Markov Models
Active Exploration in Markov Decision Processes
Tarbouriech, Jean, Lazaric, Alessandro
We introduce the active exploration problem in Markov decision processes (MDPs). Each state of the MDP is characterized by a random value and the learner should gather samples to estimate the mean value of each state as accurately as possible. Similarly to active exploration in multi-armed bandit (MAB), states may have different levels of noise, so that the higher the noise, the more samples are needed. As the noise level is initially unknown, we need to trade off the exploration of the environment to estimate the noise and the exploitation of these estimates to compute a policy maximizing the accuracy of the mean predictions. We introduce a novel learning algorithm to solve this problem showing that active exploration in MDPs may be significantly more difficult than in MAB. We also derive a heuristic procedure to mitigate the negative effect of slowly mixing policies. Finally, we validate our findings on simple numerical simulations.
Scaling Matters in Deep Structured-Prediction Models
Shevchenko, Aleksandr, Osokin, Anton
Deep structured-prediction energy-based models combine the expressive power of learned representations and the ability of embedding knowledge about the task at hand into the system. A common way to learn parameters of such models consists in a multistage procedure where different combinations of components are trained at different stages. The joint end-to-end training of the whole system is then done as the last fine-tuning stage. This multistage approach is time-consuming and cumbersome as it requires multiple runs until convergence and multiple rounds of hyperparameter tuning. From this point of view, it is beneficial to start the joint training procedure from the beginning. However, such approaches often unexpectedly fail and deliver results worse than the multistage ones. In this paper, we hypothesize that one reason for joint training of deep energy-based models to fail is the incorrect relative normalization of different components in the energy function. We propose online and offline scaling algorithms that fix the joint training and demonstrate their efficacy on three different tasks.
A comparative evaluation of novelty detection algorithms for discrete sequences
Domingues, Rémi, Michiardi, Pietro, Barlet, Jérémie, Filippone, Maurizio
The identification of anomalies in temporal data is a core component of numerous research areas such as intrusion detection, fault prevention, genomics and fraud detection. This article provides an experimental comparison of the novelty detection problem applied to discrete sequences. The objective of this study is to identify which state-of-the-art methods are efficient and appropriate candidates for a given use case. These recommendations rely on extensive novelty detection experiments based on a variety of public datasets in addition to novel industrial datasets. We also perform thorough scalability and memory usage tests resulting in new supplementary insights of the methods' performance, key selection criterion to solve problems relying on large volumes of data and to meet the expectations of applications subject to strict response time constraints.
Learning Factored Markov Decision Processes with Unawareness
Innes, Craig, Lascarides, Alex
Methods for learning and planning in sequential decision problems often assume the learner is aware of all possible states and actions in advance. This assumption is sometimes untenable. In this paper, we give a method to learn factored markov decision problems from both domain exploration and expert assistance, which guarantees convergence to near-optimal behaviour, even when the agent begins unaware of factors critical to success. Our experiments show our agent learns optimal behaviour on small and large problems, and that conserving information on discovering new possibilities results in faster convergence.
Adaptive Hedging under Delayed Feedback
Korotin, Alexander, V'yugin, Vladimir, Burnaev, Evgeny
The article is devoted to investigating the application of hedging strategies to online expert weight allocation under delayed feedback. As the main result, we develop the General Hedging algorithm $\mathcal{G}$ based on the exponential reweighing of experts' losses. We build the artificial probabilistic framework and use it to prove the adversarial loss bounds for the algorithm $\mathcal{G}$ in the delayed feedback setting. The designed algorithm $\mathcal{G}$ can be applied to both countable and continuous sets of experts. We also show how algorithm $\mathcal{G}$ extends classical Hedge (Multiplicative Weights) and adaptive Fixed Share algorithms to the delayed feedback and derive their regret bounds for the delayed setting by using our main result.
Distributed Edge Caching via Reinforcement Learning in Fog Radio Access Networks
Lu, Liuyang, Jiang, Yanxiang, Bennis, Mehdi, Ding, Zhiguo, Zheng, Fu-Chun, You, Xiaohu
In this paper, the distributed edge caching problem in fog radio access networks (F-RANs) is investigated. By considering the unknown spatio-temporal content popularity and user preference, a user request model based on hidden Markov process is proposed to characterize the fluctuant spatio-temporal traffic demands in F-RANs. Then, the Q-learning method based on the reinforcement learning (RL) framework is put forth to seek the optimal caching policy in a distributed manner, which enables fog access points (F-APs) to learn and track the potential dynamic process without extra communications cost. Furthermore, we propose a more efficient Q-learning method with value function approximation (Q-VFA-learning) to reduce complexity and accelerate convergence. Simulation results show that the performance of our proposed method is superior to those of the traditional methods.
Information Gathering in Decentralized POMDPs by Policy Graph Improvement
Lauri, Mikko, Pajarinen, Joni, Peters, Jan
Decentralized policies for information gathering are required when multiple autonomous agents are deployed to collect data about a phenomenon of interest without the ability to communicate. Decentralized partially observable Markov decision processes (Dec-POMDPs) are a general, principled model well-suited for such decentralized multiagent decision-making problems. In this paper, we investigate Dec-POMDPs for decentralized information gathering problems. An optimal solution of a Dec-POMDP maximizes the expected sum of rewards over time. To encourage information gathering, we set the reward as a function of the agents' state information, for example the negative Shannon entropy. We prove that if the reward is convex, then the finite-horizon value function of the corresponding Dec-POMDP is also convex. We propose the first heuristic algorithm for information gathering Dec-POMDPs, and empirically prove its effectiveness by solving problems an order of magnitude larger than previous state-of-the-art.
Fully Distributed Bayesian Optimization with Stochastic Policies
Garcia-Barcos, Javier, Martinez-Cantin, Ruben
Bayesian optimization has become a popular method for high-throughput computing, like the design of computer experiments or hyperparameter tuning of expensive models, where sample efficiency is mandatory. In these applications, distributed and scalable architectures are a necessity. However, Bayesian optimization is mostly sequential. Even parallel variants require certain computations between samples, limiting the parallelization bandwidth. Thompson sampling has been previously applied for distributed Bayesian optimization. But, when compared with other acquisition functions in the sequential setting, Thompson sampling is known to perform suboptimally. In this paper, we present a new method for fully distributed Bayesian optimization, which can be combined with any acquisition function. Our approach considers Bayesian optimization as a partially observable Markov decision process. In this context, stochastic policies, such as the Boltzmann policy, have some interesting properties which can also be studied for Bayesian optimization. Furthermore, the Boltzmann policy trivially allows a distributed Bayesian optimization implementation with high level of parallelism and scalability. We present results in several benchmarks and applications that shows the performance of our method.
Robust and Subject-Independent Driving Manoeuvre Anticipation through Domain-Adversarial Recurrent Neural Networks
Tonutti, Michele, Ruffaldi, Emanuele, Cattaneo, Alessandro, Avizzano, Carlo Alberto
Through deep learning and computer vision techniques, driving manoeuvres can be predicted accurately a few seconds in advance. Even though adapting a learned model to new drivers and different vehicles is key for robust driver-assistance systems, this problem has received little attention so far. This work proposes to tackle this challenge through domain adaptation, a technique closely related to transfer learning. A proof of concept for the application of a Domain-Adversarial Recurrent Neural Network (DA-RNN) to multi-modal time series driving data is presented, in which domain-invariant features are learned by maximizing the loss of an auxiliary domain classifier. Our implementation is evaluated using a leave-one-driver-out approach on individual drivers from the Brain4Cars dataset, as well as using a new dataset acquired through driving simulations, yielding an average increase in performance of 30% and 114% respectively compared to no adaptation. We also show the importance of fine-tuning sections of the network to optimise the extraction of domain-independent features. The results demonstrate the applicability of the approach to driver-assistance systems as well as training and simulation environments.
Banded Matrix Operators for Gaussian Markov Models in the Automatic Differentiation Era
Durrande, Nicolas, Adam, Vincent, Bordeaux, Lucas, Eleftheriadis, Stefanos, Hensman, James
These two limitations have been thoroughly Banded matrices can be used as precision studied over the past decades and several approaches matrices in several models including linear have been proposed to overcome them. The most popular state-space models, some Gaussian processes, method for reducing computational complexity is and Gaussian Markov random fields. The the sparse GP framework (Candela and Rasmussen, aim of the paper is to make modern inference 2005; Titsias, 2009), where computations are focussed methods (such as variational inference or on a set of "inducing variables", allowing a tradeoff gradient-based sampling) available for Gaussian between computational requirements and the accuracy models with banded precision.