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 Bayesian Learning


Attractive People: Assembling Loose-Limbed Models using Non-parametric Belief Propagation

Neural Information Processing Systems

The detection and pose estimation of people in images and video is made challenging by the variability of human appearance, the complexity of natural scenes, and the high dimensionality of articulated body models. Tocope with these problems we represent the 3D human body as a graphical model in which the relationships between the body parts are represented by conditional probability distributions. We formulate the pose estimation problem as one of probabilistic inference over a graphical modelwhere the random variables correspond to the individual limb parameters (position and orientation). Because the limbs are described by 6-dimensional vectors encoding pose in 3-space, discretization is impractical andthe random variables in our model must be continuousvalued. To approximate belief propagation in such a graph we exploit a recently introduced generalization of the particle filter. This framework facilitates the automatic initialization of the body-model from low level cues and is robust to occlusion of body parts and scene clutter.



Approximability of Probability Distributions

Neural Information Processing Systems

We consider the question of how well a given distribution can be approximated withprobabilistic graphical models. We introduce a new parameter, effective treewidth, that captures the degree of approximability as a tradeoff between the accuracy and the complexity of approximation. We present a simple approach to analyzing achievable tradeoffs that exploits thethreshold behavior of monotone graph properties, and provide experimental results that support the approach.


Laplace Propagation

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a novel method for approximate inference in Bayesian models andregularized risk functionals. It is based on the propagation of mean and variance derived from the Laplace approximation of conditional probabilitiesin factorizing distributions, much akin to Minka's Expectation Propagation. In the jointly normal case, it coincides with the latter and belief propagation, whereas in the general case, it provides an optimization strategy containing Support Vector chunking, the Bayes Committee Machine, and Gaussian Process chunking as special cases.



Approximate Expectation Maximization

Neural Information Processing Systems

The E-step boils down to computing probabilities of the hidden variables given the observed variables (evidence) and current set of parameters. The M-step then, given these probabilities, yields a new set of parameters guaranteed to increase the likelihood. In Bayesian networks, that will be the focus of this article, the M-step is usually relatively straightforward. A complication may arise in the E-step, when computing the probability of the hidden variables given the evidence becomes intractable. An often used approach is to replace the exact yet intractable inference in the E step with approximate inference, either through sampling or using a deterministic variational method. The use of a "mean-field" variational method in this context leads to an algorithm known as variational EM and can be given theinterpretation of minimizing a free energy with respect to both a tractable approximate distribution (approximate E-step) and the parameters (M-step) [2]. Loopy belief propagation [3] and variants thereof, such as generalized belief propagation [4]and expectation propagation [5], have become popular alternatives to the "mean-field" variational approaches, often yielding somewhat better approximations. Andindeed, they can and have been applied for approximate inference in the E-step of the EM algorithm (see e.g.


On the Concentration of Expectation and Approximate Inference in Layered Networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present an analysis of concentration-of-expectation phenomena in layered Bayesian networks that use generalized linear models as the local conditional probabilities. This framework encompasses a wide variety of probability distributions, including both discrete and continuous random variables. We utilize ideas from large deviation analysis and the delta method to devise and evaluate a class of approximate inference algorithms forlayered Bayesian networks that have superior asymptotic error bounds and very fast computation time.


Estimating Internal Variables and Paramters of a Learning Agent by a Particle Filter

Neural Information Processing Systems

When we model a higher order functions, such as learning and memory, we face a difficulty of comparing neural activities with hidden variables that depend on the history of sensory and motor signals and the dynamics ofthe network. Here, we propose novel method for estimating hidden variables of a learning agent, such as connection weights from sequences of observable variables. Bayesian estimation is a method to estimate the posterior probability of hidden variables from observable data sequence using a dynamic model of hidden and observable variables.



Discriminative Fields for Modeling Spatial Dependencies in Natural Images

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper we present Discriminative Random Fields (DRF), a discriminative frameworkfor the classification of natural image regions by incorporating neighborhoodspatial dependencies in the labels as well as the observed data. The proposed model exploits local discriminative models and allows to relax the assumption of conditional independence of the observed data given the labels, commonly used in the Markov Random Field (MRF) framework. The parameters of the DRF model are learned using penalized maximum pseudo-likelihood method. Furthermore, the form of the DRF model allows the MAP inference for binary classification problemsusing the graph min-cut algorithms. The performance of the model was verified on the synthetic as well as the real-world images. The DRF model outperforms the MRF model in the experiments.