The first decade of this century has seen the nascency of the first mathematical theory of general artificial intelligence. This theory of Universal Artificial Intelligence (UAI) has made significant contributions to many theoretical, philosophical, and practical AI questions. In a series of papers culminating in book (Hutter, 2005), an exciting sound and complete mathematical model for a super intelligent agent (AIXI) has been developed and rigorously analyzed. While nowadays most AI researchers avoid discussing intelligence, the award-winning PhD thesis (Legg, 2008) provided the philosophical embedding and investigated the UAI-based universal measure of rational intelligence, which is formal, objective and non-anthropocentric. Recently, effective approximations of AIXI have been derived and experimentally investigated in JAIR paper (Veness et al. 2011). This practical breakthrough has resulted in some impressive applications, finally muting earlier critique that UAI is only a theory. For the first time, without providing any domain knowledge, the same agent is able to self-adapt to a diverse range of interactive environments. For instance, AIXI is able to learn from scratch to play TicTacToe, Pacman, Kuhn Poker, and other games by trial and error, without even providing the rules of the games. These achievements give new hope that the grand goal of Artificial General Intelligence is not elusive. This article provides an informal overview of UAI in context. It attempts to gently introduce a very theoretical, formal, and mathematical subject, and discusses philosophical and technical ingredients, traits of intelligence, some social questions, and the past and future of UAI.

We focus on the problem of sequential decision making in partially observable environments shared with other agents of uncertain types having similar or conflicting objectives. This problem has been previously formalized by multiple frameworks one of which is the interactive dynamic influence diagram (I-DID), which generalizes the well-known influence diagram to the multiagent setting. I-DIDs are graphical models and may be used to compute the policy of an agent given its belief over the physical state and others' models, which changes as the agent acts and observes in the multiagent setting. As we may expect, solving I-DIDs is computationally hard. This is predominantly due to the large space of candidate models ascribed to the other agents and its exponential growth over time. We present two methods for reducing the size of the model space and stemming its exponential growth. Both these methods involve aggregating individual models into equivalence classes. Our first method groups together behaviorally equivalent models and selects only those models for updating which will result in predictive behaviors that are distinct from others in the updated model space. The second method further compacts the model space by focusing on portions of the behavioral predictions. Specifically, we cluster actionally equivalent models that prescribe identical actions at a single time step. Exactly identifying the equivalences would require us to solve all models in the initial set. We avoid this by selectively solving some of the models, thereby introducing an approximation. We discuss the error introduced by the approximation, and empirically demonstrate the improved efficiency in solving I-DIDs due to the equivalences.

In many signal detection and classification problems, we have knowledge of the distribution under each hypothesis, but not the prior probabilities. This paper is aimed at providing theory to quantify the performance of detection via estimating prior probabilities from either labeled or unlabeled training data. The error or {\em risk} is considered as a function of the prior probabilities. We show that the risk function is locally Lipschitz in the vicinity of the true prior probabilities, and the error of detectors based on estimated prior probabilities depends on the behavior of the risk function in this locality. In general, we show that the error of detectors based on the Maximum Likelihood Estimate (MLE) of the prior probabilities converges to the Bayes error at a rate of $n^{-1/2}$, where $n$ is the number of training data. If the behavior of the risk function is more favorable, then detectors based on the MLE have errors converging to the corresponding Bayes errors at optimal rates of the form $n^{-(1+\alpha)/2}$, where $\alpha>0$ is a parameter governing the behavior of the risk function with a typical value $\alpha = 1$. The limit $\alpha \rightarrow \infty$ corresponds to a situation where the risk function is flat near the true probabilities, and thus insensitive to small errors in the MLE; in this case the error of the detector based on the MLE converges to the Bayes error exponentially fast with $n$. We show the bounds are achievable no matter given labeled or unlabeled training data and are minimax-optimal in labeled case.

We postulate that the nature of information items plays a vital role in the observed spread of these items in a social network. We capture this intuition by proposing a model that assigns to every information item two parameters: endogeneity and exogeneity. The endogeneity of the item quantifies its tendency to spread primarily through the connections between nodes; the exogeneity quantifies its tendency to be acquired by the nodes, independently of the underlying network. We also extend this item-based model to take into account the openness of each node to new information. We quantify openness by introducing the receptivity of a node. Given a social network and data related to the ordering of adoption of information items by nodes, we develop a maximum-likelihood framework for estimating endogeneity, exogeneity and receptivity parameters. We apply our methodology to synthetic and real data and demonstrate its efficacy as a data-analytic tool.

Micro-blogging sites such as Facebook, Twitter, Google+ present a nice opportunity for targeting advertisements that are contextually related to the microblog content. By virtue of the sparse and noisy text makes identifying the microblogs suitable for advertising a very hard problem. In this work, we approach the problem of identifying the microblogs that could be targeted for advertisements as a two-step classification approach. In the first pass, microblogs suitable for advertising are identified. Next, in the second pass, we build a model to find the sentiment of the advertisable microblog. The systems use features derived from the Part-of-speech tags, the tweet content and uses external resources such as query logs and n-gram dictionaries from previously labeled data.This work aims at providing a thorough insight into the problem and analyzing various features to assess which features contribute the most towards identifying the tweets that can be targeted for advertisements.

Nowadays, the use of social media such as Twitter is necessary to monitor trends of people on political issues. As a case study, we collected the main stream of Twitter related to the 2010 UK general election during the associated period. We analyse the characteristics of the three main parties in the election. Also, we propose a simple and practical algorithm to identify the political leaning of users using the amount of Twitter messages which seem related to political parties. The experimental results showed that the best-performing classification method -- which uses the number of Twitter messages referring to a particular political party -- achieved about 86% classification accuracy without any training phase.

Social media profiles are telling examples of the everyday need for disclosure and concealment. The balance between concealment and disclosure varies across individuals, and personality traits might partly explain this variability. Experimental findings on the relationship between information disclosure and personality have been so far inconsistent. We thus study this relationship anew with 1,313 Facebook users in the United States using two personality tests: the big five personality test and the self-monitoring test. We model the process of information disclosure in a principled way using Item Response Theory and correlate the resulting user disclosure scores with personality traits. We find a correlation with the trait of Openness and observe gender effects, in that, men and women share equal amount of private information, but men tend to make it more publicly available, well beyond their social circles. Interestingly, geographic (e.g., residence, hometown) and work-related information is used as relationship currency, in that, it is selectively shared with social contacts and is rarely shared with the Facebook community at large.

Twitter, used in 200 countries with over 250 milliontweets a day, is a rich source of local news from aroundthe world. Many events of local importance are first reportedon Twitter, including many that never reach newschannels. Further, there are often only a few tweetsreporting each such event, in contrast with the largervolumes that follow events of wider significance. Eventhough such events may be primarily of local importance,they can also be of critical interest to some specificbut possibly far flung entities: For example, a firein a supplier’s factory half-way around the world maybe of interest even from afar. In this paper we describehow this ‘long tail’ of events can be detected in spite oftheir sparsity.We then extract and correlate informationfrom multiple tweets describing the same event. Ourgeneric architecture for converting a tweet-stream intoevent-objects uses locality sensitive hashing, classification,boosting, information extraction and clustering.Our results, based on millions of tweets monitored overmany months, appear to validate our approach and architecture:We achieved success-rates in the 80% rangefor event detection and 76% on event-correlation; we also reduced tweet-comparisons by 80% using LSH.

We present a new algorithm for inferring the home locations of Twitter users at different granularities, such as city, state, or time zone, using the content of their tweets and their tweeting behavior. Unlike existing approaches, our algorithm uses an ensemble of statistical and heuristic classifiers to predict locations. We find that a hierarchical classification approach can improve prediction accuracy. Experimental evidence suggests that our algorithm works well in practice and outperforms the best existing algorithms for predicting the location of Twitter users.

The activity of labeling of documents according to their content is known as text categorization. Many experiments have been carried out to enhance text categorization by adding background knowledge to the document using knowledge repositories like Word Net, Open Project Directory (OPD), Wikipedia and Wikitology. In our previous work, we have carried out intensive experiments by extracting knowledge from Wikitology and evaluating the experiment on Support Vector Machine with 10- fold cross-validations. The results clearly indicate Wikitology is far better than other knowledge bases. In this paper we are comparing Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Na\"ive Bayes (NB) classifiers under text enrichment through Wikitology. We validated results with 10-fold cross validation and shown that NB gives an improvement of +28.78%, on the other hand SVM gives an improvement of +6.36% when compared with baseline results. Na\"ive Bayes classifier is better choice when external enriching is used through any external knowledge base.