Machine learning models, especially neural network (NN) classifiers, are widely used in many applications including natural language processing, computer vision and cybersecurity. They provide high accuracy under the assumption of attack-free scenarios. However, this assumption has been defied by the introduction of adversarial examples -- carefully perturbed samples of input that are usually misclassified. Many researchers have tried to develop a defense against adversarial examples; however, we are still far from achieving that goal. In this paper, we design a Generative Adversarial Net (GAN) based adversarial training defense, dubbed GanDef, which utilizes a competition game to regulate the feature selection during the training. We analytically show that GanDef can train a classifier so it can defend against adversarial examples. Through extensive evaluation on different white-box adversarial examples, the classifier trained by GanDef shows the same level of test accuracy as those trained by state-of-the-art adversarial training defenses. More importantly, GanDef-Comb, a variant of GanDef, could utilize the discriminator to achieve a dynamic trade-off between correctly classifying original and adversarial examples. As a result, it achieves the highest overall test accuracy when the ratio of adversarial examples exceeds 41.7%.

Bayes' theorem, named after 18th-century British mathematician Thomas Bayes, is a mathematical formula for determining conditional probabilities. This theorem has enormous importance in the field of data science. For example one of many applications of Bayes' theorem is the Bayesian inference, a particular approach to statistical inference. Bayesian inference is a method in which Bayes' theorem is used to update the probability for a hypothesis as more evidence or information becomes available. Bayesian inference has found application in a wide range of activities, including science, engineering, philosophy, medicine, sport, and law.

Bayes theorem in basis for many machine learning algorithm, P(c/x) P(x/c)*P(c)/P(x) Popularly used #Naive #Bayes Machine Learning algorithm is used for Text classification. One of the common question is "What is Bayes Theorem?" watch this video to understand this question and how to explain in the interview. If you are looking for Course Details please visit: https://datamites.com/ You can learn business statistics, tableau, deep learning, data mining etc,..

Novelty detection is the unsupervised problem of identifying anomalies in test data which significantly differ from the training set. Novelty detection is one of the classic challenges in Machine Learning and a core component of several research areas such as fraud detection, intrusion detection, medical diagnosis, data cleaning, and fault prevention. While numerous algorithms were designed to address this problem, most methods are only suitable to model continuous numerical data. Tackling datasets composed of mixed-type features, such as numerical and categorical data, or temporal datasets describing discrete event sequences is a challenging task. In addition to the supported data types, the key criteria for efficient novelty detection methods are the ability to accurately dissociate novelties from nominal samples, the interpretability, the scalability and the robustness to anomalies located in the training data. In this thesis, we investigate novel ways to tackle these issues. In particular, we propose (i) an experimental comparison of novelty detection methods for mixed-type data (ii) an experimental comparison of novelty detection methods for sequence data, (iii) a probabilistic nonparametric novelty detection method for mixed-type data based on Dirichlet process mixtures and exponential-family distributions and (iv) an autoencoder-based novelty detection model with encoder/decoder modelled as deep Gaussian processes.

Learning with noisy labels, which aims to reduce expensive labors on accurate annotations, has become imperative in the Big Data era. Previous noise transition based method has achieved promising results and presented a theoretical guarantee on performance in the case of class-conditional noise. However, this type of approaches critically depend on an accurate pre-estimation of the noise transition, which is usually impractical. Subsequent improvement adapts the pre-estimation along with the training progress via a Softmax layer. However, the parameters in the Softmax layer are highly tweaked for the fragile performance due to the ill-posed stochastic approximation. To address these issues, we propose a Latent Class-Conditional Noise model (LCCN) that naturally embeds the noise transition under a Bayesian framework. By projecting the noise transition into a Dirichlet-distributed space, the learning is constrained on a simplex based on the whole dataset, instead of some ad-hoc parametric space. We then deduce a dynamic label regression method for LCCN to iteratively infer the latent labels, to stochastically train the classifier and to model the noise. Our approach safeguards the bounded update of the noise transition, which avoids previous arbitrarily tuning via a batch of samples. We further generalize LCCN for open-set noisy labels and the semi-supervised setting. We perform extensive experiments with the controllable noise data sets, CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100, and the agnostic noise data sets, Clothing1M and WebVision17. The experimental results have demonstrated that the proposed model outperforms several state-of-the-art methods.

Directed acyclic graph (DAG) models are popular for capturing causal relationships. From observational and interventional data, a DAG model can only be determined up to its \emph{interventional Markov equivalence class} (I-MEC). We investigate the size of MECs for random DAG models generated by uniformly sampling and ordering an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graph. For constant density, we show that the expected $\log$ observational MEC size asymptotically (in the number of vertices) approaches a constant. We characterize I-MEC size in a similar fashion in the above settings with high precision. We show that the asymptotic expected number of interventions required to fully identify a DAG is a constant. These results are obtained by exploiting Meek rules and coupling arguments to provide sharp upper and lower bounds on the asymptotic quantities, which are then calculated numerically up to high precision. Our results have important consequences for experimental design of interventions and the development of algorithms for causal inference.

While discriminative classifiers often yield strong predictive performance, missing feature values at prediction time can still be a challenge. Classifiers may not behave as expected under certain ways of substituting the missing values, since they inherently make assumptions about the data distribution they were trained on. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that classifies examples with missing features by computing the expected prediction on a given feature distribution. We then use geometric programming to learn a naive Bayes distribution that embeds a given logistic regression classifier and can efficiently take its expected predictions. Empirical evaluations show that our model achieves the same performance as the logistic regression with all features observed, and outperforms standard imputation techniques when features go missing during prediction time. Furthermore, we demonstrate that our method can be used to generate 'sufficient explanations' of logistic regression classifications, by removing features that do not affect the classification.

We consider the problem of rational uncertainty about unproven mathematical statements, remarked on by G\"odel and others. Using Bayesian-inspired arguments we build a normative model of fair bets under deductive uncertainty which draws from both probability and the theory of algorithms. We comment on connections to Zeilberger's notion of "semi-rigorous proofs", particularly that inherent subjectivity would be present. We also discuss a financial view with models of arbitrage where traders have limited computational resources.

In likelihood-free settings where likelihood evaluations are intractable, approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) addresses the formidable inference task to discover plausible parameters of simulation programs that explain the observations. However, they demand large quantities of simulation calls. Critically, hyperparameters that determine measures of simulation discrepancy crucially balance inference accuracy and sample efficiency, yet are difficult to tune. In this paper, we present kernel embedding likelihood-free inference (KELFI), a holistic framework that automatically learns model hyperparameters to improve inference accuracy given limited simulation budget. By leveraging likelihood smoothness with conditional mean embeddings, we nonparametrically approximate likelihoods and posteriors as surrogate densities and sample from closed-form posterior mean embeddings, whose hyperparameters are learned under its approximate marginal likelihood. Our modular framework demonstrates improved accuracy and efficiency on challenging inference problems in ecology.

Variational Bayes (VB) is a recent approximate method for Bayesian inference. It has the merit of being a fast and scalable alternative to Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) but its approximation error is often unknown. In this paper, we derive the approximation error of VB in terms of mean, mode, variance, predictive density and KL divergence for the linear Gaussian multi-equation regression. Our results indicate that VB approximates the posterior mean perfectly. Factors affecting the magnitude of underestimation in posterior variance and mode are revealed. Importantly, We demonstrate that VB estimates predictive densities accurately.