Bayesian Learning
Exoplanet Characterization using Conditional Invertible Neural Networks
Haldemann, Jonas, Ksoll, Victor, Walter, Daniel, Alibert, Yann, Klessen, Ralf S., Benz, Willy, Koethe, Ullrich, Ardizzone, Lynton, Rother, Carsten
The characterization of an exoplanet's interior is an inverse problem, which requires statistical methods such as Bayesian inference in order to be solved. Current methods employ Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling to infer the posterior probability of planetary structure parameters for a given exoplanet. These methods are time consuming since they require the calculation of a large number of planetary structure models. To speed up the inference process when characterizing an exoplanet, we propose to use conditional invertible neural networks (cINNs) to calculate the posterior probability of the internal structure parameters. cINNs are a special type of neural network which excel in solving inverse problems. We constructed a cINN using FrEIA, which was then trained on a database of $5.6\cdot 10^6$ internal structure models to recover the inverse mapping between internal structure parameters and observable features (i.e., planetary mass, planetary radius and composition of the host star). The cINN method was compared to a Metropolis-Hastings MCMC. For that we repeated the characterization of the exoplanet K2-111 b, using both the MCMC method and the trained cINN. We show that the inferred posterior probability of the internal structure parameters from both methods are very similar, with the biggest differences seen in the exoplanet's water content. Thus cINNs are a possible alternative to the standard time-consuming sampling methods. Indeed, using cINNs allows for orders of magnitude faster inference of an exoplanet's composition than what is possible using an MCMC method, however, it still requires the computation of a large database of internal structures to train the cINN. Since this database is only computed once, we found that using a cINN is more efficient than an MCMC, when more than 10 exoplanets are characterized using the same cINN.
Submodularity In Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence
In this manuscript, we offer a gentle review of submodularity and supermodularity and their properties. We offer a plethora of submodular definitions; a full description of a number of example submodular functions and their generalizations; example discrete constraints; a discussion of basic algorithms for maximization, minimization, and other operations; a brief overview of continuous submodular extensions; and some historical applications. We then turn to how submodularity is useful in machine learning and artificial intelligence. This includes summarization, and we offer a complete account of the differences between and commonalities amongst sketching, coresets, extractive and abstractive summarization in NLP, data distillation and condensation, and data subset selection and feature selection. We discuss a variety of ways to produce a submodular function useful for machine learning, including heuristic hand-crafting, learning or approximately learning a submodular function or aspects thereof, and some advantages of the use of a submodular function as a coreset producer. We discuss submodular combinatorial information functions, and how submodularity is useful for clustering, data partitioning, parallel machine learning, active and semi-supervised learning, probabilistic modeling, and structured norms and loss functions.
Unified Perspective on Probability Divergence via Maximum Likelihood Density Ratio Estimation: Bridging KL-Divergence and Integral Probability Metrics
Kato, Masahiro, Imaizumi, Masaaki, Minami, Kentaro
This paper provides a unified perspective for the Kullback-Leibler (KL)-divergence and the integral probability metrics (IPMs) from the perspective of maximum likelihood density-ratio estimation (DRE). Both the KL-divergence and the IPMs are widely used in various fields in applications such as generative modeling. However, a unified understanding of these concepts has still been unexplored. In this paper, we show that the KL-divergence and the IPMs can be represented as maximal likelihoods differing only by sampling schemes, and use this result to derive a unified form of the IPMs and a relaxed estimation method. To develop the estimation problem, we construct an unconstrained maximum likelihood estimator to perform DRE with a stratified sampling scheme. We further propose a novel class of probability divergences, called the Density Ratio Metrics (DRMs), that interpolates the KL-divergence and the IPMs. In addition to these findings, we also introduce some applications of the DRMs, such as DRE and generative adversarial networks. In experiments, we validate the effectiveness of our proposed methods.
Building a Random Forest Classifier to Predict Neural Spikes
A step-by-step guide to building a Random Forest classifier in Python to predict subtypes of neural extracellular spikes using a real data-set recorded from Human brain organoids. Given the heterogeneity of neurons within the human brain itself, classification tools are commonly utilised to correlate electrical activity with different cell types and/or morphologies. This is a long-standing question in Neuroscience circles, and can be considerably variable between different species, pathologies, brain regions and layers. Fortunately, with the readily increasing computational power allowing improvements in machine-learning and deep-learning algorithms, Neuroscientists are provided with the tools to dive further into asking these important questions. However, as stated by Juavinett et al., for the most part programming skills are underrepresented in the community and new resources to teach them are crucial to solving the complexity of the human brain.
Approximate Bayesian Computation Based on Maxima Weighted Isolation Kernel Mapping
This paper addresses the problem of precisely estimating the parameters of a stochastic model corresponding to branching processes. A branching process is a stochastic process consisting of collections of random variables indexed by the natural numbers. Branching processes are often used to describe population models Jagers (1989) and Athreya and Ney (2012); for example, models in the population genetics showing the genetic drift Burden and Simon (2016) Chen et al. (2017). In contrast to statistical approaches, branching processes enable the study of the dynamics of cell evolution and, as a consistence, have become a popular approach to cancer cell evolution research West et al., 2016. However, particularly in the case of cancer cell evolution, as well as in branching processes in general, the ultimate extinction of a population often occurs Devroye (1998). It is for this reason that with the initial uniform distribution of parameters, branching processes models tend to yield unevenly distributed data consisting of sparse and dense regions. The stochastic nature of the data is an another obstacle in estimating the parameters of a branching processes model, especially in the case of cancer cell evolution Nagornov et al. (2021). Moreover, simulations, based on a model of cell mutations, population evolution, and tumor/cancer subpopulations, commonly lead to the emergence of many clones and rarely to the appearance of cancer cells.
Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) & Bayesian Networks - DataScienceCentral.com
Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) software is software for producing forgeries and imitations of data (aka synthetic data, fake data). Human beings have been making fakes, with good or evil intent, of almost everything they possibly can, since the beginning of the human race. Thus, perhaps not too surprisingly, GAN software has been widely used since it was first proposed in this amazingly recent 2014 paper. To gauge how widely GAN software has been used so far, see, for example, this 2019 article entitled "18 Impressive Applications of Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs)" Sounds (voices, music,…), Images (realistic pictures, paintings, drawings, handwriting, …), Text,etc. The forgeries can be tweaked so that they range from being very similar to the originals, to being whimsical exaggerations thereof.
Stochastic Neural Networks with Infinite Width are Deterministic
Ziyin, Liu, Zhang, Hanlin, Meng, Xiangming, Lu, Yuting, Xing, Eric, Ueda, Masahito
Applications of neural networks have achieved great success in various fields. A major extension of the standard neural networks is to make them stochastic, namely, to make the output a random function of the input. In a broad sense, stochastic neural networks include neural networks trained with dropout (Srivastava et al., 2014; Gal & Ghahramani, 2016), Bayesian networks (Mackay, 1992), variational autoencoders (VAE) (Kingma & Welling, 2013), and generative adversarial networks (Goodfellow et al., 2014). There are many reasons why one wants to make a neural network stochastic. Two main reasons are (1) regularization and (2) distribution modeling.
Why the Rich Get Richer? On the Balancedness of Random Partition Models
Lee, Changwoo J., Sang, Huiyan
Random partition models are widely used in Bayesian methods for various clustering tasks, such as mixture models, topic models, and community detection problems. While the number of clusters induced by random partition models has been studied extensively, another important model property regarding the balancedness of cluster sizes has been largely neglected. We formulate a framework to define and theoretically study the balancedness of exchangeable random partition models, by analyzing how a model assigns probabilities to partitions with different levels of balancedness. We demonstrate that the "rich-get-richer" characteristic of many existing popular random partition models is an inevitable consequence of two common assumptions: product-form exchangeability and projectivity. We propose a principled way to compare the balancedness of random partition models, which gives a better understanding of what model works better and what doesn't for different applications. We also introduce the "rich-get-poorer" random partition models and illustrate their application to entity resolution tasks.
Improving Specificity in Mammography Using Cross-correlation between Wavelet and Fourier Transform
Breast cancer is in the most common malignant tumor in women. It accounted for 30% of new malignant tumor cases. Although the incidence of breast cancer remains high around the world, the mortality rate has been continuously reduced. This is mainly due to recent developments in molecular biology technology and improved level of comprehensive diagnosis and standard treatment. Early detection by mammography is an integral part of that. The most common breast abnormalities that may indicate breast cancer are masses and calcifications. Previous detection approaches usually obtain relatively high sensitivity but unsatisfactory specificity. We will investigate an approach that applies the discrete wavelet transform and Fourier transform to parse the images and extracts statistical features that characterize an image's content, such as the mean intensity and the skewness of the intensity. A naive Bayesian classifier uses these features to classify the images. We expect to achieve an optimal high specificity.
Approximate Bayesian Computation with Domain Expert in the Loop
Bharti, Ayush, Filstroff, Louis, Kaski, Samuel
Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a popular likelihood-free inference method for models with intractable likelihood functions. As ABC methods usually rely on comparing summary statistics of observed and simulated data, the choice of the statistics is crucial. This choice involves a trade-off between loss of information and dimensionality reduction, and is often determined based on domain knowledge. However, handcrafting and selecting suitable statistics is a laborious task involving multiple trial-and-error steps. In this work, we introduce an active learning method for ABC statistics selection which reduces the domain expert's work considerably. By involving the experts, we are able to handle misspecified models, unlike the existing dimension reduction methods. Moreover, empirical results show better posterior estimates than with existing methods, when the simulation budget is limited.