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 Bayesian Learning


DeepHealth: Deep Learning for Health Informatics

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Machine learning and deep learning have provided us with an exploration of a whole new research era. As more data and better computational power become available, they have been implemented in various fields. The demand for artificial intelligence in the field of health informatics is also increasing and we can expect to see the potential benefits of artificial intelligence applications in healthcare. Deep learning can help clinicians diagnose disease, identify cancer sites, identify drug effects for each patient, understand the relationship between genotypes and phenotypes, explore new phenotypes, and predict infectious disease outbreaks with high accuracy. In contrast to traditional models, its approach does not require domain-specific data pre-process, and it is expected that it will ultimately change human life a lot in the future. Despite its notable advantages, there are some challenges on data (high dimensionality, heterogeneity, time dependency, sparsity, irregularity, lack of label) and model (reliability, interpretability, feasibility, security, scalability) for practical use. This article presents a comprehensive review of research applying deep learning in health informatics with a focus on the last five years in the fields of medical imaging, electronic health records, genomics, sensing, and online communication health, as well as challenges and promising directions for future research. We highlight ongoing popular approaches' research and identify several challenges in building deep learning models.


Scalable Reinforcement-Learning-Based Neural Architecture Search for Cancer Deep Learning Research

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Cancer is a complex disease, the understanding and treatment of which are being aided through increases in the volume of collected data and in the scale of deployed computing power. Consequently, there is a growing need for the development of data-driven and, in particular, deep learning methods for various tasks such as cancer diagnosis, detection, prognosis, and prediction. Despite recent successes, however, designing high-performing deep learning models for nonimage and nontext cancer data is a time-consuming, trial-and-error, manual task that requires both cancer domain and deep learning expertise. To that end, we develop a reinforcement-learning-based neural architecture search to automate deep-learning-based predictive model development for a class of representative cancer data. We develop custom building blocks that allow domain experts to incorporate the cancer-data-specific characteristics. We show that our approach discovers deep neural network architectures that have significantly fewer trainable parameters, shorter training time, and accuracy similar to or higher than those of manually designed architectures. We study and demonstrate the scalability of our approach on up to 1,024 Intel Knights Landing nodes of the Theta supercomputer at the Argonne Leadership Computing Facility.


Partitioned integrators for thermodynamic parameterization of neural networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics, the "unadjusted Langevin algorithm", and Adaptive Langevin Dynamics (also known as Stochastic Gradient Nos\'{e}-Hoover dynamics) are examples of existing thermodynamic parameterization methods in use for machine learning, but these can be substantially improved. We find that by partitioning the parameters based on natural layer structure we obtain schemes with rapid convergence for data sets with complicated loss landscapes. We describe easy-to-implement hybrid partitioned numerical algorithms, based on discretized stochastic differential equations, which are adapted to feed-forward neural networks, including LaLa (a multi-layer Langevin algorithm), AdLaLa (combining the adaptive Langevin and Langevin algorithms) and LOL (combining Langevin and Overdamped Langevin); we examine the convergence of these methods using numerical studies and compare their performance among themselves and in relation to standard alternatives such as stochastic gradient descent and ADAM. We present evidence that thermodynamic parameterization methods can be (i) faster, (ii) more accurate, and (iii) more robust than standard algorithms incorporated into machine learning frameworks, in particular for data sets with complicated loss landscapes. Moreover, we show in numerical studies that methods based on sampling excite many degrees of freedom. The equipartition property, which is a consequence of their ergodicity, means that these methods keep in play an ensemble of low-loss states during the training process. By drawing parameter states from a sufficiently rich distribution of nearby candidate states, we show that the thermodynamic schemes produce smoother classifiers, improve generalization and reduce overfitting compared to traditional optimizers.



A Queuing Approach to Parking: Modeling, Verification, and Prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a queuing model of parking dynamics and a model-based prediction method to provide real-time probabilistic forecasts of future parking occupancy. The queuing model has a non-homogeneous arrival rate and time-varying service time distribution. All statistical assumptions of the model are verified using data from 29 truck parking locations, each with between 55 and 299 parking spots. For each location and each spot the data specifies the arrival and departure times of a truck, for 16 months of operation. The modeling framework presented in this paper provides empirical support for queuing models adopted in many theoretical studies and policy designs. We discuss how our framework can be used to study parking problems in different environments. Based on the queuing model, we propose two prediction methods, a microscopic method and a macroscopic method, that provide a real-time probabilistic forecast of parking occupancy for an arbitrary forecast horizon. These model-based methods convert a probabilistic forecast problem into a parameter estimation problem that can be tackled using classical estimation methods such as regressions or pure machine learning algorithms. We characterize a lower bound for an arbitrary real-time prediction algorithm. We evaluate the performance of these methods using the truck data comparing the outcomes of their implementations with other model-based and model-free methods proposed in the literature.


Deep Bayesian Unsupervised Source Separation Based on a Complex Gaussian Mixture Model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper presents an unsupervised method that trains neural source separation by using only multichannel mixture signals. Conventional neural separation methods require a lot of supervised data to achieve excellent performance. Although multichannel methods based on spatial information can work without such training data, they are often sensitive to parameter initialization and degraded with the sources located close to each other. The proposed method uses a cost function based on a spatial model called a complex Gaussian mixture model (cGMM). This model has the time-frequency (TF) masks and direction of arrivals (DoAs) of sources as latent variables and is used for training separation and localization networks that respectively estimate these variables. This joint training solves the frequency permutation ambiguity of the spatial model in a unified deep Bayesian framework. In addition, the pre-trained network can be used not only for conducting monaural separation but also for efficiently initializing a multichannel separation algorithm. Experimental results with simulated speech mixtures showed that our method outperformed a conventional initialization method.


Deep Neural Network Ensembles against Deception: Ensemble Diversity, Accuracy and Robustness

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We develop a three - step diversity ensemble creation algorithm: (1) Creating a pool of candidate ensemble member models, or so called base models; (2) Creating a pool of candidate ensemble teams with their diversity scores higher than the pre - defined minimum diversity threshold; and (3) Developing robust ensemble consensus methods, which can effectively combine, rank and integrate predictions from members of an ensemble committee to produce high accuracy ensemble prediction output again st adversarial examples. D ifferent ensemble creation methods tend to have varying level of diversity. A. Creating Ensemble s of Type 1 diversity We want to construct a pool of N redundant DNN models trained on the same learning task as the base classifiers. Preferably, the best ensemble committee members are those base classifiers that are relatively diverse and have high individual test accuracy. T he type 1 diversity ensemble creation algorithm requires that every base model in the pool meet s the type 1 dive rsity and ha s high benign test accuracy comparable to that of the target model under protection. One approach is to add one member model to the pool at a time. Assume that we initialize the pool with a privately trained DNN model. We only allow the next mo del to be added to the pool if it is trained independently using different hyper - parameters or different neural network structures or algorithms and it meet s the high benign test accuracy requirement.


Deep Learning Theory Review: An Optimal Control and Dynamical Systems Perspective

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Attempts from different disciplines to provide a fundamental understanding of deep learning have advanced rapidly in recent years, yet a unified framework remains relatively limited. In this article, we provide one possible way to align existing branches of deep learning theory through the lens of dynamical system and optimal control. By viewing deep neural networks as discrete-time nonlinear dynamical systems, we can analyze how information propagates through layers using mean field theory. When optimization algorithms are further recast as controllers, the ultimate goal of training processes can be formulated as an optimal control problem. In addition, we can reveal convergence and generalization properties by studying the stochastic dynamics of optimization algorithms. This viewpoint features a wide range of theoretical study from information bottleneck to statistical physics. It also provides a principled way for hyper-parameter tuning when optimal control theory is introduced. Our framework fits nicely with supervised learning and can be extended to other learning problems, such as Bayesian learning, adversarial training, and specific forms of meta learning, without efforts. The review aims to shed lights on the importance of dynamics and optimal control when developing deep learning theory.


Bayes EMbedding (BEM): Refining Representation by Integrating Knowledge Graphs and Behavior-specific Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Low-dimensional embeddings of knowledge graphs and behavior graphs have proved remarkably powerful in varieties of tasks, from predicting unobserved edges between entities to content recommendation. The two types of graphs can contain distinct and complementary information for the same entities/nodes. However, previous works focus either on knowledge graph embedding or behavior graph embedding while few works consider both in a unified way. Here we present BEM , a Bayesian framework that incorporates the information from knowledge graphs and behavior graphs. To be more specific, BEM takes as prior the pre-trained embeddings from the knowledge graph, and integrates them with the pre-trained embeddings from the behavior graphs via a Bayesian generative model. BEM is able to mutually refine the embeddings from both sides while preserving their own topological structures. To show the superiority of our method, we conduct a range of experiments on three benchmark datasets: node classification, link prediction, triplet classification on two small datasets related to Freebase, and item recommendation on a large-scale e-commerce dataset.


On the overestimation of widely applicable Bayesian information criterion

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (Watanabe, 2013) is applicable for both regular and singular models in the model selection problem. This criterion tends to overestimate the log marginal likelihood. We identify an overestimating term of a widely applicable Bayesian information criterion. Adjustment of the term gives an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the leading two terms of asymptotic expansion of the log marginal likelihood. In numerical experiments on regular and singular models, the adjustment resulted in smaller bias than the original criterion.