Bayesian Learning
Opinion Leader Detection in Online Social Networks Based on Output and Input Links
Ghorbani, Zahra, Khasteh, Seyed Hossein, Ghafouri, Saeid
The understanding of how users in a network update their opinions based on their neighbours opinions has attracted a great deal of interest in the field of network science, and a growing body of literature recognises the significance of this issue. In this research paper, we propose a new dynamic model of opinion formation in directed networks. In this model, the opinion of each node is updated as the weighted average of its neighbours opinions, where the weights represent social influence. We define a new centrality measure as a social influence metric based on both influence and conformity. We measure this new approach using two opinion formation models: (i) the Degroot model and (ii) our own proposed model. Previously published research studies have not considered conformity, and have only considered the influence of the nodes when computing the social influence. In our definition, nodes with low in-degree and high out-degree that were connected to nodes with high out-degree and low in-degree had higher centrality. As the main contribution of this research, we propose an algorithm for finding a small subset of nodes in a social network that can have a significant impact on the opinions of other nodes. Experiments on real-world data demonstrate that the proposed algorithm significantly outperforms previously published state-of-the-art methods.
Bayesian Neural Network Language Modeling for Speech Recognition
Xue, Boyang, Hu, Shoukang, Xu, Junhao, Geng, Mengzhe, Liu, Xunying, Meng, Helen
State-of-the-art neural network language models (NNLMs) represented by long short term memory recurrent neural networks (LSTM-RNNs) and Transformers are becoming highly complex. They are prone to overfitting and poor generalization when given limited training data. To this end, an overarching full Bayesian learning framework encompassing three methods is proposed in this paper to account for the underlying uncertainty in LSTM-RNN and Transformer LMs. The uncertainty over their model parameters, choice of neural activations and hidden output representations are modeled using Bayesian, Gaussian Process and variational LSTM-RNN or Transformer LMs respectively. Efficient inference approaches were used to automatically select the optimal network internal components to be Bayesian learned using neural architecture search. A minimal number of Monte Carlo parameter samples as low as one was also used. These allow the computational costs incurred in Bayesian NNLM training and evaluation to be minimized. Experiments are conducted on two tasks: AMI meeting transcription and Oxford-BBC LipReading Sentences 2 (LRS2) overlapped speech recognition using state-of-the-art LF-MMI trained factored TDNN systems featuring data augmentation, speaker adaptation and audio-visual multi-channel beamforming for overlapped speech. Consistent performance improvements over the baseline LSTM-RNN and Transformer LMs with point estimated model parameters and drop-out regularization were obtained across both tasks in terms of perplexity and word error rate (WER). In particular, on the LRS2 data, statistically significant WER reductions up to 1.3% and 1.2% absolute (12.1% and 11.3% relative) were obtained over the baseline LSTM-RNN and Transformer LMs respectively after model combination between Bayesian NNLMs and their respective baselines.
Recent Developments in Brain Computer Interface
Abstract: In this study, we illustrate the progress of BCI research and present scores of unveiled contemporary approaches. First, we explore a decoding natural speech approach that is designed to decode human speech directly from the human brain onto a digital screen introduced by Facebook Reality Lab and University of California San Francisco. Then, we study a recently presented visionary project to control the human brain using Brain-Machine Interfaces (BMI) approach. We also investigate well-known electroencephalography (EEG) based Emotiv Epoc Neuroheadset to identify six emotional parameters including engagement, excitement, focus, stress, relaxation, and interest using brain signals by experimenting the neuroheadset among three human subjects where we utilize two supervised learning classifiers, Naive Bayes and Linear Regression to show the accuracy and competency of the Epoc device and its associated applications in neurotechnological research. We present experimental studies and the demonstration indicates 69% and 62% improved accuracy for the aforementioned classifiers respectively in reading the performance matrices of the participants.
A Comprehensive Review of Digital Twin -- Part 2: Roles of Uncertainty Quantification and Optimization, a Battery Digital Twin, and Perspectives
Thelen, Adam, Zhang, Xiaoge, Fink, Olga, Lu, Yan, Ghosh, Sayan, Youn, Byeng D., Todd, Michael D., Mahadevan, Sankaran, Hu, Chao, Hu, Zhen
As an emerging technology in the era of Industry 4.0, digital twin is gaining unprecedented attention because of its promise to further optimize process design, quality control, health monitoring, decision and policy making, and more, by comprehensively modeling the physical world as a group of interconnected digital models. In a two-part series of papers, we examine the fundamental role of different modeling techniques, twinning enabling technologies, and uncertainty quantification and optimization methods commonly used in digital twins. This second paper presents a literature review of key enabling technologies of digital twins, with an emphasis on uncertainty quantification, optimization methods, open source datasets and tools, major findings, challenges, and future directions. Discussions focus on current methods of uncertainty quantification and optimization and how they are applied in different dimensions of a digital twin. Additionally, this paper presents a case study where a battery digital twin is constructed and tested to illustrate some of the modeling and twinning methods reviewed in this two-part review. Code and preprocessed data for generating all the results and figures presented in the case study are available on GitHub.
Defect Prediction Using Stylistic Metrics
Yasir, Rafed Muhammad, Kabir, Dr. Ahmedul
Defect prediction is one of the most popular research topics due to its potential to minimize software quality assurance efforts. Existing approaches have examined defect prediction from various perspectives such as complexity and developer metrics. However, none of these consider programming style for defect prediction. This paper aims at analyzing the impact of stylistic metrics on both within-project and crossproject defect prediction. For prediction, 4 widely used machine learning algorithms namely Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machine, Decision Tree and Logistic Regression are used. The experiment is conducted on 14 releases of 5 popular, open source projects. F1, Precision and Recall are inspected to evaluate the results. Results reveal that stylistic metrics are a good predictor of defects.
Federated and Privacy-Preserving Learning of Accounting Data in Financial Statement Audits
Schreyer, Marco, Sattarov, Timur, Borth, Damian
The ongoing 'digital transformation' fundamentally changes audit evidence's nature, recording, and volume. Nowadays, the International Standards on Auditing (ISA) requires auditors to examine vast volumes of a financial statement's underlying digital accounting records. As a result, audit firms also 'digitize' their analytical capabilities and invest in Deep Learning (DL), a successful sub-discipline of Machine Learning. The application of DL offers the ability to learn specialized audit models from data of multiple clients, e.g., organizations operating in the same industry or jurisdiction. In general, regulations require auditors to adhere to strict data confidentiality measures. At the same time, recent intriguing discoveries showed that large-scale DL models are vulnerable to leaking sensitive training data information. Today, it often remains unclear how audit firms can apply DL models while complying with data protection regulations. In this work, we propose a Federated Learning framework to train DL models on auditing relevant accounting data of multiple clients. The framework encompasses Differential Privacy and Split Learning capabilities to mitigate data confidentiality risks at model inference. We evaluate our approach to detect accounting anomalies in three real-world datasets of city payments. Our results provide empirical evidence that auditors can benefit from DL models that accumulate knowledge from multiple sources of proprietary client data.
Visual processing in context of reinforcement learning
Although deep reinforcement learning (RL) has recently enjoyed many successes, its methods are still data inefficient, which makes solving numerous problems prohibitively expensive in terms of data. We aim to remedy this by taking advantage of the rich supervisory signal in unlabeled data for learning state representations. This thesis introduces three different representation learning algorithms that have access to different subsets of the data sources that traditional RL algorithms use: (i) GRICA is inspired by independent component analysis (ICA) and trains a deep neural network to output statistically independent features of the input. GrICA does so by minimizing the mutual information between each feature and the other features. Additionally, GrICA only requires an unsorted collection of environment states. (ii) Latent Representation Prediction (LARP) requires more context: in addition to requiring a state as an input, it also needs the previous state and an action that connects them. This method learns state representations by predicting the representation of the environment's next state given a current state and action. The predictor is used with a graph search algorithm. (iii) RewPred learns a state representation by training a deep neural network to learn a smoothed version of the reward function. The representation is used for preprocessing inputs to deep RL, while the reward predictor is used for reward shaping. This method needs only state-reward pairs from the environment for learning the representation. We discover that every method has their strengths and weaknesses, and conclude from our experiments that including unsupervised representation learning in RL problem-solving pipelines can speed up learning.
Task Selection for AutoML System Evaluation
Lorraine, Jonathan, Anderson, Nihesh, Lee, Chansoo, De Laroussilhe, Quentin, Hassen, Mehadi
Our goal is to assess if AutoML system changes - i.e., to the search space or hyperparameter optimization - will improve the final model's performance on production tasks. However, we cannot test the changes on production tasks. Instead, we only have access to limited descriptors about tasks that our AutoML system previously executed, like the number of data points or features. We also have a set of development tasks to test changes, ex., sampled from OpenML with no usage constraints. However, the development and production task distributions are different leading us to pursue changes that only improve development and not production. This paper proposes a method to leverage descriptor information about AutoML production tasks to select a filtered subset of the most relevant development tasks. Empirical studies show that our filtering strategy improves the ability to assess AutoML system changes on holdout tasks with different distributions than development.
Race and ethnicity data for first, middle, and last names
Rosenman, Evan T. R., Olivella, Santiago, Imai, Kosuke
We provide the largest compiled publicly available dictionaries of first, middle, and last names for the purpose of imputing race and ethnicity using, for example, Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG). The dictionaries are based on the voter files of six Southern states that collect self-reported racial data upon voter registration. Our data cover a much larger scope of names than any comparable dataset, containing roughly one million first names, 1.1 million middle names, and 1.4 million surnames. Individuals are categorized into five mutually exclusive racial and ethnic groups -- White, Black, Hispanic, Asian, and Other -- and racial/ethnic counts by name are provided for every name in each dictionary. Counts can then be normalized row-wise or column-wise to obtain conditional probabilities of race given name or name given race. These conditional probabilities can then be deployed for imputation in a data analytic task for which ground truth racial and ethnic data is not available.
Literature Review: Graph Kernels in Chemoinformatics
The purpose of this review is to introduce the reader to graph kernels and the corresponding literature, with an emphasis on those with direct application to chemoinformatics. Graph kernels are functions that allow for the inference of properties of molecules and compounds, which can help with tasks such as finding suitable compounds in drug design. The use of kernel methods is but one particular way two quantify similarity between graphs. We restrict our discussion to this one method, although popular alternatives have emerged in recent years, most notably graph neural networks.