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 Bayesian Learning


Topic model based on co-occurrence word networks for unbalanced short text datasets

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a straightforward solution for detecting scarce topics in unbalanced short-text datasets. Our approach, named CWUTM (Topic model based on co-occurrence word networks for unbalanced short text datasets), Our approach addresses the challenge of sparse and unbalanced short text topics by mitigating the effects of incidental word co-occurrence. This allows our model to prioritize the identification of scarce topics (Low-frequency topics). Unlike previous methods, CWUTM leverages co-occurrence word networks to capture the topic distribution of each word, and we enhanced the sensitivity in identifying scarce topics by redefining the calculation of node activity and normalizing the representation of both scarce and abundant topics to some extent. Moreover, CWUTM adopts Gibbs sampling, similar to LDA, making it easily adaptable to various application scenarios. Our extensive experimental validation on unbalanced short-text datasets demonstrates the superiority of CWUTM compared to baseline approaches in discovering scarce topics. According to the experimental results the proposed model is effective in early and accurate detection of emerging topics or unexpected events on social platforms.


Are you using test log-likelihood correctly?

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Test log-likelihood, also known as predictive log-likelihood or test log-predictive, is computed as the log-predictive density averaged over a set of held-out data. It is often used to compare different models of the same data or to compare different algorithms used to fit the same probabilistic model. Although there are compelling reasons for this practice (Section 2.1), we provide examples that falsify the following, usually implicit, claims: Claim: The higher the test log-likelihood, the more accurately an approximate inference algorithm recovers the Bayesian posterior distribution of latent model parameters (Section 3). Claim: The higher the test log-likelihood, the better the predictive performance on held-out data according to other measurements, like root mean squared error (Section 4). Our examples demonstrate that test log-likelihood is not always a good proxy for posterior approximation error. They further demonstrate that forecast evaluations based on test log-likelihood may not agree with forecast evaluations based on root mean squared error. We are not the first to highlight discrepancies between test log-likelihood and other analysis objectives. For instance, Quiรฑonero-Candela et al. (2005) and Kohonen and Suomela (2005) showed that when predicting discrete data with continuous distributions, test log-likelihood can be made arbitrarily large by concentrating probability into vanishingly small intervals. Chang et al. (2009) observed


Steps Towards Satisficing Distributed Dynamic Team Trust

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Defining and measuring trust in dynamic, multiagent teams is important in a range of contexts, particularly in defense and security domains. Team members should be trusted to work towards agreed goals and in accordance with shared values. In this paper, our concern is with the definition of goals and values such that it is possible to define 'trust' in a way that is interpretable, and hence usable, by both humans and robots. We argue that the outcome of team activity can be considered in terms of 'goal', 'individual/team values', and 'legal principles'. We question whether alignment is possible at the level of 'individual/team values', or only at the 'goal' and 'legal principles' levels. We argue for a set of metrics to define trust in human-robot teams that are interpretable by human or robot team members, and consider an experiment that could demonstrate the notion of 'satisficing trust' over the course of a simulated mission.


Multi-State Brain Network Discovery

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Brain network discovery aims to find nodes and edges from the spatio-temporal signals obtained by neuroimaging data, such as fMRI scans of human brains. Existing methods tend to derive representative or average brain networks, assuming observed signals are generated by only a single brain activity state. However, the human brain usually involves multiple activity states, which jointly determine the brain activities. The brain regions and their connectivity usually exhibit intricate patterns that are difficult to capture with only a single-state network. Recent studies find that brain parcellation and connectivity change according to the brain activity state. We refer to such brain networks as multi-state, and this mixture can help us understand human behavior. Thus, compared to a single-state network, a multi-state network can prevent us from losing crucial information of cognitive brain network. To achieve this, we propose a new model called MNGL (Multi-state Network Graphical Lasso), which successfully models multi-state brain networks by combining CGL (coherent graphical lasso) with GMM (Gaussian Mixture Model). Using both synthetic and real world ADHD 200 fMRI datasets, we demonstrate that MNGL outperforms recent state-of-the-art alternatives by discovering more explanatory and realistic results.


AI-based Self-healing Solutions Applied to Cellular Networks: An Overview

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this article, we provide an overview of machine learning (ML) methods, both classical and deep variants, that are used to implement self-healing for cell outages in cellular networks. Self-healing is a promising approach to network management, which aims to detect and compensate for cell outages in an autonomous way. This technology aims to decrease the expenses associated with the installation and maintenance of existing 4G and 5G, i.e. emerging 6G networks by simplifying operational tasks through its ability to heal itself. We provide an overview of the basic concepts and taxonomy for SON, self-healing, and ML techniques, in network management. Moreover, we review the state-of-the-art in literature for cell outages, with a particular emphasis on ML-based approaches.


Federated Learning and Meta Learning: Approaches, Applications, and Directions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Over the past few years, significant advancements have been made in the field of machine learning (ML) to address resource management, interference management, autonomy, and decision-making in wireless networks. Traditional ML approaches rely on centralized methods, where data is collected at a central server for training. However, this approach poses a challenge in terms of preserving the data privacy of devices. To address this issue, federated learning (FL) has emerged as an effective solution that allows edge devices to collaboratively train ML models without compromising data privacy. In FL, local datasets are not shared, and the focus is on learning a global model for a specific task involving all devices. However, FL has limitations when it comes to adapting the model to devices with different data distributions. In such cases, meta learning is considered, as it enables the adaptation of learning models to different data distributions using only a few data samples. In this tutorial, we present a comprehensive review of FL, meta learning, and federated meta learning (FedMeta). Unlike other tutorial papers, our objective is to explore how FL, meta learning, and FedMeta methodologies can be designed, optimized, and evolved, and their applications over wireless networks. We also analyze the relationships among these learning algorithms and examine their advantages and disadvantages in real-world applications.


Bandit Social Learning: Exploration under Myopic Behavior

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Reviews and ratings are pervasive in many online platforms. A customer consults reviews/ratings, then chooses a product and then (often) leaves feedback, which is aggregated by the platform and served to future customers. Collectively, customers face a tradeoff between exploration and exploitation, i.e., between acquiring new information while making potentially suboptimal decisions and making optimal decisions using available information. However, individual customers tend to act myopically and favor exploitation, without regards to exploration for the sake of the others. On a high level, we ask whether/how the myopic behavior interferes with efficient exploration. We are particularly interested in learning failures when only a few agents choose an optimal action.


Learning Sparse Codes with Entropy-Based ELBOs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Standard probabilistic sparse coding assumes a Laplace prior, a linear mapping from latents to observables, and Gaussian observable distributions. We here derive a solely entropy-based learning objective for the parameters of standard sparse coding. The novel variational objective has the following features: (A) unlike MAP approximations, it uses non-trivial posterior approximations for probabilistic inference; (B) unlike for previous non-trivial approximations, the novel objective is fully analytical; and (C) the objective allows for a novel principled form of annealing. The objective is derived by first showing that the standard ELBO objective converges to a sum of entropies, which matches similar recent results for generative models with Gaussian priors. The conditions under which the ELBO becomes equal to entropies are then shown to have analytical solutions, which leads to the fully analytical objective. Numerical experiments are used to demonstrate the feasibility of learning with such entropy-based ELBOs. We investigate different posterior approximations including Gaussians with correlated latents and deep amortized approximations. Furthermore, we numerically investigate entropy-based annealing which results in improved learning. Our main contributions are theoretical, however, and they are twofold: (1) for non-trivial posterior approximations, we provide the (to the knowledge of the authors) first analytical ELBO objective for standard probabilistic sparse coding; and (2) we provide the first demonstration on how a recently shown convergence of the ELBO to entropy sums can be used for learning.


After-Stroke Arm Paresis Detection using Kinematic Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents an approach for detecting unilateral arm paralysis/weakness using kinematic data. Our method employs temporal convolution networks and recurrent neural networks, guided by knowledge distillation, where we use inertial measurement units attached to the body to capture kinematic information such as acceleration, rotation, and flexion of body joints during an action. This information is then analyzed to recognize body actions and patterns. Our proposed network achieves a high paretic detection accuracy of 97.99\%, with an action classification accuracy of 77.69\%, through knowledge sharing. Furthermore, by incorporating causal reasoning, we can gain additional insights into the patient's condition, such as their Fugl-Meyer assessment score or impairment level based on the machine learning result. Overall, our approach demonstrates the potential of using kinematic data and machine learning for detecting arm paralysis/weakness. The results suggest that our method could be a useful tool for clinicians and healthcare professionals working with patients with this condition.


Causal Models Applied to the Patterns of Human Migration due to Climate Change

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The impacts of mass migration, such as crisis induced by climate change, extend beyond environmental concerns and can greatly affect social infrastructure and public services, such as education, healthcare, and security. These crises exacerbate certain elements like cultural barriers, and discrimination by amplifying the challenges faced by these affected communities. This paper proposes an innovative approach to address migration crises in the context of crisis management through a combination of modeling and imbalance assessment tools. By employing deep learning for forecasting and integrating causal reasoning via Bayesian networks, this methodology enables the evaluation of imbalances and risks in the socio-technological landscape, providing crucial insights for informed decision-making. Through this framework, critical systems can be analyzed to understand how fluctuations in migration levels may impact them, facilitating effective crisis governance strategies.