Bayesian Learning
Bayesian Chain Classifiers for Multidimensional Classification
Zaragoza, Julio Cesar (INAOE) | Sucar, Enrique (INAOE) | Morales, Eduardo (INAOE) | Bielza, Concha (Universidad Politécnica Madrid) | Larrañaga, Pedro (Universidad Politécnica Madrid)
In multidimensional classification the goal is to assign an instance to a set of different classes. This task is normally addressed either by defining a compound class variable with all the possible combinations of classes (label power-set methods, LPMs) or by building independent classifiers for each class (binary-relevance methods, BRMs). However, LPMs do not scale well and BRMs ignore the dependency relations between classes. We introduce a method for chaining binary Bayesian classifiers that combines the strengths of classifier chains and Bayesian networks for multidimensional classification. The method consists of two phases. In the first phase, a Bayesian network (BN) that represents the dependency relations between the class variables is learned from data. In the second phase, several chain classifiers are built, such that the order of the class variables in the chain is consistent with the class BN. At the end we combine the results of the different generated orders. Our method considers the dependencies between class variables and takes advantage of the conditional independence relations to build simplified models. We perform experiments with a chain of naive Bayes classifiers on different benchmark multidimensional datasets and show that our approach outperforms other state-of-the-art methods.
Learning Optimal Bayesian Networks Using A* Search
Yuan, Changhe (Mississippi State University) | Malone, Brandon (Mississippi State University) | Wu, Xiaojian (University of Massachusetts)
This paper formulates learning optimal Bayesian network as a shortest path finding problem. An A* search algorithm is introduced to solve the problem. With the guidance of a consistent heuristic, the algorithm learns an optimal Bayesian networkby only searching the most promising parts of the solution space. Empirical results show that the A*search algorithm significantly improves the time and space efficiency of existing methods on a set of benchmark datasets.
Pairwise Decomposition for Combinatorial Optimization in Graphical Models
Favier, Aurélie (Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique) | Givry, Simon de (Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique) | Legarra, Andrès (Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique) | Schiex, Thomas (Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)
We propose a new additive decomposition of probability tables that preserves equivalence of the joint distribution while reducing the size of potentials, without extra variables. We formulate the Most Probable Explanation (MPE) problem in belief networks as a Weighted Constraint Satisfaction Problem (WCSP). Our pairwise decomposition allows to replace a cost function with smaller-arity functions. The resulting pairwise decomposed WCSP is then easier to solve using state-of-the-art WCSP techniques. Although testing pairwise decomposition is equivalent to testing pairwise independence in the original belief network, we show how to efficiently test and enforce it, even in the presence of hard constraints. Furthermore, we infer additional information from the resulting nonbinary cost functions by projecting and subtracting them on binary functions. We observed huge improvements by preprocessing with pairwise decomposition and project&subtract compared to the current state-of-the-art solvers on two difficult sets of benchmark.
Motor Simulation via Coupled Internal Models Using Sequential Monte Carlo
Dindo, Haris (University of Palermo) | Zambuto, Daniele (University of Palermo) | Pezzulo, Giovanni (Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche - CNR)
We describe a generative Bayesian model for action understanding in which inverse-forward internal model pairs are considered "hypotheses" of plausible action goals that are explored in parallel via an approximate inference mechanism based on sequential Monte Carlo methods. The reenactment of internal model pairs can be considered a form of motor simulation, which supports both perceptual prediction and action understanding at the goal level. However, this procedure is generally considered to be computationally inefficient. We present a model that dynamically reallocates computational resources to more accurate internal models depending on both the available prior information and the prediction error of the inverse-forward models, and which leads to successful action recognition. We present experimental results that test the robustness and efficiency of our model in real-world scenarios.
Inference with Multinomial Data: Why to Weaken the Prior Strength
Campos, Cassio Polpo de (Dalle Molle Institute for Artificial Intelligence) | Benavoli, Alessio (Dalle Molle Institute for Artificial Intelligence)
This paper considers inference from multinomial data and addresses the problem of choosing the strength of the Dirichlet prior under a mean-squared error criterion. We compare the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) and the most commonly used Bayesian estimators obtained by assuming a prior Dirichlet distribution with non-informative prior parameters, that is, the parameters of the Dirichlet are equal and altogether sum up to the so called strength of the prior. Under this criterion, MLE becomes more preferable than the Bayesian estimators at the increase of the number of categories k of the multinomial, because non-informative Bayesian estimators induce a region where they are dominant that quickly shrinks with the increase of k. This can be avoided if the strength of the prior is not kept constant but decreased with the number of categories. We argue that the strength should decrease at least k times faster than usual estimators do.
User-Dependent Aspect Model for Collaborative Activity Recognition
Zheng, Vincent W. (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) | Yang, Qiang (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
Activity recognition aims to discover one or more users’ actions and goals based on sensor readings. In the real world, a single user’s data are often insufficient for training an activity recognition model due to the data sparsity problem. This is especially true when we are interested in obtaining a personalized model. In this paper, we study how to collaboratively use different users’ sensor data to train a model that can provide personalized activity recognition for each user. We propose a user-dependent aspect model for this collaborative activity recognition task. Our model introduces user aspect variables to capture the user grouping information, so that a target user can also benefit from her similar users in the same group to train the recognition model. In this way, we can greatly reduce the need for much valuable and expensive labeled data required in training the recognition model for each user. Our model is also capable of incorporating time information and handling new user in activity recognition. We evaluate our model on a real-world WiFi data set obtained from an indoor environment, and show that the proposed model can outperform several state-of-art baseline algorithms.
Affect Sensing in Metaphorical Phenomena and Dramatic Interaction Context
Zhang, Li (Teesside University)
Metaphorical interpretation and affect detection using context profiles from open-ended text input are challenging in affective language processing field. In this paper, we explore recognition of a few typical affective metaphorical phenomena and context-based affect sensing using the modeling of speakers’ improvisational mood and other participants’ emotional influence to the speaking character under the improvisation of loose scenarios. The overall updated affect detection module is embedded in an AI agent. The new developments have enabled the AI agent to perform generally better in affect sensing tasks. The work emphasizes the conference themes on affective dialogue processing, human-agent interaction and intelligent user interfaces.
Pattern Field Classification with Style Normalized Transformation
Zhang, Xu-Yao (Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences) | Huang, Kaizhu (Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences) | Liu, Cheng-Lin (Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences)
Field classification is an extension of the traditional classification framework, by breaking the i.i.d. assumption. In field classification, patterns occur as groups (fields) of homogeneous styles. By utilizing style consistency, classifying groups of patterns is often more accurate than classifying single patterns. In this paper, we extend the Bayes decision theory, and develop the Field Bayesian Model (FBM) to deal with field classification. Specifically, we propose to learn a Style Normalized Transformation (SNT) for each field. Via the SNTs, the data of different fields are transformed to a uniform style space (i.i.d. space). The proposed model is a general and systematic framework, under which many probabilistic models can be easily extended for field classification. To transfer the model to unseen styles, we propose a transductive model called Transfer Bayesian Rule (TBR) based on self-training. We conducted extensive experiments on face, speech and a large-scale handwriting dataset, and got significant error rate reduction compared to the state-of-the-art methods.
Learning to Rank Under Multiple Annotators
Wu, Ou (NLPR, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences) | Hu, Weiming (NLPR, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences) | Gao, Jun (NLPR, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences)
Learning to rank has received great attention in recent years as it plays a crucial role in information retrieval. The existing concept of learning to rank assumes that each training sample is associated with an instance and a reliable label. However, in practice, this assumption does not necessarily hold true. This study focuses on the learning to rank when each training instance is labeled by multiple annotators that may be unreliable. In such a scenario, no accurate labels can be obtained. This study proposes two learning approaches. One is to simply estimate the ground truth first and then to learn a ranking model with it. The second approach is a maximum likelihood learning approach which estimates the ground truth and learns the ranking model iteratively. The two approaches have been tested on both synthetic and real-world data. The results reveal that the maximum likelihood approach outperforms the first approach significantly and is comparable of achieving results with the learning model considering reliable labels. Further more, both the approaches have been applied for ranking the Web visual clutter.
A General MCMC Method for Bayesian Inference in Logic-Based Probabilistic Modeling
Sato, Taisuke (Tokyo Institute of Technology)
We propose a general MCMC method for Bayesian inference in logic-based probabilistic modeling. It covers a broad class of generative models including Bayesian networks and PCFGs. The idea is to generalize an MCMC method for PCFGs to the one for a Turing-complete probabilistic modeling language PRISM in the context of statistical abduction where parse trees are replaced with explanations. We describe how to estimate the marginal probability of data from MCMC samples and how to perform Bayesian Viterbi inference using an example of Naive Bayes model augmented with a hidden variable.