Bayesian Learning
Exploring Supervised Machine Learning for Multi-Phase Identification and Quantification from Powder X-Ray Diffraction Spectra
Greasley, Jaimie, Hosein, Patrick
Powder X-ray diffraction analysis is a critical component of materials characterization methodologies. Discerning characteristic Bragg intensity peaks and assigning them to known crystalline phases is the first qualitative step of evaluating diffraction spectra. Subsequent to phase identification, Rietveld refinement may be employed to extract the abundance of quantitative, material-specific parameters hidden within powder data. These characterization procedures are yet time-consuming and inhibit efficiency in materials science workflows. The ever-increasing popularity and propulsion of data science techniques has provided an obvious solution on the course towards materials analysis automation. Deep learning has become a prime focus for predicting crystallographic parameters and features from X-ray spectra. However, the infeasibility of curating large, well-labelled experimental datasets means that one must resort to a large number of theoretic simulations for powder data augmentation to effectively train deep models. Herein, we are interested in conventional supervised learning algorithms in lieu of deep learning for multi-label crystalline phase identification and quantitative phase analysis for a biomedical application. First, models were trained using very limited experimental data. Further, we incorporated simulated XRD data to assess model generalizability as well as the efficacy of simulation-based training for predictive analysis in a real-world X-ray diffraction application.
Neural Bayesian Network Understudy
Rabaey, Paloma, De Boom, Cedric, Demeester, Thomas
Bayesian Networks may be appealing for clinical decision-making due to their inclusion of causal knowledge, but their practical adoption remains limited as a result of their inability to deal with unstructured data. While neural networks do not have this limitation, they are not interpretable and are inherently unable to deal with causal structure in the input space. Our goal is to build neural networks that combine the advantages of both approaches. Motivated by the perspective to inject causal knowledge while training such neural networks, this work presents initial steps in that direction. We demonstrate how a neural network can be trained to output conditional probabilities, providing approximately the same functionality as a Bayesian Network. Additionally, we propose two training strategies that allow encoding the independence relations inferred from a given causal structure into the neural network.
On the Performance of Direct Loss Minimization for Bayesian Neural Networks
Direct Loss Minimization (DLM) has been proposed as a pseudo-Bayesian method motivated as regularized loss minimization. Compared to variational inference, it replaces the loss term in the evidence lower bound (ELBO) with the predictive log loss, which is the same loss function used in evaluation. A number of theoretical and empirical results in prior work suggest that DLM can significantly improve over ELBO optimization for some models. However, as we point out in this paper, this is not the case for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). The paper explores the practical performance of DLM for BNN, the reasons for its failure and its relationship to optimizing the ELBO, uncovering some interesting facts about both algorithms.
Asynchronous Bayesian Learning over a Network
Bhar, Kinjal, Bai, He, George, Jemin, Busart, Carl
Often the data that a model needs to be trained on is distributed among multiple computing agents and it cannot be accrued in a single server location because of logistical constraints such as memory, efficient data sharing means, or confidentiality requirements due to sensitive nature of the data. However, the need arises to train the same model with the entire distributed data. Isolated training individually by the agents with their local data may lead to overfitted models as the training data is limited. Besides, training such isolated models on different agents is redundant as more parameter updates have to be performed by the isolated models to reach a certain level of accuracy as compared to what can be achieved by sharing information. Distributed learning aims to leverage the full distributed data by a coordinated training among all the agents where the agents are allowed to share partial information (usually the learned model parameters or their gradients) without sharing any raw data.
Scientific Inference With Interpretable Machine Learning: Analyzing Models to Learn About Real-World Phenomena
Freiesleben, Timo, König, Gunnar, Molnar, Christoph, Tejero-Cantero, Alvaro
Interpretable machine learning (IML) is concerned with the behavior and the properties of machine learning models. Scientists, however, are only interested in models as a gateway to understanding phenomena. Our work aligns these two perspectives and shows how to design IML property descriptors. These descriptors are IML methods that provide insight not just into the model, but also into the properties of the phenomenon the model is designed to represent. We argue that IML is necessary for scientific inference with ML models because their elements do not individually represent phenomenon properties; instead, the model in its entirety does. However, current IML research often conflates two goals of model analysis -- model audit and scientific inference -- making it unclear which model interpretations can be used to learn about phenomena. Building on statistical decision theory, we show that IML property descriptors applied on a model provide access to relevant aspects of the joint probability distribution of the data. We identify what questions such descriptors can address, provide a guide to building appropriate descriptors and quantify their epistemic uncertainty.
End-to-end P300 BCI using Bayesian accumulation of Riemannian probabilities
Barthélemy, Quentin, Chevallier, Sylvain, Bertrand-Lalo, Raphaëlle, Clisson, Pierre
In brain-computer interfaces (BCI), most of the approaches based on event-related potential (ERP) focus on the detection of P300, aiming for single trial classification for a speller task. While this is an important objective, existing P300 BCI still require several repetitions to achieve a correct classification accuracy. Signal processing and machine learning advances in P300 BCI mostly revolve around the P300 detection part, leaving the character classification out of the scope. To reduce the number of repetitions while maintaining a good character classification, it is critical to embrace the full classification problem. We introduce an end-to-end pipeline, starting from feature extraction, and is composed of an ERP-level classification using probabilistic Riemannian MDM which feeds a character-level classification using Bayesian accumulation of confidence across trials. Whereas existing approaches only increase the confidence of a character when it is flashed, our new pipeline, called Bayesian accumulation of Riemannian probabilities (ASAP), update the confidence of each character after each flash. We provide the proper derivation and theoretical reformulation of this Bayesian approach for a seamless processing of information from signal to BCI characters. We demonstrate that our approach performs significantly better than standard methods on public P300 datasets.
Statistics with R Specialization Coursera Review 2022
This course is about the discussion of sampling and exploring data, as well as basic probability theory and Bayes' rule. A variety of exploratory data analysis techniques will be covered, including numeric summary statistics and basic data visualization. The concepts and techniques you will find in this course will serve as building blocks for the inference and modeling courses in the Specialization.
Modeling Human Exploration Through Resource-Rational Reinforcement Learning
Equipping artificial agents with useful exploration mechanisms remains a challenge to this day. Humans, on the other hand, seem to manage the trade-off between exploration and exploitation effortlessly. In the present article, we put forward the hypothesis that they accomplish this by making optimal use of limited computational resources. We study this hypothesis by meta-learning reinforcement learning algorithms that sacrifice performance for a shorter description length (defined as the number of bits required to implement the given algorithm). The emerging class of models captures human exploration behavior better than previously considered approaches, such as Boltzmann exploration, upper confidence bound algorithms, and Thompson sampling. We additionally demonstrate that changing the description length in our class of models produces the intended effects: reducing description length captures the behavior of brain-lesioned patients while increasing it mirrors cognitive development during adolescence.
Learning to Answer Multilingual and Code-Mixed Questions
Question-answering (QA) that comes naturally to humans is a critical component in seamless human-computer interaction. It has emerged as one of the most convenient and natural methods to interact with the web and is especially desirable in voice-controlled environments. Despite being one of the oldest research areas, the current QA system faces the critical challenge of handling multilingual queries. To build an Artificial Intelligent (AI) agent that can serve multilingual end users, a QA system is required to be language versatile and tailored to suit the multilingual environment. Recent advances in QA models have enabled surpassing human performance primarily due to the availability of a sizable amount of high-quality datasets. However, the majority of such annotated datasets are expensive to create and are only confined to the English language, making it challenging to acknowledge progress in foreign languages. Therefore, to measure a similar improvement in the multilingual QA system, it is necessary to invest in high-quality multilingual evaluation benchmarks. In this dissertation, we focus on advancing QA techniques for handling end-user queries in multilingual environments. This dissertation consists of two parts. In the first part, we explore multilingualism and a new dimension of multilingualism referred to as code-mixing. Second, we propose a technique to solve the task of multi-hop question generation by exploiting multiple documents. Experiments show our models achieve state-of-the-art performance on answer extraction, ranking, and generation tasks on multiple domains of MQA, VQA, and language generation. The proposed techniques are generic and can be widely used in various domains and languages to advance QA systems.
A Survey on Preserving Fairness Guarantees in Changing Environments
Barrainkua, Ainhize, Gordaliza, Paula, Lozano, Jose A., Quadrianto, Novi
Human lives are increasingly being affected by the outcomes of automated decision-making systems and it is essential for the latter to be, not only accurate, but also fair. The literature of algorithmic fairness has grown considerably over the last decade, where most of the approaches are evaluated under the strong assumption that the train and test samples are independently and identically drawn from the same underlying distribution. However, in practice, dissimilarity between the training and deployment environments exists, which compromises the performance of the decision-making algorithm as well as its fairness guarantees in the deployment data. There is an emergent research line that studies how to preserve fairness guarantees when the data generating processes differ between the source (train) and target (test) domains, which is growing remarkably. With this survey, we aim to provide a wide and unifying overview on the topic. For such purpose, we propose a taxonomy of the existing approaches for fair classification under distribution shift, highlight benchmarking alternatives, point out the relation with other similar research fields and eventually, identify future venues of research.