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 Bayesian Learning


Radial-Based Undersampling for Imbalanced Data Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Data imbalance remains one of the most widespread problems affecting contemporary machine learning. The negative effect data imbalance can have on the traditional learning algorithms is most severe in combination with other dataset difficulty factors, such as small disjuncts, presence of outliers and insufficient number of training observations. Said difficulty factors can also limit the applicability of some of the methods of dealing with data imbalance, in particular the neighborhood-based oversampling algorithms based on SMOTE. Radial-Based Oversampling (RBO) was previously proposed to mitigate some of the limitations of the neighborhood-based methods. In this paper we examine the possibility of utilizing the concept of mutual class potential, used to guide the oversampling process in RBO, in the undersampling procedure. Conducted computational complexity analysis indicates a significantly reduced time complexity of the proposed Radial-Based Undersampling algorithm, and the results of the performed experimental study indicate its usefulness, especially on difficult datasets.


Inverse boosting pruning trees for depression detection on Twitter

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Depression is one of the most common mental health disorders, and a large number of depression people commit suicide each year. Potential depression sufferers do not consult psychological doctors because they feel ashamed or are unaware of any depression, which may result in severe delay of diagnosis and treatment. In the meantime, evidence shows that social media data provides valuable clues about physical and mental health conditions. In this paper, we argue that it is feasible to identify depression at an early stage by mining online social behaviours. Our approach, which is innovative to the practice of depression detection, does not rely on the extraction of numerous or complicated features to achieve accurate depression detection. Instead, we propose a novel classifier, namely, Inverse Boosting Pruning Trees (IBPT), which demonstrates a strong classification ability on a publicly accessible dataset with 7862 Twitter users. To comprehensively evaluate the classification capability of the IBPT, we use three real datasets from the UCI machine learning repository and the IBPT still obtains the best classification results against several state of the arts techniques. The results manifest that our proposed framework is promising for identifying social networks' users with depression.


Disparate Vulnerability: on the Unfairness of Privacy Attacks Against Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A membership inference attack (MIA) against a machine learning model enables an attacker to determine whether a given data record was part of the model's training dataset or not. Such attacks have been shown to be practical both in centralized and federated settings, and pose a threat in many privacy-sensitive domains such as medicine or law enforcement. In the literature, the effectiveness of these attacks is invariably reported using metrics computed across the whole population. In this paper, we take a closer look at the attack's performance across different subgroups present in the data distributions. We introduce a framework that enables us to efficiently analyze the vulnerability of machine learning models to MIA. We discover that even if the accuracy of MIA looks no better than random guessing over the whole population, subgroups are subject to disparate vulnerability, i.e., certain subgroups can be significantly more vulnerable than others. We provide a theoretical definition for MIA vulnerability which we validate empirically both on synthetic and real data.


Generative Parameter Sampler For Scalable Uncertainty Quantification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Uncertainty quantification has been a core of the statistical machine learning, but its computational bottleneck has been a serious challenge for both Bayesians and frequentists. We propose a model-based framework in quantifying uncertainty, called predictive-matching Generative Parameter Sampler (GPS). This procedure considers an Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) distribution, on the targeted parameter, which matches the corresponding predictive distribution to the observed data. This framework adopts a hierarchical modeling perspective such that each observation is modeled by an individual parameter. This individual parameterization permits the resulting inference to be computationally scalable and robust to outliers. Our approach is illustrated for linear models, Poisson processes, and deep neural networks for classification. The results show that the GPS is successful in providing uncertainty quantification as well as additional flexibility beyond what is allowed by classical statistical procedures under the postulated statistical models.


Cooperative neural networks (CoNN): Exploiting prior independence structure for improved classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a new approach, called cooperative neural networks (CoNN), which uses a set of cooperatively trained neural networks to capture latent representations that exploit prior given independence structure. The model is more flexible than traditional graphical models based on exponential family distributions, but incorporates more domain specific prior structure than traditional deep networks or variational autoencoders. The framework is very general and can be used to exploit the independence structure of any graphical model. We illustrate the technique by showing that we can transfer the independence structure of the popular Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) model to a cooperative neural network, CoNN-sLDA. Empirical evaluation of CoNN-sLDA on supervised text classification tasks demonstrates that the theoretical advantages of prior independence structure can be realized in practice -we demonstrate a 23\% reduction in error on the challenging MultiSent data set compared to state-of-the-art.


Linear and Quadratic Discriminant Analysis: Tutorial

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This tutorial explains Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) and Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA) as two fundamental classification methods in statistical and probabilistic learning. We start with the optimization of decision boundary on which the posteriors are equal. Then, LDA and QDA are derived for binary and multiple classes. The estimation of parameters in LDA and QDA are also covered. Then, we explain how LDA and QDA are related to metric learning, kernel principal component analysis, Mahalanobis distance, logistic regression, Bayes optimal classifier, Gaussian naive Bayes, and likelihood ratio test. We also prove that LDA and Fisher discriminant analysis are equivalent. We finally clarify some of the theoretical concepts with simulations we provide.


Assessing Algorithmic Fairness with Unobserved Protected Class Using Data Combination

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The increasing impact of algorithmic decisions on people's lives compels us to scrutinize their fairness and, in particular, the disparate impacts that ostensibly-color-blind algorithms can have on different groups. Examples include credit decisioning, hiring, advertising, criminal justice, personalized medicine, and targeted policymaking, where in some cases legislative or regulatory frameworks for fairness exist and define specific protected classes. In this paper we study a fundamental challenge to assessing disparate impacts in practice: protected class membership is often not observed in the data. This is particularly a problem in lending and healthcare. We consider the use of an auxiliary dataset, such as the US census, that includes class labels but not decisions or outcomes. We show that a variety of common disparity measures are generally unidentifiable aside for some unrealistic cases, providing a new perspective on the documented biases of popular proxy-based methods. We provide exact characterizations of the sharpest-possible partial identification set of disparities either under no assumptions or when we incorporate mild smoothness constraints. We further provide optimization-based algorithms for computing and visualizing these sets, which enables reliable and robust assessments -- an important tool when disparity assessment can have far-reaching policy implications. We demonstrate this in two case studies with real data: mortgage lending and personalized medicine dosing.


Bayesian Deconditional Kernel Mean Embeddings

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Conditional kernel mean embeddings form an attractive nonparametric framework for representing conditional means of functions, describing the observation processes for many complex models. However, the recovery of the original underlying function of interest whose conditional mean was observed is a challenging inference task. We formalize deconditional kernel mean embeddings as a solution to this inverse problem, and show that it can be naturally viewed as a nonparametric Bayes' rule. Critically, we introduce the notion of task transformed Gaussian processes and establish deconditional kernel means as their posterior predictive mean. This connection provides Bayesian interpretations and uncertainty estimates for deconditional kernel mean embeddings, explains their regularization hyperparameters, and reveals a marginal likelihood for kernel hyperparameter learning. These revelations further enable practical applications such as likelihood-free inference and learning sparse representations for big data.


GLAD: Learning Sparse Graph Recovery

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recovering sparse conditional independence graphs from data is a fundamental problem in machine learning with wide applications. A popular formulation of the problem is an $\ell_1$ regularized maximum likelihood estimation. Many convex optimization algorithms have been designed to solve this formulation to recover the graph structure. Recently, there is a surge of interest to learn algorithms directly based on data, and in this case, learn to map empirical covariance to the sparse precision matrix. However, it is a challenging task in this case, since the symmetric positive definiteness (SPD) and sparsity of the matrix are not easy to enforce in learned algorithms, and a direct mapping from data to precision matrix may contain many parameters. We propose a deep learning architecture, GLAD, which uses an Alternating Minimization (AM) algorithm as our model inductive bias, and learns the model parameters via supervised learning. We show that GLAD learns a very compact and effective model for recovering sparse graph from data.


Decision-Making in Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this research work, probabilistic decision-making approaches are studied, e.g. Bayesian and Boltzmann strategies, along with various deterministic exploration strategies, e.g. greedy, epsilon-Greedy and random approaches. In this research work, a comparative study has been done between probabilistic and deterministic decision-making approaches, the experiments are performed in OpenAI gym environment, solving Cart Pole problem. This research work discusses about the Bayesian approach to decision-making in deep reinforcement learning, and about dropout, how it can reduce the computational cost. All the exploration approaches are compared. It also discusses about the importance of exploration in deep reinforcement learning, and how improving exploration strategies may help in science and technology. This research work shows how probabilistic decision-making approaches are better in the long run as compared to the deterministic approaches. When there is uncertainty, Bayesian dropout approach proved to be better than all other approaches in this research work.