In the complex multi-state system (MSS), reliability analysis is a significant research content, both for equipment design, manufacturing, usage and maintenance. Universal Generating Function (UGF) is an important method in the reliability analysis, which efficiently obtains the system reliability by a fast algebraic procedure. However, when structural relationships between subsystems or components are not clear or without explicit expressions, the UGF method is difficult to use or not applicable at all. Bayesian Network (BN) has a natural advantage in terms of uncertainty inference for the relationship without explicit expressions. For the number of components is extremely large, though, it has the defects of low efficiency. To overcome the respective defects of UGF and BN, a novel reliability analysis method called UGF-BN is proposed for the complex MSS. In the UGF-BN framework, the UGF method is firstly used to analyze the bottom components with a large number. Then probability distributions obtained are taken as the input of BN. Finally, the reliability of the complex MSS is modeled by the BN method. This proposed method improves the computational efficiency, especially for the MSS with the large number of bottom components. Besides, the aircraft reliability-based design optimization based on the UGF-BN method is further studied with budget constraints on mass, power, and cost. Finally, two cases are used to demonstrate and verify the proposed method.

Bayes Theorem gives us a way of updating our beliefs in light of new evidence, taking into account the strength of our prior beliefs. Deploying Bayes Theorem, you seek to answer the question: what is the likelihood of my hypothesis in light of new evidence? In this article, we'll talk about three ways that the Bayes Theorem can improve your practice of Data Science: By the end, you'll possess a deep understanding of the foundational concept. Bayes Theorem provides a structure for testing a hypothesis, taking into account the strength of prior assumptions and the new evidence. This process is referred to as Bayesian Updating.

Measuring contributions is a classical problem in cooperative game theory where the Shapley value is the most well-known solution concept. In this paper, we establish the convergence property of the Shapley value in parametric Bayesian learning games where players perform a Bayesian inference using their combined data, and the posterior-prior KL divergence is used as the characteristic function. We show that for any two players, under some regularity conditions, their difference in Shapley value converges in probability to the difference in Shapley value of a limiting game whose characteristic function is proportional to the log-determinant of the joint Fisher information. As an application, we present an online collaborative learning framework that is asymptotically Shapley-fair. Our result enables this to be achieved without any costly computations of posterior-prior KL divergences. Only a consistent estimator of the Fisher information is needed. The effectiveness of our framework is demonstrated with experiments using real-world data.

Supervised dictionary learning (SDL) is a classical machine learning method that simultaneously seeks feature extraction and classification tasks, which are not necessarily a priori aligned objectives. The goal of SDL is to learn a class-discriminative dictionary, which is a set of latent feature vectors that can well-explain both the features as well as labels of observed data. In this paper, we provide a systematic study of SDL, including the theory, algorithm, and applications of SDL. First, we provide a novel framework that `lifts' SDL as a convex problem in a combined factor space and propose a low-rank projected gradient descent algorithm that converges exponentially to the global minimizer of the objective. We also formulate generative models of SDL and provide global estimation guarantees of the true parameters depending on the hyperparameter regime. Second, viewed as a nonconvex constrained optimization problem, we provided an efficient block coordinate descent algorithm for SDL that is guaranteed to find an $\varepsilon$-stationary point of the objective in $O(\varepsilon^{-1}(\log \varepsilon^{-1})^{2})$ iterations. For the corresponding generative model, we establish a novel non-asymptotic local consistency result for constrained and regularized maximum likelihood estimation problems, which may be of independent interest. Third, we apply SDL for imbalanced document classification by supervised topic modeling and also for pneumonia detection from chest X-ray images. We also provide simulation studies to demonstrate that SDL becomes more effective when there is a discrepancy between the best reconstructive and the best discriminative dictionaries.

Decision Tree Algorithm, Explained by Nagesh Singh Chauhan 15 Python Coding Interview Questions You Must Know For Data Science by Nate Rosidi The 6 Python Machine Learning Tools Every Data Scientist Should Know About by Nahla Davies Naïve Bayes Algorithm: Everything You Need to Know by Nagesh Singh Chauhan The Complete Collection of Data Science Books – Part 2 by Abid Ali Awan 21 Cheat Sheets for Data Science Interviews by Nate Rosidi Top Programming Languages and Their Uses by Claire D. Costa The Complete Collection of Data Science Books – Part 1 by Abid Ali Awan 9 Free Harvard Courses to Learn Data Science in 2022 by Natassha Selvaraj DBSCAN Clustering Algorithm in Machine Learning by Nagesh Singh Chauhan

Longitudinal interaction studies with Socially Assistive Robots are crucial to ensure that the robot is relevant for long-term use and its perceptions are not prone to the novelty effect. In this paper, we present a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) to capture the longitudinal interactions participants had with a teleoperated robot coach (RC) delivering mindfulness sessions. The DBN model is used to study complex, temporal interactions between the participants self-reported personality traits, weekly baseline wellbeing scores, session ratings, and facial AUs elicited during the sessions in a 5-week longitudinal study. DBN modelling involves learning a graphical representation that facilitates intuitive understanding of how multiple components contribute to the longitudinal changes in session ratings corresponding to the perceptions of the RC, and participants relaxation and calm levels. The learnt model captures the following within and between sessions aspects of the longitudinal interaction study: influence of the 5 personality dimensions on the facial AU states and the session ratings, influence of facial AU states on the session ratings, and the influences within the items of the session ratings. The DBN structure is learnt using first 3 time points and the obtained model is used to predict the session ratings of the last 2 time points of the 5-week longitudinal data. The predictions are quantified using subject-wise RMSE and R2 scores. We also demonstrate two applications of the model, namely, imputation of missing values in the dataset and estimation of longitudinal session ratings of a new participant with a given personality profile. The obtained DBN model thus facilitates learning of conditional dependency structure between variables in the longitudinal data and offers inferences and conceptual understanding which are not possible through other regression methodologies.

Originally published on Towards AI the World's Leading AI and Technology News and Media Company. If you are building an AI-related product or service, we invite you to consider becoming an AI sponsor. At Towards AI, we help scale AI and technology startups. Let us help you unleash your technology to the masses. The iris dataset must be the most used dataset ever.

Object recognition is an essential capability when performing various tasks. Humans naturally use either or both visual and tactile perception to extract object class and properties. Typical approaches for robots, however, require complex visual systems or multiple high-density tactile sensors which can be highly expensive. In addition, they usually require actual collection of a large dataset from real objects through direct interaction. In this paper, we propose a kinesthetic-based object recognition method that can be performed with any multi-fingered robotic hand in which the kinematics is known. The method does not require tactile sensors and is based on observing grasps of the objects. We utilize a unique and frame invariant parameterization of grasps to learn instances of object shapes. To train a classifier, training data is generated rapidly and solely in a computational process without interaction with real objects. We then propose and compare between two iterative algorithms that can integrate any trained classifier. The classifiers and algorithms are independent of any particular robot hand and, therefore, can be exerted on various ones. We show in experiments, that with few grasps, the algorithms acquire accurate classification. Furthermore, we show that the object recognition approach is scalable to objects of various sizes. Similarly, a global classifier is trained to identify general geometries (e.g., an ellipsoid or a box) rather than particular ones and demonstrated on a large set of objects. Full scale experiments and analysis are provided to show the performance of the method.

Machine learning has achieved dramatic success over the past decade, with applications ranging from face recognition to natural language processing. Meanwhile, rapid progress has been made in the field of quantum computation including developing both powerful quantum algorithms and advanced quantum devices. The interplay between machine learning and quantum physics holds the intriguing potential for bringing practical applications to the modern society. Here, we focus on quantum neural networks in the form of parameterized quantum circuits. We will mainly discuss different structures and encoding strategies of quantum neural networks for supervised learning tasks, and benchmark their performance utilizing Yao.jl, a quantum simulation package written in Julia Language. The codes are efficient, aiming to provide convenience for beginners in scientific works such as developing powerful variational quantum learning models and assisting the corresponding experimental demonstrations.

The application of Bayesian inference for the purpose of model selection is very popular nowadays. In this framework, models are compared through their marginal likelihoods, or their quotients, called Bayes factors. However, marginal likelihoods depends on the prior choice. For model selection, even diffuse priors can be actually very informative, unlike for the parameter estimation problem. Furthermore, when the prior is improper, the marginal likelihood of the corresponding model is undetermined. In this work, we discuss the issue of prior sensitivity of the marginal likelihood and its role in model selection. We also comment on the use of uninformative priors, which are very common choices in practice. Several practical suggestions are discussed and many possible solutions, proposed in the literature, to design objective priors for model selection are described. Some of them also allow the use of improper priors. The connection between the marginal likelihood approach and the well-known information criteria is also presented. We describe the main issues and possible solutions by illustrative numerical examples, providing also some related code. One of them involving a real-world application on exoplanet detection.