Bayesian Learning
Self-supervised language learning from raw audio: Lessons from the Zero Resource Speech Challenge
Dunbar, Ewan, Hamilakis, Nicolas, Dupoux, Emmanuel
Recent progress in self-supervised or unsupervised machine learning has opened the possibility of building a full speech processing system from raw audio without using any textual representations or expert labels such as phonemes, dictionaries or parse trees. The contribution of the Zero Resource Speech Challenge series since 2015 has been to break down this long-term objective into four well-defined tasks -- Acoustic Unit Discovery, Spoken Term Discovery, Discrete Resynthesis, and Spoken Language Modeling -- and introduce associated metrics and benchmarks enabling model comparison and cumulative progress. We present an overview of the six editions of this challenge series since 2015, discuss the lessons learned, and outline the areas which need more work or give puzzling results.
SPQR: An R Package for Semi-Parametric Density and Quantile Regression
Xu, Steven G., Majumder, Reetam, Reich, Brian J.
We develop an R package SPQR that implements the semi-parametric quantile regression (SPQR) method in Xu and Reich (2021). The method begins by fitting a flexible density regression model using monotonic splines whose weights are modeled as data-dependent functions using artificial neural networks. Subsequently, estimates of conditional density and quantile process can all be obtained. Unlike many approaches to quantile regression that assume a linear model, SPQR allows for virtually any relationship between the covariates and the response distribution including non-linear effects and different effects on different quantile levels. To increase the interpretability and transparency of SPQR, model-agnostic statistics developed by Apley and Zhu (2020) are used to estimate and visualize the covariate effects and their relative importance on the quantile function. In this article, we detail how this framework is implemented in SPQR and illustrate how this package should be used in practice through simulated and real data examples.
Deep Learning is Provably Robust to Symmetric Label Noise
Priebe, Carey E., Huang, Ningyuan, Villar, Soledad, Mu, Cong, Chen, Li
Deep neural networks (DNNs) are capable of perfectly fitting the training data, including memorizing noisy data. It is commonly believed that memorization hurts generalization. Therefore, many recent works propose mitigation strategies to avoid noisy data or correct memorization. In this work, we step back and ask the question: Can deep learning be robust against massive label noise without any mitigation? We provide an affirmative answer for the case of symmetric label noise: We find that certain DNNs, including under-parameterized and over-parameterized models, can tolerate massive symmetric label noise up to the information-theoretic threshold. By appealing to classical statistical theory and universal consistency of DNNs, we prove that for multiclass classification, $L_1$-consistent DNN classifiers trained under symmetric label noise can achieve Bayes optimality asymptotically if the label noise probability is less than $\frac{K-1}{K}$, where $K \ge 2$ is the number of classes. Our results show that for symmetric label noise, no mitigation is necessary for $L_1$-consistent estimators. We conjecture that for general label noise, mitigation strategies that make use of the noisy data will outperform those that ignore the noisy data.
History-Based, Bayesian, Closure for Stochastic Parameterization: Application to Lorenz '96
Bhouri, Mohamed Aziz, Gentine, Pierre
Physical parameterizations are used as representations of unresolved subgrid processes within weather and global climate models or coarse-scale turbulent models, whose resolutions are too coarse to resolve small-scale processes. These parameterizations are typically grounded on physically-based, yet empirical, representations of the underlying small-scale processes. Machine learning-based parameterizations have recently been proposed as an alternative and have shown great promises to reduce uncertainties associated with small-scale processes. Yet, those approaches still show some important mismatches that are often attributed to stochasticity in the considered process. This stochasticity can be due to noisy data, unresolved variables or simply to the inherent chaotic nature of the process. To address these issues, we develop a new type of parameterization (closure) which is based on a Bayesian formalism for neural networks, to account for uncertainty quantification, and includes memory, to account for the non-instantaneous response of the closure. To overcome the curse of dimensionality of Bayesian techniques in high-dimensional spaces, the Bayesian strategy is based on a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo Markov Chain sampling strategy that takes advantage of the likelihood function and kinetic energy's gradients with respect to the parameters to accelerate the sampling process. We apply the proposed Bayesian history-based parameterization to the Lorenz '96 model in the presence of noisy and sparse data, similar to satellite observations, and show its capacity to predict skillful forecasts of the resolved variables while returning trustworthy uncertainty quantifications for different sources of error. This approach paves the way for the use of Bayesian approaches for closure problems.
Which is the best model for my data?
Nรกpoles, Gonzalo, Grau, Isel, Gรผven, รiรงek, รzdemir, Orรงun, Salgueiro, Yamisleydi
In this paper, we tackle the problem of selecting the optimal model for a given structured pattern classification dataset. In this context, a model can be understood as a classifier and a hyperparameter configuration. The proposed meta-learning approach purely relies on machine learning and involves four major steps. Firstly, we present a concise collection of 62 meta-features that address the problem of information cancellation when aggregation measure values involving positive and negative measurements. Secondly, we describe two different approaches for synthetic data generation intending to enlarge the training data. Thirdly, we fit a set of pre-defined classification models for each classification problem while optimizing their hyperparameters using grid search. The goal is to create a meta-dataset such that each row denotes a multilabel instance describing a specific problem. The features of these meta-instances denote the statistical properties of the generated datasets, while the labels encode the grid search results as binary vectors such that best-performing models are positively labeled. Finally, we tackle the model selection problem with several multilabel classifiers, including a Convolutional Neural Network designed to handle tabular data. The simulation results show that our meta-learning approach can correctly predict an optimal model for 91% of the synthetic datasets and for 87% of the real-world datasets. Furthermore, we noticed that most meta-classifiers produced better results when using our meta-features. Overall, our proposal differs from other meta-learning approaches since it tackles the algorithm selection and hyperparameter tuning problems in a single step. Toward the end, we perform a feature importance analysis to determine which statistical features drive the model selection mechanism.
Multimodal sensor data fusion for in-situ classification of animal behavior using accelerometry and GNSS data
Arablouei, Reza, Wang, Ziwei, Bishop-Hurley, Greg J., Liu, Jiajun
In this paper, we examine the use of data from multiple sensing modes, i.e., accelerometry and global navigation satellite system (GNSS), for classifying animal behavior. We extract three new features from the GNSS data, namely, distance from water point, median speed, and median estimated horizontal position error. We combine the information available from the accelerometry and GNSS data via two approaches. The first approach is based on concatenating the features extracted from both sensor data and feeding the concatenated feature vector into a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) classifier. The second approach is based on fusing the posterior probabilities predicted by two MLP classifiers. The input to each classifier is the features extracted from the data of one sensing mode. We evaluate the performance of the developed multimodal animal behavior classification algorithms using two real-world datasets collected via smart cattle collar tags and ear tags. The leave-one-animal-out cross-validation results show that both approaches improve the classification performance appreciably compared with using data of only one sensing mode. This is more notable for the infrequent but important behaviors of walking and drinking. The algorithms developed based on both approaches require little computational and memory resources hence are suitable for implementation on embedded systems of our collar tags and ear tags. However, the multimodal animal behavior classification algorithm based on posterior probability fusion is preferable to the one based on feature concatenation as it delivers better classification accuracy, has less computational and memory complexity, is more robust to sensor data failure, and enjoys better modularity.
On the pragmatism of using binary classifiers over data intensive neural network classifiers for detection of COVID-19 from voice
Shah, Ankit, Dhamyal, Hira, Gao, Yang, Arancibia, Daniel, Arancibia, Mario, Raj, Bhiksha, Singh, Rita
In a self-assesment study, COVID patients reported difficulty producing certain voiced sounds and noticed changes in Lately, there has been a global effort by multiple research groups their voice [8]. to detect COVID-19 from voice. Different researchers use different Consequently, a number of research groups around the world kinds of information from the voice signal to achieve this. Various have initiated efforts on attempting to diagnose potential Covid infections types of phonated sounds and the sound of cough and breath have from recordings of vocalizations [9, 5]. While most groups all been used with varying degree of success in automated voice have focused on cough sounds [10, 11, 12] as they are a frequent based COVID-19 detection apps. In this paper, we show that detecting symptom of Covid-19, several groups have also considered other COVID-19 from voice does not require custom made nonstandard vocalizations, such as breathing sounds [10, 13] extended vowels features or complicated neural network classifiers rather it [14, 15, 16], and counts. Yet other teams have analyzed free-form can be successfully done with just standard features and simple binary speech such as those obtainable from YouTube recordings[17].
Arc travel time and path choice model estimation subsumed
Mohammadpour, Sobhan, Frejinger, Emma
We propose a method for maximum likelihood estimation of path choice model parameters and arc travel time using data of different levels of granularity. Hitherto these two tasks have been tackled separately under strong assumptions. Using a small example, we illustrate that this can lead to biased results. Results on both real (New York yellow cab) and simulated data show strong performance of our method compared to existing baselines.
No imputation without representation
Lenz, Oliver Urs, Peralta, Daniel, Cornelis, Chris
Imputation allows datasets to be used with algorithms that cannot handle missing values by themselves. However, missing values may in principle contribute useful information that is lost through imputation. The missing-indicator approach can be used to preserve this information. There are several theoretical considerations why missing-indicators may or may not be beneficial, but there has not been any large-scale practical experiment on real-life datasets to test this question for machine learning predictions. We perform this experiment for three imputation strategies and a range of different classification algorithms, on the basis of twenty real-life datasets. We find that missing-indicators generally increase classification performance, and that nearest neighbour and iterative imputation do not lead to better performance than simple mean/mode imputation. Therefore, we recommend the use of missing-indicators with mean/mode imputation as a safe default, with the caveat that for decision trees, pruning is necessary to prevent overfitting.
Energy-Based Contrastive Learning of Visual Representations
Contrastive learning is a method of learning visual representations by training Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to increase the similarity between representations of positive pairs (transformations of the same image) and reduce the similarity between representations of negative pairs (transformations of different images). Here we explore Energy-Based Contrastive Learning (EBCLR) that leverages the power of generative learning by combining contrastive learning with Energy-Based Models (EBMs). EBCLR can be theoretically interpreted as learning the joint distribution of positive pairs, and it shows promising results on small and medium-scale datasets such as MNIST, Fashion-MNIST, CIFAR-10, and CIFAR-100. Specifically, we find EBCLR demonstrates from X4 up to X20 acceleration compared to SimCLR and MoCo v2 in terms of training epochs. Furthermore, in contrast to SimCLR, we observe EBCLR achieves nearly the same performance with 254 negative pairs (batch size 128) and 30 negative pairs (batch size 16) per positive pair, demonstrating the robustness of EBCLR to small numbers of negative pairs. Hence, EBCLR provides a novel avenue for improving contrastive learning methods that usually require large datasets with a significant number of negative pairs per iteration to achieve reasonable performance on downstream tasks. Code: https://github.com/1202kbs/EBCLR