Human-Robot Interaction (HRI) becomes more and more important in a world where robots integrate fast in all aspects of our lives but HRI applications depend massively on the utilized robotic system as well as the deployment environment and cultural differences. Because of these variable dependencies it is often not feasible to use a data-driven approach to train a model for human intent recognition. Expert systems have been proven to close this gap very efficiently. Furthermore, it is important to support understandability in HRI systems to establish trust in the system. To address the above-mentioned challenges in HRI we present an adaptable python library in which current state-of-the-art Models for context recognition can be integrated. For Context-Based Intention Recognition a two-layer Bayesian Network (BN) is used. The bayesian approach offers explainability and clarity in the creation of scenarios and is easily extendable with more modalities. Additionally, it can be used as an expert system if no data is available but can as well be fine-tuned when data becomes available.

Spike trains data find a growing list of applications in computational neuroscience, imaging, streaming data and finance. Machine learning strategies for spike trains are based on various neural network and probabilistic models. The probabilistic approach is relying on parametric or nonparametric specifications of the underlying spike generation model. In this paper we consider the two-class statistical classification problem for a class of spike train data characterized by nonparametrically specified intensity functions. We derive the optimal Bayes rule and next form the plug-in nonparametric kernel classifier. Asymptotical properties of the rules are established including the limit with respect to the increasing recording time interval and the size of a training set. In particular the convergence of the kernel classifier to the Bayes rule is proved. The obtained results are supported by a finite sample simulation studies.

Multi-task learning is frequently used to model a set of related response variables from the same set of features, improving predictive performance and modeling accuracy relative to methods that handle each response variable separately. Despite the potential of multi-task learning to yield more powerful inference than single-task alternatives, prior work in this area has largely omitted uncertainty quantification. Our focus in this paper is a common multi-task problem in neuroimaging, where the goal is to understand the relationship between multiple cognitive task scores (or other subject-level assessments) and brain connectome data collected from imaging. We propose a framework for selective inference to address this problem, with the flexibility to: (i) jointly identify the relevant covariates for each task through a sparsity-inducing penalty, and (ii) conduct valid inference in a model based on the estimated sparsity structure. Our framework offers a new conditional procedure for inference, based on a refinement of the selection event that yields a tractable selection-adjusted likelihood. This gives an approximate system of estimating equations for maximum likelihood inference, solvable via a single convex optimization problem, and enables us to efficiently form confidence intervals with approximately the correct coverage. Applied to both simulated data and data from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) study, our selective inference methods yield tighter confidence intervals than commonly used alternatives, such as data splitting. We also demonstrate through simulations that multi-task learning with selective inference can more accurately recover true signals than single-task methods.

Thesis concerns the study and development of hierarchical representations for spatio-temporal visual attention modeling and understanding in video sequences. More specifically, we propose two computational models for visual attention. First, we present a generative probabilistic model for context-aware visual attention modeling and understanding. Secondly, we develop a deep network architecture for visual attention modeling, which first estimates top-down spatio-temporal visual attention, and ultimately serves for modeling attention in the temporal domain. The first part of the thesis introduces our first proposal: a generative probabilistic framework for spatio-temporal visual attention modeling and understanding.

Differential equation discovery, a machine learning subfield, is used to develop interpretable models, particularly in nature-related applications. By expertly incorporating the general parametric form of the equation of motion and appropriate differential terms, algorithms can autonomously uncover equations from data. This paper explores the prerequisites and tools for independent equation discovery without expert input, eliminating the need for equation form assumptions. We focus on addressing the challenge of assessing the adequacy of discovered equations when the correct equation is unknown, with the aim of providing insights for reliable equation discovery without prior knowledge of the equation form.

We address the task of probabilistic anomaly attribution in the black-box regression setting, where the goal is to compute the probability distribution of the attribution score of each input variable, given an observed anomaly. The training dataset is assumed to be unavailable. This task differs from the standard XAI (explainable AI) scenario, since we wish to explain the anomalous deviation from a black-box prediction rather than the black-box model itself. We begin by showing that mainstream model-agnostic explanation methods, such as the Shapley values, are not suitable for this task because of their ``deviation-agnostic property.'' We then propose a novel framework for probabilistic anomaly attribution that allows us to not only compute attribution scores as the predictive mean but also quantify the uncertainty of those scores. This is done by considering a generative process for perturbations that counter-factually bring the observed anomalous observation back to normalcy. We introduce a variational Bayes algorithm for deriving the distributions of per variable attribution scores. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first probabilistic anomaly attribution framework that is free from being deviation-agnostic.

This comprehensive review systematically evaluates Machine Learning (ML) methodologies employed in the detection, prediction, and analysis of mental stress and its consequent mental disorders (MDs). Utilizing a rigorous scoping review process, the investigation delves into the latest ML algorithms, preprocessing techniques, and data types employed in the context of stress and stress-related MDs. The findings highlight that Support Vector Machine (SVM), Neural Network (NN), and Random Forest (RF) models consistently exhibit superior accuracy and robustness among all machine learning algorithms examined. Furthermore, the review underscores that physiological parameters, such as heart rate measurements and skin response, are prevalently used as stress predictors in ML algorithms. This is attributed to their rich explanatory information concerning stress and stress-related MDs, as well as the relative ease of data acquisition. Additionally, the application of dimensionality reduction techniques, including mappings, feature selection, filtering, and noise reduction, is frequently observed as a crucial step preceding the training of ML algorithms. The synthesis of this review identifies significant research gaps and outlines future directions for the field. These encompass areas such as model interpretability, model personalization, the incorporation of naturalistic settings, and real-time processing capabilities for detection and prediction of stress and stress-related MDs.

Machine learning has achieved remarkable success over the past couple of decades, often attributed to a combination of algorithmic innovations and the availability of high-quality data available at scale. However, a third critical component is the fine-tuning of hyperparameters, which plays a pivotal role in achieving optimal model performance. Despite its significance, hyperparameter optimization (HPO) remains a challenging task for several reasons. Many HPO techniques rely on naive search methods or assume that the loss function is smooth and continuous, which may not always be the case. Traditional methods, like grid search and Bayesian optimization, often struggle to quickly adapt and efficiently search the loss landscape. Grid search is computationally expensive, while Bayesian optimization can be slow to prime. Since the search space for HPO is frequently high-dimensional and non-convex, it is often challenging to efficiently find a global minimum. Moreover, optimal hyperparameters can be sensitive to the specific dataset or task, further complicating the search process. To address these issues, we propose a new hyperparameter optimization method, HomOpt, using a data-driven approach based on a generalized additive model (GAM) surrogate combined with homotopy optimization. This strategy augments established optimization methodologies to boost the performance and effectiveness of any given method with faster convergence to the optimum on continuous, discrete, and categorical domain spaces. We compare the effectiveness of HomOpt applied to multiple optimization techniques (e.g., Random Search, TPE, Bayes, and SMAC) showing improved objective performance on many standardized machine learning benchmarks and challenging open-set recognition tasks.

When performing causal discovery, assumptions have to be made on how the true causal mechanism corresponds to the underlying joint probability distribution. These assumptions are labeled as causal razors in this work. We review numerous causal razors that appeared in the literature, and offer a comprehensive logical comparison of them. In particular, we scrutinize an unpopular causal razor, namely parameter minimality, in multinomial causal models and its logical relations with other well-studied causal razors. Our logical result poses a dilemma in selecting a reasonable scoring criterion for score-based casual search algorithms.

Infectious diseases, either emerging or long-lasting, place numerous people at risk and bring heavy public health burdens worldwide. In the process against infectious diseases, predicting the epidemic risk by modeling the disease transmission plays an essential role in assisting with preventing and controlling disease transmission in a more effective way. In this paper, we systematically describe how machine learning can play an essential role in quantitatively characterizing disease transmission patterns and accurately predicting infectious disease risks. First, we introduce the background and motivation of using machine learning for infectious disease risk prediction. Next, we describe the development and components of various machine learning models for infectious disease risk prediction. Specifically, existing models fall into three categories: Statistical prediction, data-driven machine learning, and epidemiology-inspired machine learning. Subsequently, we discuss challenges encountered when dealing with model inputs, designing task-oriented objectives, and conducting performance evaluation. Finally, we conclude with a discussion of open questions and future directions.