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 Bayesian Learning


Detecting Label Noise via Leave-One-Out Cross Validation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a simple algorithm for identifying and correcting real-valued noisy labels from a mixture of clean and corrupted samples using Gaussian process regression. A heteroscedastic noise model is employed, in which additive Gaussian noise terms with independent variances are associated with each and all of the observed labels. Thus, the method effectively applies a sample-specific Tikhonov regularization term, generalizing the uniform regularization prevalent in standard Gaussian process regression. Optimizing the noise model using maximum likelihood estimation leads to the containment of the GPR model's predictive error by the posterior standard deviation in leave-one-out cross-validation. A multiplicative update scheme is proposed for solving the maximum likelihood estimation problem under non-negative constraints. While we provide a proof of monotonic convergence for certain special cases, the multiplicative scheme has empirically demonstrated monotonic convergence behavior in virtually all our numerical experiments. We show that the presented method can pinpoint corrupted samples and lead to better regression models when trained on synthetic and real-world scientific data sets.


Homophily Outlier Detection in Non-IID Categorical Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Most of existing outlier detection methods assume that the outlier factors (i.e., outlierness scoring measures) of data entities (e.g., feature values and data objects) are Independent and Identically Distributed (IID). This assumption does not hold in real-world applications where the outlierness of different entities is dependent on each other and/or taken from different probability distributions (non-IID). This may lead to the failure of detecting important outliers that are too subtle to be identified without considering the non-IID nature. The issue is even intensified in more challenging contexts, e.g., high-dimensional data with many noisy features. This work introduces a novel outlier detection framework and its two instances to identify outliers in categorical data by capturing non-IID outlier factors. Our approach first defines and incorporates distribution-sensitive outlier factors and their interdependence into a value-value graph-based representation. It then models an outlierness propagation process in the value graph to learn the outlierness of feature values. The learned value outlierness allows for either direct outlier detection or outlying feature selection. The graph representation and mining approach is employed here to well capture the rich non-IID characteristics. Our empirical results on 15 real-world data sets with different levels of data complexities show that (i) the proposed outlier detection methods significantly outperform five state-of-the-art methods at the 95%/99% confidence level, achieving 10%-28% AUC improvement on the 10 most complex data sets; and (ii) the proposed feature selection methods significantly outperform three competing methods in enabling subsequent outlier detection of two different existing detectors.


Top 60 Artificial Intelligence Interview Questions & Answers

#artificialintelligence

A month ago, India's first driverless metro train in the national capital, Delhi, was launched. Yes! Like it or not, automation is happening and will continue to happen in places where you couldn't have imagined before. Artificial Intelligence has swept away the world around us, leading to the natural progression of demand for skilled professionals in the job market. It is one field that will never go outdated and will continue to grow. Wondering how to leverage this opportunity? How can you prepare yourself for such a league of jobs that make the world go around? We have got a repository of questions to help you get ready for your next interview! This article will cover the artificial intelligence interview questions and help you with the much-needed tips and tricks to crack the interview. The article is divided into three parts: basic artificial intelligence questions, intermediate level, and advanced AI questions. AnalytixLabs is India's top-ranked AI & Data Science Institute and is in its tenth year.


Uncertainty Estimation in SARS-CoV-2 B-cell Epitope Prediction for Vaccine Development

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

B-cell epitopes play a key role in stimulating B-cells, triggering the primary immune response which results in antibody production as well as the establishment of long-term immunity in the form of memory cells. Consequently, being able to accurately predict appropriate linear B-cell epitope regions would pave the way for the development of new protein-based vaccines. Knowing how much confidence there is in a prediction is also essential for gaining clinicians' trust in the technology. In this article, we propose a calibrated uncertainty estimation in deep learning to approximate variational Bayesian inference using MC-DropWeights to predict epitope regions using the data from the immune epitope database. Having applied this onto SARS-CoV-2, it can more reliably predict B-cell epitopes than standard methods. This will be able to identify safe and effective vaccine candidates against Covid-19.


Bayesian imaging using Plug & Play priors: when Langevin meets Tweedie

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Since the seminal work of Venkatakrishnan et al. (2013), Plug & Play (PnP) methods have become ubiquitous in Bayesian imaging. These methods derive Minimum Mean Square Error (MMSE) or Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) estimators for inverse problems in imaging by combining an explicit likelihood function with a prior that is implicitly defined by an image denoising algorithm. The PnP algorithms proposed in the literature mainly differ in the iterative schemes they use for optimisation or for sampling. In the case of optimisation schemes, some recent works guarantee the convergence to a fixed point, albeit not necessarily a MAP estimate. In the case of sampling schemes, to the best of our knowledge, there is no known proof of convergence. There also remain important open questions regarding whether the underlying Bayesian models and estimators are well defined, well-posed, and have the basic regularity properties required to support these numerical schemes. To address these limitations, this paper develops theory, methods, and provably convergent algorithms for performing Bayesian inference with PnP priors. We introduce two algorithms: 1) PnP-ULA (Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm) for Monte Carlo sampling and MMSE inference; and 2) PnP-SGD (Stochastic Gradient Descent) for MAP inference. Using recent results on the quantitative convergence of Markov chains, we establish detailed convergence guarantees for these two algorithms under realistic assumptions on the denoising operators used, with special attention to denoisers based on deep neural networks. We also show that these algorithms approximately target a decision-theoretically optimal Bayesian model that is well-posed. The proposed algorithms are demonstrated on several canonical problems such as image deblurring, inpainting, and denoising, where they are used for point estimation as well as for uncertainty visualisation and quantification.


An Easy Way to Solve Complex Optimization Problems in Machine Learning

#artificialintelligence

There are numerous examples in machine learning, statistics, mathematics and deep learning, requiring an algorithm to solve some complicated equations: for instance, maximum likelihood estimation (think about logistic regression or the EM algorithm) or gradient methods (think about stochastic or swarm optimization). Here we are dealing with even more difficult problems, where the solution is not a set of optimal parameters (a finite dimensional object), but a function (an infinite dimensional object). The context is discrete, chaotic dynamical systems, with applications to weather forecasting, population growth models, complex econometric systems, image encryption, chemistry (mixtures), physics (how matter reaches an equilibrium temperature), astronomy (how celestial man-made or natural bodies end up having stable or unstable orbits), or stock market prices, to name a few. These are referred to as complex systems. The solutions to the problems discussed here requires numerical methods, as usually no exact solution is known.


Inductive Inference in Supervised Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Inductive inference in supervised classification context constitutes to methods and approaches to assign some objects or items into different predefined classes using a formal rule that is derived from training data and possibly some additional auxiliary information. The optimality of such an assignment varies under different conditions due to intrinsic attributes of the objects being considered for such a task. One of these cases is when all the objects' features are discrete variables with a priori known categories. As another example, one can consider a modification of this case with a priori unknown categories. These two cases are the main focus of this thesis and based on Bayesian inductive theories, de Finetti type exchangeability is a suitable assumption that facilitates the derivation of classifiers in the former scenario. On the contrary, this type of exchangeability is not applicable in the latter case, instead, it is possible to utilise the partition exchangeability due to John Kingman. These two types of exchangeabilities are discussed and furthermore here I investigate inductive supervised classifiers based on both types of exchangeabilities. I further demonstrate that the classifiers based on de Finetti type exchangeability can optimally handle test items independently of each other in the presence of infinite amounts of training data while on the other hand, classifiers based on partition exchangeability still continue to benefit from joint labelling of all the test items. Additionally, it is shown that the inductive learning process for the simultaneous classifier saturates when the amount of test data tends to infinity.


Bayesian Imaging With Data-Driven Priors Encoded by Neural Networks: Theory, Methods, and Algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper proposes a new methodology for performing Bayesian inference in imaging inverse problems where the prior knowledge is available in the form of training data. Following the manifold hypothesis and adopting a generative modelling approach, we construct a data-driven prior that is supported on a sub-manifold of the ambient space, which we can learn from the training data by using a variational autoencoder or a generative adversarial network. We establish the existence and well-posedness of the associated posterior distribution and posterior moments under easily verifiable conditions, providing a rigorous underpinning for Bayesian estimators and uncertainty quantification analyses. Bayesian computation is performed by using a parallel tempered version of the preconditioned Crank-Nicolson algorithm on the manifold, which is shown to be ergodic and robust to the non-convex nature of these data-driven models. In addition to point estimators and uncertainty quantification analyses, we derive a model misspecification test to automatically detect situations where the data-driven prior is unreliable, and explain how to identify the dimension of the latent space directly from the training data. The proposed approach is illustrated with a range of experiments with the MNIST dataset, where it outperforms alternative image reconstruction approaches from the state of the art. A model accuracy analysis suggests that the Bayesian probabilities reported by the data-driven models are also remarkably accurate under a frequentist definition of probability.


White Paper Machine Learning in Certified Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine Learning (ML) seems to be one of the most promising solution to automate partially or completely some of the complex tasks currently realized by humans, such as driving vehicles, recognizing voice, etc. It is also an opportunity to implement and embed new capabilities out of the reach of classical implementation techniques. However, ML techniques introduce new potential risks. Therefore, they have only been applied in systems where their benefits are considered worth the increase of risk. In practice, ML techniques raise multiple challenges that could prevent their use in systems submitted to certification constraints. But what are the actual challenges? Can they be overcome by selecting appropriate ML techniques, or by adopting new engineering or certification practices? These are some of the questions addressed by the ML Certification 3 Workgroup (WG) set-up by the Institut de Recherche Technologique Saint Exup\'ery de Toulouse (IRT), as part of the DEEL Project.


Pretraining the Noisy Channel Model for Task-Oriented Dialogue

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Direct decoding for task-oriented dialogue is known to suffer from the explaining-away effect, manifested in models that prefer short and generic responses. Here we argue for the use of Bayes' theorem to factorize the dialogue task into two models, the distribution of the context given the response, and the prior for the response itself. This approach, an instantiation of the noisy channel model, both mitigates the explaining-away effect and allows the principled incorporation of large pretrained models for the response prior. We present extensive experiments showing that a noisy channel model decodes better responses compared to direct decoding and that a two stage pretraining strategy, employing both open-domain and task-oriented dialogue data, improves over randomly initialized models.