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 Bayesian Learning


Program Synthesis and Semantic Parsing with Learned Code Idioms

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Program synthesis of general-purpose source code from natural language specifications is challenging due to the need to reason about high-level patterns in the target program and low-level implementation details at the same time. In this work, we present PATOIS, a system that allows a neural program synthesizer to explicitly interleave high-level and low-level reasoning at every generation step. It accomplishes this by automatically mining common code idioms from a given corpus, incorporating them into the underlying language for neural synthesis, and training a tree-based neural synthesizer to use these idioms during code generation. We evaluate PATOIS on two complex semantic parsing datasets and show that using learned code idioms improves the synthesizer's accuracy.


A Review on Neural Network Models of Schizophrenia and Autism Spectrum Disorder

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This survey presents the most relevant neural network models of autism spectrum disorder and schizophrenia, from the first connectionist models to recent deep network architectures. We analyzed and compared the most representative symptoms with its neural model counterpart, detailing the alteration introduced in the network that generates each of the symptoms, and identifying their strengths and weaknesses. For completeness we additionally cross-compared Bayesian and free-energy approaches. Models of schizophrenia mainly focused on hallucinations and delusional thoughts using neural disconnections or inhibitory imbalance as the predominating alteration. Models of autism rather focused on perceptual difficulties, mainly excessive attention to environment details, implemented as excessive inhibitory connections or increased sensory precision. We found an excessive tight view of the psychopathologies around one specific and simplified effect, usually constrained to the technical idiosyncrasy of the network used. Recent theories and evidence on sensorimotor integration and body perception combined with modern neural network architectures offer a broader and novel spectrum to approach these psychopathologies, outlining the future research on neural networks computational psychiatry, a powerful asset for understanding the inner processes of the human brain.


Modeling Multi-Vehicle Interaction Scenarios Using Gaussian Random Field

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Autonomous vehicles (AV) are expected to navigate in complex traffic scenarios with multiple surrounding vehicles. The correlations between road users vary over time, the degree of which, in theory, could be infinitely large, and thus posing a great challenge in modeling and predicting the driving environment. In this research, we propose a method to reproduce such high-dimensional scenarios in a finitely tractable form by defining a stochastic vector field model in multi-vehicle interactions. We then apply non-parametric Bayesian learning to extract the underlying motion patterns from a large quantity of naturalistic traffic data. We use Gaussian process to model multi-vehicle motion, and Dirichlet process to assign each observation to a specific scenario. We implement the proposed method on NGSim highway and intersection data sets, in which complex multi-vehicle interactions are prevalent. The results show that the proposed method is capable of capturing motion patterns from both settings, without imposing heroic prior, hence can be applied for a wide array of traffic situations. The proposed modeling can enable simulation platforms and other testing methods designed for AV evaluation, to easily model and generate traffic scenarios emulating large scale driving data.


Certifiably Optimal Sparse Inverse Covariance Estimation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the maximum likelihood estimation of sparse inverse covariance matrices. We demonstrate that current heuristic approaches primarily encourage robustness, instead of the desired sparsity. We give a novel approach that solves the cardinality constrained likelihood problem to certifiable optimality. The approach uses techniques from mixed-integer optimization and convex optimization, and provides a high-quality solution with a guarantee on its suboptimality, even if the algorithm is terminated early. Using a variety of synthetic and real datasets, we demonstrate that our approach can solve problems where the dimension of the inverse covariance matrix is up to 1,000s. We also demonstrate that our approach produces significantly sparser solutions than Glasso and other popular learning procedures, makes less false discoveries, while still maintaining state-of-the-art accuracy.


Generating User-friendly Explanations for Loan Denials using GANs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Financial decisions impact our lives, and thus everyone from the regulator to the consumer is interested in fair, sound, and explainable decisions. There is increasing competitive desire and regulatory incentive to deploy AI mindfully within financial services. An important mechanism towards that end is to explain AI decisions to various stakeholders. State-of-the-art explainable AI systems mostly serve AI engineers and offer little to no value to business decision makers, customers, and other stakeholders. Towards addressing this gap, in this work we consider the scenario of explaining loan denials. We build the first-of-its-kind dataset that is representative of loan-applicant friendly explanations. We design a novel Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) that can accommodate smaller datasets, to generate user-friendly textual explanations. We demonstrate how our system can also generate explanations serving different purposes: those that help educate the loan applicants, or help them take appropriate action towards a future approval. We hope that our contributions will aid the deployment of AI in financial services by serving the needs of the wider community of users seeking explanations.


Fault Matters: Sensor Data Fusion for Detection of Faults using Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence in IoT-Based Applications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Fault detection in sensor nodes is a pertinent issue that has been an important area of research for a very long time. But it is not explored much as yet in the context of Internet of Things. Internet of Things work with a massive amount of data so the responsibility for guaranteeing the accuracy of the data also lies with it. Moreover, a lot of important and critical decisions are made based on these data, so ensuring its correctness and accuracy is also very important. Also, the detection needs to be as precise as possible to avoid negative alerts. For this purpose, this work has adopted Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence which is a popular learning method to collate the information from sensors to come up with a decision regarding the faulty status of a sensor node. To verify the validity of the proposed method, simulations have been performed on a benchmark data set and data collected through a test bed in a laboratory set-up. For the different types of faults, the proposed method shows very competent accuracy for both the benchmark (99.8%) and laboratory data sets (99.9%) when compared to the other state-of-the-art machine learning techniques.


7 Steps to Mastering Intermediate Machine Learning with Python -- 2019 Edition

#artificialintelligence

Are you interested in learning more about machine learning with Python? I recently wrote 7 Steps to Mastering Basic Machine Learning with Python -- 2019 Edition, a first step in an attempt to updated a pair of posts I wrote some time back (7 Steps to Mastering Machine Learning With Python and 7 More Steps to Mastering Machine Learning With Python), a pair of posts which are getting stale at this point, having been around for a few years. It's time to add on to the "basic" post with a set of steps for learning "intermediate" level machine learning with Python. We're talking "intermediate" in a relative sense, however, so do not expect to be a research-caliber machine learning engineer after getting through this post. The learning path is aimed at those with some understanding of programming, computer science concepts, and/or machine learning in an abstract sense, who are wanting to be able to use the implementations of machine learning algorithms of the prevalent Python libraries to build their own machine learning models.


7 Steps to Mastering Intermediate Machine Learning with Python -- 2019 Edition

#artificialintelligence

Are you interested in learning more about machine learning with Python? I recently wrote 7 Steps to Mastering Basic Machine Learning with Python -- 2019 Edition, a first step in an attempt to updated a pair of posts I wrote some time back (7 Steps to Mastering Machine Learning With Python and 7 More Steps to Mastering Machine Learning With Python), a pair of posts which are getting stale at this point, having been around for a few years. It's time to add on to the "basic" post with a set of steps for learning "intermediate" level machine learning with Python. We're talking "intermediate" in a relative sense, however, so do not expect to be a research-caliber machine learning engineer after getting through this post. The learning path is aimed at those with some understanding of programming, computer science concepts, and/or machine learning in an abstract sense, who are wanting to be able to use the implementations of machine learning algorithms of the prevalent Python libraries to build their own machine learning models.


Confidence Calibration for Convolutional Neural Networks Using Structured Dropout

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In classification applications, we often want probabilistic predictions to reflect confidence or uncertainty. Dropout, a commonly used training technique, has recently been linked to Bayesian inference, yielding an efficient way to quantify uncertainty in neural network models. However, as previously demonstrated, confidence estimates computed with a naive implementation of dropout can be poorly calibrated, particularly when using convolutional networks. In this paper, through the lens of ensemble learning, we associate calibration error with the correlation between the models sampled with dropout. Motivated by this, we explore the use of structured dropout to promote model diversity and improve confidence calibration. We use the SVHN, CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 datasets to empirically compare model diversity and confidence errors obtained using various dropout techniques. We also show the merit of structured dropout in a Bayesian active learning application.


MercurialMonkey/Harvard-University-Capstone-Project-Data-Science

#artificialintelligence

I have submitted my own project using a dataset of my choosing. My project has been reviewed both by my peers and the professor. I chose to work with Credit Card Fraud Detection, It is important that credit card companies are able to recognize fraudulent credit card transactions so that customers are not charged for items that they did not purchase. The datasets contains transactions made by credit cards in September 2013 by european cardholders. Due to imbalancing nature of the data, many observations could be predicted as False Negative, in this case Legal Transactions instead of Fraudolent Transaction.