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 Bayesian Learning


A Survey on Diffusion Models for Inverse Problems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Diffusion models have become increasingly popular for generative modeling due to their ability to generate high-quality samples. This has unlocked exciting new possibilities for solving inverse problems, especially in image restoration and reconstruction, by treating diffusion models as unsupervised priors. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of methods that utilize pre-trained diffusion models to solve inverse problems without requiring further training. We introduce taxonomies to categorize these methods based on both the problems they address and the techniques they employ. We analyze the connections between different approaches, offering insights into their practical implementation and highlighting important considerations. We further discuss specific challenges and potential solutions associated with using latent diffusion models for inverse problems. This work aims to be a valuable resource for those interested in learning about the intersection of diffusion models and inverse problems.


Best Practices for Responsible Machine Learning in Credit Scoring

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

For individuals and families, access to affordable credit is essential as protection against financial volatility, financing and education, pursuing business opportunities, and building equity. From the lender's perspective, there is a delicate balance between improving access to credit and higher costs due to defaults on payments. Creating responsible credit concession models requires maintaining this balance [Kozodoi et al., 2022] while ensuring fair outcomes across different groups of individuals, improving access, and helping applicants understand factors that influence rejection so that they can take action to improve their credit potential. Credit concession models are created using a variety of data, such as employment history (for example, occupation and income), demographic data (such as age, marital status, and education), and financial data (for example, checking account balance, credit card usage, and bill payment history). Given these features, models such as logistic regression, gradient boosting, and decision trees can be trained to predict whether a new customer will default on a loan over a period of time [Louzada et al., 2016].


Decoding the Echoes of Vision from fMRI: Memory Disentangling for Past Semantic Information

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The human visual system is capable of processing continuous streams of visual information, but how the brain encodes and retrieves recent visual memories during continuous visual processing remains unexplored. This study investigates the capacity of working memory to retain past information under continuous visual stimuli. And then we propose a new task Memory Disentangling, which aims to extract and decode past information from fMRI signals. To address the issue of interference from past memory information, we design a disentangled contrastive learning method inspired by the phenomenon of proactive interference. This method separates the information between adjacent fMRI signals into current and past components and decodes them into image descriptions. Experimental results demonstrate that this method effectively disentangles the information within fMRI signals. This research could advance brain-computer interfaces and mitigate the problem of low temporal resolution in fMRI.


CONTESTS: a Framework for Consistency Testing of Span Probabilities in Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Although language model scores are often treated as probabilities, their reliability as probability estimators has mainly been studied through calibration, overlooking other aspects. In particular, it is unclear whether language models produce the same value for different ways of assigning joint probabilities to word spans. Our work introduces a novel framework, ConTestS (Consistency Testing over Spans), involving statistical tests to assess score consistency across interchangeable completion and conditioning orders. We conduct experiments on post-release real and synthetic data to eliminate training effects. Our findings reveal that both Masked Language Models (MLMs) and autoregressive models exhibit inconsistent predictions, with autoregressive models showing larger discrepancies. Larger MLMs tend to produce more consistent predictions, while autoregressive models show the opposite trend. Moreover, for both model types, prediction entropies offer insights into the true word span likelihood and therefore can aid in selecting optimal decoding strategies. The inconsistencies revealed by our analysis, as well their connection to prediction entropies and differences between model types, can serve as useful guides for future research on addressing these limitations.


Classification with a Network of Partially Informative Agents: Enabling Wise Crowds from Individually Myopic Classifiers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider the problem of classification with a (peer-to-peer) network of heterogeneous and partially informative agents, each receiving local data generated by an underlying true class, and equipped with a classifier that can only distinguish between a subset of the entire set of classes. We propose an iterative algorithm that uses the posterior probabilities of the local classifier and recursively updates each agent's local belief on all the possible classes, based on its local signals and belief information from its neighbors. We then adopt a novel distributed min-rule to update each agent's global belief and enable learning of the true class for all agents. We show that under certain assumptions, the beliefs on the true class converge to one asymptotically almost surely. We provide the asymptotic convergence rate, and demonstrate the performance of our algorithm through simulation with image data and experimented with random forest classifiers and MobileNet.


A study on the effects of mixed explicit and implicit communications in human-virtual-agent interactions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Communication between humans and robots (or virtual agents) is essential for interaction and often inspired by human communication, which uses gestures, facial expressions, gaze direction, and other explicit and implicit means. This work presents an interaction experiment where humans and virtual agents interact through explicit (gestures, manual entries using mouse and keyboard, voice, sound, and information on screen) and implicit (gaze direction, location, facial expressions, and raise of eyebrows) communication to evaluate the effect of mixed explicit-implicit communication against purely explicit communication. Results obtained using Bayesian parameter estimation show that the number of errors and task execution time did not significantly change when mixed explicit and implicit communications were used, and neither the perceived efficiency of the interaction. In contrast, acceptance, sociability, and transparency of the virtual agent increased when using mixed communication modalities (88.3%, 92%, and 92.9% of the effect size posterior distribution of each variable, respectively, were above the upper limit of the region of practical equivalence). This suggests that task-related measures, such as time, number of errors, and perceived efficiency of the interaction, have not been influenced by the communication type in our particular experiment. However, the improvement of subjective measures related to the virtual agent, such as acceptance, sociability, and transparency, suggests that humans are more receptive to mixed explicit and implicit communications.


Choosing DAG Models Using Markov and Minimal Edge Count in the Absence of Ground Truth

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We give a novel nonparametric pointwise consistent statistical test (the Markov Checker) of the Markov condition for directed acyclic graph (DAG) or completed partially directed acyclic graph (CPDAG) models given a dataset. We also introduce the Cross-Algorithm Frugality Search (CAFS) for rejecting DAG models that either do not pass the Markov Checker test or that are not edge minimal. Edge minimality has been used previously by Raskutti and Uhler as a nonparametric simplicity criterion, though CAFS readily generalizes to other simplicity conditions. Reference to the ground truth is not necessary for CAFS, so it is useful for finding causal structure learning algorithms and tuning parameter settings that output causal models that are approximately true from a given data set. We provide a software tool for this analysis that is suitable for even quite large or dense models, provided a suitably fast pointwise consistent test of conditional independence is available. In addition, we show in simulation that the CAFS procedure can pick approximately correct models without knowing the ground truth.


Psychometrics for Hypnopaedia-Aware Machinery via Chaotic Projection of Artificial Mental Imagery

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Neural backdoors represent insidious cybersecurity loopholes that render learning machinery vulnerable to unauthorised manipulations, potentially enabling the weaponisation of artificial intelligence with catastrophic consequences. A backdoor attack involves the clandestine infiltration of a trigger during the learning process, metaphorically analogous to hypnopaedia, where ideas are implanted into a subject's subconscious mind under the state of hypnosis or unconsciousness. When activated by a sensory stimulus, the trigger evokes conditioned reflex that directs a machine to mount a predetermined response. In this study, we propose a cybernetic framework for constant surveillance of backdoors threats, driven by the dynamic nature of untrustworthy data sources. We develop a self-aware unlearning mechanism to autonomously detach a machine's behaviour from the backdoor trigger. Through reverse engineering and statistical inference, we detect deceptive patterns and estimate the likelihood of backdoor infection. We employ model inversion to elicit artificial mental imagery, using stochastic processes to disrupt optimisation pathways and avoid convergent but potentially flawed patterns. This is followed by hypothesis analysis, which estimates the likelihood of each potentially malicious pattern being the true trigger and infers the probability of infection. The primary objective of this study is to maintain a stable state of equilibrium between knowledge fidelity and backdoor vulnerability.


DOTA: Distributional Test-Time Adaptation of Vision-Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Vision-language foundation models (e.g., CLIP) have shown remarkable performance across a wide range of tasks. However, deploying these models may be unreliable when significant distribution gaps exist between the training and test data. The training-free test-time dynamic adapter (TDA) is a promising approach to address this issue by storing representative test samples to guide the classification of subsequent ones. However, TDA only naively maintains a limited number of reference samples in the cache, leading to severe test-time catastrophic forgetting when the cache is updated by dropping samples. In this paper, we propose a simple yet effective method for DistributiOnal Test-time Adaptation (Dota). Instead of naively memorizing representative test samples, Dota continually estimates the distributions of test samples, allowing the model to continually adapt to the deployment environment. The test-time posterior probabilities are then computed using the estimated distributions based on Bayes' theorem for adaptation purposes. To further enhance the adaptability on the uncertain samples, we introduce a new human-in-the-loop paradigm which identifies uncertain samples, collects human-feedback, and incorporates it into the Dota framework. Extensive experiments validate that Dota enables CLIP to continually learn, resulting in a significant improvement compared to current state-of-the-art methods.


Simulation-based inference with the Python Package sbijax

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Neural simulation-based inference (SBI) describes an emerging family of methods for Bayesian inference with intractable likelihood functions that use neural networks as surrogate models. Here we introduce sbijax, a Python package that implements a wide variety of state-of-the-art methods in neural simulation-based inference using a user-friendly programming interface. sbijax offers high-level functionality to quickly construct SBI estimators, and compute and visualize posterior distributions with only a few lines of code. In addition, the package provides functionality for conventional approximate Bayesian computation, to compute model diagnostics, and to automatically estimate summary statistics. By virtue of being entirely written in JAX, sbijax is extremely computationally efficient, allowing rapid training of neural networks and executing code automatically in parallel on both CPU and GPU.