Bayesian Learning
Performance Impact Caused by Hidden Bias of Training Data for Recognizing Textual Entailment
The quality of training data is one of the crucial problems when a learning-centered approach is employed. This paper proposes a new method to investigate the quality of a large corpus designed for the recognizing textual entailment (RTE) task. The proposed method, which is inspired by a statistical hypothesis test, consists of two phases: the first phase is to introduce the predictability of textual entailment labels as a null hypothesis which is extremely unacceptable if a target corpus has no hidden bias, and the second phase is to test the null hypothesis using a Naive Bayes model. The experimental result of the Stanford Natural Language Inference (SNLI) corpus does not reject the null hypothesis. Therefore, it indicates that the SNLI corpus has a hidden bias which allows prediction of textual entailment labels from hypothesis sentences even if no context information is given by a premise sentence. This paper also presents the performance impact of NN models for RTE caused by this hidden bias.
Key Algorithms and Statistical Models for Aspiring Data Scientists
As a data scientist who has been in the profession for several years now, I am often approached for career advice or guidance in course selection related to machine learning by students and career switchers on LinkedIn and Quora. Some questions revolve around educational paths and program selection, but many questions focus on what sort of algorithms or models are common in data science today. With a glut of algorithms from which to choose, it's hard to know where to start. Courses may include algorithms that aren't typically used in industry today, and courses may exclude very useful methods that aren't trending at the moment. Software-based programs may exclude important statistical concepts, and mathematically-based programs may skip over some of the key topics in algorithm design. I've put together a short guide for aspiring data scientists, particularly focused on statistical models and machine learning models (supervised and unsupervised); many of these topics are covered in textbooks, graduate-level statistics courses, data science bootcamps, and other training resources (some of which are included in the reference section of the article).
A Channel-based Exact Inference Algorithm for Bayesian Networks
URL: tthttp://www.cs.ru.nl/B.Jacobs This paper describes a new algorithm for exact Bayesian inference that is based on a recently proposed compositional semantics of Bayesian networks in terms of channels. The paper concentrates on the ideas behind this algorithm, involving a linearisation ('stretching') of the Bayesian network, followed by a combination of forward state transformation and backward predicate transformation, while evidence is accumulated along the way. The performance of a prototype implementation of the algorithm in Python is briefly compared to a standard implementation (pgmpy): first results show competitive performance.
Autotune: A Derivative-free Optimization Framework for Hyperparameter Tuning
Koch, Patrick, Golovidov, Oleg, Gardner, Steven, Wujek, Brett, Griffin, Joshua, Xu, Yan
Machine learning applications often require hyperparameter tuning. The hyperparameters usually drive both the efficiency of the model training process and the resulting model quality. For hyperparameter tuning, machine learning algorithms are complex black-boxes. This creates a class of challenging optimization problems, whose objective functions tend to be nonsmooth, discontinuous, unpredictably varying in computational expense, and include continuous, categorical, and/or integer variables. Further, function evaluations can fail for a variety of reasons including numerical difficulties or hardware failures. Additionally, not all hyperparameter value combinations are compatible, which creates so called hidden constraints. Robust and efficient optimization algorithms are needed for hyperparameter tuning. In this paper we present an automated parallel derivative-free optimization framework called \textbf{Autotune}, which combines a number of specialized sampling and search methods that are very effective in tuning machine learning models despite these challenges. Autotune provides significantly improved models over using default hyperparameter settings with minimal user interaction on real-world applications. Given the inherent expense of training numerous candidate models, we demonstrate the effectiveness of Autotune's search methods and the efficient distributed and parallel paradigms for training and tuning models, and also discuss the resource trade-offs associated with the ability to both distribute the training process and parallelize the tuning process.
16 Free Machine Learning Books
The following is a list of free books on Machine Learning. A Brief Introduction To Neural Networks provides a comprehensive overview of the subject of neural networks and is divided into 4 parts –Part I: From Biology to Formalization -- Motivation, Philosophy, History and Realization of Neural Models,Part II: Supervised learning Network Paradigms, Part III: Unsupervised learning Network Paradigms and Part IV: Excursi, Appendices and Registers. A Course In Machine Learning is designed to provide a gentle and pedagogically organized introduction to the field and provide a view of machine learning that focuses on ideas and models, not on math. The audience of this book is anyone who knows differential calculus and discrete math, and can program reasonably well. An undergraduate in their fourth or fifth semester should be fully capable of understanding this material. However, it should also be suitable for first year graduate students, perhaps at a slightly faster pace.
10 machine learning algorithms Every Data Scientist should know in 2018
A data scientist is a person hired to analyze and interpret complicated digital records, together with the utilization statistics of a website; particularly so that it will help an enterprise in its decision-making. An analytical model is a mathematical model that is designed to carry out a particular task or to find out the probability of a selected event i.e. the solution to the equations used to describe modifications in a system can be expressed as a mathematical analytic function. According to Layman, an analytical model is simply a mathematical presentation of an enterprise problem. A simple equation y a bx may be termed as a model with a group of predefined input data and desired output. Scalable and efficient analytical modeling is severely consequential to enable the business to use those techniques to ever-more sizably voluminous data sets for reducing the time taken to carry out these analyses. Accordingly, models are engendered that put into effect key algorithms to determine the solution to our quandary business.
Instance Selection Improves Geometric Mean Accuracy: A Study on Imbalanced Data Classification
Kuncheva, Ludmila I., Arnaiz-González, Álvar, Díez-Pastor, José-Francisco, Gunn, Iain A. D.
A natural way of handling imbalanced data is to attempt to equalise the class frequencies and train the classifier of choice on balanced data. For two-class imbalanced problems, the classification success is typically measured by the geometric mean (GM) of the true positive and true negative rates. Here we prove that GM can be improved upon by instance selection, and give the theoretical conditions for such an improvement. We demonstrate that GM is non-monotonic with respect to the number of retained instances, which discourages systematic instance selection. We also show that balancing the distribution frequencies is inferior to a direct maximisation of GM. To verify our theoretical findings, we carried out an experimental study of 12 instance selection methods for imbalanced data, using 66 standard benchmark data sets. The results reveal possible room for new instance selection methods for imbalanced data.
varrank: an R package for variable ranking based on mutual information with applications to observed systemic datasets
Kratzer, Gilles, Furrer, Reinhard
This article describes the R package varrank. It has a flexible implementation of heuristic approaches which perform variable ranking based on mutual information. The package is particularly suitable for exploring multivariate datasets requiring a holistic analysis. The core functionality is a general implementation of the minimum redundancy maximum relevance (mRMRe) model. This approach is based on information theory metrics. It is compatible with discrete and continuous data which are discretised using a large choice of possible rules. The two main problems that can be addressed by this package are the selection of the most representative variables for modeling a collection of variables of interest, i.e., dimension reduction, and variable ranking with respect to a set of variables of interest.
Human Activity Recognition using Recurrent Neural Networks
Singh, Deepika, Merdivan, Erinc, Psychoula, Ismini, Kropf, Johannes, Hanke, Sten, Geist, Matthieu, Holzinger, Andreas
Human activity recognition using smart home sensors is one of the bases of ubiquitous computing in smart environments and a topic undergoing intense research in the field of ambient assisted living. The increasingly large amount of data sets calls for machine learning methods. In this paper, we introduce a deep learning model that learns to classify human activities without using any prior knowledge. For this purpose, a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network was applied to three real world smart home datasets. The results of these experiments show that the proposed approach outperforms the existing ones in terms of accuracy and performance.
Improving Long-Horizon Forecasts with Expectation-Biased LSTM Networks
Ismail, Aya Abdelsalam, Wood, Timothy, Bravo, Héctor Corrada
State-of-the-art forecasting methods using Recurrent Neural Net- works (RNN) based on Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) cells have shown exceptional performance targeting short-horizon forecasts, e.g given a set of predictor features, forecast a target value for the next few time steps in the future. However, in many applica- tions, the performance of these methods decays as the forecasting horizon extends beyond these few time steps. This paper aims to explore the challenges of long-horizon forecasting using LSTM networks. Here, we illustrate the long-horizon forecasting problem in datasets from neuroscience and energy supply management. We then propose expectation-biasing, an approach motivated by the literature of Dynamic Belief Networks, as a solution to improve long-horizon forecasting using LSTMs. We propose two LSTM ar- chitectures along with two methods for expectation biasing that significantly outperforms standard practice.