Prediction of diabetes and its various complications has been studied in a number of settings, but a comprehensive overview of problem setting for diabetes prediction and care management has not been addressed in the literature. In this document we seek to remedy this omission in literature with an encompassing overview of diabetes complication prediction as well as situating this problem in the context of real world healthcare management. We illustrate various problems encountered in real world clinical scenarios via our own experience with building and deploying such models. In this manuscript we illustrate a Machine Learning (ML) framework for addressing the problem of predicting Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) together with a solution for risk stratification, intervention and management. These ML models align with how physicians think about disease management and mitigation, which comprises these four steps: Identify, Stratify, Engage, Measure.

Over the last years, machine learning techniques have been applied to more and more application domains, including software engineering and, especially, software quality assurance. Important application domains have been, e.g., software defect prediction or test case selection and prioritization. The ability to predict which components in a large software system are most likely to contain the largest numbers of faults in the next release helps to better manage projects, including early estimation of possible release delays, and affordably guide corrective actions to improve the quality of the software. However, developing robust fault prediction models is a challenging task and many techniques have been proposed in the literature. Closely related to estimating defect-prone parts of a software system is the question of how to select and prioritize test cases, and indeed test case prioritization has been extensively researched as a means for reducing the time taken to discover regressions in software. In this survey, we discuss various approaches in both fault prediction and test case prioritization, also explaining how in recent studies deep learning algorithms for fault prediction help to bridge the gap between programs' semantics and fault prediction features. We also review recently proposed machine learning methods for test case prioritization (TCP), and their ability to reduce the cost of regression testing without negatively affecting fault detection capabilities.

Incrementally training deep neural networks to recognize new classes is a challenging problem. Most existing class-incremental learning methods store data or use generative replay, both of which have drawbacks, while 'rehearsal-free' alternatives such as parameter regularization or bias-correction methods do not consistently achieve high performance. Here, we put forward a new strategy for class-incremental learning: generative classification. Rather than directly learning the conditional distribution p(y|x), our proposal is to learn the joint distribution p(x,y), factorized as p(x|y)p(y), and to perform classification using Bayes' rule. As a proof-of-principle, here we implement this strategy by training a variational autoencoder for each class to be learned and by using importance sampling to estimate the likelihoods p(x|y). This simple approach performs very well on a diverse set of continual learning benchmarks, outperforming generative replay and other existing baselines that do not store data.

In every corner of machine learning and statistics, there is a need for estimators that work not just in an idealized model, but even when their assumptions are violated. Unfortunately, in high dimensions, being provably robust and being efficiently computable are often at odds with each other. We give the first efficient algorithm for estimating the parameters of a high-dimensional Gaussian that is able to tolerate a constant fraction of corruptions that is independent of the dimension. Prior to our work, all known estimators either needed time exponential in the dimension to compute or could tolerate only an inverse-polynomial fraction of corruptions. Not only does our algorithm bridge the gap between robustness and algorithms, but also it turns out to be highly practical in a variety of settings. Machine learning is filled with examples of estimators that work well in idealized settings but fail when their assumptions are violated. In fact, these are examples of a more general paradigm within statistics called maximum likelihood estimation: When we know the distribution comes from some parametric family, we choose the parameters that are the most likely to have generated the observed data. In 1922, Ronald Fisher12 formulated the maximum likelihood principle. It has many wonderful properties (under various technical conditions), such as converging to the true parameters as the number of samples goes to infinity, a property called consistency. Moreover, it has asymptotically the smallest possible variance among all unbiased estimators, a property called asymptotic consistency. In 1960, John Tukey24 challenged the conventional wisdom in parametric estimation by asking a simple question: Are there provably robust methods to estimate the parameters of a one-dimensional Gaussian?

Industrial Information Technology (IT) infrastructures are often vulnerable to cyberattacks. To ensure security to the computer systems in an industrial environment, it is required to build effective intrusion detection systems to monitor the cyber-physical systems (e.g., computer networks) in the industry for malicious activities. This paper aims to build such intrusion detection systems to protect the computer networks from cyberattacks. More specifically, we propose a novel unsupervised machine learning approach that combines the K-Means algorithm with the Isolation Forest for anomaly detection in industrial big data scenarios. Since our objective is to build the intrusion detection system for the big data scenario in the industrial domain, we utilize the Apache Spark framework to implement our proposed model which was trained in large network traffic data (about 123 million instances of network traffic) stored in Elasticsearch. Moreover, we evaluate our proposed model on the live streaming data and find that our proposed system can be used for real-time anomaly detection in the industrial setup. In addition, we address different challenges that we face while training our model on large datasets and explicitly describe how these issues were resolved. Based on our empirical evaluation in different use-cases for anomaly detection in real-world network traffic data, we observe that our proposed system is effective to detect anomalies in big data scenarios. Finally, we evaluate our proposed model on several academic datasets to compare with other models and find that it provides comparable performance with other state-of-the-art approaches.

The loss function choice for any Support Vector Machine classifier has raised great interest in the literature due to the lack of robustness of the Hinge loss, which is the standard loss choice. In this paper, we plan to robustify the binary classifier by maintaining the overall advantages of the Hinge loss, rather than modifying this standard choice. We propose two robust classifiers under data uncertainty. The first is called Single Perturbation SVM (SP-SVM) and provides a constructive method by allowing a controlled perturbation to one feature of the data. The second method is called Extreme Empirical Loss SVM (EEL-SVM) and is based on a new empirical loss estimate, namely, the Extreme Empirical Loss (EEL), that puts more emphasis on extreme violations of the classification hyper-plane, rather than taking the usual sample average with equal importance for all hyper-plane violations. Extensive numerical investigation reveals the advantages of the two robust classifiers on simulated data and well-known real datasets.

High-dimensional limit theorems have been shown to be useful to derive tuning rules for finding the optimal scaling in random walk Metropolis algorithms. The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are however restrictive; the target density is typically assumed to be of a product form. Users may thus doubt the validity of such tuning rules in practical applications. In this paper, we shed some light on optimal scaling problems from a different perspective, namely a large-sample one. This allows to prove weak convergence results under realistic assumptions and to propose novel parameter-dimension-dependent tuning guidelines. The proposed guidelines are consistent with previous ones when the target density is close to having a product form, but significantly different otherwise.

In this paper, we take a human-centered approach to interpretable machine learning. First, drawing inspiration from the study of explanation in philosophy, cognitive science, and the social sciences, we propose a list of design principles for machine-generated explanations that are meaningful to humans. Using the concept of weight of evidence from information theory, we develop a method for producing explanations that adhere to these principles. We show that this method can be adapted to handle high-dimensional, multi-class settings, yielding a flexible meta-algorithm for generating explanations. We demonstrate that these explanations can be estimated accurately from finite samples and are robust to small perturbations of the inputs. We also evaluate our method through a qualitative user study with machine learning practitioners, where we observe that the resulting explanations are usable despite some participants struggling with background concepts like prior class probabilities. Finally, we conclude by surfacing design implications for interpretability tools

To minimize the average of a set of log-convex functions, the stochastic Newton method iteratively updates its estimate using subsampled versions of the full objective's gradient and Hessian. We contextualize this optimization problem as sequential Bayesian inference on a latent state-space model with a discriminatively-specified observation process. Applying Bayesian filtering then yields a novel optimization algorithm that considers the entire history of gradients and Hessians when forming an update. We establish matrix-based conditions under which the effect of older observations diminishes over time, in a manner analogous to Polyak's heavy ball momentum. We illustrate various aspects of our approach with an example and review other relevant innovations for the stochastic Newton method.

We present an application of invariant polynomials in machine learning. Using the methods developed in previous work, we obtain two types of generators of the Lorentz- and permutation-invariant polynomials in particle momenta; minimal algebra generators and Hironaka decompositions. We discuss and prove some approximation theorems to make use of these invariant generators in machine learning algorithms in general and in neural networks specifically. By implementing these generators in neural networks applied to regression tasks, we test the improvements in performance under a wide range of hyperparameter choices and find a reduction of the loss on training data and a significant reduction of the loss on validation data. For a different approach on quantifying the performance of these neural networks, we treat the problem from a Bayesian inference perspective and employ nested sampling techniques to perform model comparison. Beyond a certain network size, we find that networks utilising Hironaka decompositions perform the best.