Bayesian Learning
Discrete Independent Component Analysis (DICA) with Belief Propagation
Palmieri, Francesco A. N., Buonanno, Amedeo
We apply belief propagation to a Bayesian bipartite graph composed of discrete independent hidden variables and discrete visible variables. The network is the Discrete counterpart of Independent Component Analysis (DICA) and it is manipulated in a factor graph form for inference and learning. A full set of simulations is reported for character images from the MNIST dataset. The results show that the factorial code implemented by the sources contributes to build a good generative model for the data that can be used in various inference modes.
Stochastic Annealing for Variational Inference
Gultekin, San, Zhang, Aonan, Paisley, John
Machine learning has produced a wide variety of useful tools for addressing a number of practical problems, often for those which involve large-scale datasets. Indeed, a number of disciplines ranging from recommender systems to bioinformatics rely on machine intelligence to extract useful information from their datasets in an efficient manner. One of the core machine learning approaches to such tasks is to define a prior over a model on data and infer the model parameters through posterior inference (Blei, 2014). The gold-standard in this direction is Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), which gives a means for collecting samples from this posterior distribution in an asymptotically correct way (Robert & Casella, 2004). A frequent criticism of MCMC is that it is not scalable to large data sets--though recent work has begun to address this (e.g., Welling & Teh (2011); Maclaurin & Adams (2014)).
Clustering via Content-Augmented Stochastic Blockmodels
Cashore, J. Massey, Zhao, Xiaoting, Alemi, Alexander A., Liu, Yujia, Frazier, Peter I.
Much of the data being created on the web contains interactions between users and items. Stochastic blockmodels, and other methods for community detection and clustering of bipartite graphs, can infer latent user communities and latent item clusters from this interaction data. These methods, however, typically ignore the items' contents and the information they provide about item clusters, despite the tendency of items in the same latent cluster to share commonalities in content. We introduce content-augmented stochastic blockmodels (CASB), which use item content together with user-item interaction data to enhance the user communities and item clusters learned. Comparisons to several state-of-the-art benchmark methods, on datasets arising from scientists interacting with scientific articles, show that content-augmented stochastic blockmodels provide highly accurate clusters with respect to metrics representative of the underlying community structure.
Statistical Estimation and Clustering of Group-invariant Orientation Parameters
Chen, Yu-Hui, Wei, Dennis, Newstadt, Gregory, DeGraef, Marc, Simmons, Jeffrey, Hero, Alfred
We treat the problem of estimation of orientation parameters whose values are invariant to transformations from a spherical symmetry group. Previous work has shown that any such group-invariant distribution must satisfy a restricted finite mixture representation, which allows the orientation parameter to be estimated using an Expectation Maximization (EM) maximum likelihood (ML) estimation algorithm. In this paper, we introduce two parametric models for this spherical symmetry group estimation problem: 1) the hyperbolic Von Mises Fisher (VMF) mixture distribution and 2) the Watson mixture distribution. We also introduce a new EM-ML algorithm for clustering samples that come from mixtures of group-invariant distributions with different parameters. We apply the models to the problem of mean crystal orientation estimation under the spherically symmetric group associated with the crystal form, e.g., cubic or octahedral or hexahedral. Simulations and experiments establish the advantages of the extended EM-VMF and EM-Watson estimators for data acquired by Electron Backscatter Diffraction (EBSD) microscopy of a polycrystalline Nickel alloy sample.
A Mixture of Generalized Hyperbolic Factor Analyzers
Tortora, Cristina, McNicholas, Paul D., Browne, Ryan P.
Model-based clustering imposes a finite mixture modelling structure on data for clustering. Finite mixture models assume that the population is a convex combination of a finite number of densities, the distribution within each population is a basic assumption of each particular model. Among all distributions that have been tried, the generalized hyperbolic distribution has the advantage that is a generalization of several other methods, such as the Gaussian distribution, the skew t-distribution, etc. With specific parameters, it can represent either a symmetric or a skewed distribution. While its inherent flexibility is an advantage in many ways, it means the estimation of more parameters than its special and limiting cases. The aim of this work is to propose a mixture of generalized hyperbolic factor analyzers to introduce parsimony and extend the method to high dimensional data. This work can be seen as an extension of the mixture of factor analyzers model to generalized hyperbolic mixtures. The performance of our generalized hyperbolic factor analyzers is illustrated on real data, where it performs favourably compared to its Gaussian analogue.
Weight Uncertainty in Neural Networks
Blundell, Charles, Cornebise, Julien, Kavukcuoglu, Koray, Wierstra, Daan
We introduce a new, efficient, principled and backpropagation-compatible algorithm for learning a probability distribution on the weights of a neural network, called Bayes by Backprop. It regularises the weights by minimising a compression cost, known as the variational free energy or the expected lower bound on the marginal likelihood. We show that this principled kind of regularisation yields comparable performance to dropout on MNIST classification. We then demonstrate how the learnt uncertainty in the weights can be used to improve generalisation in non-linear regression problems, and how this weight uncertainty can be used to drive the exploration-exploitation trade-off in reinforcement learning.
On distinguishability criteria for estimating generative models
Two recently introduced criteria for estimation of generative models are both based on a reduction to binary classification. Noise-contrastive estimation (NCE) is an estimation procedure in which a generative model is trained to be able to distinguish data samples from noise samples. Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are pairs of generator and discriminator networks, with the generator network learning to generate samples by attempting to fool the discriminator network into believing its samples are real data. Both estimation procedures use the same function to drive learning, which naturally raises questions about how they are related to each other, as well as whether this function is related to maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). NCE corresponds to training an internal data model belonging to the {\em discriminator} network but using a fixed generator network. We show that a variant of NCE, with a dynamic generator network, is equivalent to maximum likelihood estimation. Since pairing a learned discriminator with an appropriate dynamically selected generator recovers MLE, one might expect the reverse to hold for pairing a learned generator with a certain discriminator. However, we show that recovering MLE for a learned generator requires departing from the distinguishability game. Specifically: (i) The expected gradient of the NCE discriminator can be made to match the expected gradient of MLE, if one is allowed to use a non-stationary noise distribution for NCE, (ii) No choice of discriminator network can make the expected gradient for the GAN generator match that of MLE, and (iii) The existing theory does not guarantee that GANs will converge in the non-convex case. This suggests that the key next step in GAN research is to determine whether GANs converge, and if not, to modify their training algorithm to force convergence.
Non-Gaussian Discriminative Factor Models via the Max-Margin Rank-Likelihood
Yuan, Xin, Henao, Ricardo, Tsalik, Ephraim L., Langley, Raymond J., Carin, Lawrence
We consider the problem of discriminative factor analysis for data that are in general non-Gaussian. A Bayesian model based on the ranks of the data is proposed. We first introduce a new {\em max-margin} version of the rank-likelihood. A discriminative factor model is then developed, integrating the max-margin rank-likelihood and (linear) Bayesian support vector machines, which are also built on the max-margin principle. The discriminative factor model is further extended to the {\em nonlinear} case through mixtures of local linear classifiers, via Dirichlet processes. Fully local conjugacy of the model yields efficient inference with both Markov Chain Monte Carlo and variational Bayes approaches. Extensive experiments on benchmark and real data demonstrate superior performance of the proposed model and its potential for applications in computational biology.
Posterior Contraction Rates of the Phylogenetic Indian Buffet Processes
Chen, Mengjie, Gao, Chao, Zhao, Hongyu
By expressing prior distributions as general stochastic processes, nonparametric Bayesian methods provide a flexible way to incorporate prior knowledge and constrain the latent structure in statistical inference. The Indian buffet process (IBP) is such an example that can be used to define a prior distribution on infinite binary features, where the exchangeability among subjects is assumed. The phylogenetic Indian buffet process (pIBP), a derivative of IBP, enables the modeling of non-exchangeability among subjects through a stochastic process on a rooted tree, which is similar to that used in phylogenetics, to describe relationships among the subjects. In this paper, we study the theoretical properties of IBP and pIBP under a binary factor model. We establish the posterior contraction rates for both IBP and pIBP and substantiate the theoretical results through simulation studies. This is the first work addressing the frequentist property of the posterior behaviors of IBP and pIBP. We also demonstrated its practical usefulness by applying pIBP prior to a real data example arising in the field of cancer genomics where the exchangeability among subjects is violated.
Risk and Regret of Hierarchical Bayesian Learners
Huggins, Jonathan H., Tenenbaum, Joshua B.
Common statistical practice has shown that the full power of Bayesian methods is not realized until hierarchical priors are used, as these allow for greater "robustness" and the ability to "share statistical strength." Yet it is an ongoing challenge to provide a learning-theoretically sound formalism of such notions that: offers practical guidance concerning when and how best to utilize hierarchical models; provides insights into what makes for a good hierarchical prior; and, when the form of the prior has been chosen, can guide the choice of hyperparameter settings. We present a set of analytical tools for understanding hierarchical priors in both the online and batch learning settings. We provide regret bounds under log-loss, which show how certain hierarchical models compare, in retrospect, to the best single model in the model class. We also show how to convert a Bayesian log-loss regret bound into a Bayesian risk bound for any bounded loss, a result which may be of independent interest. Risk and regret bounds for Student's $t$ and hierarchical Gaussian priors allow us to formalize the concepts of "robustness" and "sharing statistical strength." Priors for feature selection are investigated as well. Our results suggest that the learning-theoretic benefits of using hierarchical priors can often come at little cost on practical problems.