multivariate linear tree models, which include a variety of directed tree graphical models with continuous, discrete, and mixed latent variables such as linear-Gaussian models, hidden Markov models, Gaussian mixture models, and Markov evolutionary trees. The setting is one where we only have samples from certain observed variables in the tree, and our goal is to estimate the tree structure (i.e., the graph of how the underlying hidden variables are connected to each other and to the observed variables). We propose the Spectral Recursive Grouping algorithm, an efficient and simple bottom-up procedure for recovering the tree structure from independent samples of the observed variables. Our finite sample size bounds for exact recovery of the tree structure reveal certain natural dependencies on underlying statistical and structural properties of the underlying joint distribution. Furthermore, our sample complexity guarantees have no explicit dependence on the dimensionality of the observed variables, making the algorithm applicable to many high-dimensional settings. At the heart of our algorithm is a spectral quartet test for determining the relative topology of a quartet of variables from second-order statistics.

Structure learning in random fields has attracted considerable attention due to its difficulty and importance in areas such as remote sensing, computational biology, natural language processing, protein networks, and social network analysis. We consider the problem of estimating the probabilistic graph structure associated with a Gaussian Markov Random Field (GMRF), the Ising model and the Potts model, by extending previous work on $l_1$ regularized neighborhood estimation to include the elastic net $l_1+l_2$ penalty. Additionally, we show numerical evidence that the edge density plays a role in the graph recovery process. Finally, we introduce a novel method for augmenting neighborhood estimation by leveraging pair-wise neighborhood union estimates.

An example is a Mars rover: The major problem with applying POMDP approaches to thanks to low-level control and obstacle avoidance, rovers realistic planning problems like the Mars rovers is the sheer can be expected to reach their destinations reliably, and can size of the problems. Using point-based approximations and collect and communicate data, but they do not know in advance structured representations similar to those used in classical which science targets are interesting and hence will planning (Poupart 2005), problems with tens of millions provide valuable data. Similarly, robots performing tasks of states can be solved approximately, but even that corresponds such as security or cognitive assistance are generally able to to a classical planning problem with only 25 binary navigate reliably, but use unreliable vision algorithms to detect variables, which is a quite small problem by the standards the people and objects with which they are supposed of classical deterministic planning. The alternative we propose to interact. Following Besse and Chaib-draa (2009), we in this paper is to construct a series of classical deterministic will refer to problems with deterministic actions but stochastic planning problems from the quasi-deterministic observations as quasi-deterministic problems, which differ problem. By solving each of these deterministic problems from Deterministic-POMDPs (DET-POMDPS) (Bonet we construct a contingent plan--one that contains branches 2009) by taking into account of uncertainty from observation to be chosen between at run-time.

In this paper, we address the problem of computing the policy of an autonomous agent, taking human recommendations into account which could be appropriate for mixed initiative, or adjustable autonomy. For this purpose, we present Goal Biased Markov Decision Process (GBMDP) which assume two kinds of recommendation. The human recommends to the agent to avoid some situations (represented by undesirable states), or he recommends favorable situations represented by desirable states. The agent takes those recommendations into account by updating its policy (only updating the states concerned by the recommendations, not the whole policy). We show that GBMDP is efficient and it improves the human's intervention by reducing its time of attention paid to the agent. Moreover, GBMDP optimizes robot's computation time by updating only the necessary states. We also show how GBMDP can consider more than one recommendation. Finally, our experiments show how we update policies which are intractable by standard approaches.

Context-aware recommender systems (CARS) generate more relevant recommendations by adapting them to the specific contextual situation of the user. This article explores how contextual information can be used to create more intelligent and useful recommender systems. It provides an overview of the multifaceted notion of context, discusses several approaches for incorporating contextual information in recommendation process, and illustrates the usage of such approaches in several application areas where different types of contexts are exploited. The article concludes by discussing the challenges and future research directions for context-aware recommender systems.

Multi-agent planning in stochastic environments can be framed formally as a decentralized Markov decision problem. Many real-life distributed problems that arise in manufacturing, multi-robot coordination and information gathering scenarios can be formalized using this framework. However, finding the optimal solution in the general case is hard, limiting the applicability of recently developed algorithms. This paper provides a practical approach for solving decentralized control problems when communication among the decision makers is possible, but costly. We develop the notion of communication-based mechanism that allows us to decompose a decentralized MDP into multiple single-agent problems. In this framework, referred to as decentralized semi-Markov decision process with direct communication (Dec-SMDP-Com), agents operate separately between communications. We show that finding an optimal mechanism is equivalent to solving optimally a Dec-SMDP-Com. We also provide a heuristic search algorithm that converges on the optimal decomposition. Restricting the decomposition to some specific types of local behaviors reduces significantly the complexity of planning. In particular, we present a polynomial-time algorithm for the case in which individual agents perform goal-oriented behaviors between communications. The paper concludes with an additional tractable algorithm that enables the introduction of human knowledge, thereby reducing the overall problem to finding the best time to communicate. Empirical results show that these approaches provide good approximate solutions.

Markov decision processes capture sequential decision making under uncertainty, where an agent must choose actions so as to optimize long term reward. The paper studies efficient reasoning mechanisms for Relational Markov Decision Processes (RMDP) where world states have an internal relational structure that can be naturally described in terms of objects and relations among them. Two contributions are presented. First, the paper develops First Order Decision Diagrams (FODD), a new compact representation for functions over relational structures, together with a set of operators to combine FODDs, and novel reduction techniques to keep the representation small. Second, the paper shows how FODDs can be used to develop solutions for RMDPs, where reasoning is performed at the abstract level and the resulting optimal policy is independent of domain size (number of objects) or instantiation. In particular, a variant of the value iteration algorithm is developed by using special operations over FODDs, and the algorithm is shown to converge to the optimal policy.