Learning data representations that capture task-related features, but are invariant to nuisance variations remains a key challenge in machine learning. We introduce an automated Bayesian inference framework, called AutoBayes, that explores different graphical models linking classifier, encoder, decoder, estimator and adversary network blocks to optimize nuisance-invariant machine learning pipelines. AutoBayes also enables learning disentangled representations, where the latent variable is split into multiple pieces to impose different relation with nuisance variation and task labels. We benchmark the framework on several public datasets, where we have access to subject and class labels during training, and provide analysis of its capability for subject-transfer learning with/without variational modeling and adversarial training. We demonstrate a significant performance improvement by ensemble stacking across explored graphical models.

Neural autoregressive sequence models are used to generate sequences in a variety of natural language processing (NLP) tasks, where they are evaluated according to sequence-level task losses. These models are typically trained with maximum likelihood estimation, which ignores the task loss, yet empirically performs well as a surrogate objective. Typical approaches to directly optimizing the task loss such as policy gradient and minimum risk training are based around sampling in the sequence space to obtain candidate update directions that are scored based on the loss of a single sequence. In this paper, we develop an alternative method based on random search in the parameter space that leverages access to the maximum likelihood gradient. We propose maximum likelihood guided parameter search (MGS), which samples from a distribution over update directions that is a mixture of random search around the current parameters and around the maximum likelihood gradient, with each direction weighted by its improvement in the task loss. MGS shifts sampling to the parameter space, and scores candidates using losses that are pooled from multiple sequences. Our experiments show that MGS is capable of optimizing sequence-level losses, with substantial reductions in repetition and non-termination in sequence completion, and similar improvements to those of minimum risk training in machine translation.

The TriRhenaTech alliance presents a collection of accepted papers of the cancelled tri-national 'Upper-Rhine Artificial Inteeligence Symposium' planned for 13th May 2020 in Karlsruhe. The TriRhenaTech alliance is a network of universities in the Upper-Rhine Trinational Metropolitan Region comprising of the German universities of applied sciences in Furtwangen, Kaiserslautern, Karlsruhe, and Offenburg, the Baden-Wuerttemberg Cooperative State University Loerrach, the French university network Alsace Tech (comprised of 14 'grandes \'ecoles' in the fields of engineering, architecture and management) and the University of Applied Sciences and Arts Northwestern Switzerland. The alliance's common goal is to reinforce the transfer of knowledge, research, and technology, as well as the cross-border mobility of students.

As one kind of architecture from the deep learning family, deep semantic segmentation network (DSSN) achieves a certain degree of success on the semantic segmentation task and obviously outperforms the traditional methods based on hand-crafted features. As a classic data-driven technique, DSSN can be trained by an end-to-end mechanism and competent for employing the low-level and mid-level cues (i.e., the discriminative image structure) to understand images, but lacks the high-level inference ability. By contrast, human beings have an excellent inference capacity and can be able to reliably interpret the RS imagery only when human beings master the basic RS domain knowledge. In literature, ontological modeling and reasoning is an ideal way to imitate and employ the domain knowledge of human beings, but is still rarely explored and adopted in the RS domain. To remedy the aforementioned critical limitation of DSSN, this paper proposes a collaboratively boosting framework (CBF) to combine data-driven deep learning module and knowledge-guided ontological reasoning module in an iterative way.

Many real-world situations allow for the acquisition of additional relevant information when making an assessment with limited or uncertain data. However, traditional ML approaches either require all features to be acquired beforehand or regard part of them as missing data that cannot be acquired. In this work, we propose models that perform active feature acquisition (AFA) to improve the prediction assessments at evaluation time. We formulate the AFA problem as a Markov decision process (MDP) and resolve it using reinforcement learning (RL). The AFA problem yields sparse rewards and contains a high-dimensional complicated action space. Thus, we propose learning a generative surrogate model that captures the complicated dependencies among input features to assess potential information gain from acquisitions. We also leverage the generative surrogate model to provide intermediate rewards and auxiliary information to the agent. Furthermore, we extend AFA in a task we coin active instance recognition (AIR) for the unsupervised case where the target variables are the unobserved features themselves and the goal is to collect information for a particular instance in a cost-efficient way. Empirical results demonstrate that our approach achieves considerably better performance than previous state of the art methods on both supervised and unsupervised tasks. Although this paradigm is successful in a multitude of domains, it is incongruous with the expectations of many real-world intelligent systems in two key ways: first, it assumes that a complete set of features has been observed; second, as a consequence, it also assumes that no additional information (features) of an instance may be obtained at evaluation time.

As neural network classifiers are deployed in real-world applications, it is crucial that their predictions are not just accurate, but trustworthy as well. One practical solution is to assign confidence scores to each prediction, then filter out lowconfidence predictions. However, existing confidence metrics are not yet sufficiently reliable for this role. This paper presents a new framework that produces more reliable confidence scores for detecting misclassification errors. This framework, RED, calibrates the classifier's inherent confidence indicators and estimates uncertainty of the calibrated confidence scores using Gaussian Processes. Empirical comparisons with other confidence estimation methods on 125 UCI datasets demonstrate that this approach is effective. An experiment on a vision task with a large deep learning architecture further confirms that the method can scale up, and a case study involving out-of-distribution and adversarial samples shows potential of the proposed method to improve robustness of neural network classifiers more broadly in the future. Classifiers based on Neural Networks (NNs) are widely deployed in many real-world applications (LeCun et al., 2015; Anjos et al., 2015; Alghoul et al., 2018; Shahid et al., 2019). Although good prediction accuracies are achieved, lack of safety guarantees becomes a severe issue when NNs are applied to safety-critical domains, e.g., healthcare (Selişteanu et al., 2018; Gupta et al., 2007; Shahid et al., 2019), finance (Dixon et al., 2017), self-driving (Janai et al., 2017; Hecker et al., 2018), etc. One way to estimate trustworthiness of a classifier prediction is to use its inherent confidence-related score, e.g., the maximum class probability (Hendrycks & Gimpel, 2017), entropy of the softmax outputs (Williams & Renals, 1997), or difference between the highest and second highest activation outputs (Monteith & Martinez, 2010).

In this paper, we propose the multivariate quantile Bayesian structural time series (MQB-STS) model for the joint quantile time series forecast, which is the first such model for correlated multivariate time series to the author's best knowledge. The MQBSTS model also enables quantile based feature selection in its regression component where each time series has its own pool of contemporaneous external time series predictors, which is the first time that a fully data-driven quantile feature selection technique applicable to time series data to the author's best knowledge. Different from most machine learning algorithms, the MQBSTS model has very few hyper-parameters to tune, requires small datasets to train, converges fast, and is executable on ordinary personal computers. Extensive examinations on simulated data and empirical data confirmed that the MQBSTS model has superior performance in feature selection, parameter estimation, and forecast.

This paper introduces Distributed Stein Variational Gradient Descent (DSVGD), a non-parametric generalized Bayesian inference framework for federated learning. DSVGD maintains a number of non-random and interacting particles at a central server to represent the current iterate of the model global posterior. The particles are iteratively downloaded and updated by one of the agents with the end goal of minimizing the global free energy. By varying the number of particles, DSVGD enables a flexible trade-off between per-iteration communication load and number of communication rounds. DSVGD is shown to compare favorably to benchmark frequentist and Bayesian federated learning strategies, also scheduling a single device per iteration, in terms of accuracy and scalability with respect to the number of agents, while also providing well-calibrated, and hence trustworthy, predictions.

We derive the optimal approximate posterior over the top-layer weights in a Bayesian neural network for regression, and show that it exhibits strong dependencies on the lower-layer weights. We adapt this result to develop a correlated approximate posterior over the weights at all layers in a Bayesian neural network. We extend this approach to deep Gaussian processes, unifying inference in the two model classes. Our approximate posterior uses learned "global" inducing points, which are defined only at the input layer and propagated through the network to obtain inducing inputs at subsequent layers. By contrast, standard, "local", inducing point methods from the deep Gaussian process literature optimize a separate set of inducing inputs at every layer, and thus do not model correlations across layers. Our method gives state-of-the-art performance for a variational Bayesian method, without data augmentation or tempering, on CIFAR-10 of $86.7\%$.

If you are learning machine learning for getting a high profile data science job then you can't miss out learning these 11 best machine learning algorithms. Here, we will first go through supervised learning algorithms and then discuss about the unsupervised learning ones. While there are many more algorithms that are present in the arsenal of machine learning, our focus will be on the most popular machine learning algorithms. These ML algorithms are quite essential for developing predictive modeling and for carrying out classification and prediction. These ML algorithms are the most useful for carrying out prediction and classification in both supervised as well as unsupervised scenarios.