Bayesian Learning
Restricted Boltzmann Machines: Introduction and Review
The restricted Boltzmann machine is a network of stochastic units with undirected interactions between pairs of visible and hidden units. This model was popularized as a building block of deep learning architectures and has continued to play an important role in applied and theoretical machine learning. Restricted Boltzmann machines carry a rich structure, with connections to geometry, applied algebra, probability, statistics, machine learning, and other areas. The analysis of these models is attractive in its own right and also as a platform to combine and generalize mathematical tools for graphical models with hidden variables. This article gives an introduction to the mathematical analysis of restricted Boltzmann machines, reviews recent results on the geometry of the sets of probability distributions representable by these models, and suggests a few directions for further investigation.
Employee Attrition Prediction
Yedida, Rahul, Reddy, Rahul, Vahi, Rakshit, Jana, Rahul, GV, Abhilash, Kulkarni, Deepti
We aim to predict whether an employee of a company will leave or not, using the k-Nearest Neighbors algorithm. We use evaluation of employee performance, average monthly hours at work and number of years spent in the company, among others, as our features. Other approaches to this problem include the use of ANNs, decision trees and logistic regression. The dataset was split, using 70% for training the algorithm and 30% for testing it, achieving an accuracy of 94.32%.
Neural Ordinary Differential Equations
Chen, Tian Qi, Rubanova, Yulia, Bettencourt, Jesse, Duvenaud, David
We introduce a new family of deep neural network models. Instead of specifying a discrete sequence of hidden layers, we parameterize the derivative of the hidden state using a neural network. The output of the network is computed using a blackbox differential equation solver. These continuous-depth models have constant memory cost, adapt their evaluation strategy to each input, and can explicitly trade numerical precision for speed. We demonstrate these properties in continuous-depth residual networks and continuous-time latent variable models. We also construct continuous normalizing flows, a generative model that can train by maximum likelihood, without partitioning or ordering the data dimensions. For training, we show how to scalably backpropagate through any ODE solver, without access to its internal operations. This allows end-to-end training of ODEs within larger models.
Microsoft weeds out fake marketing leads with Naïve Bayes and Machine Learning Server
To connect with potential customers, our marketers and sellers at Microsoft depend on good-quality leads. But sometimes people fill out online forms with fake names, gibberish, or even profanity. We distinguish fake company names from legitimate names in our data using the programming language R, the Naive Bayes classifier algorithm, Microsoft Machine Learning Server, and a data quality service that we built. This solution helps us weed out fake names and prioritize good leads for our sales and marketing teams.
Evaluating and Characterizing Incremental Learning from Non-Stationary Data
Cervantes, Alejandro, Gagné, Christian, Isasi, Pedro, Parizeau, Marc
Incremental learning from non-stationary data poses special challenges to the field of machine learning. Although new algorithms have been developed for this, assessment of results and comparison of behaviors are still open problems, mainly because evaluation metrics, adapted from more traditional tasks, can be ineffective in this context. Overall, there is a lack of common testing practices. This paper thus presents a testbed for incremental non-stationary learning algorithms, based on specially designed synthetic datasets. Also, test results are reported for some well-known algorithms to show that the proposed methodology is effective at characterizing their strengths and weaknesses. It is expected that this methodology will provide a common basis for evaluating future contributions in the field.
Incremental Sparse Bayesian Ordinal Regression
Ordinal Regression (OR) aims to model the ordering information between different data categories, which is a crucial topic in multi-label learning. An important class of approaches to OR models the problem as a linear combination of basis functions that map features to a high dimensional non-linear space. However, most of the basis function-based algorithms are time consuming. We propose an incremental sparse Bayesian approach to OR tasks and introduce an algorithm to sequentially learn the relevant basis functions in the ordinal scenario. Our method, called Incremental Sparse Bayesian Ordinal Regression (ISBOR), automatically optimizes the hyper-parameters via the type-II maximum likelihood method. By exploiting fast marginal likelihood optimization, ISBOR can avoid big matrix inverses, which is the main bottleneck in applying basis function-based algorithms to OR tasks on large-scale datasets. We show that ISBOR can make accurate predictions with parsimonious basis functions while offering automatic estimates of the prediction uncertainty. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real word datasets demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of ISBOR compared to other basis function-based OR approaches.
A Survey of Inverse Reinforcement Learning: Challenges, Methods and Progress
Arora, Saurabh, Doshi, Prashant
Inverse reinforcement learning is the problem of inferring the reward function of an observed agent, given its policy or behavior. Researchers perceive IRL both as a problem and as a class of methods. By categorically surveying the current literature in IRL, this article serves as a reference for researchers and practitioners in machine learning to understand the challenges of IRL and select the approaches best suited for the problem on hand. The survey formally introduces the IRL problem along with its central challenges which include accurate inference, generalizability, correctness of prior knowledge, and growth in solution complexity with problem size. The article elaborates how the current methods mitigate these challenges. We further discuss the extensions of traditional IRL methods: (i) inaccurate and incomplete perception, (ii) incomplete model, (iii) multiple rewards, and (iv) non-linear reward functions. This discussion concludes with some broad advances in the research area and currently open research questions.
Unsupervised Word Segmentation from Speech with Attention
Godard, Pierre, Zanon-Boito, Marcely, Ondel, Lucas, Berard, Alexandre, Yvon, François, Villavicencio, Aline, Besacier, Laurent
We present a first attempt to perform attentional word segmentation directly from the speech signal, with the final goal to automatically identify lexical units in a low-resource, unwritten language (UL). Our methodology assumes a pairing between recordings in the UL with translations in a well-resourced language. It uses Acoustic Unit Discovery (AUD) to convert speech into a sequence of pseudo-phones that is segmented using neural soft-alignments produced by a neural machine translation model. Evaluation uses an actual Bantu UL, Mboshi; comparisons to monolingual and bilingual baselines illustrate the potential of attentional word segmentation for language documentation.
Predicting Switching Graph Labelings with Cluster Specialists
Herbster, Mark, Robinson, James
We address the problem of predicting the labeling of a graph in an online setting when the labeling is changing over time. We provide three mistake-bounded algorithms based on three paradigmatic methods for online algorithm design. The algorithm with the strongest guarantee is a quasi-Bayesian classifier which requires $\mathcal{O}(t \log n)$ time to predict at trial $t$ on an $n$-vertex graph. The fastest algorithm (with the weakest guarantee) is based on a specialist [10] approach and surprisingly only requires $\mathcal{O}(\log n)$ time on any trial $t$. We also give an algorithm based on a kernelized Perceptron with an intermediate per-trial time complexity of $\mathcal{O}(n)$ and a mistake bound which is not strictly comparable. Finally, we provide experiments on simulated data comparing these methods.
Binary Classification in Unstructured Space With Hypergraph Case-Based Reasoning
Binary classification is one of the most common problem in machine learning. It consists in predicting whether a given element is of a particular class. In this paper, a new algorithm for binary classification is proposed using a hypergraph representation. Each element to be classified is partitioned according to its interactions with the training set. For each class, the total support is calculated as a convex combination of the {\it evidence} strength of the element of the partition. The evidence measure is pre-computed using the hypergraph induced by the training set and iteratively adjusted through a training phase. It does not require structured information, each case being represented by a set of {\it agnostic information} atoms. Empirical validation demonstrates its high potential on a wide range of well-known datasets and the results are compared to the state-of-art. The time complexity is given and empirically validated. Its capacity to provide good performances without hyperparameter tuning compared to standard classification methods is studied. Finally, the limitation of the model space is discussed and some potential solutions proposed.